Secular Stagnation
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Secular Stagnation
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Author : Larry Summers
language : en
Publisher: Viking
Release Date : 2019-12
Secular Stagnation written by Larry Summers and has been published by Viking this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-12 with categories.
The biggest economic debate of our time centres around one fundamental question: is the decreased growth in today's world economy a short-term glitch -- or is it part of a permanent spiral? Without an answer, we have no hope of steering our international economies back towards the growth they need. After the global financial crisis, Larry Summers, Harvard professor and former director of the White House National Economic Council, reintroduced into economic debate the concept of 'secular stagnation', arguing persuasively that we're stuck in a trap of persistent low growth and depressed employment. The causes are various, from new technologies that have shifted the economy to zero-cost designed goods, to interest rates that can't go lower than zero. Without bold government intervention, there's no way out. And there's no time to lose.
Secular Stagnation Theories
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Author : Christina Anselmann
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2020-04-17
Secular Stagnation Theories written by Christina Anselmann and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-04-17 with Business & Economics categories.
In light of weak economic performances and rising income disparities across the developed world during the past decades, this book provides a comprehensive overview of secular stagnation theories in the history of economic thought and examines the role of income distribution in various stagnation hypotheses. By offering a historical perspective, from the classical economists to the most recent stagnation debate of the early twenty-first century, the author shows that most stagnation theories were developed in periods of high and/or rising income disparities. Eventually, it was Josef Steindl, one of the least recognized stagnationists in the history of economic thought, who put the distribution of income at the heart of his stagnation theory. While Josef Steindl focused on the nexus between the functional distribution of income and economic growth, this book includes the personal distribution of income in a Kaleckian-Steindlian model of economic growth and stagnation. In the model presented, the nexus between economic growth and the distribution of income is a priori uncertain, depending on the type of economic shock and the specific economic circumstances. The author also discusses various empirically oriented policy implications aimed at fostering both economic growth and a more equal distribution of income. This book appeals to scholars in economics and the history of economic thought interested in economic growth, secular stagnation, and income distribution.
A Theory Of Accumulation And Secular Stagnation
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Author : Daniel Aronoff
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2018-01-08
A Theory Of Accumulation And Secular Stagnation written by Daniel Aronoff and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-01-08 with Business & Economics categories.
Thomas Malthus identified a crucial tension at the heart of a market economy: While an accumulation of wealth is necessary to provide the capital investment needed to generate growth, too much accumulation will cause planned saving to exceed profitable investment, which will result in secular stagnation, a condition of low growth and underemployment of resources. Keynes drew inspiration from Malthus in his attempt to comprehend the causes of the Great Depression of the 1930s. Now, Aronoff demonstrates how a related but slightly different aspect of Malthus' thought can illuminate one of the most pressing issues of our times. In A Theory of Accumulation and Secular Stagnation, Aronoff explores Malthus' ideas relating to secular stagnation and uses the insight gained to understand the origins of the subpar growth and tepid employment, periodically punctuated by booms, that has plagued the US economy since the turn of the millennium. He explains how the rise of mercantilism among Asian countries – principally China – and increased income concentration generated an upsurge in excess saving. This accumulation created a chronic deficiency in demand while also depressing interest rates, which generated a search for yield that fuelled periodic booms.
Aging Secular Stagnation And The Business Cycle
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Author : Callum Jones
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2018-03-23
Aging Secular Stagnation And The Business Cycle written by Callum Jones and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-03-23 with Social Science categories.
As of 2015, U.S. log output per capita was 12 percent below what its pre-2008 linear trend would predict. To understand why, I develop and estimate a model of the US with demographics, real and monetary shocks, and the occasionally binding ZLB on nominal rates. Demographic changes generate slow-moving trends in the real interest rate, employment, and productivity. I find that demographics alone can explain one-third of the gap between log output per capita and its linear trend in 2015. Demographics also lowered real rates, causing the ZLB to bind between 2009 and 2015, contributing to the slow recovery after the Great Recession.
Japan S Secular Stagnation And Beyond
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Author : Radhika Desai
language : en
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
Release Date : 2023-05-08
Japan S Secular Stagnation And Beyond written by Radhika Desai and has been published by Taylor & Francis this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-05-08 with Social Science categories.
This book re-visits the phenomenon of Japanese secular stagnation in light of the fate of the North Atlantic and developing economies and places it in a longer historical political and geopolitical economy of capitalism from a variety of political and disciplinary perspectives. Japanese capitalism, which was once an admired model of miraculous growth with a relatively egalitarian distribution of income, fell into secular stagnation in the early 1990s. The phenomenon has since fascinated observers, provoked debates, provided policy advocates with grist for the mills of a range of policy proposals, some of them mutually contradictory, and, most importantly, burdened an entire population, and particularly its young. Japan’s secular stagnation has raised new questions about policy difficulties on a range of fronts – dramatically lowered growth rate despite comparatively high investment, deteriorating labor conditions, rising class and gender inequality, a profound and many-faceted crisis of social reproduction and a deepening fiscal crisis of the state – all of which have important international ramifications. Moreover, interest in and the importance of Japan’s secular stagnation grew rapidly after 2008 as many have sought to understand the economic malaise of the North Atlantic by analogy and comparison with all or parts of the Japanese condition. The introduction and chapters in this book attempt to understand the causes, character and consequence of that original affliction. They also reflect on the meaning of Japan’s secular stagnation at this stage of development capitalism. The result contains the key to understanding the more widespread economic malaise of our time. This book will be a beneficial read for researchers and scholars of Economics and Politics interested in Japanese Studies as well as the Japanese political economy. Most of the chapters in this book were originally published as a special issue of The Japanese Political Economy. The last chapter was originally published in the Journal of Contemporary Asia.
