Predicting Financial Crises A Guide To Early Warning Systems
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Predicting Financial Crises A Guide To Early Warning Systems
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Author : Pasquale De Marco
language : en
Publisher: Pasquale De Marco
Release Date : 2025-07-25
Predicting Financial Crises A Guide To Early Warning Systems written by Pasquale De Marco and has been published by Pasquale De Marco this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2025-07-25 with Business & Economics categories.
This book provides a comprehensive overview of the state-of-the-art in early warning systems (EWSs) for financial crises. It covers a wide range of topics, including: * The different types of financial crises and their early warning indicators * The empirical evidence on the performance of EWSs * The challenges in predicting financial crises * The policy implications of EWSs The book is written in a clear and concise style, making it suitable for a wide range of audiences, including: * Policymakers who need to be aware of the latest developments in EWSs * Academics who are interested in the latest research on financial crises * Financial market practitioners who need to be able to use EWSs to make informed decisions The book is a valuable resource for anyone who is interested in preventing financial crises. This book makes a significant contribution to the literature on EWSs for financial crises. It provides a comprehensive overview of the state-of-the-art in EWSs, and it offers a number of new insights into the challenges of predicting financial crises. The book is a valuable resource for anyone who is interested in preventing financial crises. If you like this book, write a review!
Early Warning Systems For Financial Crises
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Author : Asian Development Bank
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2005-02-15
Early Warning Systems For Financial Crises written by Asian Development Bank and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-02-15 with Business & Economics categories.
Since the 1997 Asian financial crisis, East Asia has implemented a number of initiatives designed to strengthen monetary and financial cooperation, bolstering the region's resilience to economic and financial vulnerabilities. One such initiative is the ASEAN+3 Information Exchange and Policy Dialogue, which includes development of early warning systems (EWS) for financial crises. This book examines efforts to develop EWS models. Specifically, the book analyzes the current understanding of the causes of currency and banking crises, describes recent progress in developing and applying EWS models for currency and banking crises, reviews methodolgical issues, assesses the predictive power of EWS models and also highlights areas where further research is required to make these models more effective tools for policy analysis. The case studies apply both parametric and nonparametric approaches to EWS modleing using data from six East Asian countries.
A Modern Guide To Financial Shocks And Crises
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Author : Ferri, Giovanni
language : en
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Release Date : 2021-12-14
A Modern Guide To Financial Shocks And Crises written by Ferri, Giovanni and has been published by Edward Elgar Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-12-14 with Business & Economics categories.
Offering a comprehensive guide to financial shocks and crises, this book explores their increasing occurrence in current market economies, as well as their power to wrench the macroeconomy. The book discusses three critical questions: what causes financial shocks; which channels may exacerbate their impact; and what policies could help avoid them or limit their negative effect on the economy and society at large.
Anticipating Balance Of Payments Crises The Role Of Early Warning Systems
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Author : Mr.Eduardo Borensztein
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2000-01-24
Anticipating Balance Of Payments Crises The Role Of Early Warning Systems written by Mr.Eduardo Borensztein and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2000-01-24 with Business & Economics categories.
Recent years have witnessed an increase in the frequency of currency and balance of payments crises in developing countries. More important, the crises have become more virulent, have caused widespread disruption to other developing countries, and have even had repercussions on advanced economies. To predict crises, their causes must be clearly understood. Two competing strands of theories are reviewed in this paper. The first focuses on the consequences of such policies as excessive credit growth in provoking depletion of foreign exchange reserves and making a devaluation enevitable. The second emphasizes the trade-offs between internal and external balance that the policymaker faces in defending a peg.
Managing Economic Volatility And Crises
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Author : Joshua Aizenman
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2005-10-03
Managing Economic Volatility And Crises written by Joshua Aizenman and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-10-03 with Business & Economics categories.
