Modelling And Decisions In Economics

DOWNLOAD

Download Modelling And Decisions In Economics PDF/ePub or read online books in Mobi eBooks. Click Download or Read Online button to get Modelling And Decisions In Economics book now. This website allows unlimited access to, at the time of writing, more than 1.5 million titles, including hundreds of thousands of titles in various foreign languages. If the content not found or just blank you must refresh this page

Probability Models For Economic Decisions Second Edition

DOWNLOAD
Author : Roger B. Myerson
language : en
Publisher: MIT Press
Release Date : 2019-12-17

Probability Models For Economic Decisions Second Edition written by Roger B. Myerson and has been published by MIT Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-12-17 with Business & Economics categories.

An introduction to the use of probability models for analyzing risk and economic decisions, using spreadsheets to represent and simulate uncertainty. This textbook offers an introduction to the use of probability models for analyzing risks and economic decisions. It takes a learn-by-doing approach, teaching the student to use spreadsheets to represent and simulate uncertainty and to analyze the effect of such uncertainty on an economic decision. Students in applied business and economics can more easily grasp difficult analytical methods with Excel spreadsheets. The book covers the basic ideas of probability, how to simulate random variables, and how to compute conditional probabilities via Monte Carlo simulation. The first four chapters use a large collection of probability distributions to simulate a range of problems involving worker efficiency, market entry, oil exploration, repeated investment, and subjective belief elicitation. The book then covers correlation and multivariate normal random variables; conditional expectation; optimization of decision variables, with discussions of the strategic value of information, decision trees, game theory, and adverse selection; risk sharing and finance; dynamic models of growth; dynamic models of arrivals; and model risk. New material in this second edition includes two new chapters on additional dynamic models and model risk; new sections in every chapter; many new end-of-chapter exercises; and coverage of such topics as simulation model workflow, models of probabilistic electoral forecasting, and real options. The book comes equipped with Simtools, an open-source, free software used througout the book, which allows students to conduct Monte Carlo simulations seamlessly in Excel.

Decision Modelling For Health Economic Evaluation

DOWNLOAD
Author : Andrew H. Briggs
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2006

Decision Modelling For Health Economic Evaluation written by Andrew H. Briggs and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with Business & Economics categories.

In financially constrained health systems across the world, increasing emphasis is being placed on the ability to demonstrate that health care interventions are not only effective, but also cost-effective. This book deals with decision modelling techniques that can be used to estimate the value for money of various interventions including medical devices, surgical procedures, diagnostic technologies, and pharmaceuticals. Particular emphasis is placed on the importance of the appropriate representation of uncertainty in the evaluative process and the implication this uncertainty has for decision making and the need for future research. This highly practical guide takes the reader through the key principles and approaches of modelling techniques. It begins with the basics of constructing different forms of the model, the population of the model with input parameter estimates, analysis of the results, and progression to the holistic view of models as a valuable tool for informing future research exercises. Case studies and exercises are supported with online templates and solutions. This book will help analysts understand the contribution of decision-analytic modelling to the evaluation of health care programmes. ABOUT THE SERIES: Economic evaluation of health interventions is a growing specialist field, and this series of practical handbooks will tackle, in-depth, topics superficially addressed in more general health economics books. Each volume will include illustrative material, case histories and worked examples to encourage the reader to apply the methods discussed, with supporting material provided online. This series is aimed at health economists in academia, the pharmaceutical industry and the health sector, those on advanced health economics courses, and health researchers in associated fields.

Smart Economic Decision Making In A Complex World

DOWNLOAD
Author : Morris Altman
language : en
Publisher: Academic Press
Release Date : 2020-05-22

Smart Economic Decision Making In A Complex World written by Morris Altman and has been published by Academic Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-05-22 with Business & Economics categories.

Smart Economic Decision-Making in a Complex World is a fresh and reality-based perspective on decision-making with significant implications for analysis, self-understanding and policy. The book examines the conditions under which smart people generate outcomes that improve their place of work, their household and society. Within this work, the curious reader will find interesting open questions on many fascinating areas of current economic debate, including, the role of realistic assumptions robust model building, understanding how and when non-neoclassical behavior is best practice, why the assumption of smart decision-makers is best to understand and explain our economies and societies, and under what conditions individuals can make the best possible choices for themselves and society at large. Additional sections cover when and how efficiency is achieved, why inefficiencies can persist, when and how consumer welfare is maximized, and what benchmarks should be used to determine efficiency and rationality. - Makes the case for 'smart and rational' decision-making as a context-dependent rational process that is framed by socio-cultural environment and conditioned by institutional capacities - Explains how incorporation of the 'smart' decision-maker concept into economic thought improves our understanding of how, why and when people generate certain outcomes - Explores how economic efficiency can be achieved, individual preferences realized, and social welfare maximized through the use of 'smart and rational' approaches

Computational And Decision Methods In Economics And Business

DOWNLOAD
Author : Anna Maria Gil-Lafuente
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2022-01-27

Computational And Decision Methods In Economics And Business written by Anna Maria Gil-Lafuente and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-01-27 with Technology & Engineering categories.

