Reasoning About Uncertainty Second Edition


Reasoning About Uncertainty Second Edition
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Reasoning About Uncertainty Second Edition


Reasoning About Uncertainty Second Edition
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Author : Joseph Y. Halpern
language : en
Publisher: MIT Press
Release Date : 2017-04-07

Reasoning About Uncertainty Second Edition written by Joseph Y. Halpern and has been published by MIT Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-04-07 with Computers categories.


Formal ways of representing uncertainty and various logics for reasoning about it; updated with new material on weighted probability measures, complexity-theoretic considerations, and other topics. In order to deal with uncertainty intelligently, we need to be able to represent it and reason about it. In this book, Joseph Halpern examines formal ways of representing uncertainty and considers various logics for reasoning about it. While the ideas presented are formalized in terms of definitions and theorems, the emphasis is on the philosophy of representing and reasoning about uncertainty. Halpern surveys possible formal systems for representing uncertainty, including probability measures, possibility measures, and plausibility measures; considers the updating of beliefs based on changing information and the relation to Bayes' theorem; and discusses qualitative, quantitative, and plausibilistic Bayesian networks. This second edition has been updated to reflect Halpern's recent research. New material includes a consideration of weighted probability measures and how they can be used in decision making; analyses of the Doomsday argument and the Sleeping Beauty problem; modeling games with imperfect recall using the runs-and-systems approach; a discussion of complexity-theoretic considerations; the application of first-order conditional logic to security. Reasoning about Uncertainty is accessible and relevant to researchers and students in many fields, including computer science, artificial intelligence, economics (particularly game theory), mathematics, philosophy, and statistics.



Dynamics Uncertainty And Reasoning


Dynamics Uncertainty And Reasoning
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Author : Beishui Liao
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2019-07-23

Dynamics Uncertainty And Reasoning written by Beishui Liao and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-07-23 with Philosophy categories.


This volume collects selected papers presented at the Second Chinese Conference on Logic and Argumentation in 2018 held in Hangzhou, China. The papers presented reflect recent advances in logic and argumentation, as well as the connections between the two, and also include invited papers contributed by leading experts in these fields. The book covers a wide variety of topics related to dynamics, uncertainty and reasoning. It continues discussions on the interplay between logic and argumentation which has a long history from Aristotle’s ancient logic to very recent formal argumentation in AI.



Beyond Uncertainty


Beyond Uncertainty
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Author : Katie Steele
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2021-09-09

Beyond Uncertainty written by Katie Steele and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-09-09 with Science categories.


The main aim of this Element is to introduce the topic of limited awareness, and changes in awareness, to those interested in the philosophy of decision-making and uncertain reasoning. While it has long been of interest to economists and computer scientists, this topic has only recently been subject to philosophical investigation. Indeed, at first sight limited awareness seems to evade any systematic treatment: it is beyond the uncertainty that can be managed. On the one hand, an agent has no control over what contingencies she is and is not aware of at a given time, and any awareness growth takes her by surprise. On the other hand, agents apparently learn to identify the situations in which they are more and less likely to experience limited awareness and subsequent awareness growth. How can these two sides be reconciled? That is the puzzle we confront in this Element.



Reasoning About Knowledge


Reasoning About Knowledge
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Author : Ronald Fagin
language : en
Publisher: MIT Press
Release Date : 2004-01-09

Reasoning About Knowledge written by Ronald Fagin and has been published by MIT Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004-01-09 with Business & Economics categories.


Reasoning about knowledge—particularly the knowledge of agents who reason about the world and each other's knowledge—was once the exclusive province of philosophers and puzzle solvers. More recently, this type of reasoning has been shown to play a key role in a surprising number of contexts, from understanding conversations to the analysis of distributed computer algorithms. Reasoning About Knowledge is the first book to provide a general discussion of approaches to reasoning about knowledge and its applications to distributed systems, artificial intelligence, and game theory. It brings eight years of work by the authors into a cohesive framework for understanding and analyzing reasoning about knowledge that is intuitive, mathematically well founded, useful in practice, and widely applicable. The book is almost completely self-contained and should be accessible to readers in a variety of disciplines, including computer science, artificial intelligence, linguistics, philosophy, cognitive science, and game theory. Each chapter includes exercises and bibliographic notes.



The Argumentative Turn In Policy Analysis


The Argumentative Turn In Policy Analysis
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Author : Sven Ove Hansson
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2016-05-26

The Argumentative Turn In Policy Analysis written by Sven Ove Hansson and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-05-26 with Science categories.


