Simple Monetary Policy Rules Under Model Uncertainty
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Simple Monetary Policy Rules Under Model Uncertainty
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Author : Ann-Charlotte Eliasson
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 1999-05-01
Simple Monetary Policy Rules Under Model Uncertainty written by Ann-Charlotte Eliasson and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999-05-01 with Business & Economics categories.
Using stochastic simulations and stability analysis, the paper compares how different monetary rules perform in a moderately nonlinear model with a time-varying nonaccelerating-inflation-rate-of-unemployment (NAIRU). Rules that perform well in linear models but implicitly embody backward-looking measures of real interest rates (such as conventional Taylor rules) or substantial interest rate smoothing perform very poorly in models with moderate nonlinearities, particularly when policymakers tend to make serially correlated errors in estimating the NAIRU. This challenges the practice of evaluating rules within linear models, in which the consequences of responding myopically to significant overheating are extremely unrealistic.
Monetary Policy Rules
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Author : John B. Taylor
language : en
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Release Date : 2007-12-01
Monetary Policy Rules written by John B. Taylor and has been published by University of Chicago Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-12-01 with Business & Economics categories.
This timely volume presents the latest thinking on the monetary policy rules and seeks to determine just what types of rules and policy guidelines function best. A unique cooperative research effort that allowed contributors to evaluate different policy rules using their own specific approaches, this collection presents their striking findings on the potential response of interest rates to an array of variables, including alterations in the rates of inflation, unemployment, and exchange. Monetary Policy Rules illustrates that simple policy rules are more robust and more efficient than complex rules with multiple variables. A state-of-the-art appraisal of the fundamental issues facing the Federal Reserve Board and other central banks, Monetary Policy Rules is essential reading for economic analysts and policymakers alike.
Handbook Of Monetary Economics
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Author : Benjamin M. Friedman
language : en
Publisher: Elsevier
Release Date : 2010-11-16
Handbook Of Monetary Economics written by Benjamin M. Friedman and has been published by Elsevier this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-11-16 with Business & Economics categories.
"What tools are available for setting and analyzing monetary policy? World-renowned contributors examine recent evidence on subjects as varied as price-setting, inflation persistence, the private sector's formation of inflation expectations, and the monetary policy transmission mechanism. Stopping short of advocating conclusions about the ideal conduct of policy, the authors focus instead on analytical methods and the changing interactions among the ingredients and properties that inform monetary models. The influences between economic performance and monetary policy regimes can be both grand and muted, and this volume clarifies the present state of this continually evolving relationship." [source : 4e de couv.].
Some Implications For Monetary Policy Of Uncertain Exchange Rate Pass Through
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Author : Mr.Benjamin Hunt
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2003-03-04
Some Implications For Monetary Policy Of Uncertain Exchange Rate Pass Through written by Mr.Benjamin Hunt and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003-03-04 with Business & Economics categories.
The paper uses MULTIMOD to examine the implications of uncertain exchange rate pass-through for the conduct of monetary policy. From the policymaker's perspective, uncertainty about exchange rate pass-through implies uncertainty about policy multipliers and the impact of state variables on stabilization objectives. When faced with uncertainty about the strength of exchange rate pass-through, policymakers will make less costly errors by overestimating the strength of pass-through rather than underestimating it. The analysis suggests that pass-through uncertainty of the magnitude considered does not result in efficient policy response coefficients that are smaller than those under certainty.
Handbook Of Monetary Economics Vols 3a 3b Set
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Author : Benjamin M. Friedman
language : en
Publisher: Newnes
Release Date : 1990
Handbook Of Monetary Economics Vols 3a 3b Set written by Benjamin M. Friedman and has been published by Newnes this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1990 with Business & Economics categories.
How have monetary policies matured during the last decade? The recent downturn in economies worldwide have put monetary policies in a new spotlight. In addition to their investigations of new tools, models, and assumptions, they look carefully at recent evidence on subjects as varied as price-setting, inflation persistence, the private sector's formation of inflation expectations, and the monetary policy transmission mechanism. They also reexamine standard presumptions about the rationality of asset markets and other fundamentals. Stopping short of advocating conclusions about the ideal conduct of policy, the authors focus instead on analytical methods and the changing interactions among the ingredients and properties that inform monetary models. The influences between economic performance and monetary policy regimes can be both grand and muted, and this volume clarifies the present state of this continually evolving relationship. Presents extensive coverage of monetary policy theories with an eye toward questions raised by the recent financial crisis Explores the policies and practices used in formulating and transmitting monetary policies Questions fiscal-monetary connnections and encourages new thinking about the business cycle itself Observes changes in the formulation of monetary policies over the last 25 years
Handbook Of Economic Forecasting
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Author : Graham Elliott
language : en
Publisher: Newnes
Release Date : 2013-08-23
Handbook Of Economic Forecasting written by Graham Elliott and has been published by Newnes this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-08-23 with Business & Economics categories.
