Predictive Econometrics And Big Data
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Predictive Econometrics And Big Data
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Author : Vladik Kreinovich
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2017-11-30
Predictive Econometrics And Big Data written by Vladik Kreinovich and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-11-30 with Technology & Engineering categories.
This book presents recent research on predictive econometrics and big data. Gathering edited papers presented at the 11th International Conference of the Thailand Econometric Society (TES2018), held in Chiang Mai, Thailand, on January 10-12, 2018, its main focus is on predictive techniques – which directly aim at predicting economic phenomena; and big data techniques – which enable us to handle the enormous amounts of data generated by modern computers in a reasonable time. The book also discusses the applications of more traditional statistical techniques to econometric problems. Econometrics is a branch of economics that employs mathematical (especially statistical) methods to analyze economic systems, to forecast economic and financial dynamics, and to develop strategies for achieving desirable economic performance. It is therefore important to develop data processing techniques that explicitly focus on prediction. The more data we have, the better our predictions will be. As such, these techniques are essential to our ability to process huge amounts of available data.
Macroeconomic Forecasting In The Era Of Big Data
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Author : Peter Fuleky
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2019-11-28
Macroeconomic Forecasting In The Era Of Big Data written by Peter Fuleky and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-11-28 with Business & Economics categories.
This book surveys big data tools used in macroeconomic forecasting and addresses related econometric issues, including how to capture dynamic relationships among variables; how to select parsimonious models; how to deal with model uncertainty, instability, non-stationarity, and mixed frequency data; and how to evaluate forecasts, among others. Each chapter is self-contained with references, and provides solid background information, while also reviewing the latest advances in the field. Accordingly, the book offers a valuable resource for researchers, professional forecasters, and students of quantitative economics.
Judgment In Predictive Analytics
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Author : Matthias Seifert
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2023-06-02
Judgment In Predictive Analytics written by Matthias Seifert and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-06-02 with Business & Economics categories.
This book highlights research on the behavioral biases affecting judgmental accuracy in judgmental forecasting and showcases the state-of-the-art in judgment-based predictive analytics. In recent years, technological advancements have made it possible to use predictive analytics to exploit highly complex (big) data resources. Consequently, modern forecasting methodologies are based on sophisticated algorithms from the domain of machine learning and deep learning. However, research shows that in the majority of industry contexts, human judgment remains an indispensable component of the managerial forecasting process. This book discusses ways in which decision-makers can address human behavioral issues in judgmental forecasting. The book begins by introducing readers to the notion of human-machine interactions. This includes a look at the necessity of managerial judgment in situations where organizations commonly have algorithmic decision support models at their disposal. The remainder of the book is divided into three parts, with Part I focusing on the role of individual-level judgment in the design and utilization of algorithmic models. The respective chapters cover individual-level biases such as algorithm aversion, model selection criteria, model-judgment aggregation issues and implications for behavioral change. In turn, Part II addresses the role of collective judgments in predictive analytics. The chapters focus on issues related to talent spotting, performance-weighted aggregation, and the wisdom of timely crowds. Part III concludes the book by shedding light on the importance of contextual factors as critical determinants of forecasting performance. Its chapters discuss the usefulness of scenario analysis, the role of external factors in time series forecasting and introduce the idea of mindful organizing as an approach to creating more sustainable forecasting practices in organizations.
Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Alternative Data
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Author : Apurv Jain
language : en
Publisher: Academic Press
Release Date : 2020-12-01
Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Alternative Data written by Apurv Jain and has been published by Academic Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-12-01 with Business & Economics categories.
Macroeconomic Forecasting Using Alternative Data: Techniques for Applying Big Data and Machine Learning applies computer science to the demands of macroeconomic forecasting. It is the first book to combine machine learning methods with macroeconomics. By using artificial intelligence and machine learning techniques, it unlocks the increased forecasting accuracy offered by alternative data sources. Through its interdisciplinary approach, readers learn how to use big datasets efficiently and effectively. Combines big data/machine learning with macroeconomic forecasting Explains how alternative data improves forecasting accuracy when controlled for traditional data sources Provides new innovative methods for handling large databases and improving forecasting accuracy
Data Science For Financial Econometrics
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Author : Nguyen Ngoc Thach
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2020-11-13
Data Science For Financial Econometrics written by Nguyen Ngoc Thach and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-11-13 with Computers categories.
