Risk And Business Cycles
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Risk And Business Cycles
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Author : Tyler Cowen
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2002-09-26
Risk And Business Cycles written by Tyler Cowen and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2002-09-26 with Business & Economics categories.
In this book the author argues the case for the revival of an important role for monetary causes in business cycle theory, which challenges the current trend towards favouring purely real theories.
Business Cycles And Equilibrium
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Author : Fischer Black
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2009-11-02
Business Cycles And Equilibrium written by Fischer Black and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-11-02 with Business & Economics categories.
An updated look at what Fischer Black's ideas on business cycles and equilibrium mean today Throughout his career, Fischer Black described a view of business fluctuations based on the idea that a well-developed economy will be continually in equilibrium. In the essays that constitute this book, which is one of only two books Black ever wrote, he explores this idea thoroughly and reaches some surprising conclusions. With the newfound popularity of quantitative finance and risk management, the work of Fischer Black has garnered much attention. Business Cycles and Equilibrium-with its theory that economic and financial markets are in a continual equilibrium-is one of his books that still rings true today, given the current economic crisis. This Updated Edition clearly presents Black's classic theory on business cycles and the concept of equilibrium, and contains a new introduction by the person who knows Black best: Perry Mehrling, author of Fischer Black and the Revolutionary Idea of Finance (Wiley). Mehrling goes inside Black's life to uncover what was occurring during the time Black wrote Business Cycles and Equilibrium, while also shedding light on what Black would make of today's financial and economic meltdown and how he would best advise to move forward. The essays within this book reach some interesting conclusions concerning the role of equilibrium in a developed economy Warns about the use and abuse of modeling Explains the risky business of risk in a straightforward and accessible style Contains chapters dedicated to "the effects of uncontrolled banking," "the trouble with econometric models," and "the effects of noise on investing" Includes commentary on Black's life and work at the time Business Cycles and Equilibrium was written as well as insight as to what Black would make of the current financial meltdown Engaging and informative, the Updated Edition of Business Cycles and Equilibrium will give you a better understanding of what is really going on during these uncertain and volatile financial times.
Nowcasting The Business Cycle
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Author : James Picerno
language : en
Publisher: CreateSpace
Release Date : 2014-04
Nowcasting The Business Cycle written by James Picerno and has been published by CreateSpace this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-04 with Business & Economics categories.
Nowcasting The Business Cycle presents a practical guide for analyzing recession risk—the primary risk factor that drives success and failure in business, finance, wealth management, and so much more. Whether you're an individual investor watching over your retirement account; the owner of a small business; a manager running a billion-dollar pension fund; or a CEO in charge of a global corporation, a large portion of triumph and defeat is closely linked with the broad swings in the economy. The business cycle, in other words, is the mother of all known (and recurring) risk factors. Accordingly, developing a process for assessing the likelihood of this threat is critical. Everyone needs a reliable, timely warning system that's relatively uncomplicated and transparent. Drawing on economic theory and macro's historical record, Nowcasting The Business Cycle outlines a simple but effective model for identifying those times when a new recession has probably started. This isn't forecasting, which is a fool's errand when it comes to the economy. Instead, the goal is recognizing when a majority of key indicators have already reached a tipping point. That may sound like a trivial advantage, but most people—including many economists—don't fully recognize when a recession has begun until the deterioration is obvious. By that point, the opportunity has probably passed for taking defensive measures in your investment portfolio, your business, or your career. The real challenge is less about predicting and more about developing solid intuition for recognizing when the macro threat is exceptionally high. Even a small degree of progress here can provide a considerable boost to your strategic insight. If we can learn the techniques for recognizing a cyclical downturn's presence relatively early—soon after it's begun, or just as it's starting—we'll have an advantage that tends to elude most folks. Nowcasting The Business Cycle provides a roadmap for ensuring that you won't be caught by surprise when the next recession strikes. That's a crucial advantage for one powerful reason: There's always another recession coming.
Beating The Business Cycle
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Author : Lakshman Achuthan
language : en
Publisher: Crown Currency
Release Date : 2004-05-18
Beating The Business Cycle written by Lakshman Achuthan and has been published by Crown Currency this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004-05-18 with Business & Economics categories.
How can you make wise decisions about your company and your personal future when you have no idea where the economy is headed? The answer is, you can’t. But you can learn how to accurately predict turns in the economy so that you can see the road ahead. And BEATING THE BUSINESS CYCLE shows you how. In BEATING THE BUSINESS CYCLE, Lakshman Achuthan and Anirvan Banerji, the directors of the renowned Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) show how anyone can predict and profit from the inevitable booms and busts of the economy. Why should we believe them? Because while so many economists and financial gurus have failed to predict recessions in the past, ECRI’s forecasts are known for being uncannily accurate. The institute successfully predicted the U.S. recession of 2001 many months before the economists did; the 1990 recession and later recovery; and most recently, the weak U.S. recovery in 2002. ECRI is in constant demand by corporate America and the media. It is the “secret weapon” of companies from Disney to DuPont, the major fund managers, and many central banks. BEATING THE BUSINESS CYCLE is the first book to reveal how decision makers at all levels–managers, small business owners, and individuals–can see into the economy’s future when making key decisions. Should a large company search out new clients and build new factories or stores, or should it consider cost cutting and layoffs? Is it the right time for you to splurge on that luxury vacation or addition to your house, or would it be more prudent to cut back on big expenditures and save money for a rainy day? Written in an easy-to-understand, accessible style, BEATING THE BUSINESS CYCLE reveals which of the hundreds of economic indicators to trust and which ones to trash. It will give you the tools and confidence you need to make the right decisions at the right times–even when the rest of the investing and business world would persuade you otherwise. Whether you are a corporate manager or the owner of a small business, whether you have your money invested in stocks or in your home, BEATING THE BUSINESS CYCLE will give you the edge you need to trump the competition and stay ahead of the crowd.