The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about economic forecasting. Volumes 2A and 2B, which follows Nobel laureate Clive Granger's Volume 1 (2006), concentrate on two major subjects. Volume 2A covers innovations in methodologies, specifically macroforecasting and forecasting financial variables. Volume 2B investigates commercial applications, with sections on forecasters' objectives and methodologies. Experts provide surveys of a large range of literature scattered across applied and theoretical statistics journals as well as econometrics and empirical economics journals. The Handbook of Economic Forecasting Volumes 2A and 2B provide a unique compilation of chapters giving a coherent overview of forecasting theory and applications in one place and with up-to-date accounts of all major conceptual issues. - Focuses on innovation in economic forecasting via industry applications - Presents coherent summaries of subjects in economic forecasting that stretch from methodologies to applications - Makes details about economic forecasting accessible to scholars in fields outside economics
Capital Formation Governance And Banking
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Author : Edith Klein
language : en
Publisher: Nova Publishers
Release Date : 2005
Capital Formation Governance And Banking written by Edith Klein and has been published by Nova Publishers this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with Business & Economics categories.
This new volume presents leading international analyses of some of the most dynamic issues in the financial sector. Venture capital in the Singapore as well as the evolution of family firms are examined. The potential conflict of banks as shareholders is scrutinised as well. Other topics here include: interest rates and their predictability and smoothing, e-banking services, ownership of financial institutions and its potential impact on profitability. In addition, the predominance or lack thereof of foreign banks and the effect of them is viewed from an economic perspective.
Critique Of The New Consensus Macroeconomics And Implications For India
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Author : Dilip M. Nachane
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2018-11-02
Critique Of The New Consensus Macroeconomics And Implications For India written by Dilip M. Nachane and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-11-02 with Business & Economics categories.
The thought-provoking book presents alternative viewpoints to mainstream macroeconomic theory, questions conventional policy wisdom and suggests a systematic re-orientation of current macroeconomic and financial regulatory policies in India. The New Consensus Macroeconomics (NCM), which established itself in the 1980s as mainstream macroeconomics, essentially represents an “uneasy truce” between two dominant schools of economic thought viz. New Classical and Neo-Keynesian economics. The NCM sets the tone for much of the macroeconomic (especially monetary) policy followed by the advanced economies in the period of the Great Moderation (1990–2005). The recent global crisis has posed a major challenge to the NCM as empirical models based on the NCM failed to anticipate the occurrence of the crisis and later its extent and severity. The above considerations constitute the underpinnings of this book, which addresses the theoretical controversies within a general context and their policy implications for India. The authors’ analysis leads to a somewhat critical assessment of the financial sector policies followed in India since the initiation of reforms in 1991. This makes the book a valuable resource not only for researchers working in this area, but also for policy makers.
International Finance And Financial Crises
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Author : Mr.Peter Isard
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2000-01-24
International Finance And Financial Crises written by Mr.Peter Isard and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2000-01-24 with Business & Economics categories.
This book contains the proceedings of a conference held in honor of Robert P. Flood Jr. Contributors to the conference were invited to address many of the topics that Robert Flood has explored including regime switching, speculative attacks, bubbles, stock market voloatility, macro models with nominal rigidities, dual exchange rates, target zones, and rules versus discretion in monetary policy. The results, contained in this volume, include five papers on topics in international finance.
Multivariate Filter Estimation Of Potential Output For The United States
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Author : Ali Alichi
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2017-05-04
Multivariate Filter Estimation Of Potential Output For The United States written by Ali Alichi and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-05-04 with Business & Economics categories.
Estimates of potential output are an important component of a structured forecasting and policy analysis system. Using information on capacity utilization, this paper extends the multivariate filter developed by Laxton and Tetlow (1992) and modified by Benes and others (2010), Blagrave and others (2015), and Alichi and others (2015). We show that, although still fairly uncertain, the real-time estimates from this approach are more accurate than estimates constructed from naïve univariate statistical filters. The paper presents illustrative estimates for the United States and discusses how the end-of-sample estimates can be improved with additional information.