​This book describes argumentative tools and strategies that can be used to guide policy decisions under conditions of great uncertainty. Contributing authors explore methods from philosophical analysis and in particular argumentation analysis, showing how it can be used to systematize discussions about policy issues involving great uncertainty. The first part of the work explores how to deal in a systematic way with decision-making when there may be plural perspectives on the decision problem, along with unknown consequences of what we do. Readers will see how argumentation tools can be used for prioritizing among uncertain dangers, for determining how decisions should be framed, for choosing a suitable time frame for a decision, and for systematically choosing among different decision options. Case studies are presented in the second part of the book, showing argumentation in practice in the areas of climate geoengineering, water governance, synthetic biology, nuclear waste, and financial markets. In one example, argumentation analysis is applied to proposals to solve the climate problem with various technological manipulations of the natural climate system, such as massive dispersion of reflective aerosols into the stratosphere. Even after a thorough investigation of such a proposal, doubt remains as to whether all the potential risks have been identified. In such discussions, conventional risk analysis does not have much to contribute since it presupposes that the risks have been identified, whereas the argumentative approach to uncertainty management can be used to systematize discussions.



Reasoning With Actual And Potential Contradictions


Reasoning With Actual And Potential Contradictions
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Author : Dov M. Gabbay
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-04-17

Reasoning With Actual And Potential Contradictions written by Dov M. Gabbay and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-04-17 with Philosophy categories.


We are happy to present the second volume of the Handbook of Defeasible Reasoning and Uncertainty Management Systems. Uncertainty pervades the real world and must therefore be addressed by every system that attempts to represent reality. The representation of un certainty is a major concern of philosophers, logicians, artificial intelligence researchers and computer sciencists, psychologists, statisticians, economists and engineers. The present Handbook volumes provide frontline coverage of this area. This Handbook was produced in the style of previous handbook series like the Handbook of Philosophical Logic, the Handbook of Logic in Computer Science, the Handbook of Logic in Artificial Intelligence and Logic Programming, and can be seen as a companion to them in covering the wide applications of logic and reasoning. We hope it will answer the needs for adequate representations of uncertainty. This Handbook series grew out of the ESPRIT Basic Research Project DRUMS II, where the acronym is made out of the Handbook series title. This project was financially supported by the European Union and regroups 20 major European research teams working in the general domain of uncer tainty. As a fringe benefit of the DRUMS project, the research community was able to create this Handbook series, relying on the DRUMS partici pants as the core of the authors for the Handbook together with external international experts.



Decision And Reasoning In Incompleteness Or Uncertainty Conditions


Decision And Reasoning In Incompleteness Or Uncertainty Conditions
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Author : GERARDO IOVANE
language : en
Publisher: Infinite Study
Release Date :

Decision And Reasoning In Incompleteness Or Uncertainty Conditions written by GERARDO IOVANE and has been published by Infinite Study this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on with Mathematics categories.


In this study we will build an uncertainty logic by using the concept of probability, with those of plausibility, credibility and possibility. We will provide several models which treats uncertainty information and allow to perform more reliable forecasts. After that, we will prove the models reliability through a final simulation on the Biometrics and Sport fields using one of the models; these simulation are fully replicabile for each field and for each of the provided models.



Encyclopedia Of Information Science And Technology Second Edition


Encyclopedia Of Information Science And Technology Second Edition
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Author : Khosrow-Pour, Mehdi
language : en
Publisher: IGI Global
Release Date : 2008-10-31

Encyclopedia Of Information Science And Technology Second Edition written by Khosrow-Pour, Mehdi and has been published by IGI Global this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-10-31 with Business & Economics categories.


"This set of books represents a detailed compendium of authoritative, research-based entries that define the contemporary state of knowledge on technology"--Provided by publisher.



Subjective Logic


Subjective Logic
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Author : Audun Jøsang
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2016-10-27

Subjective Logic written by Audun Jøsang and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-10-27 with Computers categories.


This is the first comprehensive treatment of subjective logic and all its operations. The author developed the approach, and in this book he first explains subjective opinions, opinion representation, and decision-making under vagueness and uncertainty, and he then offers a full definition of subjective logic, harmonising the key notations and formalisms, concluding with chapters on trust networks and subjective Bayesian networks, which when combined form general subjective networks. The author shows how real-world situations can be realistically modelled with regard to how situations are perceived, with conclusions that more correctly reflect the ignorance and uncertainties that result from partially uncertain input arguments. The book will help researchers and practitioners to advance, improve and apply subjective logic to build powerful artificial reasoning models and tools for solving real-world problems. A good grounding in discrete mathematics is a prerequisite.



Advanced Artificial Intelligence Second Edition


Advanced Artificial Intelligence Second Edition
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Author : Shi Zhongzhi
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2019-08-05

Advanced Artificial Intelligence Second Edition written by Shi Zhongzhi and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-08-05 with Computers categories.


The joint breakthrough of big data, cloud computing and deep learning has made artificial intelligence (AI) the new focus in the international arena. AI is a branch of computer science, developing intelligent machine with imitating, extending and augmenting human intelligence through artificial means and techniques to realize intelligent behaviour.This comprehensive compendium, consisting of 15 chapters, captures the updated achievements of AI. It is completely revised to reflect the current researches in the field, through numerous techniques and strategies to address the impending challenges facing computer scientists today.The unique volume is useful for senior or graduate students in the information field and related tertiary specialities. It is also a suitable reference text for professionals, researchers, and academics in AI, machine learning, electrical & electronic engineering and biocomputing.