Optimal Decisions Under Uncertainty

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Optimal Decisions Under Uncertainty
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Author : J.K. Sengupta
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06
Optimal Decisions Under Uncertainty written by J.K. Sengupta and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Business & Economics categories.
The theory of optimal decisions in a stochastic environment has seen many new developments in recent years. The implications of such theory for empirical and policy applications are several. This book attempts to analyze some of the impor tant applied aspects of this theory and its recent developments. The stochastic environment is considered here in specific form, e.g., (a) linear programs (LP) with parameters subject to a probabilistic mechanism, (b) decision models with risk aversion, (c) resource allocation in a team, and (d) national economic planning. The book attempts to provide new research insights into several areas, e.g., (a) mixed strategy solutions and econometric tests of hypotheses of LP models, (b) the dual problems of efficient estimation and optimal regulation, (c) input-output planning under imperfect competition, and (d) linear programs viewed as constrained statistical games. Methods of optimal decision rules developed here for quadratic and linear decision problems are applicable in three broad areas: (a) applied economic models in resource allocation, planning and team decision, (b) operations research models in management decisions involving portfolio analysis and stochastic programming, and (c) systems science models in stochastic control and adaptive behavior. Some results reported here have been published in professional journals be-. fore, and I would like to thank the following journals in particular: Inter national Journal of Systems Science, Journal of Optimization Theory and Applica tions and Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications.
Optimal Decisions Under Uncertainty
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Author : Jatikumar Sengupta
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 1981
Optimal Decisions Under Uncertainty written by Jatikumar Sengupta and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1981 with Decision-making categories.
Optimal Financial Decision Making Under Uncertainty
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Author : Giorgio Consigli
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2016-10-17
Optimal Financial Decision Making Under Uncertainty written by Giorgio Consigli and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-10-17 with Business & Economics categories.
The scope of this volume is primarily to analyze from different methodological perspectives similar valuation and optimization problems arising in financial applications, aimed at facilitating a theoretical and computational integration between methods largely regarded as alternatives. Increasingly in recent years, financial management problems such as strategic asset allocation, asset-liability management, as well as asset pricing problems, have been presented in the literature adopting formulation and solution approaches rooted in stochastic programming, robust optimization, stochastic dynamic programming (including approximate SDP) methods, as well as policy rule optimization, heuristic approaches and others. The aim of the volume is to facilitate the comprehension of the modeling and methodological potentials of those methods, thus their common assumptions and peculiarities, relying on similar financial problems. The volume will address different valuation problems common in finance related to: asset pricing, optimal portfolio management, risk measurement, risk control and asset-liability management. The volume features chapters of theoretical and practical relevance clarifying recent advances in the associated applied field from different standpoints, relying on similar valuation problems and, as mentioned, facilitating a mutual and beneficial methodological and theoretical knowledge transfer. The distinctive aspects of the volume can be summarized as follows: Strong benchmarking philosophy, with contributors explicitly asked to underline current limits and desirable developments in their areas. Theoretical contributions, aimed at advancing the state-of-the-art in the given domain with a clear potential for applications The inclusion of an algorithmic-computational discussion of issues arising on similar valuation problems across different methods. Variety of applications: rarely is it possible within a single volume to consider and analyze different, and possibly competing, alternative optimization techniques applied to well-identified financial valuation problems. Clear definition of the current state-of-the-art in each methodological and applied area to facilitate future research directions.
Optimal Decisions
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Author : Oskar Lange
language : en
Publisher: Elsevier
Release Date : 2014-05-17
Optimal Decisions written by Oskar Lange and has been published by Elsevier this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-05-17 with Mathematics categories.
Optimal Decisions: Principles of Programming deals with all important problems related to programming. This book provides a general interpretation of the theory of programming based on the application of the Lagrange multipliers, followed by a presentation of the marginal and linear programming as special cases of this general theory. The praxeological interpretation of the method of Lagrange multipliers is also discussed. This text covers the Koopmans' model of transportation, geometric interpretation of the programming problem, and nature of activity analysis. The solution of the problem by marginal analysis, Hurwitz and the Bayes-Laplace principles, and planning of production under uncertainty are likewise deliberated. This publication is a good source for researchers and specialists intending to acquire knowledge of the principles of programming.
Managerial Decisions Under Uncertainty
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Author : Bruce F. Baird
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 1991-01-16
Managerial Decisions Under Uncertainty written by Bruce F. Baird and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1991-01-16 with Business & Economics categories.
