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Projecting Economic Power


Projecting Economic Power
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Long Term Projections Of Power Political Economic And Military Forecasting


Long Term Projections Of Power Political Economic And Military Forecasting
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Author : Oskar Morgenstern
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge, Mass : Ballinger Publishing Company
Release Date : 1973

Long Term Projections Of Power Political Economic And Military Forecasting written by Oskar Morgenstern and has been published by Cambridge, Mass : Ballinger Publishing Company this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1973 with Political Science categories.


Monograph presenting a critique of long term forecasting techniques operationally useful for predicting the shape of political power and technological capacity in the future - comprises a literature survey of major projections to the year 2000, and examines their relevance to armed forces power, economic systems, environmental problems, research and development efforts, etc. Bibliography pp. 217 to 224, references and statistical tables.



Projecting Economic Power


Projecting Economic Power
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Author : Maaike Okano-Heijmans
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2009

Projecting Economic Power written by Maaike Okano-Heijmans and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009 with Japan categories.




The Power Of Profit


The Power Of Profit
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Author : Ali Anari
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2009-12-01

The Power Of Profit written by Ali Anari and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-12-01 with Business & Economics categories.


How can business leaders make better production and capital investment decisions? How can Wall Street analysts improve their predictions of future stock market values? How can government improve macroeconomic forecasts and policies? In The Power of Profit, Anari and Kolari demonstrate how profit measures can be applied as the basis for these and many other applications of economic, policy, financial, and business analysis. The underlying theme of the book is that profitability is the driving force in free market economies. Firms invest in capital, produce goods and services, and generate sales in an effort to reap profits. Firms that are unprofitable exit the marketplace and are replaced by profitable firms. Despite the crucial importance of profits, however, there is no formal model that directly relates profits to capital formation and output. Previous studies over the past 100 years on profit and the economy are mainly descriptive in nature, without any well-specified model grounded in microeconomic theory. Filling this gap, the authors present a profit system model of the firm grounded in basic accounting relationships in addition to the well-known Cobb-Douglas production function, which can be applied to individual firms, industries, and the business sector as a whole. Through rigorous data analysis, the authors show how the profit system modelcan be applied to: modeling the U.S. business sector and national economy forecasting output, capital stock, total profit, profit rates, and profit margins examining the relationships among profitability, economic growth, and the business cycle simulating the effects of potential monetary policy changes on the business sector and national economy valuing the Standard & Poor’s stock market index as well as individual firms. The result is a model that integrates microeconomic and macroeconomic factors and that can be widely applied in business and economic decisions, policymaking, research, and teaching.



The Economics Of Project Analysis


The Economics Of Project Analysis
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Author : William Augustus Ward
language : en
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Release Date : 1991

The Economics Of Project Analysis written by William Augustus Ward and has been published by World Bank Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1991 with Business & Economics categories.


This guide provides a brief outline of the neoclassical theory of the public sector to put into context the reason for deriving shadow prices and to help the reader understand what it is that a government should be trying to do when it "intervenes" in the economy by planning a project. It describes experiences of the World Bank and other organizations in applying project economic analysis in developing countries. Developments in the use and interpretation of "willingness to pay" analysis and "foreign exchange numeraires" are discussed in some detail. It also discusses cost-benefit analysis in terms of the strategic planning model. The problems caused by inflation - both domestic and foreign - are reviewed in some detail, and suggestions are made for dealing with its impacts. Additional recommendations on setting up project accounts are presented. Exchange rate forecasting is addressed in terms of the "purchasing power parity" model of trade theory - the most widely used model for forecasting exchange rates in project appraisals. The issue of the discount rate for project economic analysis is also taken up. Finally, this guide presents many concrete examples of economic valuation problems faced by World Bank analysis in recent years. The examples cover a wide range of countries and valuation issues.



China 2049


China 2049
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Author : David Dollar
language : en
Publisher: Brookings Institution Press
Release Date : 2020-06-09

China 2049 written by David Dollar and has been published by Brookings Institution Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-06-09 with Political Science categories.


How will China reform its economy as it aspires to become the next economic superpower? It's clear that China is the world's next economic superpower. But what isn't so clear is how China will get there by the middle of this century. It now faces tremendous challenges such as fostering innovation, dealing with ageing problem and coping with a less accommodative global environment. In this book, economists from China's leading university and America's best-known think tank offer in depth analyses of these challenges. Does China have enough talent and right policy and institutional mix to transit from input-driven to innovation-driven economy? What does ageing mean, in terms of labor supply, consumption demand and social welfare expenditure? Can China contain the environmental and climate change risks? How should the financial system be transformed in order to continuously support economic growth and keep financial risks under control? What fiscal reforms are required in order to balance between economic efficiency and social harmony? What roles should the state-owned enterprises play in the future Chinese economy? In addition, how will technological competition between the United States and China affect each country's development? Will the Chinese yuan emerge as a major reserve currency, and would this destabilize the international financial system? What will be China's role in the international economic institutions? And will the United States and other established powers accept a growing role for China and the rest of the developing world in the governance of global institutions such as the World Trade Organization and the International Monetary Fund, or will the world devolve into competing blocs? This book provides unique insights into independent analyses and policy recommendations by a group of top Chinese and American scholars. Whether China succeeds or fails in economic reform will have a large impact, not just on China's development, but also on stability and prosperity for the whole world.