This book offers an overview of state-of-the-art econometric techniques, with a special emphasis on financial econometrics. There is a major need for such techniques, since the traditional way of designing mathematical models – based on researchers’ insights – can no longer keep pace with the ever-increasing data flow. To catch up, many application areas have begun relying on data science, i.e., on techniques for extracting models from data, such as data mining, machine learning, and innovative statistics. In terms of capitalizing on data science, many application areas are way ahead of economics. To close this gap, the book provides examples of how data science techniques can be used in economics. Corresponding techniques range from almost traditional statistics to promising novel ideas such as quantum econometrics. Given its scope, the book will appeal to students and researchers interested in state-of-the-art developments, and to practitioners interested in using data science techniques.
Predictive Analytics
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Author : Eric Siegel
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2016-01-13
Predictive Analytics written by Eric Siegel and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-01-13 with Business & Economics categories.
"Mesmerizing & fascinating..." —The Seattle Post-Intelligencer "The Freakonomics of big data." —Stein Kretsinger, founding executive of Advertising.com Award-winning | Used by over 30 universities | Translated into 9 languages An introduction for everyone. In this rich, fascinating — surprisingly accessible — introduction, leading expert Eric Siegel reveals how predictive analytics (aka machine learning) works, and how it affects everyone every day. Rather than a “how to” for hands-on techies, the book serves lay readers and experts alike by covering new case studies and the latest state-of-the-art techniques. Prediction is booming. It reinvents industries and runs the world. Companies, governments, law enforcement, hospitals, and universities are seizing upon the power. These institutions predict whether you're going to click, buy, lie, or die. Why? For good reason: predicting human behavior combats risk, boosts sales, fortifies healthcare, streamlines manufacturing, conquers spam, optimizes social networks, toughens crime fighting, and wins elections. How? Prediction is powered by the world's most potent, flourishing unnatural resource: data. Accumulated in large part as the by-product of routine tasks, data is the unsalted, flavorless residue deposited en masse as organizations churn away. Surprise! This heap of refuse is a gold mine. Big data embodies an extraordinary wealth of experience from which to learn. Predictive analytics (aka machine learning) unleashes the power of data. With this technology, the computer literally learns from data how to predict the future behavior of individuals. Perfect prediction is not possible, but putting odds on the future drives millions of decisions more effectively, determining whom to call, mail, investigate, incarcerate, set up on a date, or medicate. In this lucid, captivating introduction — now in its Revised and Updated edition — former Columbia University professor and Predictive Analytics World founder Eric Siegel reveals the power and perils of prediction: What type of mortgage risk Chase Bank predicted before the recession. Predicting which people will drop out of school, cancel a subscription, or get divorced before they even know it themselves. Why early retirement predicts a shorter life expectancy and vegetarians miss fewer flights. Five reasons why organizations predict death — including one health insurance company. How U.S. Bank and Obama for America calculated the way to most strongly persuade each individual. Why the NSA wants all your data: machine learning supercomputers to fight terrorism. How IBM's Watson computer used predictive modeling to answer questions and beat the human champs on TV's Jeopardy! How companies ascertain untold, private truths — how Target figures out you're pregnant and Hewlett-Packard deduces you're about to quit your job. How judges and parole boards rely on crime-predicting computers to decide how long convicts remain in prison. 182 examples from Airbnb, the BBC, Citibank, ConEd, Facebook, Ford, Google, the IRS, LinkedIn, Match.com, MTV, Netflix, PayPal, Pfizer, Spotify, Uber, UPS, Wikipedia, and more. How does predictive analytics work? This jam-packed book satisfies by demystifying the intriguing science under the hood. For future hands-on practitioners pursuing a career in the field, it sets a strong foundation, delivers the prerequisite knowledge, and whets your appetite for more. A truly omnipresent science, predictive analytics constantly affects our daily lives. Whether you are a consumer of it — or consumed by it — get a handle on the power of Predictive Analytics.
Applying Predictive Analytics Within The Service Sector
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Author : Sahu, Rajendra
language : en
Publisher: IGI Global
Release Date : 2017-02-07
Applying Predictive Analytics Within The Service Sector written by Sahu, Rajendra and has been published by IGI Global this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-02-07 with Business & Economics categories.
