Risk Inflation And The Stock Market
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Risk Inflation And The Stock Market
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Author : Robert S. Pindyck
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1983
Risk Inflation And The Stock Market written by Robert S. Pindyck and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1983 with Corporations categories.
Most explanations for the decline in share values over the past two decades have focused on the concurrent increase in inflation.This paper considers an alternative explanation: a substantial increase in the riskiness of capital investments. We show that the variance of firms' real gross marginal return on capital has increased significantly, increasing the relative riskiness of investors' returns on equity, and that this can explain a large part of the market decline. We also assess the effects of increase in the mean and variance of the inflation rate, and a decline in firms' expected return on capital.
Stock Returns And Inflation Redux An Explanation From Monetary Policy In Advanced And Emerging Markets
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Author : Mr. Zhongxia Zhang
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2021-08-20
Stock Returns And Inflation Redux An Explanation From Monetary Policy In Advanced And Emerging Markets written by Mr. Zhongxia Zhang and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-08-20 with Business & Economics categories.
Classical theories of monetary economics predict that real stock returns are negatively correlated with inflation when monetary policy is countercyclical. Previous empirical studies mostly focus on a small group of developed countries or a few countries with hyperinflation. In this paper, I examine the stock return-inflation relation under different monetary policy regimes and conditions using an expanded dataset of 71 economies. Empirical evidence suggests that the stock return-inflation relation is partially driven by monetary policy. If a country’s monetary authority conducts a more countercyclical monetary policy, the stock return-inflation relation becomes more negative. In addition, the results differ by monetary policy framework. In exchange rate anchor countries, stock markets do not respond to monetary policy cyclicality. In inflation targeting countries, stock markets react more strongly to inflation. A key contribution of this paper is to classify inflation targeters by their behaviors, and illustrate that behavior matters in shaping market perceptions: markets react to inflation and monetary policy cyclicality when central banks are able to control inflation within their target bands. In this case markets are sensitive to inflation dynamics when inflation is above the announced target bands. Finally, when monetary policy is constrained by the Zero Lower Bound (ZLB), a structural break is introduced and real stock returns no longer respond to inflation and monetary policy cyclicality.
Inflation Tax Rules And Capital Formation
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Author : Martin Feldstein
language : en
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Release Date : 2009-05-15
Inflation Tax Rules And Capital Formation written by Martin Feldstein and has been published by University of Chicago Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-05-15 with Business & Economics categories.
Inflation, Tax Rules, and Capital Formation brings together fourteen papers that show the importance of the interaction between tax rules and monetary policy. Based on theoretical and empirical research, these papers emphasize the importance of including explicit specifications of the tax system in such study.
The Equity Risk Premium
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Author : Bradford Cornell
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 1999-05-26
The Equity Risk Premium written by Bradford Cornell and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999-05-26 with Business & Economics categories.
Das Thema Risikoprämie für Aktien (Equity Risk Premium) wird hier zum ersten Mal verständlich erklärt. Die Risikoprämie für Aktien stellt einen Renditeausgleich dar für das erhöhte Risiko, das ein Anleger bei der Investition in Aktien eingeht, im Vergleich zu einer Investition in risikofreie Staatsanleihen. Die Risikoprämie ist zwar von der Theorie her einfach, jedoch in der Praxis ein sehr komplexes Phänomen. Für Finanzentscheidungen ist es von größter Bedeutung, daß man das Prinzip der Risikoprämie versteht und es anwenden kann. Cornell erläutert das Thema Schritt für Schritt sehr anschaulich und ohne terminologischen Ballast. Zunächst wird die Risikoprämie im Zusammenhang mit der Geschichte des Aktienmarktes betrachtet. Der Haussemarkt der 90er dient dabei als Fallstudie. Cornell zeigt, welche Rückschlüsse man durch die Analyse der Risikoprämie im historischen Verlauf für den Aktienmarkt ziehen kann, z.B. ob Aktienkurse steigen oder fallen oder ob sich der Aktienmarkt verändert. Vorausschauende Schätzungen der Risikoprämie werden anhand verschiedener konkurrierender Modelle analysiert, wobei die Vorzüge der jeweiligen Methode mitbewertet werden. 'Equity Risk Premium' ist das erste Buch, das dieses wichtige Prinzip der Risiko-Nutzen-Analyse erschöpfend behandelt. Es vermittelt einen tiefen Einblick und deckt alle Grundlagen ab, damit Investoren fundierte Finanzentscheidungen treffen können. Ein absolutes Muß für institutionelle Anleger, Geldmanager und Finanzvorstände, die auf eine fundierte Marktanalyse zurückgreifen müssen. (06/99)
The Equity Risk Premium
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Author : William N. Goetzmann
language : en
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Release Date : 2006-11-16
The Equity Risk Premium written by William N. Goetzmann and has been published by Oxford University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-11-16 with Business & Economics categories.
This book aims to create a strong understanding of the empirical basis for the equity risk premium. Through the research and anaylsis of two scholars who are experts in this field, this volume presents the key issues that are paramount to investors, including whether or not to use historical data as a method of equity investing, and can the equity premium reflect changes in fundamental values and cash flows of the market.
