Stochastic Modeling Of Electricity And Related Markets

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Stochastic Modelling Of Electricity And Related Markets
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Author : Fred Espen Benth
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2008
Stochastic Modelling Of Electricity And Related Markets written by Fred Espen Benth and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008 with Business & Economics categories.
The markets for electricity, gas and temperature have distinctive features, which provide the focus for countless studies. For instance, electricity and gas prices may soar several magnitudes above their normal levels within a short time due to imbalances in supply and demand, yielding what is known as spikes in the spot prices. The markets are also largely influenced by seasons, since power demand for heating and cooling varies over the year. The incompleteness of the markets, due to nonstorability of electricity and temperature as well as limited storage capacity of gas, makes spot-forward hedging impossible. Moreover, futures contracts are typically settled over a time period rather than at a fixed date. All these aspects of the markets create new challenges when analyzing price dynamics of spot, futures and other derivatives.This book provides a concise and rigorous treatment on the stochastic modeling of energy markets. Ornstein?Uhlenbeck processes are described as the basic modeling tool for spot price dynamics, where innovations are driven by time-inhomogeneous jump processes. Temperature futures are studied based on a continuous higher-order autoregressive model for the temperature dynamics. The theory presented here pays special attention to the seasonality of volatility and the Samuelson effect. Empirical studies using data from electricity, temperature and gas markets are given to link theory to practice.
Stochastic Modeling Of Electricity And Related Markets
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Author : Fred Espen Benth
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2008-04-14
Stochastic Modeling Of Electricity And Related Markets written by Fred Espen Benth and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-04-14 with Business & Economics categories.
The markets for electricity, gas and temperature have distinctive features, which provide the focus for countless studies. For instance, electricity and gas prices may soar several magnitudes above their normal levels within a short time due to imbalances in supply and demand, yielding what is known as spikes in the spot prices. The markets are also largely influenced by seasons, since power demand for heating and cooling varies over the year. The incompleteness of the markets, due to nonstorability of electricity and temperature as well as limited storage capacity of gas, makes spot-forward hedging impossible. Moreover, futures contracts are typically settled over a time period rather than at a fixed date. All these aspects of the markets create new challenges when analyzing price dynamics of spot, futures and other derivatives.This book provides a concise and rigorous treatment on the stochastic modeling of energy markets. Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes are described as the basic modeling tool for spot price dynamics, where innovations are driven by time-inhomogeneous jump processes. Temperature futures are studied based on a continuous higher-order autoregressive model for the temperature dynamics. The theory presented here pays special attention to the seasonality of volatility and the Samuelson effect. Empirical studies using data from electricity, temperature and gas markets are given to link theory to practice.
Stochastic Modelling Of Electricity And Related Markets
DOWNLOAD
Author : Fred Espen Benth
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2008
Stochastic Modelling Of Electricity And Related Markets written by Fred Espen Benth and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008 with Technology & Engineering categories.
The markets for electricity, gas and temperature have distinctive features, which provide the focus for countless studies. For instance, electricity and gas prices may soar several magnitudes above their normal levels within a short time due to imbalances in supply and demand, yielding what is known as spikes in the spot prices. The markets are also largely influenced by seasons, since power demand for heating and cooling varies over the year. The incompleteness of the markets, due to nonstorability of electricity and temperature as well as limited storage capacity of gas, makes spot-forward hedging impossible. Moreover, futures contracts are typically settled over a time period rather than at a fixed date. All these aspects of the markets create new challenges when analyzing price dynamics of spot, futures and other derivatives. This book provides a concise and rigorous treatment on the stochastic modeling of energy markets. OrnsteinOCoUhlenbeck processes are described as the basic modeling tool for spot price dynamics, where innovations are driven by time-inhomogeneous jump processes. Temperature futures are studied based on a continuous higher-order autoregressive model for the temperature dynamics. The theory presented here pays special attention to the seasonality of volatility and the Samuelson effect. Empirical studies using data from electricity, temperature and gas markets are given to link theory to practice. Sample Chapter(s). A Survey of Electricity and Related Markets (331 KB). Contents: A Survey of Electricity and Related Markets; Stochastic Analysis for Independent Increment Processes; Stochastic Models for the Energy Spot Price Dynamics; Pricing of Forwards and Swaps Based on the Spot Price; Applications to the Gas Markets; Modeling Forwards and Swaps Using the HeathOCoJarrowOCoMorton Approach; Constructing Smooth Forward Curves in Electricity Markets; Modeling of the Electricity Futures Market; Pricing and Hedging of Energy Options; Analysis of Temperature Derivatives. Readership: Researchers in energy and commodity markets, and mathematical finance.
