Rescuing Econometrics
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Rescuing Econometrics
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Author : Duo Qin
language : en
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
Release Date : 2023-12-01
Rescuing Econometrics written by Duo Qin and has been published by Taylor & Francis this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-12-01 with Business & Economics categories.
Haavelmo’s 1944 monograph, The Probability Approach in Econometrics, is widely acclaimed as the manifesto of econometrics. This book challenges Haavelmo’s probability approach, shows how its use is delivering defective and inefficient results, and argues for a paradigm shift in econometrics towards a full embrace of machine learning, with its attendant benefits. Machine learning has only come into existence over recent decades, whereas the universally accepted and current form of econometrics has developed over the past century. A comparison between the two is, however, striking. The practical achievements of machine learning significantly outshine those of econometrics, confirming the presence of widespread inefficiencies in current econometric research. The relative efficiency of machine learning is based on its theoretical foundation, and particularly on the notion of Probably Approximately Correct (PAC) learning. Careful examination reveals that PAC learning theory delivers the goals of applied economic modelling research far better than Haavelmo’s probability approach. Econometrics should therefore renounce its outdated foundation, and rebuild itself upon PAC learning theory so as to unleash its pent-up research potential. The book is catered for applied economists, econometricians, economists specialising in the history and methodology of economics, advanced students, philosophers of social sciences.
Rescuing Econometrics
DOWNLOAD
Author : Duo Qin
language : en
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
Release Date : 2023-12-01
Rescuing Econometrics written by Duo Qin and has been published by Taylor & Francis this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-12-01 with Business & Economics categories.
Haavelmo’s 1944 monograph, The Probability Approach in Econometrics, is widely acclaimed as the manifesto of econometrics. This book challenges Haavelmo’s probability approach, shows how its use is delivering defective and inefficient results, and argues for a paradigm shift in econometrics towards a full embrace of machine learning, with its attendant benefits. Machine learning has only come into existence over recent decades, whereas the universally accepted and current form of econometrics has developed over the past century. A comparison between the two is, however, striking. The practical achievements of machine learning significantly outshine those of econometrics, confirming the presence of widespread inefficiencies in current econometric research. The relative efficiency of machine learning is based on its theoretical foundation, and particularly on the notion of Probably Approximately Correct (PAC) learning. Careful examination reveals that PAC learning theory delivers the goals of applied economic modelling research far better than Haavelmo’s probability approach. Econometrics should therefore renounce its outdated foundation, and rebuild itself upon PAC learning theory so as to unleash its pent-up research potential. The book is catered for applied economists, econometricians, economists specialising in the history and methodology of economics, advanced students, philosophers of social sciences.
Karl Popper And Situational Analysis
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Author : Alfonso Palacio-Vera
language : en
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
Release Date : 2024-08-02
Karl Popper And Situational Analysis written by Alfonso Palacio-Vera and has been published by Taylor & Francis this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-08-02 with Business & Economics categories.
‘Situational Analysis’ represents Karl Popper’s methodological proposal for the social sciences. Although it has been widely studied and interpreted, this book argues that Situational Analysis remains underestimated and undeveloped and, if properly reformulated, could yet become a broad methodological framework that encompasses both the ‘historical’ social sciences and a large section of the ‘theoretical’ social sciences. The first part of this book develops this idea by returning to Popper’s texts. This book calls for both a reformulation of Situational Analysis and a clarification of the status and role of Popper’s ‘Rationality Principle’. This book also develops Situational Analysis by addressing two aspects of the Problem-Situation facing individual actors that are only sketched out in Popper’s work: institutions and expectations. The second part of this book utilizes the reformulated version of Situational Analysis to shed light on the core methodological differences across some of the most widespread approaches in contemporary economics and sociology. In particular, by showing that many of these approaches are variants of the reformulated version of Situational Analysis presented in the first part of this book, this book argues that apparent methodological differences across these approaches may be reinterpreted as differences in the way social scientists reconstruct the Problem-Situation facing individual actors. This book will be vital reading for academic economists, sociologists, philosophers of science, and other social scientists interested in methodology.
Determinism Causality And Explanation In Economics
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Author : Dawid Megger
language : en
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
Release Date : 2025-06-27
Determinism Causality And Explanation In Economics written by Dawid Megger and has been published by Taylor & Francis this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2025-06-27 with Business & Economics categories.
In recent years, the concepts of determinism, causality, and explanation have taken on particular importance in the economic literature. Due to the failures of economic predictions based on mathematical models, philosophers and economists turned their attention to methodological issues. At the same time, heterodox approaches to economics have received increased attention, including the Austrian school of economics, an intellectual tradition that perceives economics as a science of human action and has emphasised the role of causal explanations practically from its inception. This book opens by exploring disputes in the philosophy of science over the fundamental goal of science. While instrumentalists argue that scientists should aim at good predictions regardless of the veracity of theories, according to scientific realists, they should look for knowledge that reflects reality. The book shows that the Austrian tradition adheres to scientific realism and can be perceived as a middle ground between historicism and positivism. It discusses the determinism/free will problem in economics and its methodological relevance. Then, it examines various theories of causality (regularity, counterfactual, interventionist, probabilistic, and process/mechanistic) and their applicability to economics. Finally, it explores possible and desirable types of explanations in economics. As the book tries to show, the Austrian school offers a unique and valuable approach to these issues. The book will be of particular interest to readers in economic theory, philosophy of economics, and economic methodology, especially those appreciating heterodox traditions.
