Modernizing China S Military Opportunities And Constraints
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Modernizing China S Military
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Author : Keith Crane
language : en
Publisher: Minnesota Historical Society
Release Date : 2005
Modernizing China S Military written by Keith Crane and has been published by Minnesota Historical Society this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with History categories.
To help the U.S. Air Force assess the resources the government of the People's Republic of China is likely to spend on its military over the next two decades, this study projects future growth in Chinese government expenditures as a whole and the military in particular, evaluates the current and likely future capabilities of China's defense industries, and compares likely future Chinese expenditures on defense with recent expenditures by the United States and the U.S. Air Force. Although economic growth in China is destined to slow, output will still triple by 2025. In addition, government reforms hold the promise of improving the weak performance of China's defense industries. Although the researchers' high-end forecast of military expenditures is based on the assumption that the Chinese government would be able to spend 5.0 percent of GDP on defense, they believe that pressures within China to increase social spending on health care, pensions, education, and the environment, coupled with the costs of paying the Chinese government's liabilities, make it more likely that military spending will not rise above 2.3 percent of GDP. Using a combination of projected market and purchasing power parity exchange rates, the authors forecast that Chinese military spending is likely to rise from an estimated $69 billion in 2003 to $185 billion by 2025-approximately 61 percent of what the Department of Defense spent in 2003.
Modernizing China S Military Opportunities And Constraints
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2005
Modernizing China S Military Opportunities And Constraints written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with categories.
The purpose of this study is to assess future resource constraints on, and potential domestic economic and industrial contributions to, the ability of the Chinese military to become a significant threat to U.S. forces by 2025. The authors conducted this assessment by answering the following questions: (1) What will be the likely shape and size of the Chinese economy over the next two decades?; (2) What types of constraints will the Chinese government face in terms of drawing on increased economic output for spending on the military?; (3) What problems will the military face and what possibilities will it have in terms of purchasing the goods and services it desires from the Chinese defense industry?; and (4) How will these constraints and opportunities shape the capabilities of the Chinese armed forces over the next two decades? The authors developed answers to these questions using a variety of information sources and analytical techniques. Chinese statistical data, analyses of the Chinese economy, and a model of the Chinese economy were used to address the question of economic growth and size. The rich literature discussing tax, social, and fiscal policies in China was married with a statistical analysis of Chinese spending and the economic analysis to address the questions of budgetary constraints. To evaluate the health of China's defense industries, they engaged in an extensive analysis of open-source Chinese and English-language information on these industries and interviews with knowledgeable industry specialists to determine institutional reforms in China's defense industries, including contracting procedures. Estimates of the current and future size of Chinese military expenditures drew on newly available Chinese-language primary sources on defense budgeting and local expenditures, Chinese statistical material, and a military forecasting model developed for this study.
Modernizing China S Military
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Author : David Shambaugh
language : en
Publisher: Univ of California Press
Release Date : 2002
Modernizing China S Military written by David Shambaugh and has been published by Univ of California Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2002 with History categories.
Annotation The most thorough overview of the Chinese defense programs and Sino-American military relations by a leading authority.
Modernizing China S Military
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Author : David Shambaugh
language : en
Publisher: Univ of California Press
Release Date : 2003-03-25
Modernizing China S Military written by David Shambaugh and has been published by Univ of California Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003-03-25 with History categories.
David Shambaugh, a leading international authority on Chinese strategic and military affairs, offers the most comprehensive and insightful assessment to date of the Chinese military. The result of a decade's research, Modernizing China's Military comes at a crucial moment in history, one when international attention is increasingly focused on the rise of Chinese military power. Basing his analysis on an unprecedented use of Chinese military publications and interviews with People's Liberation Army (PLA) officers, Shambaugh addresses important questions about Chinese strategic intentions and military capabilities--questions that are of key concern for government policymakers as well as strategic analysts and a concerned public.
Chinese Military Modernization
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Author : C. Dennison Lane
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 1996
Chinese Military Modernization written by C. Dennison Lane and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1996 with History categories.
Examining Chinese intentions and the means they have to achieve those intentions, this volume begins with Roger Ames's essay analyzing the Chinese military through from the earliest times
Chinese Military Modernization And Force Development
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Author : Anthony H. Cordesman
language : en
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
Release Date : 2013-10-22
Chinese Military Modernization And Force Development written by Anthony H. Cordesman and has been published by Rowman & Littlefield this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-10-22 with Political Science categories.
China’s military development has become a key focus of US security policy as well as that of virtually all Asia-Pacific states. This report from the CSIS Burke Chair in Strategy examines trends in Chinese strategy, military spending, and military forces based on Chinese defense white papers and other official Chinese sources; US reporting by the Department of Defense and other defense agencies; and other government sources, including Japanese and Korean defense white papers and the International Monetary Fund. The analysis also draws on the work of experts outside of government, various research centers, and nongovernmental organizations.
China S Military Modernization
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Author : Richard D. Fisher, Jr.
language : en
Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing USA
Release Date : 2008-09-30
China S Military Modernization written by Richard D. Fisher, Jr. and has been published by Bloomsbury Publishing USA this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-09-30 with Political Science categories.
