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Multiple Tests F R Die Evaluation Von Prognosemodellen


Multiple Tests F R Die Evaluation Von Prognosemodellen
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Multiple Tests F R Die Evaluation Von Prognosemodellen


Multiple Tests F R Die Evaluation Von Prognosemodellen
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Author : Sue Man Fan
language : de
Publisher: BoD – Books on Demand
Release Date : 2010

Multiple Tests F R Die Evaluation Von Prognosemodellen written by Sue Man Fan and has been published by BoD – Books on Demand this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010 with categories.




Dynamic Copulas For Finance


Dynamic Copulas For Finance
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Author : Valentin Braun
language : en
Publisher: BoD – Books on Demand
Release Date : 2011

Dynamic Copulas For Finance written by Valentin Braun and has been published by BoD – Books on Demand this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011 with Business & Economics categories.


The interactions of financial securities are crucial to determine possible portfolio losses. Although this fact is well understood, two questions remain: What causes changes in the dependence structure of financial assets? How can fluctuating dependencies be measured? The most common approach to identify the amplitude of financial assets' interactions are linear correlation coefficients. However, they fail to comprise shifts in the dependence structure. Alternatively, Copulas are a more flexible dependence measurement. This book focuses on the development of Dynamic Copula frameworks by implementing stochastic parameters into Archimedian and Elliptical Copula functions. In contrast to static correlation measures, the Dynamic Copulas are able to replicate unstable financial market interactions. Various Dynamic Copulas are applied to global stock, bond, commodity and exchange rate data to calculate the correlation time paths, which explain financial market reactions to economic shocks. Furthermore, the interactions of dependencies, volatility and returns are analyzed, to determine the efficiency of portfolio diversification in regards to wealth protection. Portfolio risks are estimated through Dynamic Copulas to demonstrate their abilities to replicate financial market interactions accurately. Additionally, this analysis reveals the impact of changing dependence intensities on the magnitude of possible portfolio losses. Finally, the Dynamic Copulas are utilized to allocate higher moment optimal portfolios. This examination emphasizes the effect of inaccurate correlation estimates on the portfolio choice.



Money As A Global Phenomenon


Money As A Global Phenomenon
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Author : Andreas Rees
language : en
Publisher: BoD – Books on Demand
Release Date : 2011

Money As A Global Phenomenon written by Andreas Rees and has been published by BoD – Books on Demand this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011 with categories.




Armutsbek Mpfung In Entwicklungsl Ndern


Armutsbek Mpfung In Entwicklungsl Ndern
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Author : Andreas Knödl
language : de
Publisher: BoD – Books on Demand
Release Date : 2011

Armutsbek Mpfung In Entwicklungsl Ndern written by Andreas Knödl and has been published by BoD – Books on Demand this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011 with Developing countries categories.




Data Analysis And Decision Support


Data Analysis And Decision Support
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Author : Daniel Baier
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2005-07-13

Data Analysis And Decision Support written by Daniel Baier and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-07-13 with Mathematics categories.


It is a great privilege and pleasure to write a foreword for a book honor ing Wolfgang Gaul on the occasion of his sixtieth birthday. Wolfgang Gaul is currently Professor of Business Administration and Management Science and the Head of the Institute of Decision Theory and Management Science, Faculty of Economics, University of Karlsruhe (TH), Germany. He is, by any measure, one of the most distinguished and eminent scholars in the world today. Wolfgang Gaul has been instrumental in numerous leading research initia tives and has achieved an unprecedented level of success in facilitating com munication among researchers in diverse disciplines from around the world. A particularly remarkable and unique aspect of his work is that he has been a leading scholar in such diverse areas of research as graph theory and net work models, reliability theory, stochastic optimization, operations research, probability theory, sampling theory, cluster analysis, scaling and multivariate data analysis. His activities have been directed not only at these and other theoretical topics, but also at applications of statistical and mathematical tools to a multitude of important problems in computer science (e.g., w- mining), business research (e.g., market segmentation), management science (e.g., decision support systems) and behavioral sciences (e.g., preference mea surement and data mining). All of his endeavors have been accomplished at the highest level of professional excellence.



Thermo Hydro Mechanical Chemical Processes In Porous Media


Thermo Hydro Mechanical Chemical Processes In Porous Media
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Author : Olaf Kolditz
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-04-06

Thermo Hydro Mechanical Chemical Processes In Porous Media written by Olaf Kolditz and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-04-06 with Computers categories.


The book comprises an assembly of benchmarks and examples for porous media mechanics collected over the last twenty years. Analysis of thermo-hydro-mechanical-chemical (THMC) processes is essential to many applications in environmental engineering, such as geological waste deposition, geothermal energy utilisation, carbon capture and storage, water resources management, hydrology, even climate chance. In order to assess the feasibility as well as the safety of geotechnical applications, process-based modelling is the only tool to put numbers, i.e. to quantify future scenarios. This charges a huge responsibility concerning the reliability of computational tools. Benchmarking is an appropriate methodology to verify the quality of modelling tools based on best practices. Moreover, benchmarking and code comparison foster community efforts. The benchmark book is part of the OpenGeoSys initiative - an open source project to share knowledge and experience in environmental analysis and scientific computation.



