Literature Review Of Methods For Representing Uncertainty
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Literature Review Of Methods For Representing Uncertainty
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Author : Enrico Zio
language : en
Publisher: FonCSI
Release Date : 2013-03-01
Literature Review Of Methods For Representing Uncertainty written by Enrico Zio and has been published by FonCSI this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-03-01 with Technology & Engineering categories.
This document provides a critical review of different frameworks for uncertainty analysis, in a risk analysis context : classical probabilistic analysis, imprecise probability (interval analysis), probability bound analysis, evidence theory, and possibility theory. The driver of the critical analysis is the decision-making process and the need to feed it with representative information derived from the risk assessment, to robustly support the decision. Technical details of the different frameworks are exposed only to the extent necessary to analyze and judge how these contribute to the communication of risk and the representation of the associated uncertainties to decision-makers, in the typical settings of high-consequence risk analysis of complex systems with limited knowledge on their behaviour.
Uncertainty Propagation And Importance Measure Assessment
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Author : Enrico Zio
language : en
Publisher: FonCSI
Release Date : 2013-12-14
Uncertainty Propagation And Importance Measure Assessment written by Enrico Zio and has been published by FonCSI this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-12-14 with Technology & Engineering categories.
The authors investigate the effects that different representations of epistemic uncertainty have on practical risk assessment problems. Two different application problems are considered: 1. the estimation of component importance measures in the presence of epistemic uncertainties; 2. the propagation of uncertainties through a risk flooding model. The focus is on the epistemic uncertainty affecting the parameters of the models that describe the components’ failures due to incomplete knowledge of their values. This epistemic uncertainty is represented using probability distributions when sufficient data is available for statistical analysis, and by possibility distributions when the information available to define the parameters’ values comes from experts, in the form of imprecise quantitative statements or judgments. Three case studies of increasing complexity are presented: a pedagogical example of importance measure assessment on a three-component system from the literature; assessment of importance measures for the auxiliary feed water system of a nuclear pressurized water reactor; an application in environmental modelling, with an analysis of uncertainty propagation in a hydraulic model for the risk-based design of a flood protection dike.
Model Validation And Uncertainty Quantification Volume 3
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Author : Robert Barthorpe
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2017-06-07
Model Validation And Uncertainty Quantification Volume 3 written by Robert Barthorpe and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-06-07 with Technology & Engineering categories.
Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, Volume 3: Proceedings of the 35th IMAC, A Conference and Exposition on Structural Dynamics, 2017, the third volume of ten from the Conference brings together contributions to this important area of research and engineering. The collection presents early findings and case studies on fundamental and applied aspects of Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, including papers on: Uncertainty Quantification in Material Models Uncertainty Propagation in Structural Dynamics Practical Applications of MVUQ Advances in Model Validation & Uncertainty Quantification: Model Updating Model Validation & Uncertainty Quantification: Industrial Applications Controlling Uncertainty Uncertainty in Early Stage Design Modeling of Musical Instruments Overview of Model Validation and Uncertainty
Bayesian Methods For Interaction And Design
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Author : John H. Williamson
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2022-08-25
Bayesian Methods For Interaction And Design written by John H. Williamson and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-08-25 with Computers categories.
Introduces Bayesian methods and their implementation in application ranging from pointing-based interfaces to modelling cognitive processes.
Science Engineering Management And Information Technology
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Author : A. Mirzazadeh
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2024-09-12
Science Engineering Management And Information Technology written by A. Mirzazadeh and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-09-12 with Computers categories.
This two-volume set constitutes selected papers presented during the Second International Conference on Science, Engineering Management and Information Technology, SEMIT 2023, held in Ankara, Turkey, during September 14–15, 2023. The 44 full papers and 2 short papers presented were carefully reviewed and selected from 409 submissions. The papers cover the following topics: Part I - Decision Analysis and Expert Systems; Machine Learning, Data Analysis and Computer Vision in Healthcare and Medicine; Smart Production, Transportation and Supply Chain Systems; Information Technology and Data Science in Industry. Part II - IoT, Blockchain, and Cyber Security in Complex Systems; Real-Time Data Analysis and Simulation in Engineering Systems; Digitalization and Artificial Intelligence in Manufacturing/ Service Industries; Soft Computing and Artificial Intelligence in Engineering Management and Marketing.
Recent Research In Control Engineering And Decision Making
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Author : Olga Dolinina
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2019-01-28
Recent Research In Control Engineering And Decision Making written by Olga Dolinina and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-01-28 with Technology & Engineering categories.
This book constitutes the full papers and short monographs developed on the base of the refereed proceedings of the International Conference on Information Technologies: Information and Communication Technologies for Research and Industry (ICIT-2019), held in Saratov, Russia in February 2019. The book brings accepted papers which present new approaches and methods of solving problems in the sphere of control engineering and decision making for the various fields of studies: industry and research, ontology-based data simulation, smart city technologies, theory and use of digital signal processing, cognitive systems, robotics, cybernetics, automation control theory, image recognition technologies, and computer vision. Particular emphasis is laid on modern trends, new approaches, algorithms and methods in selected fields of interest. The presented papers were accepted after careful reviews made by at least three independent reviewers in a double-blind way. The acceptance level was about 60%. The chapters are organized thematically in several areas within the following tracks: • Models, Methods & Approaches in Decision Making Systems • Mathematical Modelling for Industry & Research • Smart City Technologies The conference is focused on development and globalization of information and communication technologies (ICT), methods of control engineering and decision making along with innovations and networking, ICT for sustainable development and technological change, and global challenges. Moreover, the ICIT-2019 served as a discussion area for the actual above-mentioned topics. The editors believe that the readers will find the proceedings interesting and useful for their own research work.
