Risk Assessment And Decision Analysis With Bayesian Networks
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Risk Assessment And Decision Analysis With Bayesian Networks
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Author : Norman Fenton
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2012-11-07
Risk Assessment And Decision Analysis With Bayesian Networks written by Norman Fenton and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-11-07 with Business & Economics categories.
Although many Bayesian Network (BN) applications are now in everyday use, BNs have not yet achieved mainstream penetration. Focusing on practical real-world problem solving and model building, as opposed to algorithms and theory, Risk Assessment and Decision Analysis with Bayesian Networks explains how to incorporate knowledge with data to develop and use (Bayesian) causal models of risk that provide powerful insights and better decision making. Provides all tools necessary to build and run realistic Bayesian network models Supplies extensive example models based on real risk assessment problems in a wide range of application domains provided; for example, finance, safety, systems reliability, law, and more Introduces all necessary mathematics, probability, and statistics as needed The book first establishes the basics of probability, risk, and building and using BN models, then goes into the detailed applications. The underlying BN algorithms appear in appendices rather than the main text since there is no need to understand them to build and use BN models. Keeping the body of the text free of intimidating mathematics, the book provides pragmatic advice about model building to ensure models are built efficiently. A dedicated website, www.BayesianRisk.com, contains executable versions of all of the models described, exercises and worked solutions for all chapters, PowerPoint slides, numerous other resources, and a free downloadable copy of the AgenaRisk software.
Risk Assessment And Decision Analysis With Bayesian Networks
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Author : Norman E. Fenton
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2013
Risk Assessment And Decision Analysis With Bayesian Networks written by Norman E. Fenton and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013 with BUSINESS & ECONOMICS categories.
IdiomIdioms to Deal with the Key Notions of "Motive" and "Opportunity"Idiom for Modeling Dependency between Different Pieces of EvidenceAlibi Evidence IdiomPutting it All Together: Vole ExampleUsing BNs to Expose Further Fallacies of Legal ReasoningSummaryFurther ReadingAppendix A: The Basics of CountingAppendix B: The Algebra of Node Probability TablesAppendix C: Junction Tree AlgorithmAppendix D: Dynamic DiscretizationAppendix E: Statistical Distributions.
Risk Reliability And Safety Innovating Theory And Practice
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Author : Lesley Walls
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2016-11-25
Risk Reliability And Safety Innovating Theory And Practice written by Lesley Walls and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-11-25 with Technology & Engineering categories.
The safe and reliable performance of many systems with which we interact daily has been achieved through the analysis and management of risk. From complex infrastructures to consumer durables, from engineering systems and technologies used in transportation, health, energy, chemical, oil, gas, aerospace, maritime, defence and other sectors, the management of risk during design, manufacture, operation and decommissioning is vital. Methods and models to support risk-informed decision-making are well established but are continually challenged by technology innovations, increasing interdependencies, and changes in societal expectations. Risk, Reliability and Safety contains papers describing innovations in theory and practice contributed to the scientific programme of the European Safety and Reliability conference (ESREL 2016), held at the University of Strathclyde in Glasgow, Scotland (25—29 September 2016). Authors include scientists, academics, practitioners, regulators and other key individuals with expertise and experience relevant to specific areas. Papers include domain specific applications as well as general modelling methods. Papers cover evaluation of contemporary solutions, exploration of future challenges, and exposition of concepts, methods and processes. Topics include human factors, occupational health and safety, dynamic and systems reliability modelling, maintenance optimisation, uncertainty analysis, resilience assessment, risk and crisis management.
Project Risk Management
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Author : Kurt J. Engemann
language : en
Publisher: Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG
Release Date : 2021-03-08
Project Risk Management written by Kurt J. Engemann and has been published by Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-03-08 with Business & Economics categories.
Managing risk is essential for every organization. However, significant opportunities may be lost by concentrating on the negative aspects of risk without bearing in mind the positive attributes. The objective of Project Risk Management: Managing Software Development Risk is to provide a distinct approach to a broad range of risks and rewards associated with the design, development, implementation and deployment of software systems. The traditional perspective of software development risk is to view risk as a negative characteristic associated with the impact of potential threats. The perspective of this book is to explore a more discerning view of software development risks, including the positive aspects of risk associated with potential beneficial opportunities. A balanced approach requires that software project managers approach negative risks with a view to reduce the likelihood and impact on a software project, and approach positive risks with a view to increase the likelihood of exploiting opportunities. Project Risk Management: Managing Software Development Risk explores software development risk both from a technological and business perspective. Issues regarding strategies for software development are discussed and topics including risks related to technical performance, outsourcing, cybersecurity, scheduling, quality, costs, opportunities and competition are presented. Bringing together concepts across the broad spectrum of software engineering with a project management perspective, this volume represents both a professional and scholarly perspective on the topic.
