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Probabilistic Voting Theory


Probabilistic Voting Theory
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Probabilistic Voting Theory


Probabilistic Voting Theory
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Author : Peter J. Coughlin
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 1992-10-30

Probabilistic Voting Theory written by Peter J. Coughlin and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1992-10-30 with Political Science categories.


Coughlin provides the most comprehensive and integrated analysis of probabilistic voting models available, also developing further his important contributions. Probabilistic voting theory is the mathematical theory of candidate behavior in or in anticipation of elections in which candidates are unsure what voters' preferences will be on all or most issues, which is true of most governmental elections. The theory asks first whether optimal candidate strategies can be determined, given uncertainty about voter preferences, and if so, what exactly those strategies are, given various circumstances. It allows the theorist to predict what public policies will be supported and what laws passed by elected officials when in office and what positions will be taken by them when running in elections. One of the leading contributors to this rapidly developing literature, which is at the leading edge of public choice theory, Coughlin both reviews the existing literature and presents new results that unify and extend developments in the theory that have been scattered in the literature.



Advances In The Spatial Theory Of Voting


Advances In The Spatial Theory Of Voting
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Author : James M. Enelow
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 1990-06-29

Advances In The Spatial Theory Of Voting written by James M. Enelow and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1990-06-29 with Business & Economics categories.


This volume brings together eight original essays designed to provide an overview of developments in spatial voting theory in the past ten years. The topics covered are: spatial competition with possible entry by new candidates; the "heresthetical" manipulation of vote outcomes; candidates with policy preferences; experimental testing of spatial models; probabilistic voting; voting on alternatives with predictive power; elections with more than two candidates under different election systems; and agenda-setting behavior in voting. Leading scholars in these areas summarize the major results of their own and other's work, providing self-contained discussions that will apprise readers of important recent advances.



Evaluating Voting Systems With Probability Models


Evaluating Voting Systems With Probability Models
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Author : Mostapha Diss
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2020-12-18

Evaluating Voting Systems With Probability Models written by Mostapha Diss and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-12-18 with Business & Economics categories.


This book includes up-to-date contributions in the broadly defined area of probabilistic analysis of voting rules and decision mechanisms. Featuring papers from all fields of social choice and game theory, it presents probability arguments to allow readers to gain a better understanding of the properties of decision rules and of the functioning of modern democracies. In particular, it focuses on the legacy of William Gehrlein and Dominique Lepelley, two prominent scholars who have made important contributions to this field over the last fifty years. It covers a range of topics, including (but not limited to) computational and technical aspects of probability approaches, evaluation of the likelihood of voting paradoxes, power indices, empirical evaluations of voting rules, models of voters’ behavior, and strategic voting. The book gathers articles written in honor of Gehrlein and Lepelley along with original works written by the two scholars themselves.



Paraconsistent Probabilistic Reasoning


Paraconsistent Probabilistic Reasoning
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Author : Lionel Daniel
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2010

Paraconsistent Probabilistic Reasoning written by Lionel Daniel and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010 with categories.


If we envisage delegating critical decisions to an autonomous computer, we should not only endow it with common sense, but also formally verify that such a machine is programmed to safely react in every situation, notably when the situation is depicted with uncertainty. In this thesis, I deem an uncertain situation to be a possibly inconsistent probabilistic propositional knowledge base, which is a possibly unsatisfiable multiset of constraints on a probability distribution over a propositional language, where each constraint can be given a reliability level. The main problem is to infer one probabilistic distribution that best represents the real world, with respect to a given knowledge base. The reactions of the computer, previously programmed then verified, will be determined by that distribution, which is the probabilistic model of the real world. J.B. Paris et al stated a set of seven commonsensical principles that characterises the inference from consistent knowledge bases. Following their approach, I suggest adhering to further principles intended to define common sense when reasoning from an inconsistent knowledge base. My contribution is thus the first principled framework of paraconsistent probabilistic reasoning that comprises not only an inference process, which coincides with J.B. Paris's one when dealing with consistent knowledge bases, but also several measures of dissimilarity, inconsistency, incoherence, and precision. Besides, I show that such an inference process is a solution to a problem originating from voting theory, namely reaching a consensus among conflicting opinions about a probability distribution; such a distribution can also represent a distribution of a financial investment. To conclude, this study enhances our understanding of common sense when dealing with inconsistencies; injecting common sense into decision systems should make them more trustworthy.



Ideology And The Theory Of Political Choice


Ideology And The Theory Of Political Choice
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Author : Melvin J. Hinich
language : en
Publisher: University of Michigan Press
Release Date : 1996-09-16

Ideology And The Theory Of Political Choice written by Melvin J. Hinich and has been published by University of Michigan Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1996-09-16 with Philosophy categories.