Risk And Rates Of Return
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Author : Maximilian Wegener
language : en
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Release Date : 2013-05-29
Risk And Rates Of Return written by Maximilian Wegener and has been published by GRIN Verlag this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-05-29 with Business & Economics categories.
Seminar paper from the year 2012 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 9.0, Maastricht University (SBE), course: Intermediate Financial Management, language: English, abstract: In 1996, Northern Electric and Mid-Continent Gas merged into the North Central Utilities (NCU) since both companies were convinced that future success is dependent on the provision of an entire set of energy sources. Furthermore the merger put both firms in a better position compared to their competitors, especially in view of the fact that in 1996, regulatory changes empowered companies to compete for business in other firm’s territories. Beforehand, competition basically did not exist and the profits were determined easily. Companies knew the amount of capital invested, the cost of capital and the product of those two demonstrated the profits, which had to be generated. In the following case, several questions will be answered to the changing conditions in the utility industry....
The Stock Market And Inflation
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Author : J. Anthony Boeckh
language : en
Publisher: Irwin Professional Publishing
Release Date : 1982
The Stock Market And Inflation written by J. Anthony Boeckh and has been published by Irwin Professional Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1982 with Inflation (Finance) categories.
Risk Factors And Contagion In Commodity Markets And Stocks Markets
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Author : Stephane Goutte
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2020-04-28
Risk Factors And Contagion In Commodity Markets And Stocks Markets written by Stephane Goutte and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-04-28 with Business & Economics categories.
The link between commodities prices and the business cycle, including variables such as real GDP, industrial production, unemployment, inflation, and market uncertainty, has often been debated in the macroeconomic literature. To quantify the impact of commodities on the economy, one can distinguish different modeling approaches. First, commodities can be represented as the pinnacle of cross-sectional financial asset prices. Second, price fluctuations due to seasonal variations, dramatic market changes, political and regulatory decisions, or technological shocks may adversely impact producers who use commodities as input. This latter effect creates the so-called 'commodities risk'. Additionally, commodities price fluctuations may spread to other sectors in the economy, via contagion effects. Besides, stronger investor interest in commodities may create closer integration with conventional asset markets; as a result, the financialization process also enhances the correlation between commodity markets and financial markets.Our objective in this book, Risk Factors and Contagion in Commodity Markets and Stocks Markets, lies in answering the following research questions: What are the interactions between commodities and stock market sentiment? Do some of these markets move together overtime? Did the financialization in energy commodities occur after the 2008 Global Financial Crisis? These questions are essential to understand whether commodities are driven only by their fundamentals, or whether there is also a systemic component influenced by the volatility present within the stock markets.
Stocks For The Long Run 4th Edition
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Author : Jeremy J. Siegel
language : en
Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional
Release Date : 2007-12-18
Stocks For The Long Run 4th Edition written by Jeremy J. Siegel and has been published by McGraw Hill Professional this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-12-18 with Business & Economics categories.
Stocks for the Long Run set a precedent as the most complete and irrefutable case for stock market investment ever written. Now, this bible for long-term investing continues its tradition with a fourth edition featuring updated, revised, and new material that will keep you competitive in the global market and up-to-date on the latest index instruments. Wharton School professor Jeremy Siegel provides a potent mix of new evidence, research, and analysis supporting his key strategies for amassing a solid portfolio with enhanced returns and reduced risk. In a seamless narrative that incorporates the historical record of the markets with the realities of today's investing environment, the fourth edition features: A new chapter on globalization that documents how the emerging world will soon overtake the developed world and how it impacts the global economy An extended chapter on indexing that includes fundamentally weighted indexes, which have historically offered better returns and lower volatility than their capitalization-weighted counterparts Insightful analysis on what moves the market and how little we know about the sources of big market changes A sobering look at behavioral finance and the psychological factors that can lead investors to make irrational investment decisions A major highlight of this new edition of Stocks for the Long Run is the chapter on global investing. With the U.S. stock market currently holding less than half of the world's equity capitalization, it's important for investors to diversify abroad. This updated edition shows you how to create an “efficient portfolio” that best balances asset allocation in domestic and foreign markets and provides thorough coverage on sector allocation across the globe. Stocks for the Long Run is essential reading for every investor and advisor who wants to fully understand the market-including its behavior, past trends, and future influences-in order to develop a prosperous long-term portfolio that is both safe and secure.
Responses Of The Stock Market To Macroeconomic Announcements Across Economic States
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Author : Zuliu Hu
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 1998-05-01
Responses Of The Stock Market To Macroeconomic Announcements Across Economic States written by Zuliu Hu and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998-05-01 with Business & Economics categories.
Is the stock market responsive to macroeconomic news? This paper employs the daily returns of the Dow Jones Industrial Index, the S&P 500 index, the Russell 1000 index, and the Russell 2000 index to examine stock market reactions to a broad list of macroeconomic announcements, including money supply, inflation, employment, housing starts, and trade balances, etc. Several announcements concerning real economic activity that have received little attention in previous research are shown to have a significant impact on stock prices. The paper also presents preliminary evidence for the different reaction to macroeconomic news by small cap stocks and large cap stocks.