Proceedings Of The Ecmwf Workshop On Representing Model Uncertainty And Error In Numerical Weather And Climate Prediction Models

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Proceedings Of The Ecmwf Workshop On Representing Model Uncertainty And Error In Numerical Weather And Climate Prediction Models
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2011
Proceedings Of The Ecmwf Workshop On Representing Model Uncertainty And Error In Numerical Weather And Climate Prediction Models written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011 with Climatology categories.
Advanced Data Assimilation For Geosciences
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Author : Marc Bocquet
language : en
Publisher: Lecture Notes of the Les Houch
Release Date : 2014
Advanced Data Assimilation For Geosciences written by Marc Bocquet and has been published by Lecture Notes of the Les Houch this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014 with Science categories.
Data assimilation aims at determining as accurately as possible the state of a dynamical system by combining heterogeneous sources of information in an optimal way. Generally speaking, the mathematical methods of data assimilation describe algorithms for forming optimal combinations of observations of a system, a numerical model that describes its evolution, and appropriate prior information. Data assimilation has a long history of application to high-dimensional geophysical systems dating back to the 1960s, with application to the estimation of initial conditions for weather forecasts. It has become a major component of numerical forecasting systems in geophysics, and an intensive field of research, with numerous additional applications in oceanography, atmospheric chemistry, and extensions to other geophysical sciences. The physical complexity and the high dimensionality of geophysical systems have led the community of geophysics to make significant contributions to the fundamental theory of data assimilation. This book gathers notes from lectures and seminars given by internationally recognized scientists during a three-week school held in the Les Houches School of physics in 2012, on theoretical and applied data assimilation. It is composed of (i) a series of main lectures, presenting the fundamentals of the most commonly used methods, and the information theory background required to understand and evaluate the role of observations; (ii) a series of specialized lectures, addressing various aspects of data assimilation in detail, from the most recent developments of the theory to the specificities of various thematic applications.
Risk And Uncertainty Assessment For Natural Hazards
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Author : Jonathan Rougier
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2013-02-21
Risk And Uncertainty Assessment For Natural Hazards written by Jonathan Rougier and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-02-21 with Science categories.
Assessment of risk and uncertainty is crucial for natural hazard risk management, facilitating risk communication and informing strategies to successfully mitigate our society's vulnerability to natural disasters. Written by some of the world's leading experts, this book provides a state-of-the-art overview of risk and uncertainty assessment in natural hazards. It presents the core statistical concepts using clearly defined terminology applicable across all types of natural hazards and addresses the full range of sources of uncertainty, the role of expert judgement and the practice of uncertainty elicitation. The core of the book provides detailed coverage of all the main hazard types and concluding chapters address the wider societal context of risk management. This is an invaluable compendium for academic researchers and professionals working in the fields of natural hazards science, risk assessment and management and environmental science, and will be of interest to anyone involved in natural hazards policy.
Data Assimilation For Atmospheric Oceanic And Hydrologic Applications Vol Iv
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Author : Seon Ki Park
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2021-11-09
Data Assimilation For Atmospheric Oceanic And Hydrologic Applications Vol Iv written by Seon Ki Park and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-11-09 with Science categories.
This book contains the most recent progress in data assimilation in meteorology, oceanography and hydrology including land surface. It spans both theoretical and applicative aspects with various methodologies such as variational, Kalman filter, ensemble, Monte Carlo and artificial intelligence methods. Besides data assimilation, other important topics are also covered including adaptive observations, sensitivity analysis, parameter estimation and AI applications. The book is useful to individual researchers as well as graduate students for a reference in the field of data assimilation.
Proceedings Of The Ecmwf Workshop On Representing Model Uncertainty And Error In Numerical Weather And Climate Prediction Models
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2011
Proceedings Of The Ecmwf Workshop On Representing Model Uncertainty And Error In Numerical Weather And Climate Prediction Models written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011 with categories.
