Stalking The Black Swan
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Stalking The Black Swan
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Author : Kenneth A. Posner
language : en
Publisher: Columbia University Press
Release Date : 2010
Stalking The Black Swan written by Kenneth A. Posner and has been published by Columbia University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010 with Business & Economics categories.
While many books talk about forecasting and decision making, this one is particularly engaging because of Kenneth A. Posner's personal experience - and the honesty with which he discusses it. As a longtime analyst at Morgan Stanley, Posner had to make decisions about whether to invest in many recent high-profile, high-stakes "Black Swan" anomalies. He explains general models and approaches to dealing with uncertainty, sorting information, and developing your analytical skills and judgment. That alone is worthwhile, but the book is especially lively when Posner reviews his specific decisions. He shares his reasoning and exposes his successes and his failures to public view. The result is a knowledge-dense but very readable work that getAbstract recommends to all analysts, but also to those who want to deal with information overload and improve their decision making.
The Black Swan
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Author : Philippa Carr
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1990
The Black Swan written by Philippa Carr and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1990 with Large type books categories.
Safety And Reliability Of Complex Engineered Systems
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Author : Luca Podofillini
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2015-09-03
Safety And Reliability Of Complex Engineered Systems written by Luca Podofillini and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-09-03 with Technology & Engineering categories.
Safety and Reliability of Complex Engineered Systems contains the Proceedings of the 25th European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2015, held 7-10 September 2015 in Zurich, Switzerland. It includes about 570 papers accepted for presentation at the conference. These contributions focus on theories and methods in the area of risk, safety and
Sexual Predators
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Author : Robert A. Prentky
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2015-06-26
Sexual Predators written by Robert A. Prentky and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-06-26 with Psychology categories.
Convicted sex offenders released from custody at the end of their criminal sentences pose a risk for re-offense. In many US states, Sexually Violent Predator (SVP) laws have been enacted that allow for the post-prison preventive detention of high risk sex offenders. SVP laws require the courts to make dispositions that protect the public from harm while at the same time respecting the civil rights of the offender. This book describes these SVP laws, their constitutionality, and aspects of their operation. Courts hear expert risk testimony based heavily on the results of actuarial risk assessment. Problems associated with this testimony include the lack of a theory of recidivism risk, bias due to human decision-making, and the insularity of scholarship and practice along developmental lines. The authors propose changes in legal standards, as well as a unified developmental model that treats sexual violence as an "evolving" condition, with roots traceable to childhood and paths that extend into adolescence and adulthood.
Advances In Knowledge Based And Intelligent Information And Engineering Systems
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Author : Manuel Graña
language : en
Publisher: IOS Press
Release Date : 2012
Advances In Knowledge Based And Intelligent Information And Engineering Systems written by Manuel Graña and has been published by IOS Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012 with Computers categories.
In this 2012 edition of Advances in Knowledge-Based and Intelligent Information and Engineering Systems the latest innovations and advances in Intelligent Systems and related areas are presented by leading experts from all over the world. The 228 papers that are included cover a wide range of topics. One emphasis is on Information Processing, which has become a pervasive phenomenon in our civilization. While the majority of Information Processing is becoming intelligent in a very broad sense, major research in Semantics, Artificial Intelligence and Knowledge Engineering supports the domain specific applications that are becoming more and more present in our everyday living. Ontologies play a major role in the development of Knowledge Engineering in various domains, from Semantic Web down to the design of specific Decision Support Systems. Research on Ontologies and their applications is a highly active front of current Computational Intelligence science that is addressed here. Other subjects in this volume are modern Machine Learning, Lattice Computing and Mathematical Morphology.The wide scope and high quality of these contributions clearly show that knowledge engineering is a continuous living and evolving set of technologies aimed at improving the design and understanding of systems and their relations with humans.
Transactions On Computational Collective Intelligence Xxxiv
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Author : Ngoc Thanh Nguyen
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2019-10-31
Transactions On Computational Collective Intelligence Xxxiv written by Ngoc Thanh Nguyen and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-10-31 with Computers categories.
These transactions publish research in computer-based methods of computational collective intelligence (CCI) and their applications in a wide range of fields such as performance optimization in IoT, big data, reliability, privacy, security, service selection, QoS and machine learning. This thirty-fourth issue contains 12 selected papers which present new findings and innovative methodologies as well as discuss issues and challenges in the field of collective intelligence in group decision making with special emphasize given to voting theory, power indices and graphs while addressing elections, social choices, IoT and allocation algorithms.
Technology Cycles And U S Economic Policy In The Early 21st Century
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Author : Nathan Edmonson
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2017-09-08
Technology Cycles And U S Economic Policy In The Early 21st Century written by Nathan Edmonson and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-09-08 with Business & Economics categories.