A pioneering effort to integrate ideology with formal political theory



Social Choice And Strategic Decisions


Social Choice And Strategic Decisions
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Author : David Austen-Smith
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2006-03-30

Social Choice And Strategic Decisions written by David Austen-Smith and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-03-30 with Business & Economics categories.


Social choices, about expenditures on government programs, or about public policy more broadly, or indeed from any conceivable set of alternatives, are determined by politics. This book is a collection of essays that tie together the fields spanned by Jeffrey S. Banks' research on this subject. It examines the strategic aspects of political decision-making, including the choices of voters in committees, the positioning of candidates in electoral campaigns, and the behavior of parties in legislatures. The chapters of this book contribute to the theory of voting with incomplete information, to the literature on Downsian and probabilistic voting models of elections, to the theory of social choice in distributive environments, and to the theory of optimal dynamic decision-making. The essays employ a spectrum of research methods, from game-theoretic analysis, to empirical investigation, to experimental testing.



Electoral Systems


Electoral Systems
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Author : Dan S. Felsenthal
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-01-03

Electoral Systems written by Dan S. Felsenthal and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-01-03 with Business & Economics categories.


Both theoretical and empirical aspects of single- and multi-winner voting procedures are presented in this collection of papers. Starting from a discussion of the underlying principles of democratic representation, the volume includes a description of a great variety of voting procedures. It lists and illustrates their susceptibility to the main voting paradoxes, assesses (under various models of voters' preferences) the probability of paradoxical outcomes, and discusses the relevance of the theoretical results to the choice of voting system.



Voting Theory


Voting Theory
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Author : Source Wikipedia
language : en
Publisher: University-Press.org
Release Date : 2013-09

Voting Theory written by Source Wikipedia and has been published by University-Press.org this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-09 with categories.


Please note that the content of this book primarily consists of articles available from Wikipedia or other free sources online. Pages: 46. Chapters: Anti-voting, Apportionment (politics), Apportionment paradox, Arrow's impossibility theorem, Banzhaf power index, Calculus of voting, Condorcet's jury theorem, Dollar voting, Double majority, Duggan-Schwartz theorem, Duverger's law, Foot voting, Gibbard-Satterthwaite theorem, Intensity of preference, Issue voting, Landau set, Majority rule, May's theorem, Median voter theorem, Micromega rule, Mierscheid law, Minority group, Nakamura number, Negative vote weight, Plurality (voting), Political endorsement, Probabilistic voting model, Redistribution (Australia), Redistribution (election), Role of networks in electoral behavior, Schwartz set, Smith set, Social Choice and Individual Values, Split vote, Spoiler effect, Spoilt vote, Strategic nomination, Supermajority, Tactical manipulation of runoff voting, Tactical voting, Tally (voting), Virtual representation, Vote splitting, Voting paradox, Wasted vote.



Social Choice And Strategic Decisions


Social Choice And Strategic Decisions
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Author : David Austen-Smith
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2009-09-02

Social Choice And Strategic Decisions written by David Austen-Smith and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-09-02 with Business & Economics categories.


Social choices, about expenditures on government programs, or about public policy more broadly, or indeed from any conceivable set of alternatives, are determined by politics. This book is a collection of essays that tie together the fields spanned by Jeffrey S. Banks' research on this subject. It examines the strategic aspects of political decision-making, including the choices of voters in committees, the positioning of candidates in electoral campaigns, and the behavior of parties in legislatures. The chapters of this book contribute to the theory of voting with incomplete information, to the literature on Downsian and probabilistic voting models of elections, to the theory of social choice in distributive environments, and to the theory of optimal dynamic decision-making. The essays employ a spectrum of research methods, from game-theoretic analysis, to empirical investigation, to experimental testing.



Evaluating Voting Systems With Probability Models


Evaluating Voting Systems With Probability Models
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Author : Mostapha Diss
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2021

Evaluating Voting Systems With Probability Models written by Mostapha Diss and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021 with categories.


This book includes up-to-date contributions in the broadly defined area of probabilistic analysis of voting rules and decision mechanisms. Featuring papers from all fields of social choice and game theory, it presents probability arguments to allow readers to gain a better understanding of the properties of decision rules and of the functioning of modern democracies. In particular, it focuses on the legacy of William Gehrlein and Dominique Lepelley, two prominent scholars who have made important contributions to this field over the last fifty years. It covers a range of topics, including (but not limited to) computational and technical aspects of probability approaches, evaluation of the likelihood of voting paradoxes, power indices, empirical evaluations of voting rules, models of voters' behavior, and strategic voting. The book gathers articles written in honor of Gehrlein and Lepelley along with original works written by the two scholars themselves.