The Rediscovery Of The Business Cycle
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Author : Paul A. Volcker
language : en
Publisher: New York : Free Press
Release Date : 1978
The Rediscovery Of The Business Cycle written by Paul A. Volcker and has been published by New York : Free Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1978 with Business & Economics categories.
Business Cycles
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Author : Sumru G. Altug
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2010
Business Cycles written by Sumru G. Altug and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010 with Business & Economics categories.
This title provides an overview of the modern theory and empirics of business cycles. The book examines the notion of a business cycle and discusses alternative approaches to modelling. It also discusses what lies ahead for modern business cycle theory.
The Well Timed Strategy
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Author : Peter Navarro
language : en
Publisher: Pearson Prentice Hall
Release Date : 2006-01-13
The Well Timed Strategy written by Peter Navarro and has been published by Pearson Prentice Hall this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-01-13 with Business & Economics categories.
Most companies ignore one of their best opportunities for honing competitive advantage: the opportunity to proactively manage business cycles and macroeconomic turbulence. Despite the profound impact that the business cycle has on the fortunes and fate of so many businesses large and small--and the employees and investors that depend on them--not fa single book offers a comprehensive guide to strategically and tactically managing the business cycle. The Well-Timed Strategy shows how to manage not just the business cycle and industry cycles but also today's unprecedented level of macroeconomic turbulence. Peter Navarro shows how to align every facet of business strategy, tactics, and operations to reflect changing business conditions. Drawing on hundreds of examples, Navarro distills clear, simple management principles for managing economic upswings and downswings. Navarro addresses everything from inventory, production, and supply chain management to marketing, pricing, and long-term capital investment. Navarro presents examples from around the globe, ranging from Broadcom and Cemex to Paccar and Xilinx Chinese real estate developers to U.S. small caps. Clear, concise, and exceptionally readable, The Well-Timed Strategy makes complex macroeconomic forecasting easy to understand -- and even easier to act upon. Publisher's note - in this book various quotes and viewpoints are attributed to a 'Ron Vara'. Ron Vara is not an actual person, but rather an alias created by Peter Navarro in order to present his views and opinions.
Frontiers Of Business Cycle Research
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Author : Thomas F. Cooley
language : en
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Release Date : 1995-02-26
Frontiers Of Business Cycle Research written by Thomas F. Cooley and has been published by Princeton University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1995-02-26 with Business & Economics categories.
This introduction to modern business cycle theory uses a neoclassical growth framework to study the economic fluctuations associated with the business cycle. Presenting advances in dynamic economic theory and computational methods, it applies concepts to t
Understanding The Implications Of Trade And Financial Market Integration For Business Cycles
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Author : Mario J. Crucini
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific Publishing Company
Release Date : 2020
Understanding The Implications Of Trade And Financial Market Integration For Business Cycles written by Mario J. Crucini and has been published by World Scientific Publishing Company this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020 with Business cycles categories.
This volume is a collection of the author's scholarly work spanning a quarter century of inquiry into the causes of international business cycles. It starts with an introduction to international business cycle research. Part I reviews salient business cycle facts relating to quantities, prices and the driving forces of business cycles. Part II focuses on the role of risk-sharing and asset market structure in shaping business cycles and welfare. Part III deals with relative prices and the terms of trade stressing retail distribution, information frictions, and the need to tie commodity-specific shocks to particular nations or world regions. Part IV is a collection of work focusing on the inefficiencies brought about by the Hawley-Smoot tariffs and foreign retaliation. Further, because the tariffs were often specific (nominal amounts per physical quantity imported), they interacted with monetary policy in a way that exacerbated the Great Depression. The book provides the reader with an overview of key developments in international business cycle research that build upon the pioneering work of Nobel Laureates Finn Kydland and Edward Prescott, who built the first dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of the closed economy, patterned along the lines of the US economy. As globalization has extended the span of international economic relationships, these modeling approaches have become essential for understanding business cycles today. These models and empirical methods are particularly relevant to our understanding of how domestic innovation, productivity change or policy action (fiscal, monetary and trade-related) feeds back across economies.
Business Cycles And Financial Crises
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Author : A. W. Mullineux
language : en
Publisher: Bookboon
Release Date : 1990
Business Cycles And Financial Crises written by A. W. Mullineux and has been published by Bookboon this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1990 with Business cycles categories.