Methods To Analyse Agricultural Commodity Price Volatility
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Methods To Analyse Agricultural Commodity Price Volatility
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Author : Isabelle Piot-Lepetit
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2011-06-10
Methods To Analyse Agricultural Commodity Price Volatility written by Isabelle Piot-Lepetit and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-06-10 with Business & Economics categories.
This book examines the issue of price volatility in agricultural commodities markets and how this phenomenon has evolved in recent years. The factors underlying the price spike of 2007-08 appear to be global and macroeconomic in nature, including the rapid growth in demand by developing countries, the international financial crisis, and exchange rate movements. Some of these factors are new, appearing as influences on price volatility only in the last decade. Although volatility has always been a feature of agricultural commodity markets, the evidence suggests that volatility has increased in certain commodity markets. A growing problem is that agricultural price shocks and volatility disrupt agricultural markets, economic incentives and incomes. With increased globalization and integration of financial and energy markets with agricultural commodity markets, the relationships between markets are expanding and becoming more complex. When a crisis such as a regional drought, food safety scare or a financial crisis hits a particular market, policy-makers often do not know the extent to which it will impact on other markets and affect producer, consumer and trader decisions. Including contributions from experts at the World Bank, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, the USDA, and the European Commission, the research developed throughout the chapters of this book is based on current methodologies that can be used to analyze price volatility and provide directions for understanding this volatility and the development of new agricultural policies. The book highlights the challenges facing policy makers in dealing with the changing nature of agricultural commodities markets, and offers recommendations for anticipating price movements and managing their consequences. It will be a practical guide for both present and future policy-makers in deciding on potential price-stabilizing interventions, and will also serve as a useful resource for researchers and students in agricultural economics.
Food Price Volatility And Its Implications For Food Security And Policy
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Author : Matthias Kalkuhl
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2016-04-12
Food Price Volatility And Its Implications For Food Security And Policy written by Matthias Kalkuhl and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-04-12 with Business & Economics categories.
This book provides fresh insights into concepts, methods and new research findings on the causes of excessive food price volatility. It also discusses the implications for food security and policy responses to mitigate excessive volatility. The approaches applied by the contributors range from on-the-ground surveys, to panel econometrics and innovative high-frequency time series analysis as well as computational economics methods. It offers policy analysts and decision-makers guidance on dealing with extreme volatility.
Agricultural Commodity Markets And Trade
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Author : Alexander Sarris
language : en
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Release Date : 2006-01-27
Agricultural Commodity Markets And Trade written by Alexander Sarris and has been published by Edward Elgar Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-01-27 with Business & Economics categories.
This book argues that the viability of many observed market and non-market interventions in agricultural products worldwide depends considerably on the underlying behaviour of the relevant commodity markets. Many of these policies have had distortive impacts, resulting in much discussion and controversy in the context of the World Trade Organization (WTO) Doha Round of trade negotiations.
Agricultural Markets Instability
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Author : Alberto Garrido
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2016-01-08
Agricultural Markets Instability written by Alberto Garrido and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-01-08 with Business & Economics categories.
Since the financial and food price crises of 2007, market instability has been a topic of major concern to agricultural economists and policy professionals. This volume provides an overview of the key issues surrounding food prices volatility, focusing primarily on drivers, long-term implications of volatility and its impacts on food chains and consumers. The book explores which factors and drivers are volatility-increasing and which others are price level-increasing, and whether these two distinctive effects can be identified and measured. It considers the extent to which increasing instability affects agents in the value chain, as well as the actual impacts on the most vulnerable households in the EU and in selected developing countries. It also analyses which policies are more effective to avert and mitigate the effects of instability. Developed from the work of the European-based ULYSSES project, the book synthesises the most recent literature on the topic and presents the views of practitioners, businesses, NGOs and farmers' organizations. It draws policy responses and recommendations for policy makers at both European and on international levels.
The Economics Of Food Price Volatility
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Author : Jean-Paul Chavas
language : en
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Release Date : 2014-10-14
The Economics Of Food Price Volatility written by Jean-Paul Chavas and has been published by University of Chicago Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-10-14 with Business & Economics categories.
"The conference was organized by the three editors of this book and took place on August 15-16, 2012 in Seattle."--Preface.
Global Uncertainty And The Volatility Of Agricultural Commodities Prices
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Author : B.R. Munier
language : en
Publisher: IOS Press
Release Date : 2012-04-24
Global Uncertainty And The Volatility Of Agricultural Commodities Prices written by B.R. Munier and has been published by IOS Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-04-24 with Business & Economics categories.