Stochastic Models For Prices Dynamics In Energy And Commodity Markets
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Author : Fred Espen Benth
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2023-11-16
Stochastic Models For Prices Dynamics In Energy And Commodity Markets written by Fred Espen Benth and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-11-16 with Mathematics categories.
This monograph presents a theory for random field models in time and space, viewed as stochastic processes with values in a Hilbert space, to model the stochastic dynamics of forward and futures prices in energy, power, and commodity markets. In this book, the well-known Heath–Jarrow–Morton approach from interest rate theory is adopted and extended into an infinite-dimensional framework, allowing for flexible modeling of price stochasticity across time and along the term structure curve. Various models are introduced based on stochastic partial differential equations with infinite-dimensional Lévy processes as noise drivers, emphasizing random fields described by low-dimensional parametric covariance functions instead of classical high-dimensional factor models. The Filipović space, a separable Hilbert space of Sobolev type, is found to be a convenient state space for the dynamics of forward and futures term structures. The monograph provides a classification of important operators in this space, covering covariance operators and the stochastic modeling of volatility term structures, including the Samuelson effect. Fourier methods are employed to price many derivatives of interest in energy, power, and commodity markets, and sensitivity 'delta' expressions can be derived. Additionally, the monograph covers forward curve smoothing, the connection between forwards with fixed delivery and delivery period, as well as the classical theory of forward and futures pricing. This monograph will appeal to researchers and graduate students interested in mathematical finance and stochastic analysis applied in the challenging markets of energy, power, and commodities. Practitioners seeking sophisticated yet flexible and analytically tractable risk models will also find it valuable.
Stochastic Modelling And Pricing Of Electricity And Related Markets Contracts With Local Stochastic Delayed And Jumped Volatilities
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Author : Anatoliy V. Swishchuk
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2010
Stochastic Modelling And Pricing Of Electricity And Related Markets Contracts With Local Stochastic Delayed And Jumped Volatilities written by Anatoliy V. Swishchuk and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010 with categories.
In this paper we study stochastic models for electricity, gas and temperature markets' contracts with delay and jumps. The basic products in these markets are spot, futures and forward contracts, swaps and options written on these. We concentrate our study on pricing of these kind of contracts. We also study optimal control of stochastic differential delay equations (SDDEs) with jumps and its applications in energy markets and economics.
Financial Modelling In Commodity Markets
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Author : Viviana Fanelli
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2020-01-14
Financial Modelling In Commodity Markets written by Viviana Fanelli and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-01-14 with Business & Economics categories.
Financial Modelling in Commodity Markets provides a basic and self-contained introduction to the ideas underpinning financial modelling of products in commodity markets. The book offers a concise and operational vision of the main models used to represent, assess and simulate real assets and financial positions related to the commodity markets. It discusses statistical and mathematical tools important for estimating, implementing and calibrating quantitative models used for pricing and trading commodity-linked products and for managing basic and complex portfolio risks. Key features: Provides a step-by-step guide to the construction of pricing models, and for the applications of such models for the analysis of real data Written for scholars from a wide range of scientific fields, including economics and finance, mathematics, engineering and statistics, as well as for practitioners Illustrates some important pricing models using real data sets that will be commonly used in financial markets
Mathematical Modeling Simulation And Optimization For Power Engineering And Management
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Author : Simone Göttlich
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2021-02-02
Mathematical Modeling Simulation And Optimization For Power Engineering And Management written by Simone Göttlich and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-02-02 with Technology & Engineering categories.
This edited monograph offers a summary of future mathematical methods supporting the recent energy sector transformation. It collects current contributions on innovative methods and algorithms. Advances in mathematical techniques and scientific computing methods are presented centering around economic aspects, technical realization and large-scale networks. Over twenty authors focus on the mathematical modeling of such future systems with careful analysis of desired properties and arising scales. Numerical investigations include efficient methods for the simulation of possibly large-scale interconnected energy systems and modern techniques for optimization purposes to guarantee stable and reliable future operations. The target audience comprises research scientists, researchers in the R&D field, and practitioners. Since the book highlights possible future research directions, graduate students in the field of mathematical modeling or electrical engineering may also benefit strongly.
