Peak Oil Debate
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Peak Oil Debate
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Author : Laurel Graefe
language : en
Publisher: DIANE Publishing
Release Date : 2011-04
Peak Oil Debate written by Laurel Graefe and has been published by DIANE Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-04 with Technology & Engineering categories.
For the past half-century, a debate has raged over when ¿peak oil¿ will occur ¿ the point at which output can no longer increase and production begins to level off or gradually decline. Determining how long the oil supply will last has become even more pressing because the world¿s energy supply still relies heavily on oil, and global energy demand is expected to rise steeply over the next twenty years. This article seeks to bring the peak oil debate into focus. The author provides definitions of frequently used terms, delineating types of reserves and conventional versus non-conventional resources. She also discusses how technological innovations, gov¿t. policies, and prices influence oil production. Illus. A print on demand report.
Trends In Oil Supply And Demand The Potential For Peaking Of Conventional Oil Production And Possible Mitigation Options
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Author : National Research Council
language : en
Publisher: National Academies Press
Release Date : 2006-03-17
Trends In Oil Supply And Demand The Potential For Peaking Of Conventional Oil Production And Possible Mitigation Options written by National Research Council and has been published by National Academies Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-03-17 with Science categories.
Recent events and analyses have suggested that global production of oil might peak sometime within the next few years to the next one or two decades. Other analyses, however, conclude that oil supply can meet global demand for some decades to come and that oil production peaking is much further off. To explore this issue, the NRC held a workshop, funded by the Department of Energy, bringing together analysts representing these different views. The workshop was divided into four main sessions: setting the stage; future global oil supply and demand balance; mitigation options and time to implementation; and potential follow-up activities. This report provides a summary of the workshop including the key points, issues and questions raised by the participants, and it identifies possible topics for follow-up studies. No consensus views, conclusions, or recommendations are presented.
Introduction To Peak Oil
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Author : R.W. Bentley
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2016-03-22
Introduction To Peak Oil written by R.W. Bentley and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-03-22 with Technology & Engineering categories.
This book examines the physical and economic characteristics of the global oil resource to explain why peak oil has been so poorly understood. The author draws on information held in oil industry datasets that are not widely available outside of the specialist literature, and describes a number of methods that have been successfully used to predict oil peaks. In contrast to the widely-held view that ‘all oil forecasts are wrong’, these methods correctly predicted the current peak in global conventional oil production. Current oil forecasts are then compared to evaluate the expected dates for regional and global oil peaks for conventional oil, all-oils, and all-liquids. The dates of global peaks in the production of all-oil and all-liquids appear to be reasonably soon, while the oil price that is needed to support these global production levels continues to rise. The world faces serious constraints in its oil supply, which accounts for about one-third of total world energy use, and over 90% of the fuel used for transportation. Readers of this book will gain a thorough understanding of the critical, but poorly understood, phenomenon of peak oil that has already had significant impacts on society in terms of high oil prices, and which will place increasing constraints on mankind’s supply of energy and economic well-being in the coming years.
Too Much By Half
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Author : James Dietrich
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2019-07-08
Too Much By Half written by James Dietrich and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-07-08 with categories.