Extreme Value Theory With Applications To Natural Hazards
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Author : Nicolas Bousquet
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2021-10-09
Extreme Value Theory With Applications To Natural Hazards written by Nicolas Bousquet and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-10-09 with Mathematics categories.
This richly illustrated book describes statistical extreme value theory for the quantification of natural hazards, such as strong winds, floods and rainfall, and discusses an interdisciplinary approach to allow the theoretical methods to be applied. The approach consists of a number of steps: data selection and correction, non-stationary theory (to account for trends due to climate change), and selecting appropriate estimation techniques based on both decision-theoretic features (e.g., Bayesian theory), empirical robustness and a valid treatment of uncertainties. It also examines and critically reviews alternative approaches based on stochastic and dynamic numerical models, as well as recently emerging data analysis issues and presents large-scale, multidisciplinary, state-of-the-art case studies. Intended for all those with a basic knowledge of statistical methods interested in the quantification of natural hazards, the book is also a valuable resource for engineers conducting risk analyses in collaboration with scientists from other fields (such as hydrologists, meteorologists, climatologists).
Prognostics And Remaining Useful Life Rul Estimation
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Author : Diego Galar
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2021-12-27
Prognostics And Remaining Useful Life Rul Estimation written by Diego Galar and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-12-27 with Technology & Engineering categories.
Maintenance combines various methods, tools, and techniques in a bid to reduce maintenance costs while increasing the reliability, availability, and security of equipment. Condition-based maintenance (CBM) is one such method, and prognostics forms a key element of a CBM program based on mathematical models for predicting remaining useful life (RUL). Prognostics and Remaining Useful Life (RUL) Estimation: Predicting with Confidence compares the techniques and models used to estimate the RUL of different assets, including a review of the relevant literature on prognostic techniques and their use in the industrial field. This book describes different approaches and prognosis methods for different assets backed up by appropriate case studies. FEATURES Presents a compendium of RUL estimation methods and technologies used in predictive maintenance Describes different approaches and prognosis methods for different assets Includes a comprehensive compilation of methods from model-based and data-driven to hybrid Discusses the benchmarking of RUL estimation methods according to accuracy and uncertainty, depending on the target application, the type of asset, and the forecast performance expected Contains a toolset of methods and a way of deployment aimed at a versatile audience This book is aimed at professionals, senior undergraduates, and graduate students in all interdisciplinary engineering streams that focus on prognosis and maintenance.
Risk Management
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Author : Glen B. Alleman
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2024-03-15
Risk Management written by Glen B. Alleman and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-03-15 with Technology & Engineering categories.
Project success is an elusive goal in every business or technical domain. Project failure usually results from unhandled risks to the technical, cost, and schedule aspects of the project. There are four primary root causes of project failure. Unrealistic performance expectation, with missing Measures of Effectiveness Unrealistic cost and schedule estimates based on inadequate risk adjusted growth models Inadequate assessment of risk and unmitigated exposure to these risks without proper handling strategies Unanticipated technical issues with alternative plans and solutions to maintain the effectiveness of the project processes and its deliverables Risk Management provides a comprehensive overview of the people, principles, processes, and practices as the fundamental base upon which an effective risk management system resides. However, this does not guarantee effective risk management and successful projects and businesses. The first half of the book describes risk management processes, as well as a delineation between risk and hazards and how these are connected. The second half of the book provides industry examples of the approach to risk management in specific context and with specific approaches and artifacts where applicable. The book focuses on risks created by uncertainty, their identification, and the corrective and preventive actions needed to address these risks to increase the probability of project success. The book’s goal is to provide a context-driven framework, developing a foundation for a rational approach to risk management that makes adaptation to circumstances as easy as possible.
Multiple Criteria Decision Making With Fuzzy Sets
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Author : Babek Erdebilli
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2022-06-28
Multiple Criteria Decision Making With Fuzzy Sets written by Babek Erdebilli and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-06-28 with Business & Economics categories.
Using numerical examples to illustrate their concepts and results, this book examines recently developed fuzzy multi-criteria methods, such as Intuitionistic Fuzzy TOPSIS, Intuitionistic Fuzzy TOPSIS & DEA-AHP, Intuitionistic VIKOR, Pythagorean WASPAS, Pythagorean ENTROPI, Hesitant CBD, Hesitant MABAC, Triangular EDAS, Triangular PROMETHEE, q-Rung Orthopair COPRAS, and Fuzzy Type – 2 ELECTRE. Each chapter covers practical applications in addition to fresh developments and results. Given its structure and scope, the book can be used as a textbook in graduate courses on operations research and industrial engineering. It also offers a valuable resource for scientists working in a range of disciplines that require multi-criteria decision making.