Modeling Change And Uncertainty

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Modeling Change And Uncertainty
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Author : William P. Fox
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2022-07-20
Modeling Change And Uncertainty written by William P. Fox and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-07-20 with Mathematics categories.
This book offers a problem-solving approach. The authors introduce a problem to help motivate the learning of a particular mathematical modeling topic. The problem provides the issue or what is needed to solve using an appropriate modeling technique.
Modeling Change And Uncertainty
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Author : William P. Fox
language : en
Publisher: Chapman & Hall/CRC
Release Date : 2022
Modeling Change And Uncertainty written by William P. Fox and has been published by Chapman & Hall/CRC this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022 with Mathematics categories.
Mathematical modeling is a powerful craft that requires practice. The more practice the better one will become in executing the art. The authors wrote this book to develop the craft of mathematical modeling and to foster a desire for lifelong learning, habits of mind and develop competent and confident problem solvers and decision makers for the 21st century. This book offers a problem-solving approach. The authors introduce a problem to help motivate the learning of a particular mathematical modeling topic. The problem provides the issue or what is needed to solve using an appropriate modeling technique. Then principles are applied to the problem and present the steps in obtaining an appropriate model to solve the problem. Modeling Change and Uncertainty: Covers both linear and nonlinear models of discrete dynamical systems. Introduces statistics and probability modeling. Introduces critical statistical concepts to handle univariate and multivariate data. Establishes a foundation in probability modeling. Uses ordinary differential equations (ODEs) to develop a more robust solution to problems. Uses linear programming and machine learning to support decision making. Introduces the reality of uncertainty and randomness that is all around us. Discusses the use of linear programing to solve common problems in modern industry. Discusses he power and limitations of simulations. Introduces the methods and formulas used in businesses and financial organizations. Introduces valuable techniques using Excel, MAPLE, and R. Mathematical modeling offers a framework for decision makers in all fields. This framework consists of four key components: the formulation process, the solution process, interpretation of the solution in the context of the actual problem, and sensitivity analysis. Modeling Change and Uncertainty will be of interest to mathematics departments offering advanced mathematical modeling courses focused on decision making or discrete mathematical modeling and by undergraduate, graduate students and practitioners looking for an opportunity to develop, practice, and apply the craft of mathematical modeling. Table of Contents 1. Perfect Partners: Combining Models of Change and Uncertainty with Technology 2. Modeling Change: Discrete Dynamical Systems (DDS) and Modeling Systems of DDS 3. Statistical and Probabilistic Models 4. Modeling with Probability 5. Differential Equations 6. Forecasting with Linear Programming and Machine Learning 7. Stochastic Models and Markov Chains 8. Linear Programming 9. Simulation of Queueing Models 10. Modeling of Financial Analysis 11. Reliability Models 12. Machine Learning and Unconstrained Optimal Process Dr. William P. Fox is currently a visiting professor of Computational Operations Research at the College of William and Mary. He is an emeritus professor in the Department of Defense Analysis at the Naval Postgraduate School and teaches a three-course sequence in mathematical modeling for decision making. He received his Ph.D. in Industrial Engineering from Clemson University. He has taught at the United States Military Academy for twelve years until retiring and at Francis Marion University where he was the chair of mathematics for eight years. He has many publications and scholarly activities including twenty plus books and one hundred and fifty journal articles. Colonel (R) Robert E. Burks, Jr., Ph.D. is an Associate Professor in the Defense Analysis Department of the Naval Postgraduate School (NPS) and the Director of the NPS'' Wargaming Center. He holds a Ph.D. in Operations Research from the Air Force Institute of Technology. He is a retired logistics Army Colonel with more than thirty years of military experience in leadership, advanced analytics, decision modeling, and logistics operations who served as an Army Operations Research analyst at the Naval Postgraduate School, TRADOC Analysis Center, United States Military Academy, and the United States Army Recruiting Command. Other book by William P. Fox and Robert E. Burks: Advanced Mathematical Modeling with Technology, 2021, CRC Press. Other books by William P. Fox from CRC Press: Mathematical Modeling in the Age of the Pandemic, 2021, CRC Press. Advanced Problem Solving Using Maple: Applied Mathematics, Operations Research, Business Analytics, and Decision Analysis (w/William Bauldry), 2020, CRC Press. Mathematical Modeling with Excel (w/Brian Albright), 2020, CRC Press. Nonlinear Optimization: Models and Applications, 2020, CRC Press. Advanced Problem Solving with Maple: A First Course (w/William Bauldry), 2019. CRC Press. Mathematical Modeling for Business Analytics, 2018, CRC Press.
