Probability Choice And Reason

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Probability Choice And Reason
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Author : Leighton Vaughan Williams
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2021-09-15
Probability Choice And Reason written by Leighton Vaughan Williams and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-09-15 with Mathematics categories.
Much of our thinking is flawed because it is based on faulty intuition. By using the framework and tools of probability and statistics, we can overcome this to provide solutions to many real-world problems and paradoxes. We show how to do this, and find answers that are frequently very contrary to what we might expect. Along the way, we venture into diverse realms and thought experiments which challenge the way that we see the world. Features: An insightful and engaging discussion of some of the key ideas of probabilistic and statistical thinking Many classic and novel problems, paradoxes, and puzzles An exploration of some of the big questions involving the use of choice and reason in an uncertain world The application of probability, statistics, and Bayesian methods to a wide range of subjects, including economics, finance, law, and medicine Exercises, references, and links for those wishing to cross-reference or to probe further Solutions to exercises at the end of the book This book should serve as an invaluable and fascinating resource for university, college, and high school students who wish to extend their reading, as well as for teachers and lecturers who want to liven up their courses while retaining academic rigour. It will also appeal to anyone who wishes to develop skills with numbers or has an interest in the many statistical and other paradoxes that permeate our lives. Indeed, anyone studying the sciences, social sciences, or humanities on a formal or informal basis will enjoy and benefit from this book.
The Oxford Handbook Of Thinking And Reasoning
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Author : Keith J. Holyoak
language : en
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
Release Date : 2013-05-23
The Oxford Handbook Of Thinking And Reasoning written by Keith J. Holyoak and has been published by Oxford University Press, USA this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-05-23 with Psychology categories.
The Oxford Handbook of Thinking and Reasoning brings together the contributions of many of the leading researchers in thinking and reasoning to create the most comprehensive overview of research on thinking and reasoning that has ever been available.
The Science Of Reason
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Author : Ken Manktelow
language : en
Publisher: Psychology Press
Release Date : 2010-10-18
The Science Of Reason written by Ken Manktelow and has been published by Psychology Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-10-18 with Psychology categories.
This volume is a state-of-the-art survey of the psychology of reasoning, based around, and in tribute to, one of the field’s most eminent figures: Jonathan St B.T. Evans. In this collection of cutting edge research, Evans’ collaborators and colleagues review a wide range of important and developing areas of inquiry. These include biases in thinking, probabilistic and causal reasoning, people’s use of ‘if’ sentences in arguments, the dual-process theory of thought, and the nature of human rationality. These foundational issues are examined from various angles and finally integrated in a concluding panoramic chapter written by Evans himself. The eighteen chapters, all written by leading international researchers, combine state-of the-art research with investigation into the most fundamental questions surrounding human mental life, such as: What is the architecture of the human mind? Are humans rational, and what is the nature of this rationality? How do we think hypothetically? The Science of Reason offers a unique combination of breadth, depth and integrative vision, making it an indispensable resource for researchers and students of human reason.
On Law And Reason
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Author : Aleksander Peczenik
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2008-09-13
On Law And Reason written by Aleksander Peczenik and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-09-13 with Law categories.
‘This is an outline of a coherence theory of law. Its basic ideas are: reasonable support and weighing of reasons. All the rest is commentary.’ These words at the beginning of the preface of this book perfectly indicate what On Law and Reason is about. It is a theory about the nature of the law which emphasises the role of reason in the law and which refuses to limit the role of reason to the application of deductive logic. In 1989, when the first edition of On Law and Reason appeared, this book was ground breaking for several reasons. It provided a rationalistic theory of the law in the language of analytic philosophy and based on a thorough understanding of the results, including technical ones, of analytic philosophy. That was not an obvious combination at the time of the book’s first appearance and still is not. The result is an analytical rigor that is usually associated with positivist theories of the law, combined with a philosophical position that is not natural law in a strict sense, but which shares with it the emphasis on the role of reason in determining what the law is. If only for this rare combination, On Law and Reason still deserves careful study. On Law and Reason also foreshadowed and influenced a development in the field of Legal Logic that would take place in the nineties of the 20th century, namely the development of non-monotonic (‘defeasible’) logics for the analysis of legal reasoning. In the new Introduction to this second edition, this aspect is explored in some more detail.
Rawls
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Author : Samuel Freeman
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2007-05-23
Rawls written by Samuel Freeman and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-05-23 with Philosophy categories.
