Smooth Operator Remittances And Fiscal Shocks
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Smooth Operator Remittances And Fiscal Shocks
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Author : Ms.Kimberly Beaton
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2017-07-19
Smooth Operator Remittances And Fiscal Shocks written by Ms.Kimberly Beaton and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-07-19 with Business & Economics categories.
With 250 million migrants globally, remittances are one of the major sources of income in many developing countries. While there is abundant evidence that remittances facilitate consumption smoothing in receving countries, the literature has not considered whether this effect varies with the fiscal stance and during fiscal shocks. Therefore, we investigate the impact of remittances on the stability of household consumption, using both cross-country and household-level datasets. Our focus is on whether the consumption-smoothing effect changes with fiscal policy phases and whether remittances and government support are substitutes or complements in stabilizing household consumption. We find that remittances help smooth consumption, and hence improve welfare, more during fiscal consolidation episodes, while this impact is insignificant during fiscal expansions. The results also indicate that the effect is more pronounced in countries with greater reliance on remittances.
Migration And Remittances In Latin America And The Caribbean
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Author : Ms.Kimberly Beaton
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2017-06-29
Migration And Remittances In Latin America And The Caribbean written by Ms.Kimberly Beaton and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-06-29 with Business & Economics categories.
Outward migration has been an important phenomenon for countries in Latin American and the Caribbean (LAC), particularly those in Central America and the Caribbean. This paper examines recent trends in outward migration from and remittances to LAC, as well as their costs and benefits. For the home country, the negative impact from emigration on labor resources and productivity seems to outweigh growth gains from remittances, notably for the Caribbean. However, given emigration, remittance flows play key financing and stabilizing roles in Central America and the Caribbean. They facilitate private consumption smoothing, support financial sector stability and fiscal revenues, and help reduce poverty and inequality, without strong evidence for harmful competitiveness effects through shifts in the real exchange rate.
Regional Economic Outlook April 2017 Western Hemisphere Department
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Author : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2017-05-19
Regional Economic Outlook April 2017 Western Hemisphere Department written by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-05-19 with Business & Economics categories.
With the global economy gaining some momentum, economies of Latin America and the Caribbean are recovering from a recession at the regional level in 2016. This gradual improvement can be understood as tale of two adjustments, external and fiscal, that are ongoing in response to earlier shocks. But headwinds from commodity terms-of-trade shocks and country-specific domestic factors are fading, paving the way for real GDP to grow by about 1 percent in 2017. Regional activity is expected to pick up further momentum in 2018, but at a slower pace than previously anticipated, while medium-term growth is projected to remain modest at about 2.6 percent. The outlook is shaped by key shifts in the global economic and policy landscape—where slow growth, low productivity, and high income inequality are creating pressure for a shift toward inward- looking policies in some advanced economies. Domestic fundamentals and developments, however, will continue to play a significant role in determining growth for the region. At the same time, risks to the outlook have widened in a setting of higher global uncertainty. In this challenging external context, countries should aim for completing fiscal and external adjustments to preserve or rebuild policy buffers. Charting a course toward higher, sustainable, and more equitable growth will also require strengthening structural reforms. Specifically, closing infrastructure gaps, improving the business environment, governance, and education outcomes, and encouraging female labor participation are necessary to boost medium-term growth and foster income convergence. Chapters in this report examine the ongoing external adjustment to terms-of-trade shifts, drivers of capital flows to the region, the role of the investor base, and macroeconomic impact of migration and remittances.
World Economic Outlook October 2017
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Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2017-10-10
World Economic Outlook October 2017 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-10-10 with Business & Economics categories.