The Routledge Handbook Of Urbanization And Global Environmental Change
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Author : Karen Seto
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2015-12-22
The Routledge Handbook Of Urbanization And Global Environmental Change written by Karen Seto and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-12-22 with Architecture categories.
This volume provides a comprehensive overview of the interactions and feedbacks between urbanization and global environmental change. A key focus is the examination of how urbanization influences global environmental change, and how global environmental change in turn influences urbanization processes. It has four thematic foci: Theme 1 addresses the pathways through which urbanization drives global environmental change. Theme 2 addresses the pathways through which global environmental change affects the urban system. Theme 3 addresses the interactions and responses within the urban system in response to global environmental change. Theme 4 centers on critical emerging research.
A National Strategy For Advancing Climate Modeling
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Author : Division on Earth and Life Studies
language : en
Publisher: National Academies Press
Release Date : 2013-01-24
A National Strategy For Advancing Climate Modeling written by Division on Earth and Life Studies and has been published by National Academies Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-01-24 with Science categories.
As climate change has pushed climate patterns outside of historic norms, the need for detailed projections is growing across all sectors, including agriculture, insurance, and emergency preparedness planning. A National Strategy for Advancing Climate Modeling emphasizes the needs for climate models to evolve substantially in order to deliver climate projections at the scale and level of detail desired by decision makers, this report finds. Despite much recent progress in developing reliable climate models, there are still efficiencies to be gained across the large and diverse U.S. climate modeling community. Evolving to a more unified climate modeling enterprise-in particular by developing a common software infrastructure shared by all climate researchers and holding an annual climate modeling forum-could help speed progress. Throughout this report, several recommendations and guidelines are outlined to accelerate progress in climate modeling. The U.S. supports several climate models, each conceptually similar but with components assembled with slightly different software and data output standards. If all U.S. climate models employed a single software system, it could simplify testing and migration to new computing hardware, and allow scientists to compare and interchange climate model components, such as land surface or ocean models. A National Strategy for Advancing Climate Modeling recommends an annual U.S. climate modeling forum be held to help bring the nation's diverse modeling communities together with the users of climate data. This would provide climate model data users with an opportunity to learn more about the strengths and limitations of models and provide input to modelers on their needs and provide a venue for discussions of priorities for the national modeling enterprise, and bring disparate climate science communities together to design common modeling experiments. In addition, A National Strategy for Advancing Climate Modeling explains that U.S. climate modelers will need to address an expanding breadth of scientific problems while striving to make predictions and projections more accurate. Progress toward this goal can be made through a combination of increasing model resolution, advances in observations, improved model physics, and more complete representations of the Earth system. To address the computing needs of the climate modeling community, the report suggests a two-pronged approach that involves the continued use and upgrading of existing climate-dedicated computing resources at modeling centers, together with research on how to effectively exploit the more complex computer hardware systems expected over the next 10 to 20 years.
Model Validation And Uncertainty Quantification Volume 3
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Author : Zhu Mao
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2025-08-07
Model Validation And Uncertainty Quantification Volume 3 written by Zhu Mao and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2025-08-07 with Technology & Engineering categories.
Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, Volume 3: Proceedings of the 38th IMAC, A Conference and Exposition on Structural Dynamics, 2020, the third volume of nine from the Conference brings together contributions to this important area of research and engineering. The collection presents early findings and case studies on fundamental and applied aspects of Model Validation and Uncertainty Quantification, including papers on: Uncertainty Quantification in Material Models, Uncertainty Propagation in Structural Dynamics, Practical Applications of MVUQ, Advances in Model Validation & Uncertainty, Quantification: Model Updating Model Validation & Uncertainty Quantification, Industrial Applications, Controlling Uncertainty, Uncertainty in Early Stage Design, Modeling of Musical Instruments, Overview of Model Validation and Uncertainty.
Guide For Preparing Initial And Model Change Reports On Lasers And Products Containing Lasers
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1985
Guide For Preparing Initial And Model Change Reports On Lasers And Products Containing Lasers written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1985 with Lasers categories.
Uncertainty In Climate Change Research
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Author : Linda O. Mearns
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2025-07-14
Uncertainty In Climate Change Research written by Linda O. Mearns and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2025-07-14 with Science categories.