The recent global financial crisis exposed the serious limitations of existing economic and financial models. Not only did macro models fail to predict the crisis, they seemed incapable of explaining what was happening to the economy. Policymakers felt abandoned by the conventional tools of the now obsolete Washington consensus and the World Trade Organization’s oversimplified faith in free markets.The traditional models for agricultural commodities have so far failed to take into account the uncertain character of the global agricultural economy and its ferocious consequences in food price volatility, the worst in 300 years, yielding hunger riots throughout the world. This book explores the elements which could help to close this fundamental modeling gap. To what extent should traditional models be questioned regarding agricultural commodities? Are prices on these markets foreseeable? Can their evolution be either predicted or convincingly simulated, and if so, by which methods and models? Presenting contributions from acknowledged experts from several countries and backgrounds – professors at major international universities or researchers within specialized international organizations – the book concentrates on four issues: the role of expectations and capacity of prediction; policy issues related to development strategies and food security; the role of hoarding and speculation and finally, global modeling methods. The book offers a renewed wisdom on some of the core issues in the world economy today and puts forward important innovations in analyzing these core issues, among which the modular modeling design, the Momagri model being a seminal example of it. Reading this book should inspire fruitful revisions in policy-making to improve the welfare of populations worldwide.
Explaining And Evaluating Price Volatility And Price Levels In World Agricultural Markets
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Author : Palina Moleva
language : en
Publisher: Cuvillier Verlag
Release Date : 2017-02-15
Explaining And Evaluating Price Volatility And Price Levels In World Agricultural Markets written by Palina Moleva and has been published by Cuvillier Verlag this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-02-15 with Science categories.
The worldwide explosions of agricultural commodity and staple food prices in the years 2007/08 and the subsequent recession-related decline in 2009 have not only surprised many market observers, but has also caused an intensive discussion about the causes, the consequences and the necessary policy responses. The new price spike in the years 2011 until 2013 and the current price crisis, especially for dairy and meat products since 2014/15, revived this debate again and raised the question, of how to explain and to evaluate such extreme level shifts and volatilities of agricultural prices, and where the prices move in the long run.
The Economics Of Food Price Volatility
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Author : Jean-Paul Chavas
language : en
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Release Date : 2014-10-17
The Economics Of Food Price Volatility written by Jean-Paul Chavas and has been published by University of Chicago Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-10-17 with Business & Economics categories.
There has been an increase in food price instability in recent years, with varied consequences for farmers, market participants, and consumers. Before policy makers can design schemes to reduce food price uncertainty or ameliorate its effects, they must first understand the factors that have contributed to recent price instability. Does it arise primarily from technological or weather-related supply shocks, or from changes in demand like those induced by the growing use of biofuel? Does financial speculation affect food price volatility? The researchers who contributed to The Economics of Food Price Volatility address these and other questions. They examine the forces driving both recent and historical patterns in food price volatility, as well as the effects of various public policies in affecting this volatility. The chapters include studies of the links between food and energy markets, the impact of biofuel policy on the level and variability of food prices, and the effects of weather-related disruptions in supply. The findings shed light on the way price volatility affects the welfare of farmers, traders, and consumers.
Agricultural Marketing
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Author : James Vercammen
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2011
Agricultural Marketing written by James Vercammen and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011 with Business & Economics categories.
This book rigorously examines key economic issues in the field of agricultural marketing and price analysis. Topics are introduced via simple presentation of key theory and applications of the theory through the use of mini-case studies and stylized spreadsheet models. The coverage is broad, ranging from well-entrenched topics such as commodity futures markets and storage, to emerging topics such as food safety and auctions.
What Explains The Rise In Food Price Volatility
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Author : Mr.Shaun K. Roache
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2010-05-01
What Explains The Rise In Food Price Volatility written by Mr.Shaun K. Roache and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-05-01 with Business & Economics categories.
The macroeconomic effects of large food price swings can be broad and far-reaching, including the balance of payments of importers and exporters, budgets, inflation, and poverty. For market participants and policymakers, managing low frequency volatility—i.e., the component of volatility that persists for longer than one harvest year—may be more challenging as uncertainty regarding its persistence is likely to be higher. This paper measures the low frequency volatility of food commodity spot prices using the spline- GARCH approach. It finds that low frequency volatility is positively correlated across different commodities, suggesting an important role for common factors. It also identifies a number of determinants of low frequency volatility, two of which—the variation in U.S. inflation and the U.S. dollar exchange rate—explain a relatively large part of the rise in volatility since the mid-1990s.