This book presents different topics related to innovation, complexity, uncertainty, modeling and simulation, fuzzy logic, decision-making, aggregation operators, business and economic applications, among others. The chapters are the results of research presented at the International Workshop "Innovation, Complexity and Uncertainty in Economics and Business", held in Barcelona, in November 2019, by The Ibero-American Network for Competitiveness, Innovation and Development (REDCID in Spanish) and the Royal Academy of Economic and Financial Sciences (RACEF in Spanish). These papers are useful for junior and senior researchers in the area of economics and business.

Financial Markets And Economic Performance

DOWNLOAD
Author : John E. Silvia
language : en
Publisher: Palgrave Macmillan
Release Date : 2022-08-02

Financial Markets And Economic Performance written by John E. Silvia and has been published by Palgrave Macmillan this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-08-02 with Business & Economics categories.

Effective decision making requires understanding of the underlying principles of financial markets and economics. Intellectually, economics and financial markets are genetically intertwined although when it comes to popular commentary they are treated separately. In fact, academic economic thinking appears separate from financial market equity strategy in most financial market commentary. Historically, macroeconomics tended to assume away financial frictions and financial intermediation whereas financial economists did not necessarily consider the negative macroeconomic spill overs from financial market outcomes. In more recent years, the economic discipline has gone through a serious self-reflection after the global crisis. This book explores the interplay between financial markets and macroeconomic outcomes with a conceptual framework that combines the actions of investors and individuals. Of interest to graduate students and those professionals working in the financial markets, it provides insight into why market prices move and credit markets interact and what factors participants and policy makers can monitor to anticipate market change and future price paths. ​

Decision Economics Designs Models And Techniques For Boundedly Rational Decisions

DOWNLOAD
Author : Edgardo Bucciarelli
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2018-12-28

Decision Economics Designs Models And Techniques For Boundedly Rational Decisions written by Edgardo Bucciarelli and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-12-28 with Technology & Engineering categories.

The special session on Decision Economics (DECON) is a scientific forum held annually, which is focused on sharing ideas, projects, research results, models, and experiences associated with the complexity of behavioural decision processes and socio‐economic phenomena. In 2018, DECON was held at Campus Tecnológico de la Fábrica de Armas, University of Castilla-La Mancha, Toledo, Spain, as part of the 15th International Conference on Distributed Computing and Artificial Intelligence. For the third consecutive year, this book have drawn inspiration from Herbert A. Simon’s interdisciplinary legacy and, in particular, is devoted to designs, models, and techniques for boundedly rational decisions, involving several fields of study and expertise. It is worth noting that the recognition of relevant decision‐making takes place in a range of critical subject areas and research fields, including economics, finance, information systems, small and international business management, operations, and production. Therefore, decision‐making issues are of fundamental importance in all branches of economics addressed with different methodological approaches. As a matter of fact, the study of decision‐making has become the focus of intense research efforts, both theoretical and applied, forming a veritable bridge between theory and practice as well as science and business organisations, whose pillars are based on insightful cutting‐edge experimental, behavioural, and computational approaches on the one hand, and celebrating the value of science as well as the close relationship between economics and complexity on the other. In this respect, the international scientific community acknowledges Herbert A. Simon’s research endeavours to understand the processes involved in economic decision‐making and their implications for the advancement of economic professions. Within the field of decision‐making, indeed, Simon has become a mainstay of bounded rationality and satisficing. His rejection of the standard (unrealistic) decision‐making models adopted by neoclassical economists inspired social scientists worldwide with the purpose to develop research programmes aimed at studying decision‐making empirically, experimentally, and computationally. The main achievements concern decision‐making for individuals, firms, markets, governments, institutions, and, last but not least, science and research. This book of selected papers tackles these issues that Simon broached in a professional career spanning more than sixty years. The Editors of this book dedicated it to Herb.

