Risk Analysis And Decision Processes

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Risk Analysis And Decision Processes
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Author : H.C. Kunreuther
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06
Risk Analysis And Decision Processes written by H.C. Kunreuther and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Science categories.
For old and new studies in decision making and risk analysis, this book should stand at tlle watershed. Studies of conflict resolution and public policy will surely now have to take account of the model investigation provided by the IIASA team, and many things will not be the same again. This is a report of inquiries into the siting of liquefied energy gas (LEG) facilities in the Federal Republic of Germany, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and the United States. The risks of transporting this highly combustible stuff, and the economic benefits of being able to bring a natural energy source from one side of the globe to the other, holding it, and piping it out as needed, make LEG a model case for studying the public response to dangerous technology. The dangers of LEG are differ ent from those of nuclear power, for instance, where the response too often becomes entangled with the fear of nuclear war. The dangers of LEG include unco~trollable explosions, rather than insidious contami nation. But the degree of dangerousness is very much of the same order as that of nuclear power, and is at least as difficult to assess. In four different countries the constitutional procedures involved in obtaining approval of nuclear or LEG facilities are on record. The four case histories here are a model for comparative study of conflict resolu tion. The period over which the negotiations developed is much the same.
Intelligent Systems And Decision Making For Risk Analysis And Crisis Response
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Author : Chongfu Huang
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2013-07-25
Intelligent Systems And Decision Making For Risk Analysis And Crisis Response written by Chongfu Huang and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-07-25 with Computers categories.
In this present internet age, risk analysis and crisis response based on information will make up a digital world full of possibilities and improvements to people‘s daily life and capabilities. These services will be supported by more intelligent systems and more effective decisionmaking. This book contains all the papers presented at the 4th Inter
Principles Of Risk Analysis
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Author : Charles Yoe
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2019-01-30
Principles Of Risk Analysis written by Charles Yoe and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-01-30 with Technology & Engineering categories.
In every decision problem there are things we know and things we do not know. Risk analysis science uses the best available evidence to assess what we know while it is carefully intentional in the way it addresses the importance of the things we do not know in the evaluation of decision choices and decision outcomes. The field of risk analysis science continues to expand and grow and the second edition of Principles of Risk Analysis: Decision Making Under Uncertainty responds to this evolution with several significant changes. The language has been updated and expanded throughout the text and the book features several new areas of expansion including five new chapters. The book’s simple and straightforward style—based on the author’s decades of experience as a risk analyst, trainer, and educator—strips away the mysterious aura that often accompanies risk analysis. Features: Details the tasks of risk management, risk assessment, and risk communication in a straightforward, conceptual manner Provides sufficient detail to empower professionals in any discipline to become risk practitioners Expands the risk management emphasis with a new chapter to serve private industry and a growing public sector interest in the growing practice of enterprise risk management Describes dozens of quantitative and qualitative risk assessment tools in a new chapter Practical guidance and ideas for using risk science to improve decisions and their outcomes is found in a new chapter on decision making under uncertainty Practical methods for helping risk professionals to tell their risk story are the focus of a new chapter Features an expanded set of examples of the risk process that demonstrate the growing applications of risk analysis As before, this book continues to appeal to professionals who want to learn and apply risk science in their own professions as well as students preparing for professional careers. This book remains a discipline free guide to the principles of risk analysis that is accessible to all interested practitioners. Files used in the creation of this book and additional exercises as well as a free student version of Palisade Corporation’s Decision Tools Suite software are available with the purchase of this book. A less detailed introduction to the risk analysis science tasks of risk management, risk assessment, and risk communication is found in Primer of Risk Analysis: Decision Making Under Uncertainty, Second Edition, ISBN: 978-1-138-31228-9.
Risk Assessment And Decision Making In Business And Industry
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Author : Glenn Koller
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2005-03-30
Risk Assessment And Decision Making In Business And Industry written by Glenn Koller and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-03-30 with Business & Economics categories.
Building upon the technical and organizational groundwork presented in the first edition, Risk Assessment and Decision Making in Business and Industry: A Practical Guide, Second Edition addresses the many aspects of risk/uncertainty (R/U) process implementation. This comprehensive volume covers four broad aspects of R/U: general concepts, i
Primer On Risk Analysis
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Author : Charles Yoe
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2019-01-18
Primer On Risk Analysis written by Charles Yoe and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-01-18 with Technology & Engineering categories.
Primer on Risk Analysis: Decision Making Under Uncertainty, Second Edition lays out the tasks of risk analysis in a straightforward, conceptual manner, tackling the question, "What is risk analysis?" Distilling the common principles of many risk dialects into serviceable definitions, it provides a foundation for the practice of risk management and decision making under uncertainty for professionals from all disciplines. New in this edition is an expanded risk management emphasis that includes an overview chapter on enterprise risk management and a chapter on decision making under uncertainty designed to help decision makers use the results of risk analysis in practical ways to improve decisions and their outcomes. This book will empower you to enter the world of risk management in your own domain of expertise by providing you with practical, insightful, useful and adaptable knowledge of risk analysis science including risk management, risk assessment, and risk communication. Features: Answers the fundamental question, "What is Risk Analysis?" Presents the tasks of risk management, risk assessment, and risk communication in a straightforward, conceptual manner Responds to the continuing evolution of risk science and addresses the language of risk as it continues to evolve Expands the risk management emphasis with a new chapter to serve private industry and a growing public sector interest in the growing practice of enterprise risk management Includes a new chapter on decision making under uncertainty provides practical guidance and ideas for using risk science to improve decisions and their outcomes Features an expanded set of examples of the risk process that demonstrate the growing applications of risk analysis This book is suitable for executives, professionals and students who seek a fundamental understanding of risk management, risk assessment, and risk communication. A more detailed examination of this topic, suitable for practitioners from any discipline as well as students and professionals who aspire to become experts in the practice of risk analysis science, is found in Principles of Risk Analysis: Decision Making Under Uncertainty, Second Edition, ISBN: 978-1-138-47820-6.
