Robust Simulation For Mega Risks
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Robust Simulation For Mega Risks
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Author : Craig E. Taylor
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2015-11-11
Robust Simulation For Mega Risks written by Craig E. Taylor and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-11-11 with Nature categories.
This book introduces a new way of analyzing, measuring and thinking about mega-risks, a “paradigm shift” that moves from single-solutions to multiple competitive solutions and strategies. “Robust simulation” is a statistical approach that demonstrates future risk through simulation of a suite of possible answers. To arrive at this point, the book systematically walks through the historical statistical methods for evaluating risks. The first chapters deal with three theories of probability and statistics that have been dominant in the 20th century, along with key mathematical issues and dilemmas. The book then introduces “robust simulation” which solves the problem of measuring the stability of simulated losses, incorporates outliers, and simulates future risk through a suite of possible answers and stochastic modeling of unknown variables. This book discusses various analytical methods for utilizing divergent solutions in making pragmatic financial and risk-mitigation decisions. The book emphasizes the importance of flexibility and attempts to demonstrate that alternative credible approaches are helpful and required in understanding a great many phenomena.
Megaproject Risk Analysis And Simulation
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Author : Prince Boateng
language : en
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
Release Date : 2017-04-28
Megaproject Risk Analysis And Simulation written by Prince Boateng and has been published by Emerald Group Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-04-28 with Business & Economics categories.
Providing new knowledge on risk analysis and simulation for megaprojects, this book is essential reading for both academics and practitioners. Its focus is on technical descriptions of a newly developed dynamic systems approach to megaproject risk analysis and simulation.
Megaproject Risk Analysis And Simulation
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Author : Prince Boateng
language : en
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
Release Date : 2017-04-28
Megaproject Risk Analysis And Simulation written by Prince Boateng and has been published by Emerald Group Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-04-28 with Business & Economics categories.
Providing new knowledge on risk analysis and simulation for megaprojects, this book is essential reading for both academics and practitioners. Its focus is on technical descriptions of a newly developed dynamic systems approach to megaproject risk analysis and simulation.
Cities And Mega Risks
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Author : Mohammad Aslam Khan
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2022-10-11
Cities And Mega Risks written by Mohammad Aslam Khan and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-10-11 with Science categories.
This book focuses on the emergence of COVID-19 and climate change as twin mega risks to cities of both developed and developing countries. The work analyses how the pandemic has transformed city functions, promoted remote working, and affected socializing, education and learning patterns, recreation, as well as shopping and entertainment. It discusses the lessons learned from these two Mega Risks, the evolution of urban patterns and functions in their wake, and provides visionary thinking for the improvement of cities from the experiences gained. The COVID-19 Pandemic and climate change are both posing serious threats to cities’ future. Together, they demand changes in the ways cities’ function and operate. The work presents a case for a better understanding of the twin mega risks, the magnitude of their impacts, the responses of cities in combating these issues, and planning strategies for preparing, mitigating and adapting to these and future risks. The book is designed to provide reliable resource materials for a wide audience such as planners, professional practitioners, scientists, students, teachers and researchers working in various fields including geography, environmental sciences, social sciences, policy and planning.
Directions In Modeling Wheat And Maize For Developing Countries
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Author : Jeffrey W. White
language : en
Publisher: CIMMYT
Release Date : 1998
Directions In Modeling Wheat And Maize For Developing Countries written by Jeffrey W. White and has been published by CIMMYT this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998 with Corn categories.
This paper outlines crop improvement, strategic agronomy, and natural resource management research concerns central to CIMMYT¦s mission and which models can help address. Authors also discuss related issues, including model documentation and data management. Although CIMMYT has little comparative advantage in model development per se, the center has much to contribute to others' development and refinement efforts, to the availability of quality data, and to the promotion of models and training in their use, and active participation in these areas will ultimately result in better models for CIMMYT's own aims.
Landslides Global Risk Preparedness
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Author : Kyoji Sassa
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-08-31
Landslides Global Risk Preparedness written by Kyoji Sassa and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-08-31 with Science categories.
This book presents the global landslide risk preparedness implemented through the International Programme on Landslides (IPL). IPL was initiated by the International Consortium on Landslides (ICL) in 2002, and developed to a joint international programme by the IPL Global Promotion Committee (UNESCO, WMO, FAO, UNISDR, UNU, ICSU and WFEO as well as ICL) through the 2006 Tokyo Action Plan. The materials consists of four parts: Outline of the International Programme on Landslides & IPL Global Promotion Committee; Achievements of major IPL projects in research and capacity building; World Centres of Excellence on Landslide Risk Reduction (WCoEs) and Landslide School Network; Key documents of IPL and ICL including Tokyo Action Plan, Application of ICL, IPL Projects, WCoEs and Landslide School Network
Mega Quakes Cascading Earthquake Hazards And Compounding Risks
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Author : Katsuichiro Goda
language : en
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
Release Date : 2018-03-15
Mega Quakes Cascading Earthquake Hazards And Compounding Risks written by Katsuichiro Goda and has been published by Frontiers Media SA this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-03-15 with categories.