Childbirth Trauma


Childbirth Trauma
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Author : Stergios K Doumouchtsis
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2018-06-07

Childbirth Trauma written by Stergios K Doumouchtsis and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-06-07 with Medical categories.


This comprehensive and authoritative text takes an integrated approach to childbirth trauma, focusing on anal sphincter injuries and perineal morbidity, as well as other lower urinary tract dysfunctions secondary to childbirth. ​In recent years there has been an increasing emphasis on childbirth injury. Research based on clinical evaluation and anal ultrasound has improved our understanding of these significant childbirth related complications, their associated morbidity and their long-term sequelae. Despite extensive research interest, clinical focus and institutional national and international guidelines, outcomes are still not optimal and debates continue. Complete with full-color illustrations, Childbirth Trauma is a useful guide for clinicians and researchers in this field.



The Timeline Of Presidential Elections


The Timeline Of Presidential Elections
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Author : Robert S. Erikson
language : en
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Release Date : 2012-08-24

The Timeline Of Presidential Elections written by Robert S. Erikson and has been published by University of Chicago Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-08-24 with Political Science categories.


In presidential elections, do voters cast their ballots for the candidates whose platform and positions best match their own? Or is the race for president of the United States come down largely to who runs the most effective campaign? It’s a question those who study elections have been considering for years with no clear resolution. In The Timeline of Presidential Elections, Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien reveal for the first time how both factors come into play. Erikson and Wlezien have amassed data from close to two thousand national polls covering every presidential election from 1952 to 2008, allowing them to see how outcomes take shape over the course of an election year. Polls from the beginning of the year, they show, have virtually no predictive power. By mid-April, when the candidates have been identified and matched in pollsters’ trial heats, preferences have come into focus—and predicted the winner in eleven of the fifteen elections. But a similar process of forming favorites takes place in the last six months, during which voters’ intentions change only gradually, with particular events—including presidential debates—rarely resulting in dramatic change. Ultimately, Erikson and Wlezien show that it is through campaigns that voters are made aware of—or not made aware of—fundamental factors like candidates’ policy positions that determine which ticket will get their votes. In other words, fundamentals matter, but only because of campaigns. Timely and compelling, this book will force us to rethink our assumptions about presidential elections.



Statistical Analysis And Forecasting Of Economic Structural Change


Statistical Analysis And Forecasting Of Economic Structural Change
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Author : Peter Hackl
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-03-09

Statistical Analysis And Forecasting Of Economic Structural Change written by Peter Hackl and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-03-09 with Business & Economics categories.


In 1984, the University of Bonn (FRG) and the International Institute for Applied System Analysis (IIASA) in Laxenburg (Austria), created a joint research group to analyze the relationship between economic growth and structural change. The research team was to examine the commodity composition as well as the size and direction of commodity and credit flows among countries and regions. Krelle (1988) reports on the results of this "Bonn-IIASA" research project. At the same time, an informal IIASA Working Group was initiated to deal with prob lems of the statistical analysis of economic data in the context of structural change: What tools do we have to identify nonconstancy of model parameters? What type of models are particularly applicable to nonconstant structure? How is forecasting affected by the presence of nonconstant structure? What problems should be anticipated in applying these tools and models? Some 50 experts, mainly statisticians or econometricians from about 15 countries, came together in Lodz, Poland (May 1985); Berlin, GDR (June 1986); and Sulejov, Poland (September 1986) to present and discuss their findings. This volume contains a selected set of those conference contributions as well as several specially invited chapters.



Sustaining Forest Ecosystems


Sustaining Forest Ecosystems
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Author : Klaus von Gadow
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2021-08-11

Sustaining Forest Ecosystems written by Klaus von Gadow and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-08-11 with Technology & Engineering categories.


Forest ecosystems include a great variety of communities of organisms interacting with their physical environment: multi-aged natural forests, even-aged monocultures, and secondary forests invaded by foreign species. The challenge is to sustain their ability to function, by adapting to changing climates and satisfying a multitude of human demands. Our first chapter sets the scene with a discussion about the effects of forest management on ecosystem services. Details about forest observational infrastructures are introduced in the second chapter. The third chapter presents methods of analysing forest density and structure. Models for estimating the shape and growth of individual forest trees are introduced in chapter 4, models of forest community production in Chapter 5. Methods and examples of sustainable forest design are covered in chapter 6. New scientific contributions continue to emerge as we are writing, and this work is never finished. We hope to continue with regular updates replacing obsolete sections with new ones, but the general aim remains the same, to introduce a range of methods that will assist those interested in sustaining forest ecosystems.