Making Decisions In The Face Of Uncertainty Understanding Risk

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Environmental Decisions In The Face Of Uncertainty

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Author : Institute of Medicine
language : en
Publisher: National Academies Press
Release Date : 2013-06-20

Environmental Decisions In The Face Of Uncertainty written by Institute of Medicine and has been published by National Academies Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-06-20 with Political Science categories.

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is one of several federal agencies responsible for protecting Americans against significant risks to human health and the environment. As part of that mission, EPA estimates the nature, magnitude, and likelihood of risks to human health and the environment; identifies the potential regulatory actions that will mitigate those risks and protect public health1 and the environment; and uses that information to decide on appropriate regulatory action. Uncertainties, both qualitative and quantitative, in the data and analyses on which these decisions are based enter into the process at each step. As a result, the informed identification and use of the uncertainties inherent in the process is an essential feature of environmental decision making. EPA requested that the Institute of Medicine (IOM) convene a committee to provide guidance to its decision makers and their partners in states and localities on approaches to managing risk in different contexts when uncertainty is present. It also sought guidance on how information on uncertainty should be presented to help risk managers make sound decisions and to increase transparency in its communications with the public about those decisions. Given that its charge is not limited to human health risk assessment and includes broad questions about managing risks and decision making, in this report the committee examines the analysis of uncertainty in those other areas in addition to human health risks. Environmental Decisions in the Face of Uncertainty explains the statement of task and summarizes the findings of the committee.

The Art Of Making Decisions Under Uncertainty

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Author : Charles Yoe
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2025-09-04

The Art Of Making Decisions Under Uncertainty written by Charles Yoe and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2025-09-04 with Technology & Engineering categories.

Uncertainty is a part of every decision we make, from the everyday to the high-stakes, from personal choices to professional strategy. The Art of Making Decisions Under Uncertainty offers a clear, practical approach to dealing with the unknown without getting stuck or overwhelmed. Rather than treating uncertainty as a barrier, this book invites readers to see it as a constant companion—something to work with, not work against. Drawing on proven tools, real-world examples, and a wealth of practical insight, it shows how to make thoughtful, informed decisions even when information is incomplete, priorities are competing, and the path forward feels anything but clear. This is not a theory-heavy treatise. It’s a textbook guide for real people facing real decisions. Grounded in decision science but written for a broad audience, it bridges the gap between technical complexity and everyday practicality. Whether you’re leading a team, managing risk, shaping policy, or simply trying to make better personal choices, this book meets you where you are—with tools that work, language that makes sense, and encouragement to move forward with clarity and confidence. Inside you’ll find: Straightforward frameworks to help you recognize and manage different types of uncertainty Practical tools and techniques you can use right away to make sound decisions in fast-moving or high-pressure situations Case studies and examples that bring the concepts to life and show how they apply in work, leadership, and daily life Fresh perspectives on failure, bias, and risk, helping you not only avoid common pitfalls but turn setbacks into sources of insight If you’ve ever hesitated at a crossroads, second-guessed a big decision, or wished for more clarity in a world that rarely offers it, this book is for you. The Art of Making Decisions Under Uncertainty is your companion in making better choices when certainty is out of reach but a good decision is still within your grasp.

Making Decisions In The Face Of Uncertainty Understanding Risk

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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2016

Making Decisions In The Face Of Uncertainty Understanding Risk written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016 with Risk categories.

Decide Well Tools For Effective Decision Making

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Author : Amol Kindre
language : en
Publisher: Amol kindre
Release Date : 2023-12-19

Decide Well Tools For Effective Decision Making written by Amol Kindre and has been published by Amol kindre this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-12-19 with Education categories.

In the intricate tapestry of life, decisions are the threads that weave our unique stories. But making choices can be a daunting task, requiring a blend of insight, analysis, and clarity. "Decisive Tools: Navigating Choices with Confidence" is your indispensable guide to mastering the art of effective decision-making. This eBook is your passport to a world of tools and techniques designed to demystify decision-making. Whether you're facing dilemmas in your personal life, steering through the complexities of business choices, or seeking strategies for optimal problem-solving, this guide equips you with a diverse set of tools that transform decisions from challenges into opportunities.

The Sage Handbook Of Decision Making Assessment And Risk In Social Work

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Author : Brian J. Taylor
language : en
Publisher: SAGE Publications Limited
Release Date : 2023-08-16

The Sage Handbook Of Decision Making Assessment And Risk In Social Work written by Brian J. Taylor and has been published by SAGE Publications Limited this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-08-16 with Social Science categories.