Decision Economics Complexity Of Decisions And Decisions For Complexity

DOWNLOAD
Author : Edgardo Bucciarelli
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2020-02-07

Decision Economics Complexity Of Decisions And Decisions For Complexity written by Edgardo Bucciarelli and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-02-07 with Technology & Engineering categories.

This book is based on the International Conference on Decision Economics (DECON 2019). Highlighting the fact that important decision-making takes place in a range of critical subject areas and research fields, including economics, finance, information systems, psychology, small and international business, management, operations, and production, the book focuses on analytics as an emerging synthesis of sophisticated methodology and large data systems used to guide economic decision-making in an increasingly complex business environment. DECON 2019 was organised by the University of Chieti-Pescara (Italy), the National Chengchi University of Taipei (Taiwan), and the University of Salamanca (Spain), and was held at the Escuela politécnica Superior de Ávila, Spain, from 26th to 28th June, 2019. Sponsored by IEEE Systems Man and Cybernetics Society, Spain Section Chapter, and IEEE Spain Section (Technical Co-Sponsor), IBM, Indra, Viewnext, Global Exchange, AEPIA-and-APPIA, with the funding supporting of the Junta de Castilla y León, Spain (ID: SA267P18-Project co-financed with FEDER funds)

Quantum Decision Theory And Complexity Modelling In Economics And Public Policy

DOWNLOAD
Author : Anirban Chakraborti
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2023-09-21

Quantum Decision Theory And Complexity Modelling In Economics And Public Policy written by Anirban Chakraborti and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-09-21 with Business & Economics categories.

This book is an outcome of the interdisciplinary conference held at OP Jindal Global University (Quantum Decision-making and Complexity modeling, and their possible applications in social sciences- economics, finance and public policy). The volume builds upon the emerging fields of Econophysics, Complexity theory and Quantum like modelling in cognition and social sciences, and their plausible applications in economics and public policy. There can be deep linkages between the micro, meso and macro scales at which these paradigms operate. In this data-driven age, greater amounts of information, along with the facility to harvest, sort and process said information, have permitted an expansion of the capability to study a society’s various factors to a degree of detail and inclusiveness that has never before been available to researchers. As a result, an increasing number of throughlines is being discovered, revealing heretofore unknown connections between various disciplines and enhancing the study of such societal tropes as finance, language, shared behavior, and many others. As the reader will see, with clearer understanding of the interconnectedness of society’s assorted parts comes a clearer understanding of the society as a whole. We have received critical thoughts from noted experts in social and natural sciences to explore possible interconnections. The editors of this book earnestly hope that the critical reviews presented in this volume will stimulate further scholarly interest, but also interest among policy practitioners for the purpose of exploring possibilities for creating a new paradigm for comprehending pressing issues of deep uncertainty and emergence in social dynamics.

How Behavioral Economics Influences Management Decision Making

DOWNLOAD
Author : Kelly Monahan
language : en
Publisher: Academic Press
Release Date : 2018-07-25

How Behavioral Economics Influences Management Decision Making written by Kelly Monahan and has been published by Academic Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-07-25 with Business & Economics categories.

How Behavioral Economics Influences Management Decision-Making: A New Paradigm critically reexamines the management function in 21st century workplaces. The book seeks to examine and explain the real-world behaviors of employees and acknowledge the human nature that binds us all together and how to appeal to these characteristics in order to help organizations prosper. It explores well-observed but rarely understood features of employee cognition and irrationality, challenging the dominant discourse and offering an alternative to gain greater competitive advantage in today's complex markets. It also provides an effective new framework on the best ways to develop relevant management skills as they pertain to hiring, performance management, change management, employee engagement, and goal setting. As the knowledge economy continues to grow, the social bonds within companies will prove to be a key differentiation to deliver on the next big idea. Developing productive decisions with staff in the talent-driven global economy increasingly requires the development of "intrinsic" meaning in work, a human-centered work-place culture, and human-focused working practices. This book tackles these topics in comprehensive and efficient detail.

Principles Of Engineering Management Economics

DOWNLOAD
Author : Mr. Rohit Manglik
language : en
Publisher: EduGorilla Publication
Release Date : 2024-03-13

Principles Of Engineering Management Economics written by Mr. Rohit Manglik and has been published by EduGorilla Publication this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-03-13 with Technology & Engineering categories.

EduGorilla Publication is a trusted name in the education sector, committed to empowering learners with high-quality study materials and resources. Specializing in competitive exams and academic support, EduGorilla provides comprehensive and well-structured content tailored to meet the needs of students across various streams and levels.