Manipulation And Mis Trust In Prediction Markets

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Manipulation And Mis Trust In Prediction Markets

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Author : Lawrence Choo
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2019

Manipulation And Mis Trust In Prediction Markets written by Lawrence Choo and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019 with categories.

Markets are increasingly used as information aggregation mechanisms to predict future events. If policy makers make use markets, parties may attempt to manipulate the market in order to influence decisions. We experimentally find that policymakers could still benefit from following information contained in market prices. Nonetheless, manipulation is detrimental. First, manipulators affect market prices, making them less informative. Second, when there are manipulators, policy makers often ignore - or even act against - the information revealed in market prices. Finally, mere suspicion of manipulation erodes trust in the market, leading to the implementation of suboptimal policies - even without actual manipulation.

Manipulations In Prediction Markets

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Author : Jan Schröder
language : en
Publisher: KIT Scientific Publishing
Release Date : 2009

Manipulations In Prediction Markets written by Jan Schröder and has been published by KIT Scientific Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009 with Business categories.

Fraud and manipulation in prediction markets are systematic results of incentive incompatibility, which, if present, have to be detected and balanced. ""Manipulations in Prediction Markets"" gives a critical insight into manipulations that are most likely to occur in prediction markets. In a general approach the book discusses the issue of incentives in markets and the breakdown of the incentive system. On this basis a new way of detecting irregular trading behaviour is introduced.

Manipulations In Prediction Markets Analysis Of Trading Behaviour Not Conforming With Trading Regulations

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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2009

Manipulations In Prediction Markets Analysis Of Trading Behaviour Not Conforming With Trading Regulations written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009 with categories.

Fraud and manipulation in prediction markets are systematic results of incentive incompatibility, which, if present, have to be detected and balanced. ""Manipulations in Prediction Markets"" gives a critical insight into manipulations that are most likely to occur in prediction markets. In a general approach the book discusses the issue of incentives in markets and the breakdown of the incentive system. On this basis a new way of detecting irregular trading behaviour is introduced.

Affecting Policy By Manipulating Prediction Markets

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Author : Shengle Lin
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2013

Affecting Policy By Manipulating Prediction Markets written by Shengle Lin and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013 with categories.

Documented results indicate prediction markets effectively aggregate information and form accurate predictions. This has led to a proliferation of markets predicting everything from the results of elections to a company's sales to movie box office receipts. Recent research suggests prediction markets are robust to manipulation attacks and resulting market outcomes improve forecast accuracy. However, we present evidence from the lab indicating that single-minded, well-funded manipulators can in fact destroy a prediction market's ability to aggregate informative prices and mislead those who are making forecasts based upon market predictions. However, we find that manipulators primarily influence market trades meaning outstanding bids and asks remain informative.

Trendocracy And Stock Market Manipulations

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Author : Sergey Perminov
language : en
Publisher: Lulu.com
Release Date : 2008

Trendocracy And Stock Market Manipulations written by Sergey Perminov and has been published by Lulu.com this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008 with Business & Economics categories.

The book will help investors to avoid being manipulated and “ride†some trends established by large traders. Analysts, portfolio managers, as well as private investors, will find this book invaluable.

Searching For Trust

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Author : Victoria L. Lemieux
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2022-04-07

Searching For Trust written by Victoria L. Lemieux and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-04-07 with Business & Economics categories.

Offers a unique archival science perspective on the potential and limitations of blockchain as a means of restoring societal trust.

Mistrust Issues

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Author : Garfield Benjamin
language : en
Publisher: Policy Press
Release Date : 2023-09-15

Mistrust Issues written by Garfield Benjamin and has been published by Policy Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-09-15 with Science categories.

C2023-0-02533-2

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Author : Frank Joseph Shulman
language : en
Publisher: Hong Kong University Press
Release Date : 2001-01-01

written by Frank Joseph Shulman and has been published by Hong Kong University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2001-01-01 with Language Arts & Disciplines categories.

A descriptively annotated, multidisciplinary, cross-referenced and extensively indexed guide to 2,395 dissertations that are concerned either in whole or in part with Hong Kong and with Hong Kong Chinese students and emigres throughout the world.

Powering The Digital Economy Opportunities And Risks Of Artificial Intelligence In Finance

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Author : El Bachir Boukherouaa
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2021-10-22

Powering The Digital Economy Opportunities And Risks Of Artificial Intelligence In Finance written by El Bachir Boukherouaa and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-10-22 with Business & Economics categories.

This paper discusses the impact of the rapid adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) in the financial sector. It highlights the benefits these technologies bring in terms of financial deepening and efficiency, while raising concerns about its potential in widening the digital divide between advanced and developing economies. The paper advances the discussion on the impact of this technology by distilling and categorizing the unique risks that it could pose to the integrity and stability of the financial system, policy challenges, and potential regulatory approaches. The evolving nature of this technology and its application in finance means that the full extent of its strengths and weaknesses is yet to be fully understood. Given the risk of unexpected pitfalls, countries will need to strengthen prudential oversight.

Alphanomics

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Author : Charles Lee
language : en
Publisher: Now Publishers
Release Date : 2015-12-16

Alphanomics written by Charles Lee and has been published by Now Publishers this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-12-16 with Business & Economics categories.

Alphanomics: The Informational Underpinnings of Market Efficiency is intended to be a compact introduction to academic research on market efficiency, behavioral finance, and fundamental analysis and is dedicated to the kind of decision-driven and prospectively-focused research that is much needed in a market constantly seeking to become more efficient. The authors refer to this type of research as Alphanomics, the informational economics behind market efficiency. Alpha refers to the abnormal returns, which provide the incentive for some subpopulation of investors to engage in information acquisition and costly arbitrage activities. Nomics refers to the economics of alpha extraction, which encompasses the costs and incentives of informational arbitrage as a sustainable business proposition. Some of the questions that are addressed include: why do we believe markets are efficient?; what problems have this belief engendered?; what factors can impede and/or facilitate market efficiency?; what roles do investor sentiment and costly arbitrage play in determining an equilibrium level of informational efficiency?; what is the essence of value investing?; how is it related to fundamental analysis (the study of historical financial data)?; and how might we distinguish between risk and mispricing based explanations for predictability patterns in returns? The first two sections review the evolution of academic thinking on market efficiency and introduce the noise trader model as a rational alternative. Section 3 surveys the literature on investor sentiment and its role as a source of both risks and returns. Section 4 discusses the role of fundamental analysis in value investing. Section 5 reviews the literature on limits to arbitrage, and section 6 discusses research methodology issues associated with the need to distinguish mispricing from risk.