The global upswing in economic activity is strengthening. Global growth, which in 2016 was the weakest since the global financial crisis at 3.2 percent, is projected to rise to 3.6 percent in 2017 and to 3.7 percent in 2018. The growth forecasts for both 2017 and 2018 are 0.1 percentage point stronger compared with projections earlier this year. Broad-based upward revisions in the euro area, Japan, emerging Asia, emerging Europe, and Russia—where growth outcomes in the first half of 2017 were better than expected—more than offset downward revisions for the United States and the United Kingdom. But the recovery is not complete: while the baseline outlook is strengthening, growth remains weak in many countries, and inflation is below target in most advanced economies. Commodity exporters, especially of fuel, are particularly hard hit as their adjustment to a sharp step down in foreign earnings continues. And while short-term risks are broadly balanced, medium-term risks are still tilted to the downside. The welcome cyclical pickup in global activity thus provides an ideal window of opportunity to tackle the key policy challenges—namely to boost potential output while ensuring its benefits are broadly shared, and to build resilience against downside risks. A renewed multilateral effort is also needed to tackle the common challenges of an integrated global economy.
Imf Research Bulletin Fall 2017
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Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2017-11-09
Imf Research Bulletin Fall 2017 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-11-09 with Business & Economics categories.
The Fall 2017 IMF Research Bulletin includes a Q&A article covering "Seven Questions on the Globalization of Farmland" by Christian Bogmans. The first research summary, by Manmohan Singh and Haobing Wang is "Central Bank Balance Sheet Policies: Some Policy Implications." The second research summary is "Leaning Against the Windy Bank Lending" by Giovanni Melina and Stefania Villa. A listing of new IMF Working Papers and Staff Discussion Notes is featured, as well as new titles from IMF Publications. Information on IMF Economic Review is also included.
Regional Economic Outlook April 2018 Western Hemisphere Department
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Author : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2018-05-11
Regional Economic Outlook April 2018 Western Hemisphere Department written by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-05-11 with Business & Economics categories.
The world economy and global trade are experiencing a broad-based cyclical upswing. Since October 2017, global growth outcomes and the outlook for 2018–19 have improved across all regions, reinforced by the expected positive near-term spillovers from tax policy changes in the United States. Accommodative global financial conditions, despite some tightening and market volatility in early February 2018, have been providing support to economic recovery. Higher commodity prices are contributing to an improved outlook for commodity exporters. The US and Canadian economies posted solid gains in 2017 and are expected to grow above potential in the near term. Despite the improved near-term outlook, however, medium-term prospects are tilted downwards. Growth prospects for advanced economies are subdued and many emerging market and developing economies are projected to grow in per capita terms more slowly than advanced economies, raising concerns about income convergence. While risks appear broadly balanced in the near term, they skew to the downside over the medium term, including a possible sharp tightening of financial conditions, waning popular support for global economic integration, growing trade tensions and risks of a shift toward protectionist policies, and geopolitical strains.
Migration And Remittances In Latin America And The Caribbean
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Author : Ms.Kimberly Beaton
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2017-06-30
Migration And Remittances In Latin America And The Caribbean written by Ms.Kimberly Beaton and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-06-30 with Business & Economics categories.
Outward migration has been an important phenomenon for countries in Latin American and the Caribbean (LAC), particularly those in Central America and the Caribbean. This paper examines recent trends in outward migration from and remittances to LAC, as well as their costs and benefits. For the home country, the negative impact from emigration on labor resources and productivity seems to outweigh growth gains from remittances, notably for the Caribbean. However, given emigration, remittance flows play key financing and stabilizing roles in Central America and the Caribbean. They facilitate private consumption smoothing, support financial sector stability and fiscal revenues, and help reduce poverty and inequality, without strong evidence for harmful competitiveness effects through shifts in the real exchange rate.
Perspectivas Econ Micas Regionales Abril De 2017 Departamento Del Hemisferio Occidental
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Author : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
language : es
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2017-05-19
Perspectivas Econ Micas Regionales Abril De 2017 Departamento Del Hemisferio Occidental written by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-05-19 with Business & Economics categories.
