Modeling Aggregate Behavior And Fluctuations In Economics

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Modeling Aggregate Behavior And Fluctuations In Economics
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Author : Masanao Aoki
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2001-12-20
Modeling Aggregate Behavior And Fluctuations In Economics written by Masanao Aoki and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2001-12-20 with Business & Economics categories.
This book has two components: stochastic dynamics and stochastic random combinatorial analysis. The first discusses evolving patterns of interactions of a large but finite number of agents of several types. Changes of agent types or their choices or decisions over time are formulated as jump Markov processes with suitably specified transition rates: optimisations by agents make these rates generally endogenous. Probabilistic equilibrium selection rules are also discussed, together with the distributions of relative sizes of the bases of attraction. As the number of agents approaches infinity, we recover deterministic macroeconomic relations of more conventional economic models. The second component analyses how agents form clusters of various sizes. This has applications for discussing sizes or shares of markets by various agents which involve some combinatorial analysis patterned after the population genetics literature. These are shown to be relevant to distributions of returns to assets, volatility of returns, and power laws.
Modeling Aggregate Behavior And Fluctuations In Economics
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Author : Masanao Aoki
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2004
Modeling Aggregate Behavior And Fluctuations In Economics written by Masanao Aoki and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004 with categories.
Nonlinear Economic Dynamics And Financial Modelling
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Author : Roberto Dieci
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2014-07-26
Nonlinear Economic Dynamics And Financial Modelling written by Roberto Dieci and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-07-26 with Business & Economics categories.
This book reflects the state of the art on nonlinear economic dynamics, financial market modelling and quantitative finance. It contains eighteen papers with topics ranging from disequilibrium macroeconomics, monetary dynamics, monopoly, financial market and limit order market models with boundedly rational heterogeneous agents to estimation, time series modelling and empirical analysis and from risk management of interest-rate products, futures price volatility and American option pricing with stochastic volatility to evaluation of risk and derivatives of electricity market. The book illustrates some of the most recent research tools in these areas and will be of interest to economists working in economic dynamics and financial market modelling, to mathematicians who are interested in applying complexity theory to economics and finance and to market practitioners and researchers in quantitative finance interested in limit order, futures and electricity market modelling, derivative pricing and risk management.
Heterogenous Agents Interactions And Economic Performance
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Author : Robin Cowan
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06
Heterogenous Agents Interactions And Economic Performance written by Robin Cowan and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Business & Economics categories.
In traditional economics models of perfect competition agent's interactions are all mediated through the market. Interactions are anonymous, global and indirect. This is a powerful model, but we see many instances in which one, and sometimes all, of the previous characteristics fail to hold true. The type of agent you are, or your identity, can affect the type of interaction we have, and most surely the relationship between micro-behaviour and macro-phenomena in non-trivial ways. This book contains a selection of papers presented at the 6th Workshop on Economics with Heterogenous Interacting Agents (WEHIA). The contributions show that work done in other fields like evolutionary biology, statistical mechanics, social network theory and others help us to understand the way in which economic systems operate. Virtually all of the papers presented in this volume draw on some aspect or other of these varied approaches to related problems.
Behavioral Rationality And Heterogeneous Expectations In Complex Economic Systems
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Author : Cars Hommes
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2013-01-24
Behavioral Rationality And Heterogeneous Expectations In Complex Economic Systems written by Cars Hommes and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-01-24 with Business & Economics categories.
Recognising that the economy is a complex system with boundedly rational interacting agents, the book presents a theory of behavioral rationality and heterogeneous expectations in complex economic systems and confronts the nonlinear dynamic models with empirical stylized facts and laboratory experiments. The complexity modeling paradigm has been strongly advocated since the late 1980s by some economists and by multidisciplinary scientists from various fields, such as physics, computer science and biology. More recently the complexity view has also drawn the attention of policy makers, who are faced with complex phenomena, irregular fluctuations and sudden, unpredictable market transitions. The complexity tools - bifurcations, chaos, multiple equilibria - discussed in this book will help students, researchers and policy makers to build more realistic behavioral models with heterogeneous expectations to describe financial market movements and macro-economic fluctuations, in order to better manage crises in a complex global economy.
Handbook Of Computational Economics
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Author : Leigh Tesfatsion
language : en
Publisher: Elsevier
Release Date : 2006-05-15
Handbook Of Computational Economics written by Leigh Tesfatsion and has been published by Elsevier this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-05-15 with Business & Economics categories.
