Macroeconomic Modelling In A Changing World


Macroeconomic Modelling In A Changing World
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Macroeconomic Modelling In A Changing World


Macroeconomic Modelling In A Changing World
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Author : Christopher Allen
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1997-02-12

Macroeconomic Modelling In A Changing World written by Christopher Allen and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1997-02-12 with Business & Economics categories.


Macroeconomic Modelling in a Changing World Towards a Common Approach Edited by Chris Allen and Stephen Hall Practical economic model building has changed enormously over the last twenty years. Econometrics has become much more sophisticated with the introduction of cointegration and non-stationary time series analysis. The use of economic theory in the form of complex non-linear cross equation restrictions is now much more widespread and the explicit modelling of expectations and credibility effects is more satisfactory. This has meant that the old style macroeconomic models which were complex by virtue of their size alone have been replaced by a generation of new models which embody complex theory and estimation to provide more superior forecasting and policy tools. Macroeconomic Modelling in a Changing World outlines the modelling approach which has been adopted at the Centre for Economic Forecasting at the London Business School, one of the world’s leading research institutes into macroeconomic modelling, in building its own models. Using explicit examples and illustrations, the authors examine the latest state-of-the-art models, and answer questions such as: How are modern econometrics used by model builders? How should we deal with structural change? How should expectations be modelled? How are models used in practice? Economics



The Econometrics Of Macroeconomic Modelling


The Econometrics Of Macroeconomic Modelling
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Author : Gunnar Bårdsen
language : en
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
Release Date : 2005

The Econometrics Of Macroeconomic Modelling written by Gunnar Bårdsen and has been published by Oxford University Press, USA this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with Business & Economics categories.


This work describes how the discipline has adapted to changing demands by adopting new insights from economic theory and by taking advantage of the methodological and conceptual advances within time series econometrics.



International Macroeconomic Modelling For Policy Decisions


International Macroeconomic Modelling For Policy Decisions
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Author : P. Artus
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06

International Macroeconomic Modelling For Policy Decisions written by P. Artus and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Business & Economics categories.


This book is based on an international conference organised by the Applied Econo metric Association (AEA) on International Macroeconomic Modelling which was held in Brussels at the Commission of the European Communities in December 1983. On behalf of the Applied Econometric Association, we would like to extend our thanks to all participants and contributors. This conference would not have been possible without the cooperation and support of the Commission of the European Economic Communities and of its Directorate General for Economics and Financial Affairs (DGII) staff, in particular M. Emerson, A. Dramais, and also H. Serbat of the Paris Chamber of Commerce and Industry. Our thanks go also to J.P. Ancot for his constructive comments concerning the structure of this book. We are grateful to M. Russo, R. Maldague and Y. Ullmo for opening the con ference with their stimulating review and comments on the use of international macroeconomic models; and to R. Bird, A.M. Costa, A. Crockett, H. Guitton, J.C. Milleron, J. Paelinck, J. Waelbroeck for chairing the scientific sessions. P. Artus F. Gagey O. Guvenen vi INTRODUCTION The main focus of this book is to present recent developments in the construction and use of international macroeconometric models. Four main aspects are selected: (i) analysis of trade linkages and exchange rate determination; (ii) modelling and simulating the international economy; (iii) international policy coordination; (iv) the use of international macroeconomic models.



Global And National Macroeconometric Modelling


Global And National Macroeconometric Modelling
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Author : Anthony Garratt
language : en
Publisher: OUP Oxford
Release Date : 2006-08-03

Global And National Macroeconometric Modelling written by Anthony Garratt and has been published by OUP Oxford this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-08-03 with Business & Economics categories.


This book provides a comprehensive description of the state-of-the-art in modelling global and national economies. It introduces the long-run structural approach to modelling that can be readily adopted for use in understanding how economies work, and in generating forecasts for decision- and policy-makers. The book contains a thorough description of recent developments in macroeconomics and econometrics, which should be of interest to advanced students and researchers, but is also written to be accessible and helpful to practitioners in government and the private sector. The long-run structural approach is illustrated with various global and national examples, including a step-by-step description of the development and use of a model of the UK economy. Throughout, the book emphasises the use of macroeconometric modelling in the real world and is written in a way that ensures the techniques illustrated can be replicated or applied in new contexts. The transparency and pragmatism of the modelling approach used within this book will be attractive to practitioners who need manageable and interpretable models to answer specific questions.



Challenges For Macroeconomic Modelling


Challenges For Macroeconomic Modelling
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Author : W. Driehuis
language : en
Publisher: Elsevier
Release Date : 2014-06-28

Challenges For Macroeconomic Modelling written by W. Driehuis and has been published by Elsevier this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-06-28 with Business & Economics categories.


This book collects the revised and edited proceedings of the conference held in honour of the 50th anniversary of Professor Tinbergen's first macroeconomic policy model. Written by experts both in the field of model building and policy analysis, the contributions provide an invaluable overview of the state of the art and the use of macroeconomic models in our time.



Macroeconomic Modelling Of R D And Innovation Policies


Macroeconomic Modelling Of R D And Innovation Policies
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Author : Ufuk Akcigit
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2021-11-03

Macroeconomic Modelling Of R D And Innovation Policies written by Ufuk Akcigit and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-11-03 with Business & Economics categories.