The SAGE Handbook on Decision Making, Assessment and Risk in Social Work provides a comprehensive overview of key strands of research and theoretical concepts in this increasingly important field. With 49 chapters and four section summaries, this Handbook describes the ‘state of the art’; discuss key debates and issues; and gives pointers on future directions for practice, research, teaching, management of services, and development of theoretical understandings. A key aim of this Handbook is to support the development of sound, applied knowledge and values to underpin reasoned professional judgement and decision making by social workers in practice and those in management and regulatory roles. With contributions from a global interdisciplinary body of leading and emerging scholars from a wide variety of roles, this handbook has been designed to be internationally generalisable and applicable to all major areas of social work. This Handbook provides a field-defining account of decision making, assessment and risk in social work which is unrivalled for its diversity and strength of coverage, and will be of value to social work researchers, teachers and practitioners, as well as to those in allied fields such as health care. Section 1: Professional Judgement Section 2: Assessment, Risk and Decision Processes Section 3: Assessment Tools and Approaches Section 4: Developing and Managing Practice Section 5: Concluding Section / Afterword

Real World Decision Making Navigating Today S Complex Choices

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Author : Pasquale De Marco
language : en
Publisher: Pasquale De Marco
Release Date : 2025-03-15

Real World Decision Making Navigating Today S Complex Choices written by Pasquale De Marco and has been published by Pasquale De Marco this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2025-03-15 with Psychology categories.

In a world awash with information and choices, effective decision-making has become an indispensable life skill. "Real-World Decision-Making: Navigating Today's Complex Choices" serves as your comprehensive guide to mastering this art, empowering you to make informed, strategic, and values-driven decisions in all aspects of your life. This book delves into the intricate workings of the human mind, exploring the psychology behind our decision-making processes. You'll gain insights into cognitive biases, intuition, and the role of emotions in shaping your choices. With this knowledge, you'll learn to recognize and overcome common decision-making traps, making more rational and deliberate choices. Beyond individual decision-making, this guide addresses the complexities of decision-making in various life domains. From personal finance and career choices to healthcare and relationships, you'll find practical strategies and techniques tailored to each context. Whether you're navigating a major life transition or facing everyday challenges, this book provides invaluable guidance to help you make wise and fulfilling decisions. In today's interconnected world, decision-making often extends beyond personal choices. This book explores the dynamics of decision-making in organizations, examining how leaders and teams make strategic choices that shape the direction of businesses and institutions. You'll learn how to navigate complex organizational structures, manage risk and uncertainty, and foster a culture of innovation and collaboration. Furthermore, this guide recognizes the impact of technology on decision-making. It delves into the ethical implications of algorithmic decision-making, the role of big data in shaping our choices, and the challenges and opportunities of decision-making in a digital age. You'll gain a deeper understanding of the interplay between technology and decision-making, enabling you to harness its potential responsibly. Finally, this book acknowledges the diverse social and cultural contexts in which decision-making occurs. It explores the influence of cultural norms, gender, and identity on our decision-making processes, promoting inclusivity and equity in decision-making. By appreciating and navigating these diverse perspectives, you'll become a more effective decision-maker in a globalized world. Throughout its pages, "Real-World Decision-Making" offers a wealth of real-world examples, case studies, and expert insights to illustrate the practical application of decision-making principles. Join us on this enlightening journey to unlock the secrets of effective decision-making, and equip yourself with the skills and knowledge to make choices that lead to personal fulfillment, organizational success, and a better world. If you like this book, write a review!

Ingenious

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Author : Peter Gluckman
language : en
Publisher: Harvard University Press
Release Date : 2019-10-15

Ingenious written by Peter Gluckman and has been published by Harvard University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-10-15 with Science categories.

As humans evolved, we developed technologies to modify our environment, yet these innovations are increasingly affecting our behavior, biology, and society. Now we must figure out how to function in the world we’ve created. Over thousands of years, humans have invented ingenious ways to gain mastery over our environment. The ability to communicate, accumulate knowledge collectively, and build on previous innovations has enabled us to change nature. Innovation has allowed us to thrive. The trouble with innovation is that we can seldom go back and undo it. We invent, embrace, and exploit new technologies to modify our environment. Then we modify those technologies to cope with the resulting impacts. Gluckman and Hanson explore what happens when we innovate in a way that leads nature to bite back. To provide nourishment for a growing population, humans developed methods to process and preserve food; but easy access to these energy-dense foods results in obesity. To protect ourselves from dangerous pathogens we embraced cleanliness and invented antibiotics, which has led to rising rates of autoimmune diseases and antibiotic-resistant bacteria. More recently, our growing dependence on the internet and social media has been linked to mental health concerns and declining social cohesion. And we are only at the beginning of the digital transformation that will influence every part of our existence. Our ingenuity has not only changed our world—it has changed us. Focusing on immediate benefits, we rarely pause to consider the longer-term costs of innovation. Yet we are now starting to see how our choices affect the way our brains develop and our bodies function. The implications are profound. Ingenious opens our eyes to the dangers we face and offers solutions we cannot ignore.