Risk Assessment And Risk Management In Regulatory Decision Making
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Author : United States. Presidential/Congressional Commission on Risk Assessment and Risk Management
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1997
Risk Assessment And Risk Management In Regulatory Decision Making written by United States. Presidential/Congressional Commission on Risk Assessment and Risk Management and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1997 with Administrative agencies categories.
Final Report Risk Assessment And Risk Management In Regulatory Decision Making
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Author : United States. Presidential/Congressional Commission on Risk Assessment and Risk Management
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1997
Final Report Risk Assessment And Risk Management In Regulatory Decision Making written by United States. Presidential/Congressional Commission on Risk Assessment and Risk Management and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1997 with Administrative agencies categories.
The Sage Handbook Of Decision Making Assessment And Risk In Social Work
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Author : Brian J. Taylor
language : en
Publisher: SAGE Publications Limited
Release Date : 2023-08-16
The Sage Handbook Of Decision Making Assessment And Risk In Social Work written by Brian J. Taylor and has been published by SAGE Publications Limited this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-08-16 with Social Science categories.
The SAGE Handbook on Decision Making, Assessment and Risk in Social Work provides a comprehensive overview of key debates and issues; and gives pointers on future directions for practice, research, teaching, management of services, and development of theoretical understandings. It′s key aim is to support the development of sound, applied ‘science’ (knowledge) and values to underpin reasoned, reasonable professional judgement and decision making by social workers in practice and those in management and regulatory roles.
Quantitative Health Risk Analysis Methods
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Author : Louis Anthony Cox Jr.
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2006-03-17
Quantitative Health Risk Analysis Methods written by Louis Anthony Cox Jr. and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-03-17 with Medical categories.
This book grew out of an effort to salvage a potentially useful idea for greatly simplifying traditional quantitative risk assessments of the human health consequences of using antibiotics in food animals. In 2001, the United States FDA’s Center for Veterinary Medicine (CVM) (FDA-CVM, 2001) published a risk assessment model for potential adverse human health consequences of using a certain class of antibiotics, fluoroquinolones, to treat flocks of chickens with fatal respiratory disease caused by infectious bacteria. CVM’s concern was that fluoroquinolones are also used in human medicine, raising the possibility that fluoroquinolone-resistant strains of bacteria selected by use of fluoroquinolones in chickens might infect humans and then prove resistant to treatment with human medicines in the same class of antibiotics, such as ciprofloxacin. As a foundation for its risk assessment model, CVM proposed a dramatically simple approach that skipped many of the steps in traditional risk assessment. The basic idea was to assume that human health risks were directly proportional to some suitably defined exposure metric. In symbols: Risk = K × Exposure, where “Exposure” would be defined in terms of a metric such as total production of chicken contaminated with fluoroquinolone-resistant bacteria that might cause human illnesses, and “Risk” would describe the expected number of cases per year of human illness due to fluoroquinolone-resistant bacterial infections caused by chicken and treated with fluoroquinolones.
Uncertainty In Risk Assessment Risk Management And Decision Making
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Author : V.T. Covello
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-03-08
Uncertainty In Risk Assessment Risk Management And Decision Making written by V.T. Covello and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-03-08 with Technology & Engineering categories.
The subject of this volume--uncertainties in risk assessment and management--reflects an important theme in health, safety, and environ mental decision making. MOst technological hazards are characterized by substantial uncertainty. Recent examples include nuclear waste disposal, acid rain, asbestos in schools, carcinogens in food, and hazardous waste. realing with such uncertainty is arguably the most difficult and challeng ing task facing risk assessors and managers today. Four primary sources of uncertainty in risk assessment and management can be identified: (1) uncertainties about definitions; (2) uncertainties about scientific facts; (3) uncertainties about risk perceptions and atti tudes; and (4) uncertainties about values. Uncertainties about definitions derive primarily from disagreements about the meaning and interpretation of key concepts, such as probability. Uncertainties about scientific facts derive primarily from disagreements about failure modes, the probability and magnitude of adverse health or environmental consequences, cause and effect relationships, dose-response relationships, and exposure patterns. Uncertainties about risk perceptions and attitudes derive primarily from disagreements about what constitutes a significant or acceptable level of risk. Uncertainties about values derive primarily from disagreements about the desirability or worth of alternative risk management actions or conse quences. The papers in this volume address each of these sources of uncertainty from a variety of perspectives. Reflecting the broad scope of risk assess ment and risk management research, the papers include contributions from safety engineers, epidemiologists, toxicologists, chemists, biostatisticians, biologists, decision analysts, economists,psychologists, political scien tists, sociologists, ethicists, and lawyers.