Models Of The Oil Market
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Models Of The Oil Market
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Author : J. Crémer
language : en
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
Release Date : 2013-07-04
Models Of The Oil Market written by J. Crémer and has been published by Taylor & Francis this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-07-04 with Business & Economics categories.
Economists have proposed a large variety of models of the oil market and this survey integrates them in a coherent framework.
Models Of The Oil Market
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Author : Jacques Cremer
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2003
Models Of The Oil Market written by Jacques Cremer and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003 with categories.
Conceptual Framework For Understanding Simulation Models Of The World Oil Market
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Author : Stanford University. Energy Modeling Forum
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1981
Conceptual Framework For Understanding Simulation Models Of The World Oil Market written by Stanford University. Energy Modeling Forum and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1981 with Petroleum industry and trade categories.
Oil Market Simulation Model Documentation Report
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Author : Michael Grillot
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1983
Oil Market Simulation Model Documentation Report written by Michael Grillot and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1983 with Petroleum industry and trade categories.
Structural Comparison Of Ten Models Of The World Oil Market Draft 1
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Author : Stanford University. Energy Modeling Forum
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1980
Structural Comparison Of Ten Models Of The World Oil Market Draft 1 written by Stanford University. Energy Modeling Forum and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1980 with categories.
Oil Prices And Gcc Stock Markets New Evidence From Smooth Transition Models
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Author : Nidhaleddine Ben Cheikh
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2018-05-09
Oil Prices And Gcc Stock Markets New Evidence From Smooth Transition Models written by Nidhaleddine Ben Cheikh and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-05-09 with Business & Economics categories.
Our paper examines the effect of oil price changes on Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock markets using nonlinear smooth transition regression (STR) models. Contrary to conventional wisdom, our empirical results reveal that GCC stock markets do not have similar sensitivities to oil price changes. We document the presence of stock market returns’ asymmetric reactions in some GCC countries, but not for others. In Kuwait’s case, negative oil price changes exert larger impacts on stock returns than positive oil price changes. When considering the asymmetry with respect to the magnitude of oil price variation, we find that Oman’s and Qatar’s stock markets are more sensitive to large oil price changes than to small ones. Our results highlight the importance of economic stabilization and reform policies that can potentially reduce the sensitivity of stock returns to oil price changes, especially with regard to the existence of asymmetric behavior.
World Market Price Of Oil
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Author : Adalat Muradov
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2019-04-10
World Market Price Of Oil written by Adalat Muradov and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-04-10 with Business & Economics categories.
This book develops new econometric models to analyze and forecast the world market price of oil. The authors construct ARIMA and Trend models to forecast oil prices, taking into consideration outside factors such as political turmoil and solar activity on the price of oil. Incorporating historical and contemporary market trends, the authors are able to make medium and long-term forecasting results. In the first chapter, the authors perform a broad spectrum analysis of the theoretical and methodological challenges of oil price forecasting. In the second chapter, the authors build and test the econometric models needed for the forecasts. The final chapter of the text brings together the conclusions they reached through applying the models to their research. This book will be useful to students in economics, particularly those in upper-level courses on forecasting and econometrics as well as to politicians and policy makers in oil-producing countries, oil importing countries, and relevant international organizations.
Oil Price Volatility And The Role Of Speculation
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Author : Samya Beidas-Strom
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2014-12-12
Oil Price Volatility And The Role Of Speculation written by Samya Beidas-Strom and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-12-12 with Business & Economics categories.
How much does speculation contribute to oil price volatility? We revisit this contentious question by estimating a sign-restricted structural vector autoregression (SVAR). First, using a simple storage model, we show that revisions to expectations regarding oil market fundamentals and the effect of mispricing in oil derivative markets can be observationally equivalent in a SVAR model of the world oil market à la Kilian and Murphy (2013), since both imply a positive co-movement of oil prices and inventories. Second, we impose additional restrictions on the set of admissible models embodying the assumption that the impact from noise trading shocks in oil derivative markets is temporary. Our additional restrictions effectively put a bound on the contribution of speculation to short-term oil price volatility (lying between 3 and 22 percent). This estimated short-run impact is smaller than that of flow demand shocks but possibly larger than that of flow supply shocks.
Stability Within Uncertainty
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Author : Anthony Ernest Reinsch
language : en
Publisher: Calgary : Canadian Energy Research Institute
Release Date : 1988
Stability Within Uncertainty written by Anthony Ernest Reinsch and has been published by Calgary : Canadian Energy Research Institute this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1988 with Business & Economics categories.
Provides a brief discussion of world oil market developments since the early 1970s, identifying the fundamental characteristics and features of the market through to the end of this century. It also examines the history and current structure of world oil demand, analyzed in terms of demand for crude oil products in the various regions. A number of key factors and fundamental trends in crude oil consumption are identified, which can be expected to play an important role in future oil demand. In addition, the study provides an examination of the history and current structure of world crude oil supply, emphasizing the methodology employed in representing crude oil production, reserves additions and productive capacity development within the analytical framework. A series of sensitivity cases are presented together with the reference case crude oil market scenario generated by the integration of the demand- and supply-side analyses. Finally, the study's authors draw together the critical conclusions arising from the analysis.
Oil Prices And The Global Economy
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Author : Mr.Rabah Arezki
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2017-02-10
Oil Prices And The Global Economy written by Mr.Rabah Arezki and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-02-10 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper presents a simple macroeconomic model of the oil market. The model incorporates features of oil supply such as depletion, endogenous oil exploration and extraction, as well as features of oil demand such as the secular increase in demand from emerging-market economies, usage efficiency, and endogenous demand responses. The model provides, inter alia, a useful analytical framework to explore the effects of: a change in world GDP growth; a change in the efficiency of oil usage; and a change in the supply of oil. Notwithstanding that shale oil production today is more responsive to prices than conventional oil, our analysis suggests that an era of prolonged low oil prices is likely to be followed by a period where oil prices overshoot their long-term upward trend.