Spheres Of Deception
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Author : Terry Edwards
language : en
Publisher: AuthorHouse
Release Date : 2011-09-09
Spheres Of Deception written by Terry Edwards and has been published by AuthorHouse this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-09-09 with Fiction categories.
Are they spies? or not?
A History Of Econometrics
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Author : Duo Qin
language : en
Publisher: OUP Oxford
Release Date : 2013-07-25
A History Of Econometrics written by Duo Qin and has been published by OUP Oxford this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-07-25 with Business & Economics categories.
Reformation of Econometrics is a sequel to The Formation of Econometrics: A Historical Perspective (1993, OUP) which traces the formation of econometric theory during the period 1930-1960. This book provides an account of the advances in the field of econometrics since the 1970s. Based on original research, it focuses on the reformists' movement and schools of thought and practices that attempted a paradigm shift in econometrics in the 1970s and 1980s. It describes the formation and consolidation of the Cowles Commission (CC) paradigm and traces and analyses the three major methodological attempts to resolve problems involved in model choice and specification of the CC paradigm. These attempts have reoriented the focus of econometric research from internal questions (how to optimally estimate a priori given structural parameters) to external questions (how to choose, design, and specify models). It also examines various modelling issues and problems through two case studies - modelling the Phillips curve and business cycles. The third part of the book delves into the development of three key aspects of model specification in detail - structural parameters, error terms, and model selection and design procedures. The final chapter uses citation analyses to study the impact of the CC paradigm over the span of three and half decades (1970-2005). The citation statistics show that the impact has remained extensive and relatively strong in spite of certain weakening signs. It implies that the reformative attempts have fallen short of causing a paradigm shift.
Introductory Econometrics
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Author : Humberto Barreto
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2006
Introductory Econometrics written by Humberto Barreto and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with Business & Economics categories.
This highly accessible and innovative text with supporting web site uses Excel (R) to teach the core concepts of econometrics without advanced mathematics. It enables students to use Monte Carlo simulations in order to understand the data generating process and sampling distribution. Intelligent repetition of concrete examples effectively conveys the properties of the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator and the nature of heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation. Coverage includes omitted variables, binary response models, basic time series, and simultaneous equations. The authors teach students how to construct their own real-world data sets drawn from the internet, which they can analyze with Excel (R) or with other econometric software. The accompanying web site with text support can be found at www.wabash.edu/econometrics.
A Guide To Modern Econometrics
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Author : Marno Verbeek
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2008-05-27
A Guide To Modern Econometrics written by Marno Verbeek and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-05-27 with Business & Economics categories.
This revised and updated edition of A Guide to Modern Econometrics continues to explore a wide range of topics in modern econometrics by focusing on what is important for doing and understanding empirical work. It serves as a guide to alternative techniques with the emphasis on the intuition behind the approaches and their practical relevance. New material includes Monte Carlo studies, weak instruments, nonstationary panels, count data, duration models and the estimation of treatment effects. Features of this book include: Coverage of a wide range of topics, including time series analysis, cointegration, limited dependent variables, panel data analysis and the generalized method of moments Empirical examples drawn from a wide variety of fields including labour economics, finance, international economics, environmental economics and macroeconomics. End-of-chapter exercises review key concepts in light of empirical examples.
Handbook Of Applied Econometrics And Statistical Inference
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Author : Aman Ullah
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2002-01-29
Handbook Of Applied Econometrics And Statistical Inference written by Aman Ullah and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2002-01-29 with Mathematics categories.
Summarizes developments and techniques in the field. It highlights areas such as sample surveys, nonparametic analysis, hypothesis testing, time series analysis, Bayesian inference, and distribution theory for applications in statistics, economics, medicine, biology, and engineering.
Advances In Applied Econometrics
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Author : Subal C. Kumbhakar
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2025-01-08
Advances In Applied Econometrics written by Subal C. Kumbhakar and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2025-01-08 with Business & Economics categories.
This edited volume celebrates the profound legacy of Peter Schmidt, an eminent figure in econometric research. Originally featured as a Special Issue in Empirical Economics in 2023, this book gathers esteemed econometricians to honor Schmidt's influential work. His distinguished career encompassed pioneering contributions to various realms of econometrics, including time series and panel data econometrics, as well as stochastic frontier analysis. This Festschrift beautifully captures his synergy of theoretical innovation and empirical significance. Written by distinguished econometricians, the volume presents the state-of-the-art in econometrics, traversing Schmidt's diverse interests. It spotlights his impact on applied econometrics and features 25 contributions on topics such as panel data econometrics, stochastic frontier analysis and efficiency/productivity measurement, time series methods, general applied econometrics, copulas, nonparametric methods, andlimited dependent variable models. Readers will gain an overview of the state of econometrics through the lens of Schmidt's multifaceted expertise, exemplifying the enduring resonance of Schmidt's scholarly journey and his indelible impact on the field.