New Techniques For Improving Climate Models Predictions And Projections
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New Techniques For Improving Climate Models Predictions And Projections
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Author : Matthew Collins
language : en
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
Release Date : 2022-01-24
New Techniques For Improving Climate Models Predictions And Projections written by Matthew Collins and has been published by Frontiers Media SA this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-01-24 with Science categories.
A National Strategy For Advancing Climate Modeling
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Author : Division on Earth and Life Studies
language : en
Publisher: National Academies Press
Release Date : 2013-01-24
A National Strategy For Advancing Climate Modeling written by Division on Earth and Life Studies and has been published by National Academies Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-01-24 with Science categories.
As climate change has pushed climate patterns outside of historic norms, the need for detailed projections is growing across all sectors, including agriculture, insurance, and emergency preparedness planning. A National Strategy for Advancing Climate Modeling emphasizes the needs for climate models to evolve substantially in order to deliver climate projections at the scale and level of detail desired by decision makers, this report finds. Despite much recent progress in developing reliable climate models, there are still efficiencies to be gained across the large and diverse U.S. climate modeling community. Evolving to a more unified climate modeling enterprise-in particular by developing a common software infrastructure shared by all climate researchers and holding an annual climate modeling forum-could help speed progress. Throughout this report, several recommendations and guidelines are outlined to accelerate progress in climate modeling. The U.S. supports several climate models, each conceptually similar but with components assembled with slightly different software and data output standards. If all U.S. climate models employed a single software system, it could simplify testing and migration to new computing hardware, and allow scientists to compare and interchange climate model components, such as land surface or ocean models. A National Strategy for Advancing Climate Modeling recommends an annual U.S. climate modeling forum be held to help bring the nation's diverse modeling communities together with the users of climate data. This would provide climate model data users with an opportunity to learn more about the strengths and limitations of models and provide input to modelers on their needs and provide a venue for discussions of priorities for the national modeling enterprise, and bring disparate climate science communities together to design common modeling experiments. In addition, A National Strategy for Advancing Climate Modeling explains that U.S. climate modelers will need to address an expanding breadth of scientific problems while striving to make predictions and projections more accurate. Progress toward this goal can be made through a combination of increasing model resolution, advances in observations, improved model physics, and more complete representations of the Earth system. To address the computing needs of the climate modeling community, the report suggests a two-pronged approach that involves the continued use and upgrading of existing climate-dedicated computing resources at modeling centers, together with research on how to effectively exploit the more complex computer hardware systems expected over the next 10 to 20 years.
Demystifying Climate Models
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Author : Andrew Gettelman
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2016-04-09
Demystifying Climate Models written by Andrew Gettelman and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-04-09 with Technology & Engineering categories.
This book demystifies the models we use to simulate present and future climates, allowing readers to better understand how to use climate model results. In order to predict the future trajectory of the Earth’s climate, climate-system simulation models are necessary. When and how do we trust climate model predictions? The book offers a framework for answering this question. It provides readers with a basic primer on climate and climate change, and offers non-technical explanations for how climate models are constructed, why they are uncertain, and what level of confidence we should place in them. It presents current results and the key uncertainties concerning them. Uncertainty is not a weakness but understanding uncertainty is a strength and a key part of using any model, including climate models. Case studies of how climate model output has been used and how it might be used in the future are provided. The ultimate goal of this book is to promote a better understanding of the structure and uncertainties of climate models among users, including scientists, engineers and policymakers.
Climate Change Modeling Methodology
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Author : Philip J. Rasch
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-09
Climate Change Modeling Methodology written by Philip J. Rasch and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-09 with Science categories.
The Earth's average temperature has risen by 1.4°F over the past century, and computer models project that it will rise much more over the next hundred years, with significant impacts on weather, climate, and human society. Many climate scientists attribute these increases to the build up of greenhouse gases produced by the burning of fossil fuels and to the anthropogenic production of short-lived climate pollutants. Climate Change Modeling Methodologies: Selected Entries from the Encyclopaedia of Sustainability Science and Technology provides readers with an introduction to the tools and analysis techniques used by climate change scientists to interpret the role of these forcing agents on climate. Readers will also gain a deeper understanding of the strengths and weaknesses of these models and how to test and assess them. The contributions include a glossary of key terms and a concise definition of the subject for each topic, as well as recommendations for sources of more detailed information.
Downscaling Techniques For High Resolution Climate Projections
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Author : Rao Kotamarthi
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2021-02-11
Downscaling Techniques For High Resolution Climate Projections written by Rao Kotamarthi and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-02-11 with Nature categories.
A practical guide to understanding, using and producing downscaled climate data, for researchers, graduate students, policy makers and practitioners.
Improving The Effectiveness Of U S Climate Modeling
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Author : National Research Council
language : en
Publisher: National Academies Press
Release Date : 2001-05-18
Improving The Effectiveness Of U S Climate Modeling written by National Research Council and has been published by National Academies Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2001-05-18 with Science categories.