The Science Of Communicating Science

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Author : Craig Cormick
language : en
Publisher: CSIRO PUBLISHING
Release Date : 2019-11-01

The Science Of Communicating Science written by Craig Cormick and has been published by CSIRO PUBLISHING this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-11-01 with Science categories.

Are you wishing you knew how to better communicate science, without having to read several hundred academic papers and books on the topic? Luckily Dr Craig Cormick has done this for you! This highly readable and entertaining book distils best practice research on science communication into accessible chapters, supported by case studies and examples. With practical advice on everything from messages and metaphors to metrics and ethics, you will learn what the public think about science and why, and how to shape scientific research into a story that will influence beliefs, behaviours and policies.

Social Work And Sustainability In Asia

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Author : Alice M. L. Chong
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2019-01-22

Social Work And Sustainability In Asia written by Alice M. L. Chong and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-01-22 with Social Science categories.

The rapid trend of globalization has brought with it a variety of sustainability challenges, including global climate change, biodiversity loss, poverty, and social inequalities, which are problems with unclear boundaries, complicated interrelated components, undefined parameters, contradictory values, and no single solution. Social work has a long-standing tradition of emphasizing the interaction of people and their environment. For this reason, the field of social work is one of the best-placed academic disciplines for studying the impact of environmental change on social systems, and should play an important role in developing strategies for mitigating and adapting to these environmental challenges. However, traditional social work tends to lack sustaining work and neglect globally interconnected social problems. Combining case studies and country reports from around Asia with a theoretical framework for understanding sustainability concerns, this book aims to show how social work can play a valuable role in mitigating and adapting to environmental challenges and social sustainability. For social work to develop a meaningful and viable profession that addresses contemporary sustainability issues, it requires changes and transformation in paradigm, theories, strategies, social policy and social services that will facilitate a sustainable future for all mankind.

Structured Decision Making

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Author : David R. Smith
language : en
Publisher: Johns Hopkins University Press
Release Date : 2020-05-12

Structured Decision Making written by David R. Smith and has been published by Johns Hopkins University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-05-12 with Science categories.

Provides and analyzes real examples of how structured decision making (SDM) can help solve complex problems involving natural resources. When faced with complicated, potentially controversial decisions that affect our environment, many resource management agencies have come to realize the value of structured decision making (SDM)—the systematic use of principles and tools of decision analysis. Few professionals, however, have extensive experience implementing SDM. Structured Decision Making provides key information to both current adopters of the method and those who are deploying it for the first time by demonstrating the formal use of decision analysis to support difficult, real-world natural resource management decisions. Drawing on case studies from multiple public agencies in the United States, Canada, Australia, and Mauritius, the editors present an overview of decision analysis, a classification of decision types, and a catalog of decision analysis methods. Dozens of detailed charts and maps help contextualize the material. These case studies examine a rich variety of topics, including • keeping forest birds free from disease • conserving imperiled freshwater mussels • managing water for oil sands mining • dealing with coastal wetlands in the face of sea-level rise • designing networks for prairie-dependent taxa • combatting invasive alpine shrubs • managing vernal pool habitats for obligate amphibian species • and much more Aimed at decision makers tackling natural resource challenges in government agencies around the world, as well as advanced undergraduate and graduate students preparing to work in natural resource management, Structured Decision Making shows how SDM can be implemented to achieve optimal outcomes that integrate social values and scientific understanding. Contributors: Taber D. Allison, Larissa L. Bailey, Ellen A. Bean, Clint W. Boal, Gregory Breese, Stefano Canessa, Jean Fitts Cochrane, Sarah J. Converse, Cami S. Dixon, John G. Ewen, Christelle Ferrière, Jill J. Gannon, Beth Gardner, Adam W. Green, Justin A. Gude, Victoria M. Hunt, Kevin S. Kalasz, Melinda G. Knutson, Jim Kraus, Graham Long, Eric V. Lonsdorf, James E. Lyons, Conor P. McGowan, Sarah E. McRae, Michael S. Mitchell, Clinton T. Moore, Joslin L. Moore, Steven Morey, Dan W. Ohlson, Charlie Pascoe, Andrew Paul, Eben H. Paxton, Lori B. Pruitt, Michael C. Runge, Sarah N. Sells, Terry L. Shaffer, Stephanie Slade, David R. Smith, Jennifer A. Szymanski, Terry Walshe, Nicolas Zuël