The year was 2007 and the financial world was crashing. The setting was my residence in Moscow, Russia. A visiting American PhD economist working for the Russell 2000 asked me, "And how good are the estimates of proved oil reserves in your industry." She knew that mathematical models are used to predict value and risk in her world of money and in my world of oil. Perhaps she felt a sense of humiliation - the financial models had totally failed. I recall my response, "It seems that a barrel of oil reserves becomes three barrels if it's under Russia." That was a flip answer, but perhaps not that exaggerated. Her question stayed with me. Eight years later given even more international consulting experience, my sober answer became, "Proved oil reserves are too much by half." In other words, globally and on average, three barrels of publicized oil reserves are actually closer to two barrels. Here we're talking only about proved reserves. These are hydrocarbon volumes that are estimated with reasonable certainty to be commercially recoverable. In probabilistic terms, use of the words "reasonable certainty" implies there is a 90% chance of meeting or exceeding the quoted recoverable volumes. During periods of rising and falling oil prices, oil companies increase and decrease their estimates of proved reserves, in order to satisfy the requirement that the reserves are commercially recoverable. This is the story of how reserves have become systematically inflated, aside from any influence of rising oil prices. The book is part way between memoir and non-fiction - too much of one to be properly the other. Dubbed narrative non-fiction, it may appeal to those interested in the "peak oil" debate, an international consulting career, expat living, or simply the absurdity of people trying to work together. My views on the reserves question are derived from working independently for decades inside Big Oil as a consultant. They are likely to differ from the perceptions of outsiders who rely on material made available for public consumption. Consider the attorney working as a financial services executive who has written a book about oil in 2016. He tells us we're at the dawn of the fossil fuel era, touting that his book "... incorporates facts from leading authorities and firsthand sources, such as the revenue predictions of major oil companies and the United States government." Since when are we expected to accept an equivalence between facts and predictions? The book was written to counter the claims that we are awash in oil. A term called the R/P ratio is central to the debate on peak oil. It's the ratio of known reserves to the rate of use - the ratio is about 40 years for oil and 60 years for natural gas. If world reserves are indeed over-booked by half, those estimates shorten to nearly 25 years for oil and 40 years for gas. We will likely have a lot less time to move away from the use of fossil fuels before the tanks are empty. And then consider: The worldwide supply of oil, as of any mineral resource, will rise from zero to a peak and after that will decline forever. The crisis comes not when the last drop is pumped; it arrives when we've consumed nearly half the oil there ever was. At that point, steadily falling supply can not meet continuing rising demand. Nearly all the pundits agree that we're close to the half-way point. The book reads mostly as memoir, telling the story as a chronology of projects in which the author was retained as a consulting engineer to estimate, develop and produce reserves. The reader will get the sense that as we're nearing the half-way point, it's nature - geology and physics - that is preventing us from unlocking more oil from mature reservoirs, never mind oil prices!
Peak Oil Paradigm Shift
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Author : Bilaal Abdullah
language : en
Publisher: Medianet Limited
Release Date : 2005
Peak Oil Paradigm Shift written by Bilaal Abdullah and has been published by Medianet Limited this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with Business & Economics categories.
Beyond Oil
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Author : Kenneth S. Deffeyes
language : en
Publisher: Hill and Wang
Release Date : 2006-06-13
Beyond Oil written by Kenneth S. Deffeyes and has been published by Hill and Wang this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-06-13 with Science categories.
"This book explains both why the decline of our most precious fuel is inevitable and how challenging it will be to cope with what comes next."—Richard E. Smalley, University Professor, Rice University, and 1996 Nobel laureate With world oil production about to peak and inexorably head toward steep decline, what fuels are available to meet rising global energy demands? That question, once thought to address a fairly remote contingency, has become ever more urgent, as a spate of books has drawn increased public attention to the imminent exhaustion of the economically vital world oil reserves. Kenneth S. Deffeyes, a geologist who was among the first to warn of the coming oil crisis, now takes the next logical step and turns his attention to the earth's supply of potential replacement fuels. In Beyond Oil, he traces out their likely production futures, with special reference to that of oil, utilizing the same analytic tools developed by his former colleague, the pioneering petroleum-supply authority M. King Hubbert. "The bad news in this book is made bearable by the author's witty, conversational writing style. If my college econ textbooks had been written this way, I might have learned economics." —Rupert Cutler, The Roanoke Times
Black Gold
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Author : George Orwel
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2006-06-27
Black Gold written by George Orwel and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-06-27 with Business & Economics categories.
Analyze how the falling production and rising demand of oil has enabled savvy companies and investment banks to cash in with Black Gold. You'll find investment suggestions -- from ETFs and energy futures to hedge funds -- that will allow you to reap substantial profits from current and future situations as well as short human-interest stories that illustrate every issue discussed. You'll also find a timeframe for the peak of oil production -- one that is more realistic and gaining acceptance with both scientists and economists. Drawing on historical background, current issues, and expectations of the energy road ahead, Black Gold offers information you'll appreciate and understand so you can make the most of a market poised to grow exponentially in the years ahead.
The First Half Of The Age Of Oil
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Author : Charles A. S. Hall
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-05
The First Half Of The Age Of Oil written by Charles A. S. Hall and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-05 with Technology & Engineering categories.
