Projections D Mographiques
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Population Dynamics And Projection Methods
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Author : John Stillwell
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2011-02-15
Population Dynamics And Projection Methods written by John Stillwell and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-02-15 with Social Science categories.
Although the human population growth rate of the world has been declining since peaking in the early 1960s, the populations of individual countries are changing at different rates. Population dynamics at national level are partly determined by levels of fertility and mortality, but the impact of international migration is playing an increasingly important role. Moreover, internal migration plays a major part in population change at the sub-national level. This fourth volume in the series “Understanding Population Trends and Processes” is a celebration of the work of Professor Philip Rees. It contains chapters by contributors who have collaborated with Phil Rees on research or consultancy projects or as postgraduate students. Several chapters demonstrate the technical nature of population projection modelling and simulation methods while others illustrate issues relating to data availability and estimation. This book demonstrates the application of theoretical and modelling methods and addresses key issues relating to contemporary demographic patterns and trends.
State And Local Population Projections
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Author : Stanley K. Smith
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2005-12-21
State And Local Population Projections written by Stanley K. Smith and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-12-21 with Social Science categories.
The initial plans for this book sprang from a late-afternoon conversation in a hotel bar. All three authors were attending the 1996 meeting of the Population As- ciation of America in New Orleans. While nursing drinks and expounding on a variety of topics, we began talking about our current research projects. It so happened that all three of us had been entertaining the notion of writing a book on state and local population projections. Recognizing the enormity of the project for a single author, we quickly decided to collaborate. Had we not decided to work together, it is unlikely that this book ever would have been written. The last comprehensive treatment of state and local population projections was Don Pittenger’s excellent work Projecting State and Local Populations (1976). Many changes affecting the production of population projections have occurred since that time. Technological changes have led to vast increases in computing power, new data sources, the development of GIS, and the creation of the Internet. The procedures for applying a number of projection methods have changed considerably, and several completely new methods have been developed.
The Future Population Of The World
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Author : Wolfgang Lutz
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2013-11-05
The Future Population Of The World written by Wolfgang Lutz and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-11-05 with Social Science categories.
The highly acclaimed The Future Population of the World contains the most authoritative assessment available of the extent to which population is likely to grow over the next 50 to 100 years. The book provides a thorough analysis of all the components of population change and translates these factors into a series of projections for the population of the world's regions. This revised and updated version incorporates completely new scenario projections based on updating starting values and revised assumptions, plus several methodological improvements. It also contains the best currently available information on global trends in AIDS mortality and the first ever fully probabilistic world population projections. The projections, given up to 2100, add important additional features to those of the UN and the World Bank: they show the impacts of alternative assumptions for all three components (mortality and migration, as well as fertility); they explicitly take into account possible environmental limits to growth; and, for the first time, they define confidence levels for global populations. Combining methodological innovation with overviews of the most recent data and literature, this updated edition of The Future Population of the World is sure to conform its reputation as the most comprehensive and essential publication in the field.
Demographic Projection Techniques For Regions And Smaller Areas
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Author : H. Craig Davis
language : en
Publisher: UBC Press
Release Date : 1995
Demographic Projection Techniques For Regions And Smaller Areas written by H. Craig Davis and has been published by UBC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1995 with Political Science categories.
In Chapter 3, the author outlines a four-step projection procedure which is used throughout the remainder of the book. Chapter 4 describes how to project population size by comparing the growth pattern of the population under study with that of another population. The next chapter covers one of the most commonly employed techniques of population projection - the cohort-survival model, which is used not only to project the size of a population but also its composition in terms of age and sex groupings. The final chapter focuses on migration, generally the most volatile component of the basic demographic equation. Primarily written for courses in planning, this book is also useful for anyone having to make decisions affected by population trends, whether they involve planning for future growth or alerting local decisionmakers to external uncertainties that could have a serious impact on the future of their community.
Populations Projections Politics
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Author : Henk A. De Gans
language : en
Publisher: Rozenberg Publishers
Release Date : 2003
Populations Projections Politics written by Henk A. De Gans and has been published by Rozenberg Publishers this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003 with Social Science categories.
This book examines the interrelations of population change, developments in projection methodology, and politics in the 1920s and 1930s. Together, the contributions in the book represent an important scholarly and critical contribution to the history of d
World Population Projections For The 21st Century
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Author : Herwig Birg
language : en
Publisher: Campus Verlag
Release Date : 1995
World Population Projections For The 21st Century written by Herwig Birg and has been published by Campus Verlag this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1995 with Social Science categories.
Population Estimation And Projection
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Author : James Raymondo
language : en
Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing USA
Release Date : 1992-06-23
Population Estimation And Projection written by James Raymondo and has been published by Bloomsbury Publishing USA this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1992-06-23 with Business & Economics categories.
Raymondo provides a step-by-step guide through the complex issues associated with the methods of producing population estimates and projections. The author's approach reflects both his formal training in the study of population and his experience as an applied demographer, where he was frequently called upon to present technical population data to a lay audience. The result is a book firmly grounded in the methods and procedures of demography, but presented in a clear, concise manner for the everyday user of population estimates and projections. This book is a key resource for anyone dealing with population data. Raymondo begins by describing the general nature and differences of population estimates and projections. The author then takes the reader through several methodological issues that provide a foundation for the basic concepts of demographic analysis related to the production of population estimates and projections. Also provided is a helpful discussion on the intricacies of U.S. Bureau of the Census geographic concepts, and a general discussion on major sources of data for the estimation and projection process.
Developments In Demographic Forecasting
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Author : Stefano Mazzuco
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2020-09-28
Developments In Demographic Forecasting written by Stefano Mazzuco and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-09-28 with Social Science categories.
This open access book presents new developments in the field of demographic forecasting, covering both mortality, fertility and migration. For each component emerging methods to forecast them are presented. Moreover, instruments for forecasting evaluation are provided. Bayesian models, nonparametric models, cohort approaches, elicitation of expert opinion, evaluation of probabilistic forecasts are some of the topics covered in the book. In addition, the book is accompanied by complementary material on the web allowing readers to practice with some of the ideas exposed in the book. Readers are encouraged to use this material to apply the new methods to their own data. The book is an important read for demographers, applied statisticians, as well as other social scientists interested or active in the field of population forecasting. Professional population forecasters in statistical agencies will find useful new ideas in various chapters.
Inverse Projection Techniques
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Author : Elisabetta Barbi
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-04-17
Inverse Projection Techniques written by Elisabetta Barbi and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-04-17 with Social Science categories.
Inverse Projection is a method for estimating accurate demographic indicators of a population where vital registration data are available, but population censuses are lacking or unreliable. The book offers an overview of the present state of methodological development in the field of inverse projection techniques. In the various chapters of the book, leading experts in demography and related fields review the method, discuss recent extensions, test performances, and stress differences of the various procedures. The book is intended for all scientists who are interested in the reconstruction of demographic scenarios in particular situations, with specific kinds of data, as well as for statisticians and mathematicians who are attracted by this fascinating field of application.
New Population And Labour Force Projections And Policy Implications For Singapore
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Author : Saw Swee-Hock
language : en
Publisher: Institute of Southeast Asian Studies
Release Date : 1987
New Population And Labour Force Projections And Policy Implications For Singapore written by Saw Swee-Hock and has been published by Institute of Southeast Asian Studies this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1987 with Employment forecasting categories.
An updated set of population projections using population estimates by sex and age as well as fertility indices for 1985. Use is also made of the 1985 labour-force survey.