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Probabilistic Reasoning In Expert Systems


Probabilistic Reasoning In Expert Systems
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Probabilistic Reasoning In Expert Systems


Probabilistic Reasoning In Expert Systems
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Author : Richard E. Neapolitan
language : en
Publisher: Wiley-Interscience
Release Date : 1990-03-16

Probabilistic Reasoning In Expert Systems written by Richard E. Neapolitan and has been published by Wiley-Interscience this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1990-03-16 with Computers categories.


Addresses the use probability theory as a tool for designing with and implementing uncertainity reasoning. Provides many concrete algorithms, explores techniques for solving multimembership classification problems not based directly on causal networks, and offers practical recommendations, matching specific methods with sample expert systems.



Probabilistic Reasoning In Intelligent Systems


Probabilistic Reasoning In Intelligent Systems
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Author : Judea Pearl
language : en
Publisher: Morgan Kaufmann
Release Date : 1988-09

Probabilistic Reasoning In Intelligent Systems written by Judea Pearl and has been published by Morgan Kaufmann this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1988-09 with Computers categories.


Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems is a complete and accessible account of the theoretical foundations and computational methods that underlie plausible reasoning under uncertainty. The author provides a coherent explication of probability as a language for reasoning with partial belief and offers a unifying perspective on other AI approaches to uncertainty, such as the Dempster-Shafer formalism, truth maintenance systems, and nonmonotonic logic. The author distinguishes syntactic and semantic approaches to uncertainty--and offers techniques, based on belief networks, that provide a mechanism for making semantics-based systems operational. Specifically, network-propagation techniques serve as a mechanism for combining the theoretical coherence of probability theory with modern demands of reasoning-systems technology: modular declarative inputs, conceptually meaningful inferences, and parallel distributed computation. Application areas include diagnosis, forecasting, image interpretation, multi-sensor fusion, decision support systems, plan recognition, planning, speech recognition--in short, almost every task requiring that conclusions be drawn from uncertain clues and incomplete information. Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems will be of special interest to scholars and researchers in AI, decision theory, statistics, logic, philosophy, cognitive psychology, and the management sciences. Professionals in the areas of knowledge-based systems, operations research, engineering, and statistics will find theoretical and computational tools of immediate practical use. The book can also be used as an excellent text for graduate-level courses in AI, operations research, or applied probability.



Principles Of Expert Systems


Principles Of Expert Systems
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Author : Peter Lucas
language : en
Publisher: Addison Wesley Publishing Company
Release Date : 1991

Principles Of Expert Systems written by Peter Lucas and has been published by Addison Wesley Publishing Company this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1991 with Computers categories.




Systematic Introduction To Expert Systems


Systematic Introduction To Expert Systems
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Author : Frank Puppe
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06

Systematic Introduction To Expert Systems written by Frank Puppe and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Computers categories.


At present one of the main obstacles to a broader application of expert systems is the lack of a theory to tell us which problem-solving methods areavailable for a given problem class. Such a theory could lead to significant progress in the following central aims of the expert system technique: - Evaluating the technical feasibility of expert system projects: This depends on whether there is a suitable problem-solving method, and if possible a corresponding tool, for the given problem class. - Simplifying knowledge acquisition and maintenance: The problem-solving methods provide direct assistance as interpretation models in knowledge acquisition. Also, they make possible the development of problem-specific expert system tools with graphical knowledge acquisition components, which can be used even by experts without programming experience. - Making use of expert systems as a knowledge medium: The structured knowledge in expert systems can be used not only for problem solving but also for knowledge communication and tutorial purposes. With such a theory in mind, this book provides a systematic introduction to expert systems. It describes the basic knowledge representations and the present situation with regard tothe identification, realization, and integration of problem-solving methods for the main problem classes of expert systems: classification (diagnostics), construction, and simulation.



Representing And Reasoning With Probabilistic Knowledge


Representing And Reasoning With Probabilistic Knowledge
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Author : Fahiem Bacchus
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge, Mass. : MIT Press
Release Date : 1990

Representing And Reasoning With Probabilistic Knowledge written by Fahiem Bacchus and has been published by Cambridge, Mass. : MIT Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1990 with Computers categories.


Probabilistic information has many uses in an intelligent system. This book explores logical formalisms for representing and reasoning with probabilistic information that will be of particular value to researchers in nonmonotonic reasoning, applications of probabilities, and knowledge representation. It demonstrates that probabilities are not limited to particular applications, like expert systems; they have an important role to play in the formal design and specification of intelligent systems in general. Fahiem Bacchus focuses on two distinct notions of probabilities: one propositional, involving degrees of belief, the other proportional, involving statistics. He constructs distinct logics with different semantics for each type of probability that are a significant advance in the formal tools available for representing and reasoning with probabilities. These logics can represent an extensive variety of qualitative assertions, eliminating requirements for exact point-valued probabilities, and they can represent firstshy;order logical information. The logics also have proof theories which give a formal specification for a class of reasoning that subsumes and integrates most of the probabilistic reasoning schemes so far developed in AI. Using the new logical tools to connect statistical with propositional probability, Bacchus also proposes a system of direct inference in which degrees of belief can be inferred from statistical knowledge and demonstrates how this mechanism can be applied to yield a powerful and intuitively satisfying system of defeasible or default reasoning. Fahiem Bacchus is Assistant Professor of Computer Science at the University of Waterloo, Ontario. Contents: Introduction. Propositional Probabilities. Statistical Probabilities. Combining Statistical and Propositional Probabilities Default Inferences from Statistical Knowledge.