In this superb introduction, Samuel Freeman introduces and assesses the main topics of Rawls' philosophy. Starting with a brief biography and charting the influences on Rawls' early thinking, he goes on to discuss the heart of Rawls's philosophy: his principles of justice and their practical application to society. Subsequent chapters discuss Rawls's theories of liberty, political and economic justice, democratic institutions, goodness as rationality, moral psychology, political liberalism, and international justice and a concluding chapter considers Rawls' legacy. Clearly setting out the ideas in Rawls' masterwork, A Theory of Justice, Samuel Freeman also considers Rawls' other key works, including Political Liberalism and The Law of Peoples. An invaluable introduction to this deeply influential philosopher, Rawls is essential reading for anyone coming to his work for the first time.
Toward Robots That Reason Logic Probability Causal Laws
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Author : Vaishak Belle
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2023-02-20
Toward Robots That Reason Logic Probability Causal Laws written by Vaishak Belle and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-02-20 with Computers categories.
This book discusses the two fundamental elements that underline the science and design of artificial intelligence (AI) systems: the learning and acquisition of knowledge from observational data, and the reasoning of that knowledge together with whatever information is available about the application at hand. It then presents a mathematical treatment of the core issues that arise when unifying first-order logic and probability, especially in the presence of dynamics, including physical actions, sensing actions and their effects. A model for expressing causal laws describing dynamics is also considered, along with computational ideas for reasoning with such laws over probabilistic logical knowledge.
Symbolic And Quantitative Approaches To Reasoning And Uncertainty
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Author : Michael Clarke
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 1993-10-20
Symbolic And Quantitative Approaches To Reasoning And Uncertainty written by Michael Clarke and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1993-10-20 with Computers categories.
In recent years it has become apparent that an important part of the theory of artificial intelligence is concerned with reasoning on the basis of uncertain, incomplete, or inconsistent information. A variety of formalisms have been developed, including nonmonotonic logic, fuzzy sets, possibility theory, belief functions, and dynamic models of reasoning such as belief revision and Bayesian networks. Several European research projects have been formed in the area and the first European conference was held in 1991. This volume contains the papers accepted for presentation at ECSQARU-93, the European Conference on Symbolicand Quantitative Approaches to Reasoning and Uncertainty, held at the University of Granada, Spain, November 8-10, 1993.
Freedom Of The Will
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Author : Daniel Whedon
language : en
Publisher: Wipf and Stock Publishers
Release Date : 2009-01-01
Freedom Of The Will written by Daniel Whedon and has been published by Wipf and Stock Publishers this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-01-01 with Religion categories.
Is the human will in bondage to sinful motives, to the point that people cannot make truly free decisions? Daniel D. Whedon, a prominent nineteenth-century Wesleyan theologian, takes aim at this central thesis of the famed theologian Jonathan Edwards. In this new edition of his widely admired 1864 work, Whedon offers a step-by-step examination of Edwards's positions and finds them lacking in Biblical and logical support. Within his position against Edwards, he argues that the difference between natural ability and moral ability is meaningless, that Edwards's deterministic "necessitarian" argument makes God the author of sin, and that people frequently act against their strongest motives. He concludes that, without a free will, "there can be no justice, no satisfying the moral sense, no moral Government of which the creature can be the rightful subject, and no God the righteous administrator."
Oswaal Isc Question Bank Chapterwise Topicwise Solved Papers Class 12 Mathematics For 2026 Exam
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Author : Oswaal Editorial Board
language : en
Publisher: Oswaal Books
Release Date : 2025-07-07
Oswaal Isc Question Bank Chapterwise Topicwise Solved Papers Class 12 Mathematics For 2026 Exam written by Oswaal Editorial Board and has been published by Oswaal Books this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2025-07-07 with Study Aids categories.
This product covers the following: • 100% Updated Content: With Latest Syllabus, Fully Solved Board Paper and Specimen Paper 2025. • Competency-Based Learning: Includes 30% Competency-Focused Practice Questions (Analytical & Application). • Efficient Revision: Topic-wise revision notes and smart mind maps for quick, effective learning. • Extensive Practice: With 1500+ Questions & Board Marking Scheme Answers (2016–2025). • Concept Clarity: 500+ key concepts, supported by interactive concept videos for deeper understanding. • Exam Readiness: Expert answering tips and examiner’s comments to refine your response strategy.
Informal Reasoning And Education
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Author : James F. Voss
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2012-11-12
Informal Reasoning And Education written by James F. Voss and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-11-12 with Education categories.
Based on extensive reasoning acquisition research, this volume provides theoretical and empirical considerations of the reasoning that occurs during the course of everyday personal and professional activities. Of particular interest is the text's focus on the question of how such reasoning takes place during school activities and how students acquire reasoning skills.