Long Range Futures Research
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Long Range Futures Research
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Author : Robert H. Samet
language : en
Publisher: 4-Scene Development Corpora
Release Date : 2009-03-24
Long Range Futures Research written by Robert H. Samet and has been published by 4-Scene Development Corpora this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-03-24 with Change categories.
This highly readable study explains how complexity science provides an evolutionary model for the civil system, with a new world view that out-ranges United Nations reference scenarios to beyond 2150.
Futures Research Long Range Planning And Technology Monitoring
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Author : Lucie Deschênes
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1993
Futures Research Long Range Planning And Technology Monitoring written by Lucie Deschênes and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1993 with Technological forecasting categories.
Methods In Futures Studies
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Author : Brita Schwarz
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2019-03-04
Methods In Futures Studies written by Brita Schwarz and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-03-04 with Social Science categories.
This book presents three examples of futures research that illustrate the problems of applying knowledge during the course of a futures research project, the ways in which different methodologies interact, and various means of combining and adapting methodological tools and techniques.
Futures Research Long Range Planning And Technology Monitoring
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Author : Lucie Deschênes
language : en
Publisher: Laval, Quebec : Centre for Information Technologies Innovation
Release Date : 1993
Futures Research Long Range Planning And Technology Monitoring written by Lucie Deschênes and has been published by Laval, Quebec : Centre for Information Technologies Innovation this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1993 with Business forecasting categories.
The Study Of The Future
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1977
The Study Of The Future written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1977 with Forecasting categories.
State Futures Commissions
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Author : Keon S. Chi
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1983
State Futures Commissions written by Keon S. Chi and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1983 with Political Science categories.
Looking Forward
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Author : Olaf Helmer-Hirschberg
language : en
Publisher: SAGE Publications, Incorporated
Release Date : 1983-08
Looking Forward written by Olaf Helmer-Hirschberg and has been published by SAGE Publications, Incorporated this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1983-08 with Philosophy categories.
A review of the concepts and methods of futures research, and what they tell us about the possible futures of urgent social problems. The author is best known for his development of the Delphi forecasting procedure, of cross-impact analysis, and of many other predictive techniques now used by business and government. This collection of his key essays amounts to a history of the field, showing us key events in its conceptual and methodological development. The growth of decision oriented prediction out of operations research, its relation to systems analysis, the introduction of specific techniques such as Delphi and cross-impact analysis, technology assessment, and game theory are all discussed. A series of applications of futures research follows, providing fascinating and persuasive predictions on the future of computerization, space travel, biomedicine, urban change, population trends, military technology, education, international relations, and development. The author closes with a consideration of the future of futures research.
Shaping The Next One Hundred Years
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Author : Robert J. Lempert
language : en
Publisher: Rand Corporation
Release Date : 2003-07-18
Shaping The Next One Hundred Years written by Robert J. Lempert and has been published by Rand Corporation this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003-07-18 with Transportation categories.
A sophisticated reader ought to view with great skepticism the prospect of answering questions about the long-term future. The checkered history of predicting the future-from the famous declarations that humans would never fly to the Limits to Growth study to claims about the "New Economy"-has dissuaded policymakers from considering the effects of their decisions more than a few months or years ahead. However, today's choices will significantly influence the course of the twenty-first century. New analytic methods, enabled by modern computers, may transform our ability to reason systematically about the long term. This report reviews traditional methods of grappling with the morrow, from narratives to scenario analysis, which fail to address the multiplicity of plausible long-term futures. The authors demonstrate a quantitative approach to long-term policy analysis (LTPA). Robust decision methods enable decisionmakers to examine a vast range of plausible futures and design near-term, often adaptive, strategies to be robust across them. Reframing the question "What will the long-term future bring?" as "How can we choose actions today that will be consistent with our long-term interests?" these methods provide powerful analytic support to humans' innate capacity for "what-if-ing." Choosing the challenge of sustainable development as an example, the authors discuss how these methods may be applied to real-world LTPA and a wide range of other challenges of decisionmaking under conditions of deep uncertainty.
The Futures Directory
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1977
The Futures Directory written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1977 with Social Science categories.
Environmental Futures Research
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Author : United States Department of Agriculture
language : en
Publisher: CreateSpace
Release Date : 2015-01-02
Environmental Futures Research written by United States Department of Agriculture and has been published by CreateSpace this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-01-02 with categories.
These papers, presented in a special session at the International Symposium on Society and Resource Management in June 2011, explore the transdisciplinary fi eld of futures research and its application to long-range environmental analysis, planning, and policy. Futures research began in the post-World War II era and has emerged as a mature research fi eld. Although the future of complex social-ecological systems cannot be predicted, these papers show how futures research can offer perspectives and methods that help researchers, decisionmakers, and other stakeholders explore alternative futures and gain environmental foresight-insight that can inform decisionmaking on environmental challenges. One author points out that the study of the future can be thought of as the study of change. He discusses three types of futures: the expected future, a range of plausible alternatives, and the preferred future, which decisionmakers can shape depending on their choice of action. An example of the methodology of futures research is provided in another chapter, which illustrates the use of scenario development. Another chapter identifi es global trends that could dramatically change social-ecological systems.