According to the conventional wisdom, we live in a post-industrial information age. This book, however, paints a different picture: We live in the age of oil. Petroleum fuels and feedstocks are responsible for much of what we take for granted in modern society, from chemical products such as fertilizer and plastics, to the energy that moves people and goods in a global economy. Oil is a nearly perfect fuel: Energy dense, safe to store, easy to transport, and mostly environmentally benign. Most importantly, oil has been cheap and abundant during the past 150 years. In 1998, two respected geologists, Colin Campbell and Jean Laherrère, published a detailed article announcing that the “end of cheap oil” would happen before 2010, which meant that the world would face a peak, or at least a plateau, in global daily oil production in the first decade of the new millennium. Today, two billion people under the age of 14 have lived the majority of their lives past the point when this century-long growth in oil supplies came to an end, which also marks the end of the first half of the age of oil. This transition has ushered in a new reality of high oil prices, stagnating oil supplies, and sluggish economies. In this book, a leading authority on energy explores the contributions and continuing legacy of Colin Campbell and Jean Laherrère, the two geologists who modified the terms of the debate about oil. The book provides a unique perspective and state-of-the-art overview of today’s energy reality and its enormous economic and social implications. - Covers a topic that eclipses climate change as the most important but least understood challenge for contemporary society - Explores the works of Colin Campbell and Jean Laherrère, the leading authorities in the field of Peak Oil, authors of “The End of Cheap Oil” (Scientific American, 1998), and founding members of the Association for the Study of Peak Oil & Gas - Addresses a broad audience of scientists, engineers, and economists in a format that is accessible to the general public - Provides a complete overview of the basic geological, chemical, physical, economic and historical concepts that every oil consumer should understand - Presents the latest information on oil production, reserves, discoveries, prices, and fields in easy-to-understand graphs and plots
The Peak Oil Scare And The Coming Oil Flood
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Author : Michael C. Lynch
language : en
Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing USA
Release Date : 2016-07-25
The Peak Oil Scare And The Coming Oil Flood written by Michael C. Lynch and has been published by Bloomsbury Publishing USA this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-07-25 with Technology & Engineering categories.
Is the earth's oil supply starting to run out, or is there far more oil than some experts believe? This book points out flaws in the research used to warn of an oil shortfall and predicts that large new reserves of oil are soon to be tapped. In the last decade, oil experts, geologists, and policy makers alike have warned that a peak in oil production around the world was about to be reached and that global economic distress would result when this occurred. But it didn't happen. The "Peak Oil" Scare and the Coming Oil Flood refutes the recent claims that world oil production is nearing a peak and threatening economic disaster by analyzing the methods used by the theory's proponents. Author Michael C. Lynch, former researcher at Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), debunks the "Peak Oil" crisis prediction and describes how the next few years will instead see large amounts of new supply that will bring oil prices down and boost the global economy. This book will be invaluable to those involved in the energy industry, including among those fields that are competing with oil, as well as financial institutions for which the price of oil is of critical importance. Lynch uncovers the facts behind the misleading news stories and media coverage on oil production as well as the analytic process that reveals the truth about the global oil supply. General readers will be dismayed to learn how governments have frequently been led astray by seeming logical theories that prove to have no sound basis and will come away with a healthy sense of skepticism about popular economics.
The World After Cheap Oil
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Author : Rauli Partanen
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2014-10-24
The World After Cheap Oil written by Rauli Partanen and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-10-24 with Technology & Engineering categories.
Substantial evidence suggests that we are currently living at the peak of oil production with few prospects for cheap oil ever returning. Yet the media, politicians and regular people have hardly started to talk about what this means. Oil literally runs our societies from transportation to food production to economic activity. Without oil, everything stops. There are powerful arguments that if we fail to increase oil production, we will also fail to grow our economy as a whole. For oil importing western nations the news is bleak; higher oil prices seem to put a glass ceiling on their economic growth, making current debt problems worse no matter what monetary and economic policies we might choose. The World After Cheap Oil offers a thorough package of information about oil; its uses and its role in our society’s important sectors. It presents the most prominent substitutes and alternatives, and their limits and promises. It also delves deep into the many risks, problems and mechanisms that can make the world after cheap oil a much more unstable place for nations and humanity as a whole. The book also explains why there has been so little public debate on the subject, and what the future might look like after oil production starts its final, terminal decline.