Information derived from climate modeling has become increasingly important in recent years. More and more we understand that climate variability and change impacts society and that dealing with climate-related disasters, conflicts, and opportunities requires the best possible information about the past, present, and future of the climate system. To this end, Improving the Effectiveness of U.S. Climate Modeling describes ways to improve the efficacy of the U.S. climate modeling enterprise, given the current needs and resources. It discusses enhanced and stable resources for modeling activities, focused and centralized operational activities, how to give researchers access to the best computing facilities, the creation of a common modeling and data infrastructure, and research studies on the socioeconomic aspects of climate and climate modeling.
Weather Climate Services For The Energy Industry
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Author : Alberto Troccoli
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2018-01-03
Weather Climate Services For The Energy Industry written by Alberto Troccoli and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-01-03 with Social Science categories.
This open access book showcases the burgeoning area of applied research at the intersection between weather and climate science and the energy industry. It illustrates how better communication between science and industry can help both sides. By opening a dialogue, scientists can understand the broader context for their work and the energy industry is able to keep track of and implement the latest scientific advances for more efficient and sustainable energy systems. Weather & Climate Services for the Energy Industry considers the lessons learned in establishing an ongoing discussion between the energy industry and the meteorological community and how its principles and practises can be applied elsewhere. This book will be a useful guiding resource for research and early career practitioners concerned with the energy industry and the new field of research known as energy meteorology.
Second Assessment Of Climate Change For The Baltic Sea Basin
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Author : The BACC II Author Team
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2015-04-03
Second Assessment Of Climate Change For The Baltic Sea Basin written by The BACC II Author Team and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-04-03 with Science categories.
This book is an update of the first BACC assessment, published in 2008. It offers new and updated scientific findings in regional climate research for the Baltic Sea basin. These include climate changes since the last glaciation (approx. 12,000 years ago), changes in the recent past (the last 200 years), climate projections up until 2100 using state-of-the-art regional climate models and an assessment of climate-change impacts on terrestrial, freshwater and marine ecosystems. There are dedicated new chapters on sea-level rise, coastal erosion and impacts on urban areas. A new set of chapters deals with possible causes of regional climate change along with the global effects of increased greenhouse gas concentrations, namely atmospheric aerosols and land-cover change. The evidence collected and presented in this book shows that the regional climate has already started to change and this is expected to continue. Projections of potential future climates show that the region will probably become considerably warmer and wetter in some parts, but dryer in others. Terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems have already shown adjustments to increased temperatures and are expected to undergo further changes in the near future. The BACC II Author Team consists of 141 scientists from 12 countries, covering various disciplines related to climate research and related impacts. BACC II is a project of the Baltic Earth research network and contributes to the World Climate Research Programme.
Climate Prediction S T Digest
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2014
Climate Prediction S T Digest written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014 with Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop categories.
"NOAA's 38th Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop was held in College Park, Maryland, on 21-24 October 2013. It was hosted by the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) of National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) and the Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites (CICS) of University of Maryland; and co-sponsored by NOAA Climate Program Office (CPO) Modeling, Analysis, Predictions and Projections (MAPP) Program, and the Climate Services Division (CSD) of National Weather Service (NWS). The American Meteorological Society (AMS) was a cooperating sponsor. To accelerate improvements in NOAA operational products and datasets, and delivery of climate information, this workshop brought NCEP and the broader climate community together to address the following themes: 1. Exploring potential sources of predictability on intra-seasonal to interannual (ISI) time scales; 2. Realizing prediction skill by improving forecast tools and techniques through dynamical models and statistical methods, forecaster practices and protocols, data quality and assimilation, and scientific best practices; 3. Enhancing monitoring and timely attribution and assessment of recent high impact weather, water, and climate events; 4. Improving the forecast evaluation process, including verification techniques, performance metrics, evaluating existing forecast tools, the process of phasing out old tools and implementing new forecast tools, and engaging users in the evaluation process; 5. Developing applications that enhance NOAA climate services by improving understanding of user needs and delivering the best available climate information for the NOAA societal challenges in water, coasts, extremes, and marine ecosystems. This Digest is a collection of extended summaries of the presentations contributed by participants. The workshop is continuing to grow and expected to provide a stimulus for further improvements in climate monitoring, diagnostics, prediction, applications and services "--Overview.
Climate Change And Climate Modeling
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Author : J. David Neelin
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2010-12-16
Climate Change And Climate Modeling written by J. David Neelin and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-12-16 with Science categories.
Provides students with a solid foundation in climate science, with which to understand global warming, natural climate variations, and climate models. As climate models are one of our primary tools for predicting and adapting to climate change, it is vital we appreciate their strengths and limitations. Also key is understanding what aspects of climate science are well understood and where quantitative uncertainties arise. This textbook will inform the future users of climate models and the decision-makers of tomorrow by providing the depth they need, while requiring no background in atmospheric science and only basic calculus and physics. Developed from a course that the author teaches at UCLA, material has been extensively class-tested and with online resources of colour figures, Powerpoint slides, and problem sets, this is a complete package for students across all sciences wishing to gain a solid grounding in climate science.