This edited volume with open access discusses all aspects of uncertainty in climate change research, with a unique emphasis on decision making under uncertainty and the assessment of various uncertainties in the landscape of decision making. By analyzing uncertainty through the lens of decision making, the book seeks to understand and assess the various uncertainties inherent in climate change research, including uncertainties in economic impacts, human health and vulnerability, fluctuations in the physical climate system, changes in infrastructure, and future climate projections. Very little published material exists on the uncertainties regarding vulnerability of different populations to climate change, and so the book characterizes the uncertainty in vulnerability to better formulate solutions to climate change problems in affected populations. The volume will be of interest to students, post-docs, early career scientists, and researchers interested in all aspects of climate change. After an introduction that addresses the issue of uncertainty in general as it pertains to climate change research, the book is divided into 5 main sections. Section 1 focuses on uncertainty in policy and decision making, and how climate-related policy choices impact risk management, impact mitigation, and adaptation. Section 2 discusses uncertainty in climate change impacts, including impacts in agriculture, water resources, transportation infrastructure, and human health and vulnerability. Section 3 analyzes physical climate uncertainties, such as Earth system projections, emissions concentrations, and sea-level rise projections. Section 4 details the methods for quantifying uncertainty from a statistical perspective. Section 5 concludes the volume with discussions on special topics and integrated themes on uncertainty, including ethics and uncertainty, communication, the economics of climate change, and integrated modeling for decision support.
Computer Vision Eccv 2022
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Author : Shai Avidan
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2022-10-22
Computer Vision Eccv 2022 written by Shai Avidan and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-10-22 with Computers categories.
The 39-volume set, comprising the LNCS books 13661 until 13699, constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 17th European Conference on Computer Vision, ECCV 2022, held in Tel Aviv, Israel, during October 23–27, 2022. The 1645 papers presented in these proceedings were carefully reviewed and selected from a total of 5804 submissions. The papers deal with topics such as computer vision; machine learning; deep neural networks; reinforcement learning; object recognition; image classification; image processing; object detection; semantic segmentation; human pose estimation; 3d reconstruction; stereo vision; computational photography; neural networks; image coding; image reconstruction; object recognition; motion estimation.
Handbook Of Climate Change And Agroecosystems The Agricultural Model Intercomparison And Improvement Project Agmip Integrated Crop And Economic Assessments Joint Publication With Asa Cssa And Sssa In 2 Parts
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Author : Daniel Hillel
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2015-02-13
Handbook Of Climate Change And Agroecosystems The Agricultural Model Intercomparison And Improvement Project Agmip Integrated Crop And Economic Assessments Joint Publication With Asa Cssa And Sssa In 2 Parts written by Daniel Hillel and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-02-13 with Science categories.
“Top agricultural scientists from around the world have taken up the challenge of sustainable agriculture, with the specific focus on integrating agronomic, climatological, biophysical and socio-economic perspectives and processes. Every chapter (of the Handbook) contributes to addressing the growing food-security challenges facing the world.”Foreword by Jeffrey Sachs, Director of the Earth Institute at Columbia UniversityClimate effects on agriculture are of increasing concern in both the scientific and policy communities because of the growing population and the greater uncertainty in the weather during growing seasons. Changes in production are directly linked to variations in temperature and precipitation during the growing season and often to the offseason changes in weather because of soil water storage to replenish the soil profile. This is not an isolated problem but one of worldwide interest because each country has concerns about their food security.The Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) was developed to evaluate agricultural models and intercompare their ability to predict climate impacts. In sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia, South America and East Asia, AgMIP regional research teams (RRTs) are conducting integrated assessments to improve understanding of agricultural impacts of climate change (including biophysical and economic impacts) at national and regional scales. Other AgMIP initiatives include global gridded modeling, data and information technology (IT) tool development, simulation of crop pests and diseases, site-based crop-climate sensitivity studies, and aggregation and scaling.
Handbook On Climate Change And Agriculture
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Author : Ariel Dinar
language : en
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Release Date : 2011-01-01
Handbook On Climate Change And Agriculture written by Ariel Dinar and has been published by Edward Elgar Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-01-01 with Technology & Engineering categories.
Ô. . . this book is a very useful resource for the lawyer. . . makes a good start by presenting a wide-ranging portfolio of multidisciplinary research that will assist in progressing the task, challenging though it may be.Õ Ð Chris Rodgers, Environmental Liability This book explores the interaction between climate change and the agriculture sector. Agriculture is essential to the livelihood of people and nations, especially in the developing world; therefore, any impact on it will have significant economic, social, and political ramifications. Scholars from around the world and from various fields have been brought together to explore this important topic. The contributions found here analyze direct agronomic effects, the economic impacts on agriculture, agricultural impacts on the economy, agricultural mitigation, and farmer adaptation. The authors argue that climate change is likely to have an extensive impact on agriculture around the world through changes in temperature, precipitation, concentrations of carbon dioxide, and available water flows. This thorough and timely volume is an invaluable resource for anyone interested in exploring the impacts of climate change in arguably the most important sector of the world economy. Economists, agronomists, and climate modelers in academia and the public sector, policy analysts and development agency staff, and graduate/postgraduate students will find this remarkable volume a welcome addition to their collection.