Persistent Forecasting Of Disruptive Technologies


Persistent Forecasting Of Disruptive Technologies
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Persistent Forecasting Of Disruptive Technologies


Persistent Forecasting Of Disruptive Technologies
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Author : National Research Council
language : en
Publisher: National Academies Press
Release Date : 2010-02-15

Persistent Forecasting Of Disruptive Technologies written by National Research Council and has been published by National Academies Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-02-15 with Technology & Engineering categories.


Technological innovations are key causal agents of surprise and disruption. In the recent past, the United States military has encountered unexpected challenges in the battlefield due in part to the adversary's incorporation of technologies not traditionally associated with weaponry. Recognizing the need to broaden the scope of current technology forecasting efforts, the Office of the Director, Defense Research and Engineering (DDR&E) and the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) tasked the Committee for Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies with providing guidance and insight on how to build a persistent forecasting system to predict, analyze, and reduce the impact of the most dramatically disruptive technologies. The first of two reports, this volume analyzes existing forecasting methods and processes. It then outlines the necessary characteristics of a comprehensive forecasting system that integrates data from diverse sources to identify potentially game-changing technological innovations and facilitates informed decision making by policymakers. The committee's goal was to help the reader understand current forecasting methodologies, the nature of disruptive technologies and the characteristics of a persistent forecasting system for disruptive technology. Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies is a useful text for the Department of Defense, Homeland Security, the Intelligence community and other defense agencies across the nation.



Persistent Forecasting Of Disruptive Technologies Report 2


Persistent Forecasting Of Disruptive Technologies Report 2
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Author : National Research Council
language : en
Publisher: National Academies Press
Release Date : 2010-07-02

Persistent Forecasting Of Disruptive Technologies Report 2 written by National Research Council and has been published by National Academies Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-07-02 with Technology & Engineering categories.


The term "disruptive technology" describes a technology that results in a sudden change affecting already established technologies or markets. Disruptive technologies cause one or more discontinuities in the normal evolutionary life cycle of technology. This may lead to an unexpected destabilization of an older technology order and an opportunity for new competitors to displace incumbents. Frequently cited examples include digital photography and desktop publishing. The first report of the series, Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies, discussed how technology forecasts were historically made, assessed various existing forecasting systems, and identified desirable attributes of a next-generation persistent long-term forecasting system for disruptive technologies. This second book attempts to sketch out high-level forecasting system designs. In addition, the book provides further evaluation of the system attributes defined in the first report, and evidence of the feasibility of creating a system with those attributes. Together, the reports are intended to help the Department of Defense and the intelligence community identify and develop a forecasting system that will assist in detecting and tracking global technology trends, producing persistent long-term forecasts of disruptive technologies, and characterizing their potential impact on future U.S. warfighting and homeland defense capabilities.



Persistent Forecasting Of Disruptive Technologies Report 2


Persistent Forecasting Of Disruptive Technologies Report 2
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Author : National Research Council
language : en
Publisher: National Academies Press
Release Date : 2010-08-02

Persistent Forecasting Of Disruptive Technologies Report 2 written by National Research Council and has been published by National Academies Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-08-02 with Technology & Engineering categories.


The term "disruptive technology" describes a technology that results in a sudden change affecting already established technologies or markets. Disruptive technologies cause one or more discontinuities in the normal evolutionary life cycle of technology. This may lead to an unexpected destabilization of an older technology order and an opportunity for new competitors to displace incumbents. Frequently cited examples include digital photography and desktop publishing. The first report of the series, Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies, discussed how technology forecasts were historically made, assessed various existing forecasting systems, and identified desirable attributes of a next-generation persistent long-term forecasting system for disruptive technologies. This second book attempts to sketch out high-level forecasting system designs. In addition, the book provides further evaluation of the system attributes defined in the first report, and evidence of the feasibility of creating a system with those attributes. Together, the reports are intended to help the Department of Defense and the intelligence community identify and develop a forecasting system that will assist in detecting and tracking global technology trends, producing persistent long-term forecasts of disruptive technologies, and characterizing their potential impact on future U.S. warfighting and homeland defense capabilities.