Financial Mathematics Volatility And Covariance Modelling
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Author : Julien Chevallier
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2019-06-28
Financial Mathematics Volatility And Covariance Modelling written by Julien Chevallier and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-06-28 with Business & Economics categories.
This book provides an up-to-date series of advanced chapters on applied financial econometric techniques pertaining the various fields of commodities finance, mathematics & stochastics, international macroeconomics and financial econometrics. Financial Mathematics, Volatility and Covariance Modelling: Volume 2 provides a key repository on the current state of knowledge, the latest debates and recent literature on financial mathematics, volatility and covariance modelling. The first section is devoted to mathematical finance, stochastic modelling and control optimization. Chapters explore the recent financial crisis, the increase of uncertainty and volatility, and propose an alternative approach to deal with these issues. The second section covers financial volatility and covariance modelling and explores proposals for dealing with recent developments in financial econometrics This book will be useful to students and researchers in applied econometrics; academics and students seeking convenient access to an unfamiliar area. It will also be of great interest established researchers seeking a single repository on the current state of knowledge, current debates and relevant literature.
Handbook Of Multi Commodity Markets And Products
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Author : Andrea Roncoroni
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2015-02-19
Handbook Of Multi Commodity Markets And Products written by Andrea Roncoroni and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-02-19 with Business & Economics categories.
Handbook of Multi-Commodity Markets and ProductsOver recent decades, the marketplace has seen an increasing integration, not only among different types of commodity markets such as energy, agricultural, and metals, but also with financial markets. This trend raises important questions about how to identify and analyse opportunities in and manage risks of commodity products. The Handbook of Multi-Commodity Markets and Products offers traders, commodity brokers, and other professionals a practical and comprehensive manual that covers market structure and functioning, as well as the practice of trading across a wide range of commodity markets and products. Written in non-technical language, this important resource includes the information needed to begin to master the complexities of and to operate successfully in today’s challenging and fluctuating commodity marketplace. Designed as a practical practitioner-orientated resource, the book includes a detailed overview of key markets – oil, coal, electricity, emissions, weather, industrial metals, freight, agricultural and foreign exchange – and contains a set of tools for analysing, pricing and managing risk for the individual markets. Market features and the main functioning rules of the markets in question are presented, along with the structure of basic financial products and standardised deals. A range of vital topics such as stochastic and econometric modelling, market structure analysis, contract engineering, as well as risk assessment and management are presented and discussed in detail with illustrative examples to commodity markets. The authors showcase how to structure and manage both simple and more complex multi-commodity deals. Addressing the issues of profit-making and risk management, the book reveals how to exploit pay-off profiles and trading strategies on a diversified set of commodity prices. In addition, the book explores how to price energy products and other commodities belonging to markets segmented across specific structural features. The Handbook of Multi-Commodity Markets and Products includes a wealth of proven methods and useful models that can be selected and developed in order to make appropriate estimations of the future evolution of prices and appropriate valuations of products. The authors additionally explore market risk issues and what measures of risk should be adopted for the purpose of accurately assessing exposure from multi-commodity portfolios. This vital resource offers the models, tools, strategies and general information commodity brokers and other professionals need to succeed in today’s highly competitive marketplace.
Modeling And Pricing In Financial Markets For Weather Derivatives
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Author : Fred Espen Benth
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2013
Modeling And Pricing In Financial Markets For Weather Derivatives written by Fred Espen Benth and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013 with Business & Economics categories.
Weather derivatives provide a tool for weather risk management, and the markets for these exotic financial products are gradually emerging in size and importance. This unique monograph presents a unified approach to the modeling and analysis of such weather derivatives, including financial contracts on temperature, wind and rain. Based on a deep statistical analysis of weather factors, sophisticated stochastic processes are introduced modeling the time and space dynamics. Applying ideas from the modern theory of mathematical finance, weather derivatives are priced, and questions of hedging analyzed. The treatise contains an in-depth analysis of typical weather contracts traded at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), including so-called CDD and HDD futures. The statistical analysis of weather variables are based on a large data set from Lithuania. The monograph includes the research done by the authors over the last decade on weather markets. Their work has gained considerable attention, and has been applied in many contexts.