En un contexto en que la economía mundial está recobrando cierto ímpetu, las economías de América Latina y el Caribe están recuperándose de una recesión a escala regional en 2016. Esta mejora gradual puede interpretarse como una historia de dos ajustes, uno externo y otro fiscal, que están ocurriendo como respuesta a shocks previos. Pero los vientos en contra derivados de shocks de los términos de intercambio y de factores específicos de los países están amainando, y eso está desbrozando el camino para un crecimiento del PIB real de aproximadamente 1 por ciento en 2017. Se prevé que la actividad regional cobre más impulso en 2018, pero a un ritmo más lento de lo que se había previsto, en tanto que se proyecta que el crecimiento a mediano plazo permanezca en un nivel moderado de alrededor de 2,6 por ciento. Las perspectivas responden a cambios fundamentales en el panorama económico y de políticas a escala mundial, en el que el crecimiento lento, la baja productividad y una fuerte desigualdad del ingreso están generando presiones a favor de la adopción de políticas aislacionistas en algunas economías avanzadas. Sin embargo, los fundamentos y los resultados económicos internos seguirán cumpliendo un papel preponderante a la hora de determinar el crecimiento en muchas economías. Al mismo tiempo, los riesgos para el crecimiento regional se han ampliado, en un entorno de mayor incertidumbre en términos de las políticas a nivel mundial. En este contexto externo lleno de desafíos, se requiere apuntalar los ajustes fiscales y externos para preservar y reponer los márgenes de maniobra. La definición de una ruta hacia un crecimiento mayor, sostenible y más equitativo requerirá también de reformas estructurales más vigorosas. Concretamente, cerrar las brechas de infraestructura; mejorar el clima de negocios, la gestión de gobierno y los resultados de educación, y promover la participación de la mujer en la fuerza laboral son medidas necesarias para estimular el crecimiento a mediano plazo y promover la convergencia del ingreso. En otros capítulos de este informe se examinan el ajuste externo en curso ante las variaciones de los términos de intercambio, los factores que determinan los flujos de capital a la región, el papel que desempeña la base inversora y el impacto macroeconómico de la migración y las remesas.
Macroeconomic Consequences Of Remittances
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Author : Connel Fullenkamp
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2008-03-11
Macroeconomic Consequences Of Remittances written by Connel Fullenkamp and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-03-11 with Business & Economics categories.
Given the large size of aggregate remittance flows (billions of dollars annually), they should be expected to have significant macroeconomic effects on the economies that receive them. This paper directly addresses the two main issues of interest to policymakers with regard to remittances--how to manage their macroeconomic effects, and how to harness their development potential--by reporting the results of the first global study of the comprehensive macroeconomic effects of remittances on recipient economies. In broad terms, the findings of this paper tend to confirm the main benefit cited in the microeconomic literature: remittances improve households' welfare by lifting families out of poverty and insuring them against income shocks. The findings also yield a number of important caveats and policy considerations, however, that have largely been overlooked. The main challenge for policymakers in countries that receive significant flows of remittances is to design policies that promote remittances and increase their benefits while mitigating adverse side effects. Getting these policy prescriptions correct early on is imperative. Globalization and the aging of developed economy populations will ensure that demand for migrant workers remains robust for years to come. Hence, the volume of remittances likely will continue to grow, and with it, the challenge of unlocking the maximum societal benefit from these transfers.
Poverty Reduction For Inclusive Sustainable Growth In Developing Asia
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Author : Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2021-05-15
Poverty Reduction For Inclusive Sustainable Growth In Developing Asia written by Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-05-15 with Business & Economics categories.
This book provides practical policy recommendations that are useful for developing Asia and for accelerating poverty reduction plans in the rest of the world. Poverty reduction in all its forms remains one of the greatest challenges facing humanity. In developing Asia, rapid growth in countries and sub-regions such as China, India, and Southeast Asia has lifted millions out of poverty, but progress has been uneven. On the other hand, the current coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and the global economic recession that it has caused are pushing millions of people back into poverty. Poverty reduction, inclusive growth, and sustainable development are inseparable, and poverty reduction is the premise for sustainable development. The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are a bold commitment to finish what we started and end poverty in all forms and dimensions by 2030. However, because of the current global recession, the world is not on track to end poverty by 2030. Given the aforementioned situation, if we plan to achieve the no-poverty target in line with the SDGs, governments need to reconsider their policies and economies need to allocate their resources for this aim. Owing to the importance of the topic, this book provides several thematic and empirical studies on the roles of small and medium-sized enterprises, local businesses and trusts, international remittances and microfinance, energy security and energy efficiency in poverty reduction, and inclusive growth.