Persistent Forecasting Of Disruptive Technologies


Persistent Forecasting Of Disruptive Technologies
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Author : Committee on Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2010-01-15

Persistent Forecasting Of Disruptive Technologies written by Committee on Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-01-15 with categories.


Technological innovations are key causal agents of surprise and disruption. In the recent past, the United States military has encountered unexpected challenges in the battlefield due in part to the adversary's incorporation of technologies not traditionally associated with weaponry. Recognizing the need to broaden the scope of current technology forecasting efforts, the Office of the Director, Defense Research and Engineering (DDR&E) and the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) tasked the Committee for Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies with providing guidance and insight on how to build a persistent forecasting system to predict, analyze, and reduce the impact of the most dramatically disruptive technologies. The first of two reports, this volume analyzes existing forecasting methods and processes. It then outlines the necessary characteristics of a comprehensive forecasting system that integrates data from diverse sources to identify potentially game-changing technological innovations and facilitates informed decision making by policymakers. The committee's goal was to help the reader understand current forecasting methodologies, the nature of disruptive technologies and the characteristics of a persistent forecasting system for disruptive technology. Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies is a useful text for the Department of Defense, Homeland Security, the Intelligence community and other defense agencies across the nation.



Persistent Forecasting Of Disruptive Technologies


Persistent Forecasting Of Disruptive Technologies
DOWNLOAD eBooks

Author : National Research Council
language : en
Publisher: National Academies Press
Release Date : 2010-01-15

Persistent Forecasting Of Disruptive Technologies written by National Research Council and has been published by National Academies Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-01-15 with Technology & Engineering categories.


Technological innovations are key causal agents of surprise and disruption. In the recent past, the United States military has encountered unexpected challenges in the battlefield due in part to the adversary's incorporation of technologies not traditionally associated with weaponry. Recognizing the need to broaden the scope of current technology forecasting efforts, the Office of the Director, Defense Research and Engineering (DDR&E) and the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) tasked the Committee for Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies with providing guidance and insight on how to build a persistent forecasting system to predict, analyze, and reduce the impact of the most dramatically disruptive technologies. The first of two reports, this volume analyzes existing forecasting methods and processes. It then outlines the necessary characteristics of a comprehensive forecasting system that integrates data from diverse sources to identify potentially game-changing technological innovations and facilitates informed decision making by policymakers. The committee's goal was to help the reader understand current forecasting methodologies, the nature of disruptive technologies and the characteristics of a persistent forecasting system for disruptive technology. Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies is a useful text for the Department of Defense, Homeland Security, the Intelligence community and other defense agencies across the nation.



Big Bang Disruption


Big Bang Disruption
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Author : Larry Downes
language : en
Publisher: Penguin UK
Release Date : 2014-01-07

Big Bang Disruption written by Larry Downes and has been published by Penguin UK this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-01-07 with Business & Economics categories.


'A stimulating read...carefully researched and accessibly written...the case studies on disruption alone are worth the cover price' -Financial Times 'Everything you need from business school in one very direct book' -Dick Costolo, CEO, Twitter It used to take years for new products and services to dethrone industry leaders. Now any business can be instantly devastated by something better and cheaper. How can you protect yourself, and harness the power of Big Bang Disruption? No matter what your industry, start-ups can change the market before you even begin to grasp what's happening. The good news is that any business can master the strategy of the start-ups. In Big Bang Disruption, Larry Downes and Paul Nunes show you how to spot the next big thing - before the next start-up does. Based on extensive research by the Accenture Institute for High Performance and interviews from over 30 industries, this essential bookwill give you with the tools to take control of your future.



Disruptive And Game Changing Technologies In Modern Warfare


Disruptive And Game Changing Technologies In Modern Warfare
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Author : Margaret E. Kosal
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2019-09-27

Disruptive And Game Changing Technologies In Modern Warfare written by Margaret E. Kosal and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-09-27 with Political Science categories.


