Model Reduction Methods For Vector Autoregressive Processes


Model Reduction Methods For Vector Autoregressive Processes
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Model Reduction Methods For Vector Autoregressive Processes


Model Reduction Methods For Vector Autoregressive Processes
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Author : Ralf Brüggemann
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-09-25

Model Reduction Methods For Vector Autoregressive Processes written by Ralf Brüggemann and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-09-25 with Mathematics categories.


1. 1 Objective of the Study Vector autoregressive (VAR) models have become one of the dominant research tools in the analysis of macroeconomic time series during the last two decades. The great success of this modeling class started with Sims' (1980) critique of the traditional simultaneous equation models (SEM). Sims criticized the use of 'too many incredible restrictions' based on 'supposed a priori knowledge' in large scale macroeconometric models which were popular at that time. Therefore, he advo cated largely unrestricted reduced form multivariate time series models, unrestricted VAR models in particular. Ever since his influential paper these models have been employed extensively to characterize the underlying dynamics in systems of time series. In particular, tools to summarize the dynamic interaction between the system variables, such as impulse response analysis or forecast error variance decompo sitions, have been developed over the years. The econometrics of VAR models and related quantities is now well established and has found its way into various textbooks including inter alia Llitkepohl (1991), Hamilton (1994), Enders (1995), Hendry (1995) and Greene (2002). The unrestricted VAR model provides a general and very flexible framework that proved to be useful to summarize the data characteristics of economic time series. Unfortunately, the flexibility of these models causes severe problems: In an unrestricted VAR model, each variable is expressed as a linear function of lagged values of itself and all other variables in the system.



Theory Of Cryptography


Theory Of Cryptography
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Author : Joe Kilian
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2005-01-31

Theory Of Cryptography written by Joe Kilian and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-01-31 with Business & Economics categories.


This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the Second Theory of Cryptography Conference, TCC 2005, held in Cambridge, MA, USA in February 2005. The 32 revised full papers presented were carefully reviewed and selected from 84 submissions. The papers are organized in topical sections on hardness amplification and error correction, graphs and groups, simulation and secure computation, security of encryption, steganography and zero knowledge, secure computation, quantum cryptography and universal composability, cryptographic primitives and security, encryption and signatures, and information theoretic cryptography.



New Introduction To Multiple Time Series Analysis


New Introduction To Multiple Time Series Analysis
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Author : Helmut Lütkepohl
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2005-12-06

New Introduction To Multiple Time Series Analysis written by Helmut Lütkepohl and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-12-06 with Business & Economics categories.


This is the new and totally revised edition of Lütkepohl’s classic 1991 work. It provides a detailed introduction to the main steps of analyzing multiple time series, model specification, estimation, model checking, and for using the models for economic analysis and forecasting. The book now includes new chapters on cointegration analysis, structural vector autoregressions, cointegrated VARMA processes and multivariate ARCH models. The book bridges the gap to the difficult technical literature on the topic. It is accessible to graduate students in business and economics. In addition, multiple time series courses in other fields such as statistics and engineering may be based on it.



Handbook Of Computational Econometrics


Handbook Of Computational Econometrics
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Author : David A. Belsley
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2009-08-18

Handbook Of Computational Econometrics written by David A. Belsley and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-08-18 with Mathematics categories.


Handbook of Computational Econometrics examines the state of the art of computational econometrics and provides exemplary studies dealing with computational issues arising from a wide spectrum of econometric fields including such topics as bootstrapping, the evaluation of econometric software, and algorithms for control, optimization, and estimation. Each topic is fully introduced before proceeding to a more in-depth examination of the relevant methodologies and valuable illustrations. This book: Provides self-contained treatments of issues in computational econometrics with illustrations and invaluable bibliographies. Brings together contributions from leading researchers. Develops the techniques needed to carry out computational econometrics. Features network studies, non-parametric estimation, optimization techniques, Bayesian estimation and inference, testing methods, time-series analysis, linear and nonlinear methods, VAR analysis, bootstrapping developments, signal extraction, software history and evaluation. This book will appeal to econometricians, financial statisticians, econometric researchers and students of econometrics at both graduate and advanced undergraduate levels.



Strategic Supply Chain Management In Process Industries


Strategic Supply Chain Management In Process Industries
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Author : Reinhard Hübner
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2007-06-13

Strategic Supply Chain Management In Process Industries written by Reinhard Hübner and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-06-13 with Business & Economics categories.


Practitioners in process industry have to increasingly adapt their global production networks to changes in the competitive environment. A majority of the supply network design models proposed by academia do not sufficiently capture the questions that have to be resolved. This book provides the necessary operations research decision support tools. It builds on an example of the specialty chemicals industry.



Artificial Markets Modeling


Artificial Markets Modeling
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Author : Andrea Consiglio
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2007-08-16

Artificial Markets Modeling written by Andrea Consiglio and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-08-16 with Business & Economics categories.


