Macroeconomic Scenario Building For Strategic National Defense Planning
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Macroeconomic Scenario Building For Strategic National Defense Planning
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Author : Gerald McMurray
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2001-12
Macroeconomic Scenario Building For Strategic National Defense Planning written by Gerald McMurray and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2001-12 with Military planning categories.
A variety of uncertainties make defense planning a difficult task even under the best of circumstances. The more varied threat environment in the post-Cold War era, the high price of replacing aging weapon systems and other uncertainties make contemporary planning even more problematic. There is a clear need for more and better tools to address the uncertain variables in the planning equation. This study explores such tools, It deals explicitly with two levels of uncertainty. The first level is captured with the method of scenarios (from Peter Schwartz). The second level is the 'usual' variability of economic affairs within each scenario. This second level is captured using standard econometric and simulation methods. The benefit of this approach is mainly insights for planners - primarily into the sources of uncertainty and their effects (as opposed to point estimates). The People's Republic of China (2001- 2021) is offered as an illustrative exercise. Within that case, we address uncertainty among three scenarios for China's economic future, as well as sources of variance within those scenarios.
Strategic Foresight At The International Monetary Fund
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Author : Mr. Alberto Behar
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2021-12-22
Strategic Foresight At The International Monetary Fund written by Mr. Alberto Behar and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-12-22 with Business & Economics categories.
This note explains the value of strategic foresight and provides implementation advice based on the IMF’s experience with scenario planning and policy gaming. Section II provides an overview of strategic foresight and some of its tools. Scenario planning and policy gaming have been the Fund’s main foresight techniques so far, though other tools have been complementary. Accordingly, section III focuses on the scenario planning by illustrating applications before detailing the methods we have been using, while section IV describes policy gaming including the matrix policy gaming approach with which we have experimented so far. Section V summarizes the key points. In so doing, the note extends an invitation to those in the economics and finance fields (e.g., researchers, policymakers) to incorporate strategic foresight in their analysis and decision making.
China S Grand Strategy
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Author : Andrew Scobell
language : en
Publisher: Rand Corporation
Release Date : 2020-07-27
China S Grand Strategy written by Andrew Scobell and has been published by Rand Corporation this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-07-27 with History categories.
To explore what extended competition between the United States and China might entail out to 2050, the authors of this report identified and characterized China’s grand strategy, analyzed its component national strategies (diplomacy, economics, science and technology, and military affairs), and assessed how successful China might be at implementing these over the next three decades.
Scenario Planning Revised And Updated
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Author : Mats Lindgren
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2009-03-31
Scenario Planning Revised And Updated written by Mats Lindgren and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-03-31 with Business & Economics categories.
Recent research in the field of business strategy has shown that strategic flexibility can be achieved through a scenario planning perspective for long-term competition and performance. The authors have drawn upon examples and case studies to develop a new model for scenario planning that is closely integrated with strategy and innovation.
Economic Security Neglected Dimension Of National Security
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Author : National Defense University (U S )
language : en
Publisher: Government Printing Office
Release Date : 2011-12-27
Economic Security Neglected Dimension Of National Security written by National Defense University (U S ) and has been published by Government Printing Office this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-12-27 with Business & Economics categories.
On August 24-25, 2010, the National Defense University held a conference titled “Economic Security: Neglected Dimension of National Security?” to explore the economic element of national power. This special collection of selected papers from the conference represents the view of several keynote speakers and participants in six panel discussions. It explores the complexity surrounding this subject and examines the major elements that, interacting as a system, define the economic component of national security.
Scenario Planning
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Author : M. Lindgren
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2002-12-04
Scenario Planning written by M. Lindgren and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2002-12-04 with Business & Economics categories.
Recent research in the field of business strategy has shown that strategic flexibility can be achieved through a scenario planning perspective for long term competition and performance. The authors have drawn upon examples and cases to develop a new model for scenario planning that is closely integrated with strategy. They argue that the concept of scenario planning is as much an art as a practical management tool.
Scenario Based Strategic Planning
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Author : Burkhard Schwenker
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-12-05
Scenario Based Strategic Planning written by Burkhard Schwenker and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-12-05 with Business & Economics categories.
In a world characterized by increasing complexity and volatility, managers must be able to flexibly adapt their strategies to changing environmental conditions. Traditional strategic management frameworks often fail in this context. Therefore, we present "scenario-based strategic planning" as a framework for strategic management in an uncertain world. Previous approaches to scenario planning were complex and focused on the long term, but the approach developed by Roland Berger and the Center for Strategy and Scenario Planning at HHL Leipzig Graduate School of Management is different. By designing appropriate tools and integrating scenario planning into strategic planning, we have made our approach less complex and easier for firms to apply. We illustrate the approach with examples from different industries.
Creating Futures
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Author : Michel Godet
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2006
Creating Futures written by Michel Godet and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with categories.
Sustainable Development Concepts Rationalities And Strategies
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Author : Sylvie Faucheux
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-03-14
Sustainable Development Concepts Rationalities And Strategies written by Sylvie Faucheux and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-03-14 with Business & Economics categories.
3 decision support techniques that do not depend exclusively on market incentives and monetary valuation. The World Conservation Strategy published by the mCN (1980) recognised the full dimensions of these problems, and introduced the concept of sustainable development, placing the emphasis on the exploitation of natural systems and the use of biological natural resources within limits so that the availability of these resources for use by future generations would not be jeopardised by the current use of them. At this time, the imposition of quotas and the definition of critical loads and environmental standards were suggested as the sorts of instruments necessary to cope with the problems of limited availability of environmental resources. Although the mCN publication did not obtain a high international profile, the idea of policy norms to respect critical loads has become quite widely accepted in the environmental policymaking of Western countries. This has often put the policy agencies in difficult situations. Polluting industries are inclined to argue that the critical loads are defined too restrictively. The complexity and time lags of ecological effects makes it hard to say exactly what constitutes a critical load beyond which there will be irreversible damage, and lobbying interests can play on these uncertainties to try and weaken the environmental standards. In addition, polluting industries can use the argument of negative impacts on "the economy" (particularly as regards employment and export prospects) to blackmail governments, regulatory agencies and the general public.
Ecosystem Services For Well Being In Deltas
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Author : Robert J. Nicholls
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2018-05-29
Ecosystem Services For Well Being In Deltas written by Robert J. Nicholls and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-05-29 with Science categories.
This book answers key questions about environment, people and their shared future in deltas. It develops a systematic and holistic approach for policy-orientated analysis for the future of these regions. It does so by focusing on ecosystem services in the world’s largest, most populous and most iconic delta region, that of the Ganges-Brahmaputra delta in Bangladesh. The book covers the conceptual basis, research approaches and challenges, while also providing a methodology for integration across multiple disciplines, offering a potential prototype for assessments of deltas worldwide. Ecosystem Services for Well-Being in Deltas analyses changing ecosystem services in deltas; the health and well-being of people reliant on them; the continued central role of agriculture and fishing; and the implications of aquaculture in such environments.The analysis is brought together in an integrated and accessible way to examine the future of the Ganges Brahmaputra delta based on a near decade of research by a team of the world’s leading scientists on deltas and their human and environmental dimensions. This book is essential reading for students and academics within the fields of Environmental Geography, Sustainable Development and Environmental Policy focused on solving the world’s most critical challenges of balancing humans with their environments. This book is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.