Value creation is a prime concern for any contemporary business. This can be accomplished through the incorporation of various techniques and processes, such as the integration of analytics to improve business functions. Applying Predictive Analytics Within the Service Sector is a pivotal reference source for the latest innovative perspectives on the incorporation of analysis techniques to enhance business performance. Examining a wide range of relevant topics, such as alternative clustering, recommender systems, and social media tools, this book is ideally designed for researchers, academics, students, professionals, and practitioners seeking scholarly material on business improvement in the service industry.
Econometric Forecasting And High Frequency Data Analysis
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Author : Roberto S. Mariano
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2008
Econometric Forecasting And High Frequency Data Analysis written by Roberto S. Mariano and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008 with Business & Economics categories.
This important book consists of surveys of high-frequency financial data analysis and econometric forecasting, written by pioneers in these areas including Nobel laureate Lawrence Klein. Some of the chapters were presented as tutorials to an audience in the Econometric Forecasting and High-Frequency Data Analysis Workshop at the Institute for Mathematical Science, National University of Singapore in May 2006. They will be of interest to researchers working in macroeconometrics as well as financial econometrics. Moreover, readers will find these chapters useful as a guide to the literature as well as suggestions for future research. Sample Chapter(s). Foreword (32 KB). Chapter 1: Forecast Uncertainty, Its Representation and Evaluation* (97 KB). Contents: Forecasting Uncertainty, Its Representation and Evaluation (K F Wallis); The University of Pennsylvania Models for High-Frequency Macroeconomic Modeling (L R Klein & S Ozmucur); Forecasting Seasonal Time Series (P H Franses); Car and Affine Processes (C Gourieroux); Multivariate Time Series Analysis and Forecasting (M Deistler). Readership: Professionals and researchers in econometric forecasting and financial data analysis.
Statistical And Machine Learning Data Mining
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Author : Bruce Ratner
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2017-07-12
Statistical And Machine Learning Data Mining written by Bruce Ratner and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-07-12 with Computers categories.
Interest in predictive analytics of big data has grown exponentially in the four years since the publication of Statistical and Machine-Learning Data Mining: Techniques for Better Predictive Modeling and Analysis of Big Data, Second Edition. In the third edition of this bestseller, the author has completely revised, reorganized, and repositioned the original chapters and produced 13 new chapters of creative and useful machine-learning data mining techniques. In sum, the 43 chapters of simple yet insightful quantitative techniques make this book unique in the field of data mining literature. What is new in the Third Edition: The current chapters have been completely rewritten. The core content has been extended with strategies and methods for problems drawn from the top predictive analytics conference and statistical modeling workshops. Adds thirteen new chapters including coverage of data science and its rise, market share estimation, share of wallet modeling without survey data, latent market segmentation, statistical regression modeling that deals with incomplete data, decile analysis assessment in terms of the predictive power of the data, and a user-friendly version of text mining, not requiring an advanced background in natural language processing (NLP). Includes SAS subroutines which can be easily converted to other languages. As in the previous edition, this book offers detailed background, discussion, and illustration of specific methods for solving the most commonly experienced problems in predictive modeling and analysis of big data. The author addresses each methodology and assigns its application to a specific type of problem. To better ground readers, the book provides an in-depth discussion of the basic methodologies of predictive modeling and analysis. While this type of overview has been attempted before, this approach offers a truly nitty-gritty, step-by-step method that both tyros and experts in the field can enjoy playing with.
Advances In Analytics And Applications
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Author : Arnab Kumar Laha
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2018-09-07
Advances In Analytics And Applications written by Arnab Kumar Laha and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-09-07 with Business & Economics categories.
This book includes selected papers submitted to the ICADABAI-2017 conference, offering an overview of the new methodologies and presenting innovative applications that are of interest to both academicians and practitioners working in the area of analytics. It discusses predictive analytics applications, machine learning applications, human resource analytics, operations analytics, analytics in finance, methodology and econometric applications. The papers in the predictive analytics applications section discuss web analytics, email marketing, customer churn prediction, retail analytics and sports analytics. The section on machine learning applications then examines healthcare analytics, insurance analytics and machine analytics using different innovative machine learning techniques. Human resource analytics addresses important issues relating to talent acquisition and employability using analytics, while a paper in the section on operations analytics describe an innovative application in oil and gas industry. The papers in the analytics in finance part discuss the use of analytical tools in banking and commodity markets, and lastly the econometric applications part presents interesting banking and insurance applications.