The explosive growth in computational power over the past several decades offers new tools and opportunities for economists. This handbook volume surveys recent research on Agent-based Computational Economics (ACE), the computational study of economic processes modeled as dynamic systems of interacting agents. Empirical referents for "agents" in ACE models can range from individuals or social groups with learning capabilities to physical world features with no cognitive function. Topics covered include: learning; empirical validation; network economics; social dynamics; financial markets; innovation and technological change; organizations; market design; automated markets and trading agents; political economy; social-ecological systems; computational laboratory development; and general methodological issues.*Every volume contains contributions from leading researchers*Each Handbook presents an accurate, self-contained survey of a particular topic *The series provides comprehensive and accessible surveys
Reconstructing Macroeconomics
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Author : Masanao Aoki
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2011-08-29
Reconstructing Macroeconomics written by Masanao Aoki and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-08-29 with Business & Economics categories.
In this book, the authors reconceptualize existing macroeconomics by treating equilibria as statistical distributions, not as fixed points.
Economics With Heterogeneous Interacting Agents
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Author : Alan Kirman
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06
Economics With Heterogeneous Interacting Agents written by Alan Kirman and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Business & Economics categories.
This book analyses situations in which individual agents, who might be different from each other, interact and produce behaviour on the aggregate level which does not correspond to that of the average actor. This leads to aggregate outcomes which would be impossible to explain in a more standard approach. Aggregation generates structure and, as a result, interaction and heterogeneity can be handled and we no longer have to rely on the over-simplified reduction of the behaviour of the economy to that of a "rational" individual.
Complex Systems Modeling And Simulation In Economics And Finance
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Author : Shu-Heng Chen
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2018-11-20
Complex Systems Modeling And Simulation In Economics And Finance written by Shu-Heng Chen and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-11-20 with Business & Economics categories.
This title brings together frontier research on complex economic systems, heterogeneous interacting agents, bounded rationality, and nonlinear dynamics in economics. The book contains the proceedings of the CEF2015 (21st Computing in Economics in Finance), held 20-22 June 2015 in Taipei, Taiwan, and addresses some of the important driving forces for various emergent properties in economies, when viewed as complex systems. The breakthroughs reported in this book are a result of an interdisciplinary approach and simulation remains the unifying theme for these papers as they deal with a wide range of topics in economics. The text is a valuable addition to the efforts in promoting the complex systems view in economic science. The computational experiments reported in the book are both transparent and replicable. Complex System Modeling and Simulation in Economics and Finance is useful for graduate courses of complex systems, with particular focus on economics and finance. At the same time it serves as a good overview for researchers who are interested in the topic.
Complexity Heterogeneity And The Methods Of Statistical Physics In Economics
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Author : Hideaki Aoyama
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2020-08-05
Complexity Heterogeneity And The Methods Of Statistical Physics In Economics written by Hideaki Aoyama and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-08-05 with Business & Economics categories.
This book systematically provides a prospective integrated approach for complexity social science in its view of statistical physics and mathematics, with an impressive collection of the knowledge and expertise of leading researchers from all over the world. The book mainly covers both finitary methods of statistical equilibrium and data-driven analysis by econophysics. The late Professor Masanao Aoki of UCLA, who passed away at the end of July 2018, in his later years dedicated himself to the reconstruction of macroeconomics mainly in terms of statistical physics. Professor Aoki, who was already an IEEE fellow, was also named an Econometric Society Fellow in 1979. Until the early 1990s, however, his contributions were focused on the new developments of a novel algorithm for the time series model and their applications to economic data. Those contributions were undoubtedly equivalent to the Nobel Prize-winning work of Granger's "co-integration method". After the publications of his New Approaches to Macroeconomic Modeling and Modeling Aggregate Behavior and Fluctuations in Economics, both published by Cambridge University Press, in 1996 and 2002, respectively, his contributions rapidly became known and spread throughout the field. In short, these new works challenged econophysicists to develop evolutionary stochastic dynamics, multiple equilibria, and externalities as field effects and revolutionized the stochastic views of interacting agents. In particular, the publication of Reconstructing Macroeconomics, also by Cambridge University Press (2007), in cooperation with Hiroshi Yoshikawa, further sharpened the process of embodying “a perspective from statistical physics and combinatorial stochastic processes” in economic modeling. Interestingly, almost concurrently with Prof. Aoki’s newest development, similar approaches were appearing. Thus, those who were working in the same context around the world at that time came together, exchanging their results during the past decade. In memory of Prof. Aoki, this book has been planned by authors who followed him to present the most advanced outcomes of his heritage.