This open access book encompasses a collection of in-depth analyses showcasing the challenges and ways forward for macroeconomic modelling of R&D and innovation policies. Based upon the proceedings of the EC-DG JRC-IEA workshop held in Brussels in 2017, it presents cutting-edge contributions from a number of leading economists in the field. It provides a comprehensive overview of the current academic and policy challenges surrounding R&D as well as of the state-of-the-art modelling techniques. The book brings to the forefront outstanding issues related to the assessment of the macroeconomic impact of R&D policies and its modelling. It speaks to the rising importance of R&D and innovation policy, and the proliferation of macroeconomic models featuring endogenous technological change. The contents of this book will be of interest to both academic and policy audiences working in the fields of R&D and innovation.



Macroeconomic Modelling Of The Long Run


Macroeconomic Modelling Of The Long Run
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Author : Colin P. Hargreaves
language : en
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Release Date : 1992

Macroeconomic Modelling Of The Long Run written by Colin P. Hargreaves and has been published by Edward Elgar Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1992 with Business & Economics categories.


This important book presents new original material on the economic modelling of the long run by some of the world's leading economists. There is great interest now in modelling the 'long run' occasioned by substantial changes to the supply side of the world economy (the break up of the USSR, Europe 1992, the Gulf War) and also fears over the sustainability of external debt positions. New techniques have arisen to address these issues, in particular supply side modelling and the new co-integration methodology for statistical analysis of the long run. In addition to explaining the theoretical developments, this book presents many practical applications showing the value of the new techniques. This book will be essential reading for economic researchers and advanced students of macroeconomics.



The Econometrics Of Macroeconomic Modelling


The Econometrics Of Macroeconomic Modelling
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Author : Gunnar Bårdsen
language : en
Publisher: OUP Oxford
Release Date : 2005-04-14

The Econometrics Of Macroeconomic Modelling written by Gunnar Bårdsen and has been published by OUP Oxford this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-04-14 with Business & Economics categories.


Macroeconometric models, in many ways the flagships of the economist's profession in the 1960s, came under increasing attack from both theoretical economist and practitioners in the late 1970s. Critics referred to their lack of microeconomic theoretical foundations, ad hoc models of expectations, lack of identification, neglect of dynamics and non-stationarity, and poor forecasting properties. By the start of the 1990s, the status of macroeconometric models had declined markedly, and had fallen completely out of, and with, academic economics. Nevertheless, unlike the dinosaurs to which they often have been likened, macroeconometric models have never completely disappeared from the scene. This book describes how and why the discipline of macroeconometric modelling continues to play a role for economic policymaking by adapting to changing demands, in response, for instance, to new policy regimes like inflation targeting. Model builders have adopted new insights from economic theory and taken advantage of the methodological and conceptual advances within time series econometrics over the last twenty years. The modelling of wages and prices takes a central part in the book as the authors interpret and evaluate the last forty years of international research experience in the light of the Norwegian 'main course' model of inflation in a small open economy. The preferred model is a dynamic model of incomplete competition, which is evaluated against alternatives as diverse as the Phillips curve, Nickell-Layard wage curves, the New Keynesian Phillips curve, and monetary inflation models on data from the Euro area, the UK, and Norway. The wage price core model is built into a small econometric model for Norway to analyse the transmission mechanism and to evaluate monetary policy rules. The final chapter explores the main sources of forecast failure likely to occur in a practical modelling situation, using the large-scale nodel RIMINI and the inflation models of earlier chapters as case studies.



Macroeconomic Modelling And Monetary And Exchange Rate Regimes


Macroeconomic Modelling And Monetary And Exchange Rate Regimes
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Author : Masson Paul R
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2019-07-23

Macroeconomic Modelling And Monetary And Exchange Rate Regimes written by Masson Paul R and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-07-23 with Business & Economics categories.


This book presents articles that focus on the inter-related issues of choice of exchange rate and monetary policy regimes, and others that use a global macroeconomic model developed by the author and collaborators to quantify the effects of the 'baby boom' on global imbalances, costs of disinflation, and the effects of German unification. The book presents new analysis of the euro-zone experience and its applicability to other monetary unions, as well as a discussion of the prerequisites for successful inflation targeting. It is grounded in real-world data, readily accessible to non-specialists, and addresses important economic policy issues.



Developments In Macro Finance Yield Curve Modelling


Developments In Macro Finance Yield Curve Modelling
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Author : Jagjit S. Chadha
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2014-02-06

Developments In Macro Finance Yield Curve Modelling written by Jagjit S. Chadha and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-02-06 with Business & Economics categories.


Changes in the shape of the yield curve have traditionally been one of the key macroeconomic indicators of a likely change in economic outlook. However, the recent financial crises have created a challenge to the management of monetary policy, demanding a revision in the way that policymakers model expected changes in the economy. This volume brings together central bank economists and leading academic monetary economists to propose new methods for modelling the behaviour of interest rates. Topics covered include: the analysis and extraction of expectations of future monetary policy and inflation; the analysis of the short-term dynamics of money market interest rates; the reliability of existing models in periods of extreme market volatility and how to adjust them accordingly; and the role of government debt and deficits in affecting sovereign bond yields and spreads. This book will interest financial researchers and practitioners as well as academic and central bank economists.