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Spring Forecasts


Spring Forecasts
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Seasonal Aspects Of Probability Forecasts


Seasonal Aspects Of Probability Forecasts
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Author : Lawrence Ambrose Hughes
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1969

Seasonal Aspects Of Probability Forecasts written by Lawrence Ambrose Hughes and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1969 with Precipitation forecasting categories.


Precipitation is one of the more difficult parameters to forecast, in that one can have a good set of contour progs and frequently be wrong in the forecast. Temperature, on the other hand, is so highly dependent on the flow pattern that it usually is well forecast if the prog is good. However, a good prog is usually a prerequisite to a consistently good precipitation forecast.



Forecast Errors And Uncertainty Shocks


Forecast Errors And Uncertainty Shocks
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Author : Sylwia Nowak
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2016-11-17

Forecast Errors And Uncertainty Shocks written by Sylwia Nowak and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-11-17 with Business & Economics categories.


Macroeconomic forecasts are persistently too optimistic. This paper finds that common factors related to general uncertainty about U.S. macrofinancial prospects and global demand drive this overoptimism. These common factors matter most for advanced economies and G- 20 countries. The results suggest that an increase in uncertainty-driven overoptimism has dampening effects on next-year real GDP growth rates. This implies that incorporating the common structure governing forecast errors across countries can help improve subsequent forecasts.



Spring Forecasts


Spring Forecasts
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1933

Spring Forecasts written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1933 with Bulbs (Plants) categories.




Patterns In Imf Growth Forecast Revisions A Panel Study At Multiple Horizons


Patterns In Imf Growth Forecast Revisions A Panel Study At Multiple Horizons
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Author : Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2021-05-07

Patterns In Imf Growth Forecast Revisions A Panel Study At Multiple Horizons written by Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-05-07 with Business & Economics categories.


This paper investigates the performance of the IMF WEO growth forecast revisions across different horizons and country groups. We find that: (i) growth revisions in horizons closer to the actual are generally larger, more volatile, and more negative; (ii) on average, growth revisions are in the right direction, becoming progressively more responsive to the forecast error gap as horizons get closer to the actual year; (iii) growth revisions in systemic economies are relevant for growth revisions in all country groups; (iv) WEO and Consensus Forecast growth revisions are highly correlated; (v) fall-to-spring WEO revisions are more correlated with Consensus Forecasts revisions compared to spring-to-fall revisions; and (vi) across vintages, revisions for a given time horizon are not autocorrelated; within vintages, revisions tend to be positively correlated, suggesting perception of persistent short-term shocks.



Spring Run Off Forecasts From Snow Assessments In The Malmagen Area At 62 N In Sweden


Spring Run Off Forecasts From Snow Assessments In The Malmagen Area At 62 N In Sweden
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Author : Kurt-Åke Zakrisson
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1979

Spring Run Off Forecasts From Snow Assessments In The Malmagen Area At 62 N In Sweden written by Kurt-Åke Zakrisson and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1979 with categories.




Economic Forecasts


Economic Forecasts
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Author : Ralf Brüggemann
language : en
Publisher: Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG
Release Date : 2016-11-21

Economic Forecasts written by Ralf Brüggemann and has been published by Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-11-21 with Business & Economics categories.


Forecasts guide decisions in all areas of economics and finance. Economic policy makers base their decisions on business cycle forecasts, investment decisions of firms are based on demand forecasts, and portfolio managers try to outperform the market based on financial market forecasts. Forecasts extract relevant information from the past and help to reduce the inherent uncertainty of the future. The topic of this special issue of the Journal of Economics and Statistics is the theory and practise of forecasting and forecast evaluation and an overview of the state of the art of forecasting.



Europe And Central Asia Economic Update Spring 2024


Europe And Central Asia Economic Update Spring 2024
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Author : The World Bank
language : en
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Release Date : 2024-04-11

Europe And Central Asia Economic Update Spring 2024 written by The World Bank and has been published by World Bank Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-04-11 with Business & Economics categories.


Economic activity in the Europe and Central Asia (ECA) region is expected to remain resilient but slow this year as a weaker global economy, slowdown in China, and lower commodity prices weigh on the region's growth outlook. Regional growth is likely to drop to 2.8 percent in 2024, following substantial strengthening to 3.3 percent last year because of a shift from contraction to expansion in the Russian Federation and war-hit Ukraine, and a more robust recovery in Central Asia. Regional output growth is projected to moderate further to 2.6 percent in 2025. The outlook faces multiple headwinds. A slower-than-expected recovery in key trading partners, restrictive monetary policies, and exacerbation of geopolitical developments could further dampen growth across the region. Weak productivity growth in ECA in the recent decade has resulted in a sharp slowdown in income convergence with advanced economies. Fundamental drivers of productivity growth, including progress in advancing institutional and market reforms, technology adoption, and innovation, are key for enabling private sector-led growth. Boosting business dynamism in ECA will require addressing several challenges, including upgrading the competitive environment, reducing state involvement in the economy, dramatically boosting the quality of education, and strengthening the availability of finance. While meeting these challenges will look different across countries, addressing them is an essential condition to achieve stronger economic growth and overcome the middle-income trap.



Sotheby S Spring Forecast Sale Supplement


Sotheby S Spring Forecast Sale Supplement
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1999

Sotheby S Spring Forecast Sale Supplement written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999 with Art categories.




Spring Runoff Forecasting


Spring Runoff Forecasting
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Author : J. Haas
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1984

Spring Runoff Forecasting written by J. Haas and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1984 with Canada categories.




Spring Forecast 1966


Spring Forecast 1966
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Author : Public Service Electric and Gas Company. Gas Load Forecasting Committee
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1966

Spring Forecast 1966 written by Public Service Electric and Gas Company. Gas Load Forecasting Committee and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1966 with Gas companies categories.