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Probabilistic Risk Analysis


Probabilistic Risk Analysis
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Probabilistic Risk Analysis


Probabilistic Risk Analysis
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Author : Tim Bedford
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2001-04-30

Probabilistic Risk Analysis written by Tim Bedford and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2001-04-30 with Mathematics categories.


Probabilistic risk analysis aims to quantify the risk caused by high technology installations. Increasingly, such analyses are being applied to a wider class of systems in which problems such as lack of data, complexity of the systems, uncertainty about consequences, make a classical statistical analysis difficult or impossible. The authors discuss the fundamental notion of uncertainty, its relationship with probability, and the limits to the quantification of uncertainty. Drawing on extensive experience in the theory and applications of risk analysis, the authors focus on the conceptual and mathematical foundations underlying the quantification, interpretation and management of risk. They cover standard topics as well as important new subjects such as the use of expert judgement and uncertainty propagation. The relationship of risk analysis with decision making is highlighted in chapters on influence diagrams and decision theory. Finally, the difficulties of choosing metrics to quantify risk, and current regulatory frameworks are discussed.



Probabilistic Risk Assessment And Management For Engineers And Scientists


Probabilistic Risk Assessment And Management For Engineers And Scientists
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Author : Hiromitsu Kumamoto
language : en
Publisher: Institute of Electrical & Electronics Engineers(IEEE)
Release Date : 1996

Probabilistic Risk Assessment And Management For Engineers And Scientists written by Hiromitsu Kumamoto and has been published by Institute of Electrical & Electronics Engineers(IEEE) this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1996 with Medical categories.


As the demands of government agencies and insurance companies escalate, societal risk assessment and management become increasingly critical to the development and use of engineered systems in the full range of industrial installations.



Probabilistic Risk Assessment Of Engineering Systems


Probabilistic Risk Assessment Of Engineering Systems
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Author : M. Stewart
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 1997-11-30

Probabilistic Risk Assessment Of Engineering Systems written by M. Stewart and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1997-11-30 with Technology & Engineering categories.


Probabilistic risk and hazard assessments are applied to a wide range of engineering systems, mainly for regulatory reasons needed for development consent, system certification and occupational health and safety issues. The purpose of this book is to raise awareness of the limitations, uncertainties and other issues inherent in probabilistic risk analysis procedures. Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Engineering Systems describes: the importance of probabilistic risk assessment in decision making, i.e. risk management; types of risk and probabilistic risk analysis procedures; data needed for the conduct of probabilistic risk analysis; and acceptable/tolerable risk and other risk acceptance criteria. In essence, the book provides a multi-disciplinary and integrated explanation of risk assessment procedures that will enable the non-specialist reader to gain valuable insights into the development of risk analysis procedures. Practising engineers and graduate engineering students across a range of disciplines will find this book immensely useful.



Handbook Of Safety Principles


Handbook Of Safety Principles
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Author : Niklas Möller
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2018-02-21

Handbook Of Safety Principles written by Niklas Möller and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-02-21 with Business & Economics categories.


Presents recent breakthroughs in the theory, methods, and applications of safety and risk analysis for safety engineers, risk analysts, and policy makers Safety principles are paramount to addressing structured handling of safety concerns in all technological systems. This handbook captures and discusses the multitude of safety principles in a practical and applicable manner. It is organized by five overarching categories of safety principles: Safety Reserves; Information and Control; Demonstrability; Optimization; and Organizational Principles and Practices. With a focus on the structured treatment of a large number of safety principles relevant to all related fields, each chapter defines the principle in question and discusses its application as well as how it relates to other principles and terms. This treatment includes the history, the underlying theory, and the limitations and criticism of the principle. Several chapters also problematize and critically discuss the very concept of a safety principle. The book treats issues such as: What are safety principles and what roles do they have? What kinds of safety principles are there? When, if ever, should rules and principles be disobeyed? How do safety principles relate to the law; what is the status of principles in different domains? The book also features: • Insights from leading international experts on safety and reliability • Real-world applications and case studies including systems usability, verification and validation, human reliability, and safety barriers • Different taxonomies for how safety principles are categorized • Breakthroughs in safety and risk science that can significantly change, improve, and inform important practical decisions • A structured treatment of safety principles relevant to numerous disciplines and application areas in industry and other sectors of society • Comprehensive and practical coverage of the multitude of safety principles including maintenance optimization, substitution, safety automation, risk communication, precautionary approaches, non-quantitative safety analysis, safety culture, and many others The Handbook of Safety Principles is an ideal reference and resource for professionals engaged in risk and safety analysis and research. This book is also appropriate as a graduate and PhD-level textbook for courses in risk and safety analysis, reliability, safety engineering, and risk management offered within mathematics, operations research, and engineering departments. NIKLAS MÖLLER, PhD, is Associate Professor at the Royal Institute of Technology in Sweden. The author of approximately 20 international journal articles, Dr. Möller's research interests include the philosophy of risk, metaethics, philosophy of science, and epistemology. SVEN OVE HANSSON, PhD, is Professor of Philosophy at the Royal Institute of Technology. He has authored over 300 articles in international journals and is a member of the Royal Swedish Academy of Engineering Sciences. Dr. Hansson is also a Topical Editor for the Wiley Encyclopedia of Operations Research and Management Science. JAN-ERIK HOLMBERG, PhD, is Senior Consultant at Risk Pilot AB and Adjunct Professor of Probabilistic Riskand Safety Analysis at the Royal Institute of Technology. Dr. Holmberg received his PhD in Applied Mathematics from Helsinki University of Technology in 1997. CARL ROLLENHAGEN, PhD, is Adjunct Professor of Risk and Safety at the Royal Institute of Technology. Dr. Rollenhagen has performed extensive research in the field of human factors and MTO (Man, Technology, and Organization) with a specific emphasis on safety culture and climate, event investigation methods, and organizational safety assessment.