How to improve decision-making skills in realistic situations and do it in a reasonably nonmathematical fashion. Develops practical techniques for deciding upon the best strategies in a variety of situations. Provides methods for reducing complex problems to easily-drawn decision diagrams (trees), supported by real-world examples. Includes detailed cases that employ the methods described in the text. Each chapter contains illustrative examples and exercises.
Optimal Decisions Under Uncertainty
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Author : J. K. Sengupta
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1985-01-01
Optimal Decisions Under Uncertainty written by J. K. Sengupta and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1985-01-01 with categories.
Optimal Decisions Under Uncertainty
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Author : J K Sengupta
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1981-09-01
Optimal Decisions Under Uncertainty written by J K Sengupta and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1981-09-01 with categories.
Decisions Under Uncertainty
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Author : Ian Jordaan
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2005-04-07
Decisions Under Uncertainty written by Ian Jordaan and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-04-07 with Business & Economics categories.
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Decision Making Under Uncertainty In Financial Markets
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Author : Jonas Ekblom
language : en
Publisher: Linköping University Electronic Press
Release Date : 2018-09-13
Decision Making Under Uncertainty In Financial Markets written by Jonas Ekblom and has been published by Linköping University Electronic Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-09-13 with categories.
This thesis addresses the topic of decision making under uncertainty, with particular focus on financial markets. The aim of this research is to support improved decisions in practice, and related to this, to advance our understanding of financial markets. Stochastic optimization provides the tools to determine optimal decisions in uncertain environments, and the optimality conditions of these models produce insights into how financial markets work. To be more concrete, a great deal of financial theory is based on optimality conditions derived from stochastic optimization models. Therefore, an important part of the development of financial theory is to study stochastic optimization models that step-by-step better capture the essence of reality. This is the motivation behind the focus of this thesis, which is to study methods that in relation to prevailing models that underlie financial theory allow additional real-world complexities to be properly modeled. The overall purpose of this thesis is to develop and evaluate stochastic optimization models that support improved decisions under uncertainty on financial markets. The research into stochastic optimization in financial literature has traditionally focused on problem formulations that allow closed-form or `exact' numerical solutions; typically through the application of dynamic programming or optimal control. The focus in this thesis is on two other optimization methods, namely stochastic programming and approximate dynamic programming, which open up opportunities to study new classes of financial problems. More specifically, these optimization methods allow additional and important aspects of many real-world problems to be captured. This thesis contributes with several insights that are relevant for both financial and stochastic optimization literature. First, we show that the modeling of several real-world aspects traditionally not considered in the literature are important components in a model which supports corporate hedging decisions. Specifically, we document the importance of modeling term premia, a rich asset universe and transaction costs. Secondly, we provide two methodological contributions to the stochastic programming literature by: (i) highlighting the challenges of realizing improved decisions through more stages in stochastic programming models; and (ii) developing an importance sampling method that can be used to produce high solution quality with few scenarios. Finally, we design an approximate dynamic programming model that gives close to optimal solutions to the classic, and thus far unsolved, portfolio choice problem with constant relative risk aversion preferences and transaction costs, given many risky assets and a large number of time periods.
Probabilistic Forecasts And Optimal Decisions
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Author : Roman Krzysztofowicz
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2025-02-03
Probabilistic Forecasts And Optimal Decisions written by Roman Krzysztofowicz and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2025-02-03 with Technology & Engineering categories.
Account for uncertainties and optimize decision-making with this thorough exposition Decision theory is a body of thought and research seeking to apply a mathematical-logical framework to assessing probability and optimizing decision-making. It has developed robust tools for addressing all major challenges to decision making. Yet the number of variables and uncertainties affecting each decision outcome, many of them beyond the decider's control, mean that decision-making is far from a “solved problem”. The tools created by decision theory remain to be refined and applied to decisions in which uncertainties are prominent. Probabilistic Forecasts and Optimal Decisions introduces a theoretically-grounded methodology for optimizing decision-making under conditions of uncertainty. Beginning with an overview of the basic elements of probability theory and methods for modeling continuous variates, it proceeds to survey the mathematics of both continuous and discrete models, supporting each with key examples. The result is a crucial window into the complex but enormously rewarding world of decision theory. Probabilistic Forecasts and Optimal Decisions readers will also find: Extended case studies supported with real-world data Mini-projects running through multiple chapters to illustrate different stages of the decision-making process End of chapter exercises designed to facilitate student learning Probabilistic Forecasts and Optimal Decisions is ideal for advanced undergraduate and graduate students in the sciences and engineering, as well as predictive analytics and decision analytics professionals.