Monetary Policy Bank Bailouts And The Sovereign Bank Risk Nexus In The Euro Area
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Monetary Policy Bank Bailouts And The Sovereign Bank Risk Nexus In The Euro Area
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Author : Marcel Fratzscher
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2015
Monetary Policy Bank Bailouts And The Sovereign Bank Risk Nexus In The Euro Area written by Marcel Fratzscher and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015 with Bailouts (Government policy) categories.
The paper analyses the empirical relationship between bank risk and sovereign credit risk in the euro area. Using structural VAR with daily financial markets data for 2003-13, the analysis confirms two-way causality between shocks to sovereign risk and bank risk, with the former being overall more important in explaining bank risk, than vice versa. The paper focuses specifically on the impact of non-standard monetary policy measures by the European Central Bank and on the effects of bank bailout policies by national governments. Testing specific hypotheses formulated in the literature, we find that bank bailout policies have reduced solvency risk in the banking sector, but partly at the expense of raising the credit risk of sovereigns. By contrast, monetary policy was in most, but not all cases effective in lowering credit risk among both sovereigns and banks. Finally, we find spillover effects in particular from sovereigns in the euro area periphery to the core countries.
Managing The Sovereign Bank Nexus
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Author : Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2018-09-07
Managing The Sovereign Bank Nexus written by Mr.Giovanni Dell'Ariccia and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-09-07 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper reviews empirical and theoretical work on the links between banks and their governments (the bank-sovereign nexus). How significant is this nexus? What do we know about it? To what extent is it a source of concern? What is the role of policy intervention? The paper concludes with a review of recent policy proposals.
Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks In The Euro Area And The Sovereign Bank Nexus
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Author : Nikolay Hristov
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2020
Unconventional Monetary Policy Shocks In The Euro Area And The Sovereign Bank Nexus written by Nikolay Hristov and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020 with categories.
We explore the effects of the ECB's unconventional monetary policy on the banks' sovereign debt portfolios. In particular, using panel vector autoregressive (VAR) models we analyze whether banks increased their domestic government bond holdings in response to non-standard monetary policy shocks, thereby possibly promoting the sovereign-bank nexus, i.e. the exposure of banks to the debt issued by the national government. Our results suggest that euro area crisis countries' banks enlarged their exposure to domestic sovereign debt after innovations related to unconventional monetary policy. Moreover, the restructuring of sovereign debt portfolios was characterized by a home bias.
The Sovereign Bank Nexus In The Euro Area
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2019
The Sovereign Bank Nexus In The Euro Area written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019 with categories.
The sovereign-bank nexus played a key role in the 2009-12 European debt crisis by enabling pernicious dynamics whereby governments and domestic banking sectors mutually enfeebled each other. This paper reviews the direct (financial) channels and the indirect (real) channels through which banks and sovereigns interact, and that can give rise to feedback loops between the two sectors. While significant progress has been achieved in mitigating the direct channel of the loop in recent years, the indirect mechanisms of the loop stayed largely intact. Policy options for improving the financial stability of both banks and sovereigns across the euro area have been discussed, including measures to increase the diversification of banks' sovereign debt holdings. Focusing on diversification as a standalone measure, a review of the literature and model-based simulations suggest an ambiguous impact on systemic risk. However, in those cases where diversification can either reduce total risks or keep them unchanged, it can also deliver an important shock absorption effect in crisis periods. In such cases, simulations show that higher cross-border integration of banking sectors would dilute the impact of asymmetric shocks across the regions of a monetary union, thus increasing the overall welfare of risk averse households.
Fragmentation And Monetary Policy In The Euro Area
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Author : Mr.Ali J Al-Eyd
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2013-10-04
Fragmentation And Monetary Policy In The Euro Area written by Mr.Ali J Al-Eyd and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-10-04 with Business & Economics categories.
The ECB has taken a range of actions to address bank funding problems, eliminate excessive risk in sovereign markets, and safeguard monetary transmission. But euro area financial markets have remained fragmented, driving retail interest rates in stressed markets far above those in the core. This has impeded the flow of credit and undermined the transmission of monetary policy. Analysis presented here indicates that the credit channel of monetary policy has broken down during the crisis, particularly in stressed markets, and that SMEs in these economies appear to be most affected by elevated lending rates.Given these stresses, the ECB can undertake additional targeted policy measures, including through additional term loans, collateral policies, and private asset purchases.
Revisiting The Economic Case For Fiscal Union In The Euro Area
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Author : Mr.Helge Berger
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2018-02-20
Revisiting The Economic Case For Fiscal Union In The Euro Area written by Mr.Helge Berger and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-02-20 with Business & Economics categories.
The paper makes an analytical contribution to the revived discussion about the euro area’s institutional setup. After significant progress during the euro crisis, the drive to complete Europe’s Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) had stalled, and the way forward will benefit from an in-depth look at the conceptual issues raised by the evolution and architecture of Europe, and the tradeoffs involved. A thorough look at the underlying economic issues suggests that in the long run, EMU will benefit from progressing along three mutually supporting tracks: introduce more fiscal risk sharing, helping to make the sovereign “no bailout” rule credible; complementary financial sector reforms to delink sovereigns and banks; and more effective rules to discourage moral hazard. This evolution would ensure that financial markets provide incentives for fiscal discipline. Introducing more fiscal union comes with myriad legal, technical, operational, and political problems, raising questions well beyond the remit of economics. But without decisive progress to foster fiscal risk sharing, EMU will continue to face existential risks.
Banks Government Bonds And Default
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Author : Nicola Gennaioli
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2014-07-08
Banks Government Bonds And Default written by Nicola Gennaioli and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-07-08 with Business & Economics categories.
We analyze holdings of public bonds by over 20,000 banks in 191 countries, and the role of these bonds in 20 sovereign defaults over 1998-2012. Banks hold many public bonds (on average 9% of their assets), particularly in less financially-developed countries. During sovereign defaults, banks increase their exposure to public bonds, especially large banks and when expected bond returns are high. At the bank level, bondholdings correlate negatively with subsequent lending during sovereign defaults. This correlation is mostly due to bonds acquired in pre-default years. These findings shed light on alternative theories of the sovereign default-banking crisis nexus.
From Banking To Sovereign Stress Implications For Public Debt
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Author : International Monetary Fund
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2014-12-22
From Banking To Sovereign Stress Implications For Public Debt written by International Monetary Fund and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-12-22 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper explores how banking sector developments and characteristics influence the propagation of risks from the banking sector to sovereign debt, including how they affect the extent of fiscal costs of banking crises when those occur. It then proposes practices and policies for the fiscal authorities to help manage the risks and enhance crisis preparedness.
Banking And Sovereign Risk In The Euro Area
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Author : Stefan Gerlach
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2016
Banking And Sovereign Risk In The Euro Area written by Stefan Gerlach and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016 with categories.
We study the determinants of sovereign bond spreads in the euro area since the introduction of the euro. We show that an aggregate risk factor is a main driver of spreads. This factor also plays an important indirect role for risk spreads through its interaction with the size and structure of national banking sectors. When aggregate risk increases, countries with large banking sectors and low equity ratios in the banking sector experience greater widening in yield spreads, suggesting that financial markets perceive a larger risk that governments will have to rescue banks, increasing public debt and therefore sovereign risk. Moreover, government debt levels and forecasts of future fiscal deficits are also significant determinants of sovereign spreads.
The Lender Of Last Resort
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Author :
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date :
The Lender Of Last Resort written by and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on with categories.