China's rise to global economic and strategic eminence, with the potential for achieving pre-eminence in the greater-Asian region, is one of the defining characteristics of the post-Cold War period. This work offers a basic understanding of the military-strategic basis and trajectory of a rising China, provides background, and outlines current and future issues concerning China's rise in strategic-military influence. The next decade may witness China's assertion of military or strategic pressure on Japan, the Korean Peninsula, India, the South China Sea, the Taiwan Strait, Central Asia, or even on behalf of future allies in Africa and Latin America. While conflict is not a foregone conclusion, as indicated by China's increasing participation in many benign international organizations, it is a fact that China's leadership will pursue its interests as it sees them, which may not always coincide with those of the United States, its friends, and allies. Until now, no single volume has existed that provides an authoritative, comprehensive, and concise description of China's evolving geo-strategy or of how China is transforming its military to carry out this strategy. Fisher examines how China's People's Liberation Army (PLA) remains critical to the existence of the Chinese Communist government and looks at China's political and military actions designed to protect its expanded strategic interests in both the Asia-Pacific and Central to Near-Asian regions. Using open sources, including over a decade of unique interview sources, Fisher documents China's efforts to build a larger nuclear force that may soon be protected by missile defenses, modern high technology systems for space, air, and naval forces, and how China is now beginning to assemble naval, air, and ground forces for future power projection missions. His work also examines how the United States and other governments simultaneously seek greater engagement with China on strategic concerns, while hedging against its rising power. Although China faces both internal and external constraints on its rise to global eminence, it cannot be denied that China's government is pursuing a far-reaching strategic agenda.
A New Direction For China S Defense Industry
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2005
A New Direction For China S Defense Industry written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with categories.
Since the early 1980s, a prominent and consistent conclusion of Western research on China's defense-industrial complex has been that China's defense R & D and production capabilities are rife with weaknesses and limitations. In this study, we call into question this conventional wisdom. Our research found that certain Chinese defense enterprises are designing and producing a wide range of increasingly advanced weapons that, in the short term, are relevant to the Chinese military's ability to prosecute a possible conflict over Taiwan but also to China's long-term military presence in Asia. This study puts forward an alternative approach to assessing China's defense-industrial capabilities: From the vantage point of 2005, it is time to shift the focus of research to the gradual improvements in and the future potential of China's defense-industrial complex. This report is intended to help the U.S. Air Force assess the ability of Chinese defense industries to design and produce more capable weaponry in the coming decades. The study assesses institutional changes in the operations of defense-industry enterprises in four sectors: missiles, shipbuilding, military aviation, and information technology/defense electronics. The study, sponsored by the U.S. Air Force's Director for Operational Plans and Joint Matters (AF/XOX) and the Combatant Commander of the Pacific Air Force (PACAF/CC), is part of the RAND Corporation's ongoing research on China and China's military establishment. It is a companion study to " Keith Crane, Roger Cliff, Evan Medeiros, James C. Mulvenon, and William Overholt. Modernizing China's Military: Opportunities and Constraints, MG-260-AF, 2005. The information in this report is current as of January 2005.
Indigenous Weapons Development In China S Military Modernization
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Author : Amy Chang
language : en
Publisher: Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
Release Date : 2012-04-03
Indigenous Weapons Development In China S Military Modernization written by Amy Chang and has been published by Createspace Independent Publishing Platform this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-04-03 with Airplanes, Military categories.
"China's process of modernizing its armed forces has involved the development of indigenously designed weapons systems, some of which appeared to undergo a process of development, procurement, and/or deployment that outpaced the estimates of U.S. and other foreign observers. This paper specifically focuses on four key weapons platforms that have been discussed as 'surprise' developments to U.S. analysts. ... Based on the four case studies covered in this report, there are no universal trends in publicly reported U.S. government analysis on the development of indigenous Chinese weapon systems. ... The trends of past decades are no longer a reliable guide to the performance of China's defense industries. Furthermore, U.S. observers should not take at face value statements from the Chinese government on military policy, as they could either be deceptive, or simply issued by agencies (e.g., the PRC Ministry of Foreign Affairs) that have no real say over military matters. Based on the trends identified in this paper, U.S. analysts and policymakers should expect to see continued advancements in the ability of the PRC to produce modern weapons platforms, and an attendant increase in the operational capabilities of the People's Liberation Army."--Exec. sum.
China S Military Modernization
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Author : Larry M. Wortzel
language : en
Publisher: Praeger
Release Date : 1988-03-22
China S Military Modernization written by Larry M. Wortzel and has been published by Praeger this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1988-03-22 with History categories.
"This work offers a basic understanding of the military-strategic basis and trajectory of a rising China, provides background, and outlines current and future issues concerning China's rise in strategic-military influence. The next decade may witness China's assertion of military or strategic pressure on Japan, the Korean Peninsula, India, the South China Sea, the Taiwan Strait, Central Asia, or even on behalf of future allies in Africa and Latin America. While conflict is not a foregone conclusion, as indicated by China's increasing participation in many benign international organizations, it is a fact that China's leadership will pursue its interests as it sees them, which may not always coincide with those of the United States, its friends, and allies."--Publisher.