The overarching theme of this volume is the cyclical nature of technological change, its impact on economic growth, and the limits of government intervention. Technological revolutions are infrequent; there were only three in all of the twentieth century. When they occur, their possibilities are often not immediately apparent. Technology revolutions induce capital investment, not just because they stimulate the need to acquire the new technology, but also because of the need to replace obsolete capacity and new infrastructure. While government has encouraged general economic progress by carrying out highly risky innovations unrelated to fostering economic growth, it seldom succeeds with specific efforts to foster growth. Recent examples of success include the Internet and the global positioning system (GPS), which trace their origins to defense-related research. In contrast, the countercyclical economic stimuli of 2007-2009 have achieved little in the way of general growth. The lack of data about the technology cycle makes formulating appropriate monetary and other policy countercyclical interventions difficult. A technology-founded upswing animated the American economy after 1990, and the -great recession- of 2007- 2009 reflected the waning of the investment boom that this revolution generated. Edmonson argues that the impact of technology revolutions on general economic growth has never received the attention it deserves. This volume will contribute much to debates on economic policy.
Red Deer Stalking At Home And Abroad
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Author : Various
language : en
Publisher: Read Books Ltd
Release Date : 2017-09-29
Red Deer Stalking At Home And Abroad written by Various and has been published by Read Books Ltd this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-09-29 with Sports & Recreation categories.
"Red Deer Stalking at Home and Abroad" is a collection of essays, articles, and personal experiences related to hunting red deer, written by various authors. Full of interesting information and entertaining stories, this volume is not to be missed by modern hunters and collectors of vintage sporting literature. Contents include: "An American's Impressions of Deer-Stalking in Scotland, by Charles W. Ogden", "The Future of Deerstalking", "The Red Deer in England", "The Red Deer in New Zealand", "The Stag That Escaped", "The Sportsman as an Empire Builder", "The Deer Forests of Scotland", etc. Many vintage books such as this are becoming increasingly scarce and expensive. We are republishing this volume now in a modern, high-quality edition complete with a specially commissioned new introduction on deer stalking and hunting.
Corporate Governance
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Author : Walter Effross
language : en
Publisher: Aspen Publishing
Release Date : 2014-12-09
Corporate Governance written by Walter Effross and has been published by Aspen Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-12-09 with Law categories.
Walter Effross is a superb teacher and succeeds in making a sometimes dry subject interesting to students. Corporate Governance contrasts schools of thought, explaining the conflicts between such theories as contractarianism and communitarianism, and such emerging academic approaches as empiricism and behavioral economics. The text includes excerpts from only the most important sections of judicial decisions along with their relevant factual and procedural context. Extensive notes address the reactions to decisions from other courts, commentators, counsel, and executives. Dozens of examples ripped from the headlines, excerpted from actual corporate documents, and drawn from popular culture illustrate key principles and spark class discussions. More than one hundred suggestions for paper topics are especially useful for participants in research and writing seminars. An appendix categorizes and details more than eighty separate initiatives that shareholder activists and commentators have proposed. A wide range of excerpts from corporate documents and court decisions interpreting these materials help students translate the caselaw and learn drafting techniques. The Second Edition reflects legislative, regulatory, judicial, and Fortune 500 developments since mid-2009 as well as new examples from corporate documents, the Great Books, and popular culture. Detailed coverage of new and emerging topics includes discussion of the governance of nonprofit corporations the emerging types of social enterprises such as benefit corporations, B corporations, and flexible purpose corporations; the board s responsibility to rein in the cyber-risks raised by hackers, e-mails, Web sites, and social media; and the implications for directors, officers, and counsel of new research on avoiding common cognitive traps that compromise decision-making in situations of risk and uncertainty. The Second Edition explores governance changes wrought by the financial crisis and reform legislation; the responsible corporate officer doctrine, the honest services doctrine, and other theories of executive liability; issues raised by crowdfunding ; and the consequences of the Citizens United decision removing limits on companies independent political expenditures. New appendices give detailed advice on identifying, developing, refining, and researching topics for articles and on using the publishing process to invigorate one s professional network and career.
Practical Spreadsheet Risk Modeling For Management
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Author : Dale Lehman
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2016-04-19
Practical Spreadsheet Risk Modeling For Management written by Dale Lehman and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-04-19 with Business & Economics categories.
This book offers a one-stop resource for performing quantitative risk analyses. The authors provide practical case studies along with detailed instruction and illustration of the features of ModelRisk, the most advanced risk modeling spreadsheet software currently available. The specific examples in the text demonstrate a number of cutting-edge tools and techniques that are very powerful in risk analysis but that are not available in other spreadsheet simulation programs. The book covers modeling complex correlations, aggregating uncertainty and variability, and estimating parameter and model uncertainty. The included CD-ROM provides a 120-day trial of ModelRisk.