Large-scale earthquake hazards pose major threats to modern society, generating casualties, disrupting socioeconomic activities, and causing enormous economic loss across the world. Events, such as the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami and the 2011 Tohoku earthquake, highlighted the vulnerability of urban cities to catastrophic earthquakes. Accurate assessment of earthquake-related hazards (both primary and secondary) is essential to mitigate and control disaster risk exposure effectively. To date, various approaches and tools have been developed in different disciplines. However, they are fragmented over a number of research disciplines and underlying assumptions are often inconsistent. Our society and infrastructure are subjected to multiple types of cascading earthquake hazards; therefore, integrated hazard assessment and risk management strategy is needed for mitigating potential consequences due to multi-hazards. Moreover, uncertainty modeling and its impact on hazard prediction and anticipated consequences are essential parts of probabilistic earthquake hazard and risk assessment. The Research Topic is focused upon modeling and impact assessment of cascading earthquake hazards, including mainshock ground shaking, aftershock, tsunami, liquefaction, and landslide.
Tsunamis
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Author : E.M. Scourse
language : en
Publisher: Geological Society of London
Release Date : 2018-01-05
Tsunamis written by E.M. Scourse and has been published by Geological Society of London this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-01-05 with Science categories.
This Special Publication examines tsunami hazard and risk, with particular focus on using the geological record. With Earth’s growing population clustered increasingly on coastlines, tsunami hazards are of concern worldwide. The papers explore the sedimentological and dynamic traces of recent and prehistoric tsunamis globally – from Europe to the Pacific – as well as looking at historic records and how the information can be used to characterise the scale of impacts and areas that are most susceptible to tsunami hazards. Armed with this information, scientists can begin to quantify risks, both to populations and in economic terms. This volume is aimed both at scientists working in this field and at a wider community, interested in tsunami science and natural hazard assessment.
Resilience Robustness And Vulnerability Of Transport Systems
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Author : Milan Janić
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2022-11-21
Resilience Robustness And Vulnerability Of Transport Systems written by Milan Janić and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-11-21 with Technology & Engineering categories.
This book is focused on the analysis and modelling of resilience, robustness, and vulnerability of transport systems and their complement: reliability. It provides an elaboration on their generic concepts, analysing disruptive events and nature of their impacts. It also offers an analysis and modelling of the system performances and their indicators relevant for the main actors involved. Applications of the models of performances and their resilience, robustness, and vulnerability to the selected cases of road, rail, air, and maritime transport mode affected by different internal and external disruptive events are also presented. By offering readers a systematic and comprehensive way of dealing with the topic of resilience, robustness, and vulnerability of transport systems and their complement, reliability, this book will be of interest to researchers and professionals alike within the transport industry.
Analytical Methods In Petroleum Upstream Applications
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Author : Cesar Ovalles
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2015-04-02
Analytical Methods In Petroleum Upstream Applications written by Cesar Ovalles and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-04-02 with Science categories.
Effective measurement of the composition and properties of petroleum is essential for its exploration, production, and refining; however, new technologies and methodologies are not adequately documented in much of the current literature. Analytical Methods in Petroleum Upstream Applications explores advances in the analytical methods and instrumentation that allow more accurate determination of the components, classes of compounds, properties, and features of petroleum and its fractions. Recognized experts explore a host of topics, including: A petroleum molecular composition continuity model as a context for other analytical measurements A modern modular sampling system for use in the lab or the process area to collect and control samples for subsequent analysis The importance of oil-in-water measurements and monitoring The chemical and physical properties of heavy oils, their fractions, and products from their upgrading Analytical measurements using gas chromatography and nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) applications Asphaltene and heavy ends analysis Chemometrics and modeling approaches for understanding petroleum composition and properties to improve upstream, midstream, and downstream operations Due to the renaissance of gas and oil production in North America, interest has grown in analytical methods for a wide range of applications. The understanding provided in this text is designed to help chemists, geologists, and chemical and petroleum engineers make more accurate estimates of the crude value to specific refinery configurations, providing insight into optimum development and extraction schemes.