Manipulations In Prediction Markets

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Manipulations In Prediction Markets

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Author : Jan Schröder
language : en
Publisher: KIT Scientific Publishing
Release Date : 2009

Manipulations In Prediction Markets written by Jan Schröder and has been published by KIT Scientific Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009 with Business categories.

Fraud and manipulation in prediction markets are systematic results of incentive incompatibility, which, if present, have to be detected and balanced. ""Manipulations in Prediction Markets"" gives a critical insight into manipulations that are most likely to occur in prediction markets. In a general approach the book discusses the issue of incentives in markets and the breakdown of the incentive system. On this basis a new way of detecting irregular trading behaviour is introduced.

Manipulations In Prediction Markets Analysis Of Trading Behaviour Not Conforming With Trading Regulations

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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2009

Manipulations In Prediction Markets Analysis Of Trading Behaviour Not Conforming With Trading Regulations written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009 with categories.

Fraud and manipulation in prediction markets are systematic results of incentive incompatibility, which, if present, have to be detected and balanced. ""Manipulations in Prediction Markets"" gives a critical insight into manipulations that are most likely to occur in prediction markets. In a general approach the book discusses the issue of incentives in markets and the breakdown of the incentive system. On this basis a new way of detecting irregular trading behaviour is introduced.

Prediction Markets

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Author : Leighton Vaughan Williams
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2011-06-16

Prediction Markets written by Leighton Vaughan Williams and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-06-16 with Business & Economics categories.

How does one effectively aggregate disparate pieces of information that are spread among many different individuals? In other words, how does one best access the ‘wisdom of the crowd’? Prediction markets, which are essentially speculative markets created for the purpose of aggregating information and making predictions, offer the answer to this question. The effective use of these markets has the potential not only to help forecast future events on a national and international level, but also to assist companies, for example, in providing improved estimates of the potential market size for a new product idea or the launch date of new products and services. The markets have already been used to forecast uncertain outcomes ranging from influenza to the spread of infectious diseases, to the demand for hospital services, to the box office success of movies, climate change, vote shares and election outcomes, to the probability of meeting project deadlines. The insights gained also have many potentially valuable applications for public policy more generally. These markets offer substantial promise as a tool of information aggregation as well as forecasting, whether alone or as a supplement to other mechanisms like opinion surveys, group deliberations, panels of experts and focus groups. Moreover, they can be applied at a macroeconomic and microeconomic level to yield information that is valuable for government and commercial policy-makers and which can be used for a number of social purposes. This volume of original readings, contributed by many of the leading experts in the field, marks a significant addition to the base of knowledge about this fascinating subject area. The book should be of interest to anyone looking at monetary economics, economic forecasting and microeconomics.

Developing An Effective Model For Detecting Trade Based Market Manipulation

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Author : Jose Joy Thoppan
language : en
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
Release Date : 2021-05-05

Developing An Effective Model For Detecting Trade Based Market Manipulation written by Jose Joy Thoppan and has been published by Emerald Group Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-05-05 with Business & Economics categories.

Developing an Effective Model for Detecting Trade-Based Market Manipulation determines an appropriate model to help identify stocks witnessing activities that are indicative of potential manipulation through three separate but related studies.

Ethics And The Future Of Spying

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Author : Jai Galliott
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2016-01-08

Ethics And The Future Of Spying written by Jai Galliott and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-01-08 with Political Science categories.

This volume examines the ethical issues generated by recent developments in intelligence collection and offers a comprehensive analysis of the key legal, moral and social questions thereby raised. Intelligence officers, whether gatherers, analysts or some combination thereof, are operating in a sea of social, political, scientific and technological change. This book examines the new challenges faced by the intelligence community as a result of these changes. It looks not only at how governments employ spies as a tool of state and how the ultimate outcomes are judged by their societies, but also at the mind-set of the spy. In so doing, this volume casts a rare light on an often ignored dimension of spying: the essential role of truth and how it is defined in an intelligence context. This book offers some insights into the workings of the intelligence community and aims to provide the first comprehensive and unifying analysis of the relevant moral, legal and social questions, with a view toward developing policy that may influence real-world decision making. The contributors analyse the ethics of spying across a broad canvas – historical, philosophical, moral and cultural – with chapters covering interrogation and torture, intelligence’s relation to war, remote killing, cyber surveillance, responsibility and governance. In the wake of the phenomena of WikiLeaks and the Edward Snowden revelations, the intelligence community has entered an unprecedented period of broad public scrutiny and scepticism, making this volume a timely contribution. This book will be of much interest to students of ethics, intelligence studies, security studies, foreign policy and IR in general.

Five Open Questions About Prediction Markets

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Author : Justin Wolfers
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2006

Five Open Questions About Prediction Markets written by Justin Wolfers and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with Economic forecasting categories.

Interest in prediction markets has increased in the last decade, driven in part by the hope that these markets will prove to be valuable tools in forecasting, decision-making and risk management -- in both the public and private sectors. This paper outlines five open questions in the literature, and we argue that resolving these questions is crucial to determining whether current optimism about prediction markets will be realized.

Predictocracy

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Author : Michael Abramowicz
language : en
Publisher: Yale University Press
Release Date : 2008-10-01

Predictocracy written by Michael Abramowicz and has been published by Yale University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-10-01 with Business & Economics categories.

Predicting the future is serious business for virtually all public and private institutions, for they must often make important decisions based upon such predictions. This text explores how institutions might improve their predictions and arrive at better decisions by means of prediction markets.

Issues In Specialized Economic Research And Application 2013 Edition

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Author :
language : en
Publisher: ScholarlyEditions
Release Date : 2013-05-01

Issues In Specialized Economic Research And Application 2013 Edition written by and has been published by ScholarlyEditions this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-05-01 with Business & Economics categories.

Issues in Specialized Economic Research and Application: 2013 Edition is a ScholarlyEditions™ book that delivers timely, authoritative, and comprehensive information about Economic Psychology. The editors have built Issues in Specialized Economic Research and Application: 2013 Edition on the vast information databases of ScholarlyNews.™ You can expect the information about Economic Psychology in this book to be deeper than what you can access anywhere else, as well as consistently reliable, authoritative, informed, and relevant. The content of Issues in Specialized Economic Research and Application: 2013 Edition has been produced by the world’s leading scientists, engineers, analysts, research institutions, and companies. All of the content is from peer-reviewed sources, and all of it is written, assembled, and edited by the editors at ScholarlyEditions™ and available exclusively from us. You now have a source you can cite with authority, confidence, and credibility. More information is available at http://www.ScholarlyEditions.com/.

Studies In Intelligence

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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2006

Studies In Intelligence written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with Intelligence service categories.

Icickm2010 Proceedings Of The 7th International Conference On Intellectual Capital Knowledge Management And Organisational Learning

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Author : Eric Tsui
language : en
Publisher: Academic Conferences Limited
Release Date :

Icickm2010 Proceedings Of The 7th International Conference On Intellectual Capital Knowledge Management And Organisational Learning written by Eric Tsui and has been published by Academic Conferences Limited this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on with categories.