Monthly Weather Review
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1997
Monthly Weather Review written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1997 with Electronic journals categories.
Predictability Of Weather And Climate
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Author : Tim Palmer
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2006
Predictability Of Weather And Climate written by Tim Palmer and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with Electronic books categories.
'Predictability of Weather and Climate' provides a comprehensive overview covering the complete range of timescales, from days to decades, all within one book.
The Essence Of Chaos
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Author : Flavio Lorenzelli
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2003-09-02
The Essence Of Chaos written by Flavio Lorenzelli and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003-09-02 with Science categories.
The study of chaotic systems has become a major scientific pursuit in recent years, shedding light on the apparently random behaviour observed in fields as diverse as climatology and mechanics. InThe Essence of Chaos Edward Lorenz, one of the founding fathers of Chaos and the originator of its seminal concept of the Butterfly Effect, presents his own landscape of our current understanding of the field. Lorenz presents everyday examples of chaotic behaviour, such as the toss of a coin, the pinball's path, the fall of a leaf, and explains in elementary mathematical strms how their essentially chaotic nature can be understood. His principal example involved the construction of a model of a board sliding down a ski slope. Through this model Lorenz illustrates chaotic phenomena and the related concepts of bifurcation and strange attractors. He also provides the context in which chaos can be related to the similarly emergent fields of nonlinearity, complexity and fractals. As an early pioneer of chaos, Lorenz also provides his own story of the human endeavour in developing this new field. He describes his initial encounters with chaos through his study of climate and introduces many of the personalities who contributed early breakthroughs. His seminal paper, "Does the Flap of a Butterfly's Wing in Brazil Set Off a Tornado in Texas?" is published for the first time.
Operational Weather Forecasting
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Author : Peter Michael Inness
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2012-12-06
Operational Weather Forecasting written by Peter Michael Inness and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Science categories.
This book offers a complete primer, covering the end-to-end process of forecast production, and bringing together a description of all the relevant aspects together in a single volume; with plenty of explanation of some of the more complex issues and examples of current, state-of-the-art practices. Operational Weather Forecasting covers the whole process of forecast production, from understanding the nature of the forecasting problem, gathering the observational data with which to initialise and verify forecasts, designing and building a model (or models) to advance those initial conditions forwards in time and then interpreting the model output and putting it into a form which is relevant to customers of weather forecasts. Included is the generation of forecasts on the monthly-to-seasonal timescales, often excluded in text-books despite this type of forecasting having been undertaken for several years. This is a rapidly developing field, with a lot of variations in practices between different forecasting centres. Thus the authors have tried to be as generic as possible when describing aspects of numerical model design and formulation. Despite the reliance on NWP, the human forecaster still has a big part to play in producing weather forecasts and this is described, along with the issue of forecast verification – how forecast centres measure their own performance and improve upon it. Advanced undergraduates and postgraduate students will use this book to understand how the theory comes together in the day-to-day applications of weather forecast production. In addition, professional weather forecasting practitioners, professional users of weather forecasts and trainers will all find this new member of the RMetS Advancing Weather and Climate series a valuable tool. Provides an end-to-end description of the weather forecasting process Clearly structured and pitched at an accessible level, the book discusses the practical choices that operational forecasting centres have to make in terms of what numerical models they use and when they are run. Takes a very practical approach, using real life case-studies to contextualize information Discusses the latest advances in the area, including ensemble methods, monthly to seasonal range prediction and use of ‘nowcasting’ tools such as radar and satellite imagery Full colour throughout Written by a highly respected team of authors with experience in both academia and practice. Part of the RMetS book series ‘Advancing Weather and Climate’
Proceedings Of The Ecmwf Workshop On Representing Model Uncertainty And Error In Numerical Weatherand Climate Prediction Models
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Author : ECMWF.
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2011
Proceedings Of The Ecmwf Workshop On Representing Model Uncertainty And Error In Numerical Weatherand Climate Prediction Models written by ECMWF. and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011 with categories.