Handbook Of Economic Stagnation
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Author : Randall Wray
language : en
Publisher: Academic Press
Release Date : 2022-04-24
Handbook Of Economic Stagnation written by Randall Wray and has been published by Academic Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-04-24 with Business & Economics categories.
Handbook of Economic Stagnation takes a broad view, including contributions from orthodox and heterodox economists who examine situations in countries and worldwide regions, including Japan and the Euro area. To be sure, stagnation is periodically relieved by short economic bursts usually brought on by unsustainable asset price bubbles. Once the bubbles burst, stagnation returns. This book's fresh, comprehensive approach to the topic makes it the premier source for anyone affected by these cycles. Synthesizes and organizes diverse perspectives about crisis economics and future economic growth Emphasizes the relationships among stagnation, international economics, and the global distribution of labor Includes Japan and the Euro zone as well as other countries and regions worldwide
Untitled On Secular Stagnation
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Author : Lawrence H. Summers
language : en
Publisher: Viking
Release Date : 2016-09
Untitled On Secular Stagnation written by Lawrence H. Summers and has been published by Viking this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-09 with categories.
Are We Doomed To Secular Stagnation
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Author : Uwe Petersen
language : en
Publisher: CreateSpace
Release Date : 2014-11-25
Are We Doomed To Secular Stagnation written by Uwe Petersen and has been published by CreateSpace this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-11-25 with categories.
On 21 November 2013'Larry Summers, during a speech at the IMF's annual research conference last week, stirred up a hornet's nest by painting a picture of a future with chronically weak demand and sluggish economic growth: a phenomenon known as 'secular stagnation'. He is not the first to point to such a scenario. Paul Krugman picked up on the 'secular stagnation' hypothesis from the early postwar period in his blog two years ago. Meanwhile, the specter of imminent deflation dominates especially the monetary authorities, since their opportunities to ban this danger by interest rate cuts and multiplication of money are vanishing. The prevailing neo-classical supply-side economic theory and policies do not understand the phenomenon and the causes of secular stagnation. Therefore their economic policies only fight the symptoms and, if they still work, they only boost capital market games and capital combustion, but at the same time increase the fragility of the economic system. The economic prosperity in Germany is paid with its export-surpluses and corresponding export of capital, by which the surplus savings are transferred abroad. Germany therefore displaces unemployment abroad. Since Germany nevertheless also fulfills all criteria of a secular stagnation, it is living economically on a volcano. The Merkel government does not understand the phenomenon of secular stagnation, the economic problems of the ailing European countries and the monetary policy of the European Central Bank, without which the eurozone already would have collapsed. Therefore, Germany's measures and economic postulates increase the risk of crisis, instead of fighting against its criteria and serving as a model for the smaller countries on how to overcome the economic crisis.
Japan S Secular Stagnation And Beyond
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2023
Japan S Secular Stagnation And Beyond written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023 with Japan categories.
This book re-visits the phenomenon of Japanese secular stagnation in light of the fate of the North Atlantic and developing economies and places it in a longer historical political and geopolitical economy of capitalism from a variety of political and disciplinary perspectives. Japanese capitalism, which was once an admired model of miraculous growth with a relatively egalitarian distribution of income, fell into secular stagnation in the early 1990s. The phenomenon has since fascinated observers, provoked debates, provided policy advocates with grist for the mills of a range of policy proposals, some of them mutually contradictory, and, most importantly, burdened an entire population, and particularly its young. Japan's secular stagnation has raised new questions about policy difficulties on a range of fronts - dramatically lowered growth rate despite comparatively high investment, deteriorating labor conditions, rising class and gender inequality, a profound and many-faceted crisis of social reproduction and a deepening fiscal crisis of the state - all of which have important international ramifications. Moreover, interest in and the importance of Japan's secular stagnation grew rapidly after 2008 as many have sought to understand the economic malaise of the North Atlantic by analogy and comparison with all or parts of the Japanese condition. The introduction and chapters in this book attempt to understand the causes, character and consequence of that original affliction. They also reflect on the meaning of Japan's secular stagnation at this stage of development capitalism. The result contains the key to understanding the more widespread economic malaise of our time. This book will be a beneficial read for researchers and scholars of Economics and Politics interested in Japanese Studies as well as the Japanese political economy. Most of the chapters in this book were originally published as a special issue of The Japanese Political Economy. The last chapter was originally published in theJournal of Contemporary Asia.
The Financial Crisis Reconsidered
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Author : Daniel Aronoff
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2016-04-08
The Financial Crisis Reconsidered written by Daniel Aronoff and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-04-08 with Business & Economics categories.
In The Financial Crisis Reconsidered, Aronoff challenges the conventional view that reckless credit produced the US housing boom and the financial crisis, explaining how the large current account deficit, and its mercantilist origin, was a more fundamental cause. He also demonstrates that the decision to provide relief for bank creditors rather than underwater homeowners was responsible for the prolonged recession that followed the crisis. Aronoff proposes a novel theory to account for the ultimate origins of secular stagnation and economic volatility. He shows how accumulation, which occurs when a person or country earns more than it ever plans to spend, generates both an excess of saving and a deficiency in demand. While savings provide the funds to promote booms, under-consumption ensures that these booms will turn bust and that the economy will fall short of its potential growth rate. Aronoff argues that mercantilists and top income earners engage in accumulation, and that the influence of both types has grown in recent decades. Combining economic theory and historical narrative, this book offers a new perspective of the housing boom and the financial crisis, concluding with innovative policy proposals to reduce accumulation without compromising the benefits of a market economy.