This book explores and analyzes emerging innovations within today’s most cutting-edge science and technology (S&T) areas, which are cited as carrying the potential to revolutionize governmental structures, economies, and international security. Some have argued that such technologies will yield doomsday scenarios and that military applications of such technologies have even greater potential than nuclear weapons to radically change the balance of power. As the United States looks to the future – whether dominated by extremist groups co-opting advanced weapons in the world of globalized non-state actors or states engaged in persistent regional conflicts in areas of strategic interest – new adversaries and new science and technology will emerge. Choices made today that affect science and technology will impact how ably the US can and will respond. Chapters within the book look at the changing strategic environment in which security operations are planned and conducted; how these impact science and technology policy choices made today; and predictions of how science and technology may play a beneficial or deleterious role in the future. Some game changing technologies have received global attention, while others may be less well known; the new technologies discussed within this proposal, as well as future discoveries, may significantly alter military capabilities and may generate new threats against military and civilian sectors.



Technology Assessment


Technology Assessment
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Author : Tugrul U. Daim
language : en
Publisher: Erich Schmidt Verlag GmbH & Co KG
Release Date : 2011

Technology Assessment written by Tugrul U. Daim and has been published by Erich Schmidt Verlag GmbH & Co KG this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011 with Information technology categories.


"Understanding the technology dynamics is a required capability in today's technology driven industries. This volume focuses on three areas: technology assessment, technology forecasting and technology diffusion. It shows: an introduction to different types of assessment methods and applications from different sectors including energy, healthcare and communications; technology forecasting and foresight and a review of conventional and emerging methods; and the diffusion of technologies by exploring adoption of products and services from different sectors."--Back cover.



Review Of The National Defense Intelligence College S Master S Degree In Science And Technology Intelligence


Review Of The National Defense Intelligence College S Master S Degree In Science And Technology Intelligence
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Author : National Research Council
language : en
Publisher: National Academies Press
Release Date : 2011-11-14

Review Of The National Defense Intelligence College S Master S Degree In Science And Technology Intelligence written by National Research Council and has been published by National Academies Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-11-14 with Education categories.


The National Research Council (NRC) was asked by the National Defense Intelligence College (NDIC) to convene a committee to review the curriculum and syllabi for their proposed master of science degree in science and technology intelligence. The NRC was asked to review the material provided by the NDIC and offer advice and recommendations regarding the program's structure and goals of the Master of Science and Technology Intelligence (MS&TI) program. The Committee for the Review of the Master's Degree Program for Science and Technology Professionals convened in May 2011, received extensive briefings and material from the NDIC faculty and administrators, and commenced a detailed review of the material. This letter report contains the findings and recommendations of the committee. Review of the National Defense Intelligence College's Master's Degree in Science and Technology Intelligence centers on two general areas. First, the committee found that the biological sciences and systems engineering were underrepresented in the existing program structure. Secondly, the committee recommends that the NDIC faculty restructure the program and course learning objectives to focus more specifically on science and technology, with particular emphasis on the empirical measurement of student achievement. Given the dynamic and ever-changing nature of science and technology, the syllabi should continue to evolve as change occurs.



Big Bang Disruption


Big Bang Disruption
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Author : Larry Downes
language : en
Publisher: Harvard Business Review Press
Release Date : 2014-01-07

Big Bang Disruption written by Larry Downes and has been published by Harvard Business Review Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-01-07 with Business & Economics categories.


In recent years a new—disquieting—form of disruptive innovation has emerged, one that beats incumbents on both price and quality right from the start and quickly sweeps through every customer segment. This kind of “big bang” disruption can devastate entire product lines virtually overnight. Look at the effect that free navigation apps, preloaded on smartphones, had on the market for devices made by TomTom, Garmin, and Magellan. Big-bang disruptions often come out of the blue from people who aren’t your traditional competitors. Frequently, they’re developed by inventors who are just doing low-cost experiments with existing technologies to see what new products they can dream up. Once launched, these innovations don’t adhere to conventional strategic paths or normal patterns of market adoption. That makes them incredibly hard to combat. Though technology- and information-intensive firms are most vulnerable to big bangs, mature industries face this threat, too. Credit cards, automobiles, and education, for instance, are all experiencing early warning signs. But in every industry, big-bang disruption will be keeping executives in a cold sweat for a long time to come. This article, which originally appeared in Harvard Business Review, offers some strategic principles to help businesses survive big bangs.