The World In 2050


The World In 2050
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2015

The World In 2050 written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015 with Competition categories.


"In the latest report it present economic growth projections for 32 of the largest economies in the world, accounting for around 84% of global GDP. It project the world economy to grow at an average of just over 3% per annum in the period 2014 - 50, doubling in size by 2037 and nearly tripling by 2050. But it expect a slowdown in global growth after 2020, as the rate of expansion in China and some other major emerging economies moderates to a more sustainable long-term rate, and as working age population growth slows in many large economies. The global economic power shift away from the established advanced economies in North America, Western Europe and Japan will continue over the next 35 years. China has already overtaken the US in 2014 to become the largest economy in purchasing power parity (PPP2) terms. In market exchange rate (MER) terms, it project China to overtake the US in 2028 despite its projected growth slowdown. India has the potential to become the second largest economy in the world by 2050 in PPP terms (third in MER terms), although this requires a sustained programme of structural reforms. It project new emerging economies like Mexico and Indonesia to be larger than the UK and France by 2030 (in PPP terms) while Turkey could become larger than Italy. Nigeria and Vietnam could be the fast growing large economies over the period to 2050. Colombia, Poland and Malaysia all possess great potential for sustainable long-term growth in the coming decades according to our country experts. At the same time, recent experience has re-emphasised that relatively rapid growth is not guaranteed for emerging economies, as indicated by recent problems in Russia and Brazil, for example. It requires sustained and effective investment in infrastructure and improving political, economic, legal and social institutions. It also requires remaining open to the free flow of technology, ideas and talented people that are key drivers of economic catch-up growth. It think that overdependence on natural resources could also impede long term growth in some countries (e.g. Russia, Nigeria and Saudi Arabia) unless they can diversify their economies."--Highlight.



World Economic Outlook October 2019


World Economic Outlook October 2019
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Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2019-10-15

World Economic Outlook October 2019 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-10-15 with Business & Economics categories.


Global growth is forecast at 3.0 percent for 2019, its lowest level since 2008–09 and a 0.3 percentage point downgrade from the April 2019 World Economic Outlook.



Oecd Economic Outlook


Oecd Economic Outlook
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Author : Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1997

Oecd Economic Outlook written by Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1997 with Europe categories.




The Future Of Global Economic Power


The Future Of Global Economic Power
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Author : Seth G. Benzell
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2022

The Future Of Global Economic Power written by Seth G. Benzell and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022 with categories.


The global economy's enormous region-specific demographic, technological, and fiscal changes raise five major questions. First, which regions will come to dominate the world economy? Second, will regional levels of per capita GDP converge? Third, will high saving rates in fast growing regions lead to a global capital glut? Fourth, does aging augur far higher tax rates in particular regions? Fifth, will automation materially influence development? This paper develops the Global Gaidar Model, a 17-region, 2-skills, 100-period, OLG model, to address these questions. The model is carefully calibrated to 2017 UN demographic and IMF fiscal data. Productivity growth and its interaction with demographic change are the main drivers of future economic power. Fiscal conditions and automation matter are secondary factors. Our baseline simulation, which sets future productivity based on each region's long-term record, predicts China and India becoming the world's top two economies with 27.0 percent and 16.2 percent of 2100 world GDP, respectively. The respective US and Western Europe shares are just 12.3 percent and 11.9 percent. Our baseline also features an evolving global savings glut, major reductions in the world interest rate, substantial aging-related increases in tax rates, and permanent differences in regional living standards. Automation makes little difference to these results. But assumed assumed productivity growth does. If recent productivity continues and demographic projections prove accurate, India will account for one third of world output in 2100 and China for over one fifth. The US output share will grow slightly while other developed countries shrink dramatically. Under more sophisticated, if seemingly less plausible projections, productivity growth in China and India dramatically slows leaving China's plus India's 2100 output share at only 16 percent, but, remarkably, Africa's at an astounding 17 percent.



World Economic Outlook October 2020


World Economic Outlook October 2020
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Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
language : en
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Release Date : 2020-10-13

World Economic Outlook October 2020 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and has been published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-10-13 with Business & Economics categories.


The global economy is climbing out from the depths to which it had plummeted during the Great Lockdown in April. But with the COVID-19 pandemic continuing to spread, many countries have slowed reopening and some are reinstating partial lockdowns to protect susceptible populations. While recovery in China has been faster than expected, the global economy’s long ascent back to pre-pandemic levels of activity remains prone to setbacks.