Risk And Safety Analysis Of Nuclear Systems


Risk And Safety Analysis Of Nuclear Systems
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Author : John C. Lee
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2011-07-05

Risk And Safety Analysis Of Nuclear Systems written by John C. Lee and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-07-05 with Technology & Engineering categories.


The book has been developed in conjunction with NERS 462, a course offered every year to seniors and graduate students in the University of Michigan NERS program. The first half of the book covers the principles of risk analysis, the techniques used to develop and update a reliability data base, the reliability of multi-component systems, Markov methods used to analyze the unavailability of systems with repairs, fault trees and event trees used in probabilistic risk assessments (PRAs), and failure modes of systems. All of this material is general enough that it could be used in non-nuclear applications, although there is an emphasis placed on the analysis of nuclear systems. The second half of the book covers the safety analysis of nuclear energy systems, an analysis of major accidents and incidents that occurred in commercial nuclear plants, applications of PRA techniques to the safety analysis of nuclear power plants (focusing on a major PRA study for five nuclear power plants), practical PRA examples, and emerging techniques in the structure of dynamic event trees and fault trees that can provide a more realistic representation of complex sequences of events. The book concludes with a discussion on passive safety features of advanced nuclear energy systems under development and approaches taken for risk-informed regulations for nuclear plants.



Probabilistic Risk Analysis And Bayesian Decision Theory


Probabilistic Risk Analysis And Bayesian Decision Theory
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Author : Marcel van Oijen
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2022-11-23

Probabilistic Risk Analysis And Bayesian Decision Theory written by Marcel van Oijen and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-11-23 with Mathematics categories.


The book shows how risk, defined as the statistical expectation of loss, can be formally decomposed as the product of two terms: hazard probability and system vulnerability. This requires a specific definition of vulnerability that replaces the many fuzzy definitions abounding in the literature. The approach is expanded to more complex risk analysis with three components rather than two, and with various definitions of hazard. Equations are derived to quantify the uncertainty of each risk component and show how the approach relates to Bayesian decision theory. Intended for statisticians, environmental scientists and risk analysts interested in the theory and application of risk analysis, this book provides precise definitions, new theory, and many examples with full computer code. The approach is based on straightforward use of probability theory which brings rigour and clarity. Only a moderate knowledge and understanding of probability theory is expected from the reader.



Probabilistic Risk Assessment


Probabilistic Risk Assessment
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2000

Probabilistic Risk Assessment written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2000 with Reliability (Engineering) categories.


Contains references to documents in the NASA Scientific and Technical (STI) Database.



Probabilistic Risk And Hazard Assessment


Probabilistic Risk And Hazard Assessment
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Author : R.E. Melchers
language : en
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
Release Date : 2022-04-18

Probabilistic Risk And Hazard Assessment written by R.E. Melchers and has been published by Taylor & Francis this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-04-18 with Technology & Engineering categories.


Highlights the multi-disciplinary nature of probabilistic risk and hazard assessment procedures. Topics covered include: Hazard scenario analyses (e.g. HAZOP, FMEA); probabilistic risk assessments; consequence modelling; structural reliability; human error; uncertainty analyses; and risk assessment. Topics are related to the design, construction & operation of chemical & process plants; nuclear facilities; bridges; buildings; offshore structures; dams.