Manipulations In Prediction Markets
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Manipulations In Prediction Markets
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Author : Jan Schröder
language : en
Publisher: KIT Scientific Publishing
Release Date : 2009
Manipulations In Prediction Markets written by Jan Schröder and has been published by KIT Scientific Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009 with Business categories.
Fraud and manipulation in prediction markets are systematic results of incentive incompatibility, which, if present, have to be detected and balanced. ""Manipulations in Prediction Markets"" gives a critical insight into manipulations that are most likely to occur in prediction markets. In a general approach the book discusses the issue of incentives in markets and the breakdown of the incentive system. On this basis a new way of detecting irregular trading behaviour is introduced.
Manipulations In Prediction Markets Analysis Of Trading Behaviour Not Conforming With Trading Regulations
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2009
Manipulations In Prediction Markets Analysis Of Trading Behaviour Not Conforming With Trading Regulations written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009 with categories.
Fraud and manipulation in prediction markets are systematic results of incentive incompatibility, which, if present, have to be detected and balanced. ""Manipulations in Prediction Markets"" gives a critical insight into manipulations that are most likely to occur in prediction markets. In a general approach the book discusses the issue of incentives in markets and the breakdown of the incentive system. On this basis a new way of detecting irregular trading behaviour is introduced.
Manipulation And Mis Trust In Prediction Markets
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Author : Lawrence Choo
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2019
Manipulation And Mis Trust In Prediction Markets written by Lawrence Choo and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019 with categories.
Markets are increasingly used as information aggregation mechanisms to predict future events. If policy makers make use markets, parties may attempt to manipulate the market in order to influence decisions. We experimentally find that policymakers could still benefit from following information contained in market prices. Nonetheless, manipulation is detrimental. First, manipulators affect market prices, making them less informative. Second, when there are manipulators, policy makers often ignore - or even act against - the information revealed in market prices. Finally, mere suspicion of manipulation erodes trust in the market, leading to the implementation of suboptimal policies - even without actual manipulation.
Affecting Policy By Manipulating Prediction Markets
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Author : Shengle Lin
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2013
Affecting Policy By Manipulating Prediction Markets written by Shengle Lin and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013 with categories.
Documented results indicate prediction markets effectively aggregate information and form accurate predictions. This has led to a proliferation of markets predicting everything from the results of elections to a company's sales to movie box office receipts. Recent research suggests prediction markets are robust to manipulation attacks and resulting market outcomes improve forecast accuracy. However, we present evidence from the lab indicating that single-minded, well-funded manipulators can in fact destroy a prediction market's ability to aggregate informative prices and mislead those who are making forecasts based upon market predictions. However, we find that manipulators primarily influence market trades meaning outstanding bids and asks remain informative.
Just Run Sweepstakes
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Author : 蘇孟謙
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2017
Just Run Sweepstakes written by 蘇孟謙 and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017 with categories.
Developing An Effective Model For Detecting Trade Based Market Manipulation
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Author : Jose Joy Thoppan
language : en
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
Release Date : 2021-05-05
Developing An Effective Model For Detecting Trade Based Market Manipulation written by Jose Joy Thoppan and has been published by Emerald Group Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-05-05 with Business & Economics categories.
Developing an Effective Model for Detecting Trade-Based Market Manipulation determines an appropriate model to help identify stocks witnessing activities that are indicative of potential manipulation through three separate but related studies.
Trendocracy And Stock Market Manipulations
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Author : Sergey Perminov
language : en
Publisher: Lulu.com
Release Date : 2008
Trendocracy And Stock Market Manipulations written by Sergey Perminov and has been published by Lulu.com this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008 with Business & Economics categories.
The book will help investors to avoid being manipulated and “ride†some trends established by large traders. Analysts, portfolio managers, as well as private investors, will find this book invaluable.
Nonlinear Trend Prediction And Active Investment Strategies In Intertemporal Manipulation And Speculation Markets
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Author : Liqun Xu
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1997
Nonlinear Trend Prediction And Active Investment Strategies In Intertemporal Manipulation And Speculation Markets written by Liqun Xu and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1997 with Investments categories.
Prediction Markets
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Author : Leighton Vaughan Williams
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2011-06-16
Prediction Markets written by Leighton Vaughan Williams and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-06-16 with Business & Economics categories.
How does one effectively aggregate disparate pieces of information that are spread among many different individuals? In other words, how does one best access the ‘wisdom of the crowd’? Prediction markets, which are essentially speculative markets created for the purpose of aggregating information and making predictions, offer the answer to this question. The effective use of these markets has the potential not only to help forecast future events on a national and international level, but also to assist companies, for example, in providing improved estimates of the potential market size for a new product idea or the launch date of new products and services. The markets have already been used to forecast uncertain outcomes ranging from influenza to the spread of infectious diseases, to the demand for hospital services, to the box office success of movies, climate change, vote shares and election outcomes, to the probability of meeting project deadlines. The insights gained also have many potentially valuable applications for public policy more generally. These markets offer substantial promise as a tool of information aggregation as well as forecasting, whether alone or as a supplement to other mechanisms like opinion surveys, group deliberations, panels of experts and focus groups. Moreover, they can be applied at a macroeconomic and microeconomic level to yield information that is valuable for government and commercial policy-makers and which can be used for a number of social purposes. This volume of original readings, contributed by many of the leading experts in the field, marks a significant addition to the base of knowledge about this fascinating subject area. The book should be of interest to anyone looking at monetary economics, economic forecasting and microeconomics.
Accelerating Democracy
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Author : John O. McGinnis
language : en
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Release Date : 2013
Accelerating Democracy written by John O. McGinnis and has been published by Princeton University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013 with Law categories.
Explains how politicians and citizens can use technology to enhance American democracy.