Probabilistic Reasoning In Intelligent Systems


Probabilistic Reasoning In Intelligent Systems
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Author : Judea Pearl
language : en
Publisher: Elsevier
Release Date : 2014-06-28

Probabilistic Reasoning In Intelligent Systems written by Judea Pearl and has been published by Elsevier this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-06-28 with Computers categories.


Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems is a complete and accessible account of the theoretical foundations and computational methods that underlie plausible reasoning under uncertainty. The author provides a coherent explication of probability as a language for reasoning with partial belief and offers a unifying perspective on other AI approaches to uncertainty, such as the Dempster-Shafer formalism, truth maintenance systems, and nonmonotonic logic. The author distinguishes syntactic and semantic approaches to uncertainty--and offers techniques, based on belief networks, that provide a mechanism for making semantics-based systems operational. Specifically, network-propagation techniques serve as a mechanism for combining the theoretical coherence of probability theory with modern demands of reasoning-systems technology: modular declarative inputs, conceptually meaningful inferences, and parallel distributed computation. Application areas include diagnosis, forecasting, image interpretation, multi-sensor fusion, decision support systems, plan recognition, planning, speech recognition--in short, almost every task requiring that conclusions be drawn from uncertain clues and incomplete information. Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems will be of special interest to scholars and researchers in AI, decision theory, statistics, logic, philosophy, cognitive psychology, and the management sciences. Professionals in the areas of knowledge-based systems, operations research, engineering, and statistics will find theoretical and computational tools of immediate practical use. The book can also be used as an excellent text for graduate-level courses in AI, operations research, or applied probability.



Probabilistic Networks And Expert Systems


Probabilistic Networks And Expert Systems
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Author : Robert G. Cowell
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2007-07-16

Probabilistic Networks And Expert Systems written by Robert G. Cowell and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-07-16 with Computers categories.


Probabilistic expert systems are graphical networks which support the modeling of uncertainty and decisions in large complex domains, while retaining ease of calculation. Building on original research by the authors, this book gives a thorough and rigorous mathematical treatment of the underlying ideas, structures, and algorithms. The book will be of interest to researchers in both artificial intelligence and statistics, who desire an introduction to this fascinating and rapidly developing field. The book, winner of the DeGroot Prize 2002, the only book prize in the field of statistics, is new in paperback.



Classic Works Of The Dempster Shafer Theory Of Belief Functions


Classic Works Of The Dempster Shafer Theory Of Belief Functions
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Author : Ronald R. Yager
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2008-01-22

Classic Works Of The Dempster Shafer Theory Of Belief Functions written by Ronald R. Yager and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-01-22 with Technology & Engineering categories.


This is a collection of classic research papers on the Dempster-Shafer theory of belief functions. The book is the authoritative reference in the field of evidential reasoning and an important archival reference in a wide range of areas including uncertainty reasoning in artificial intelligence and decision making in economics, engineering, and management. The book includes a foreword reflecting the development of the theory in the last forty years.



Probabilistic Expert Systems


Probabilistic Expert Systems
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Author : Glenn Shafer
language : en
Publisher: SIAM
Release Date : 1996-01-01

Probabilistic Expert Systems written by Glenn Shafer and has been published by SIAM this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1996-01-01 with Computers categories.


Probabilistic Expert Systems emphasizes the basic computational principles that make probabilistic reasoning feasible in expert systems. The key to computation in these systems is the modularity of the probabilistic model. Shafer describes and compares the principal architectures for exploiting this modularity in the computation of prior and posterior probabilities. He also indicates how these similar yet different architectures apply to a wide variety of other problems of recursive computation in applied mathematics and operations research. The field of probabilistic expert systems has continued to flourish since the author delivered his lectures on the topic in June 1992, but the understanding of join-tree architectures has remained missing from the literature. This monograph fills this void by providing an analysis of join-tree methods for the computation of prior and posterior probabilities in belief nets. These methods, pioneered in the mid to late 1980s, continue to be central to the theory and practice of probabilistic expert systems. In addition to purely probabilistic expert systems, join-tree methods are also used in expert systems based on Dempster-Shafer belief functions or on possibility measures. Variations are also used for computation in relational databases, in linear optimization, and in constraint satisfaction. This book describes probabilistic expert systems in a more rigorous and focused way than existing literature, and provides an annotated bibliography that includes pointers to conferences and software. Also included are exercises that will help the reader begin to explore the problem of generalizing from probability to broader domains of recursive computation.



Handbook Of Probability


Handbook Of Probability
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Author : Tamás Rudas
language : en
Publisher: SAGE Publications
Release Date : 2008-02-21

Handbook Of Probability written by Tamás Rudas and has been published by SAGE Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-02-21 with Social Science categories.


"This is a valuable reference guide for readers interested in gaining a basic understanding of probability theory or its applications in problem solving in the other disciplines." —CHOICE Providing cutting-edge perspectives and real-world insights into the greater utility of probability and its applications, the Handbook of Probability offers an equal balance of theory and direct applications in a non-technical, yet comprehensive, format. Editor Tamás Rudas and the internationally-known contributors present the material in a manner so that researchers of various backgrounds can use the reference either as a primer for understanding basic probability theory or as a more advanced research tool for specific projects requiring a deeper understanding. The wide-ranging applications of probability presented make it useful for scholars who need to make interdisciplinary connections in their work. Key Features Contains contributions from the international who′s-who of probability across several disciplines Offers an equal balance of theory and applications Explains the most important concepts of probability theory in a non-technical yet comprehensive way Provides in-depth examples of recent applications in the social and behavioral sciences as well as education, business, and law Intended Audience This Handbook makes an ideal library purchase. In addition, this volume should also be of interest to individual scholars in the social and behavioral sciences.