Multi Criteria Decision Analysis For Risk Assessment And Management
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Author : Jingzheng Ren
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2021-11-13
Multi Criteria Decision Analysis For Risk Assessment And Management written by Jingzheng Ren and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-11-13 with Science categories.
This book provides in-depth guidance on how to use multi-criteria decision analysis methods for risk assessment and risk management. The frontiers of engineering operations management methods for identifying the risks, investigating their roles, analyzing the complex cause-effect relationships, and proposing countermeasures for risk mitigation are presented in this book. There is a total of ten chapters, mainly including the indicators and organizational models for risk assessment, the integrated Bayesian Best-Worst method and classifiable TOPSIS model for risk assessment, new risk prioritization model, fuzzy risk assessment under uncertainties, assessment of COVID-19 transmission risk based on fuzzy inference system, risk assessment and mitigation based on simulation output analysis, energy supply risk analysis, risk assessment and management in cash-in-transit vehicle routing problems, and sustainability risks of resource-exhausted cities. The most significant feature of this book is that it provides various systematic multi-criteria decision analysis methods for risk assessment and management, and illustrates the application of these methods in different fields. This book is beneficial to policymakers, decision-makers, experts, researchers and students related to risk assessment and management.
Semantic Computing
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Author : Phillip Chen-yu Sheu
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific Publishing Company
Release Date : 2017-08-23
Semantic Computing written by Phillip Chen-yu Sheu and has been published by World Scientific Publishing Company this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-08-23 with Computers categories.
As the first volume of World Scientific Encyclopedia with Semantic Computing and Robotic Intelligence, this volume is designed to lay the foundation for the understanding of the Semantic Computing (SC), as a core concept to study Robotic Intelligence in the subsequent volumes.This volume aims to provide a reference to the development of Semantic Computing, in the terms of 'meaning', 'context', and 'intention'. It brings together a series of technical notes, in average, no longer than 10 pages in length, each focuses on one topic in Semantic Computing; being review article or research paper, to explain the fundamental concepts, models or algorithms, and possible applications of the technology concerned.This volume will address three core areas in Semantic Computing:
Trends In Maritime Technology And Engineering
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Author : C. Guedes Soares
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2022-06-07
Trends In Maritime Technology And Engineering written by C. Guedes Soares and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-06-07 with Technology & Engineering categories.
Trends in Maritime Technology and Engineering comprises the papers presented at the 6th International Conference on Maritime Technology and Engineering (MARTECH 2022) that was held in Lisbon, Portugal, from 24-26 May 2022. The Conference has evolved from the series of biennial national conferences in Portugal, which have become an international event, and which reflect the internationalization of the maritime sector and its activities. MARTECH 2022 is the sixth of this new series of biennial conferences. The book covers all aspects of maritime activity, including in Volume 1: Structures, Hydrodynamics, Machinery, Control and Design. In Volume 2: Maritime Transportation and Ports, Maritime Traffic, Safety, Environmental Conditions, Renewable Energy, Oil & Gas, and Fisheries and Aquaculture. Trends in Maritime Technology and Engineering aims at academics and professionals in the above mentioned fields.
Principles And Challenges Of Fundamental Methods In Veterinary Epidemiology And Economics
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Author : Salome Dürr
language : en
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
Release Date : 2021-08-09
Principles And Challenges Of Fundamental Methods In Veterinary Epidemiology And Economics written by Salome Dürr and has been published by Frontiers Media SA this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-08-09 with Medical categories.
Advances In Reliability And Optimization Of Structural Systems
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Author : Dan M. Frangopol
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2005-12-22
Advances In Reliability And Optimization Of Structural Systems written by Dan M. Frangopol and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-12-22 with Technology & Engineering categories.
This volume contains thirty-one papers presented at the Twelfth Scientific Meeting of the IFIP Working Group on Reliability and Optimization of Structural Systems which took place in Aalborg, Denmark, from May 22-25, 2005. The Working Group Conference was organized by the IFIP (International Federation for Information Processing) Working Group 7.5 of the Technical Committee on Modelling and Optimization. The purpose of the Working Group is to promote modern structural system reliability and optimization theory and its applications, to stimulate research, development and application of structural system reliability and optimization theory, to assist and advance research and development in these fields, to further the dissemination and exchange of information on reliability and optimization of structural systems, and to encourage education in structural system reliability and optimization theory.
Multihazard Considerations In Civil Infrastructure
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Author : Mohammed M. Ettouney
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2016-11-30
Multihazard Considerations In Civil Infrastructure written by Mohammed M. Ettouney and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-11-30 with Technology & Engineering categories.
This book explains and presents the need for Multihazard Consideration (MH) in the management of civil infrastructure, what constitutes MH, and how to address MH in design and analysis. A generalized theory of MH will serve as the basis of the objective treatment of this volume. Use of MH in bridge management (inspection, maintenance, rehabilitation, and replacement) will serve as the basis for several examples, and numerous case studies will be presented throughout.