This volume features contributions to agent-based computational modeling from the social sciences and computer sciences. It presents applications of methodologies and tools, focusing on the uses, requirements, and constraints of agent-based models used by social scientists. Topics include agent-based macroeconomics, the emergence of norms and conventions, the dynamics of social and economic networks, and behavioral models in financial markets.



Topics In Dynamic Model Analysis


Topics In Dynamic Model Analysis
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Author : Mario Faliva
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2006-01-20

Topics In Dynamic Model Analysis written by Mario Faliva and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-01-20 with Business & Economics categories.


Classical econometrics - which plunges its roots in economic theory with simultaneous equations models (SEM) as offshoots - and time series econometrics - which stems from economic data with vector autoregr- sive (VAR) models as offsprings - scour, like the Janus's facing heads, the flowing of economic variables so as to bring to the fore their autonomous and non-autonomous dynamics. It is up to the so-called final form of a dy namic SEM, on the one hand, and to the so-called representation theorems of (unit-root) VAR models, on the other, to provide informative closed form expressions for the trajectories, or time paths, of the economic vari ables of interest. Should we look at the issues just put forward from a mathematical standpoint, the emblematic models of both classical and time series econometrics would turn out to be difference equation systems with ad hoc characteristics, whose solutions are attained via a final form or a represen tation theorem approach. The final form solution - algebraic technicalities apart - arises in the wake of classical difference equation theory, display ing besides a transitory autonomous component, an exogenous one along with a stochastic nuisance term. This follows from a properly defined ma trix function inversion admitting a Taylor expansion in the lag operator be cause of the assumptions regarding the roots of a determinant equation pe culiar to SEM specifications.



Agent Based Modeling


Agent Based Modeling
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Author : Norman Ehrentreich
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2007-10-25

Agent Based Modeling written by Norman Ehrentreich and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-10-25 with Business & Economics categories.


This book reconciles the existence of technical trading with the Efficient Market Hypothesis. By analyzing a well-known agent-based model, the Santa Fe Institute Artificial Stock Market (SFI-ASM), it finds that when selective forces are weak, financial evolution cannot guarantee that only the fittest trading rules will survive. Its main contribution lies in the application of standard results from population genetics which have widely been neglected in the agent-based community.



Financial Risk Management With Bayesian Estimation Of Garch Models


Financial Risk Management With Bayesian Estimation Of Garch Models
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Author : David Ardia
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2008-05-08

Financial Risk Management With Bayesian Estimation Of Garch Models written by David Ardia and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-05-08 with Business & Economics categories.


This book presents in detail methodologies for the Bayesian estimation of sing- regime and regime-switching GARCH models. These models are widespread and essential tools in n ancial econometrics and have, until recently, mainly been estimated using the classical Maximum Likelihood technique. As this study aims to demonstrate, the Bayesian approach o ers an attractive alternative which enables small sample results, robust estimation, model discrimination and probabilistic statements on nonlinear functions of the model parameters. The author is indebted to numerous individuals for help in the preparation of this study. Primarily, I owe a great debt to Prof. Dr. Philippe J. Deschamps who inspired me to study Bayesian econometrics, suggested the subject, guided me under his supervision and encouraged my research. I would also like to thank Prof. Dr. Martin Wallmeier and my colleagues of the Department of Quantitative Economics, in particular Michael Beer, Roberto Cerratti and Gilles Kaltenrieder, for their useful comments and discussions. I am very indebted to my friends Carlos Ord as Criado, Julien A. Straubhaar, J er ^ ome Ph. A. Taillard and Mathieu Vuilleumier, for their support in the elds of economics, mathematics and statistics. Thanks also to my friend Kevin Barnes who helped with my English in this work. Finally, I am greatly indebted to my parents and grandparents for their support and encouragement while I was struggling with the writing of this thesis.



Term Structure Modeling And Estimation In A State Space Framework


Term Structure Modeling And Estimation In A State Space Framework
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Author : Wolfgang Lemke
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2005-12-08

Term Structure Modeling And Estimation In A State Space Framework written by Wolfgang Lemke and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-12-08 with Business & Economics categories.


This book has been prepared during my work as a research assistant at the Institute for Statistics and Econometrics of the Economics Department at the University of Bielefeld, Germany. It was accepted as a Ph.D. thesis titled "Term Structure Modeling and Estimation in a State Space Framework" at the Department of Economics of the University of Bielefeld in November 2004. It is a pleasure for me to thank all those people who have been helpful in one way or another during the completion of this work. First of all, I would like to express my gratitude to my advisor Professor Joachim Frohn, not only for his guidance and advice throughout the com pletion of my thesis but also for letting me have four very enjoyable years teaching and researching at the Institute for Statistics and Econometrics. I am also grateful to my second advisor Professor Willi Semmler. The project I worked on in one of his seminars in 1999 can really be seen as a starting point for my research on state space models. I thank Professor Thomas Braun for joining the committee for my oral examination.