Economic volatility has come into its own after being treated for decades as a secondary phenomenon in the business cycle literature. This evolution has been driven by the recognition that non-linearities, long buried by the economist's penchant for linearity, magnify the negative effects of volatility on long-run growth and inequality, especially in poor countries. This collection organizes empirical and policy results for economists and development policy practitioners into four parts: basic features, including the impact of volatility on growth and poverty; commodity price volatility; the financial sector's dual role as an absorber and amplifier of shocks; and the management and prevention of macroeconomic crises. The latter section includes a cross-country study, case studies on Argentina and Russia, and lessons from the debt default episodes of the 1980s and 1990s.
Financial Crises
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Author : Mr.Stijn Claessens
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2014-02-19
Financial Crises written by Mr.Stijn Claessens and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-02-19 with Business & Economics categories.
The lingering effects of the economic crisis are still visible—this shows a clear need to improve our understanding of financial crises. This book surveys a wide range of crises, including banking, balance of payments, and sovereign debt crises. It begins with an overview of the various types of crises and introduces a comprehensive database of crises. Broad lessons on crisis prevention and management, as well as the short-term economic effects of crises, recessions, and recoveries, are discussed.
Leading Indicators Of Currency Crises
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Author : Graciela Laura Kaminsky
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 1997-07-01
Leading Indicators Of Currency Crises written by Graciela Laura Kaminsky and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1997-07-01 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper examines the empirical evidence on currency crises and proposes a specific early warning system. This system involves monitoring the evolution of several indicators that tend to exhibit an unusual behavior in the periods preceding a crisis. When an indicator exceeds a certain threshold value, this is interpreted as a warning “signal” that a currency crisis may take place within the following 24 months. The variables that have the best track record within this approach include exports, deviations of the real exchange rate from trend, the ratio of broad money to gross international reserves, output, and equity prices.
The Bank Credit Analysis Handbook
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Author : Jonathan Golin
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2013-03-18
The Bank Credit Analysis Handbook written by Jonathan Golin and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-03-18 with Business & Economics categories.
A hands-on guide to the theory and practice of bank credit analysis and ratings In this revised edition, Jonathan Golin and Philippe Delhaise expand on the role of bank credit analysts and the methodology of their practice. Offering investors and practitioners an insider's perspective on how rating agencies assign all-important credit ratings to banks, the book is updated to reflect today's environment of increased oversight and demands for greater transparency. It includes international case studies of bank credit analysis, suggestions and insights for understanding and complying with the Basel Accords, techniques for reviewing asset quality on both quantitative and qualitative bases, explores the restructuring of distressed banks, and much more. Features charts, graphs, and spreadsheet illustrations to further explain topics discussed in the text Includes international case studies from North America, Asia, and Europe that offer readers a global perspective Offers coverage of the Basel Accords on Capital Adequacy and Liquidity and shares the authors' view that a bank could be compliant under those and other regulations without being creditworthy A uniquely practical guide to bank credit analysis as it is currently practiced around the world, The Bank Credit Analysis Handbook, Second Edition is a must-have resource for equity analysts, credit analysts, and bankers, as well as wealth managers and investors.
Financial Crises Explanations Types And Implications
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Author : Mr.Stijn Claessens
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2013-01-30
Financial Crises Explanations Types And Implications written by Mr.Stijn Claessens and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-01-30 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper reviews the literature on financial crises focusing on three specific aspects. First, what are the main factors explaining financial crises? Since many theories on the sources of financial crises highlight the importance of sharp fluctuations in asset and credit markets, the paper briefly reviews theoretical and empirical studies on developments in these markets around financial crises. Second, what are the major types of financial crises? The paper focuses on the main theoretical and empirical explanations of four types of financial crises—currency crises, sudden stops, debt crises, and banking crises—and presents a survey of the literature that attempts to identify these episodes. Third, what are the real and financial sector implications of crises? The paper briefly reviews the short- and medium-run implications of crises for the real economy and financial sector. It concludes with a summary of the main lessons from the literature and future research directions.
Kuwait Country Study Guide Volume 1 Strategic Information And Developments
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Author : IBP USA
language : en
Publisher: Lulu.com
Release Date : 2013-08
Kuwait Country Study Guide Volume 1 Strategic Information And Developments written by IBP USA and has been published by Lulu.com this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-08 with Business & Economics categories.
Kuwait Country Study Guide - Strategic Information and Developments