Stochastic Models For Time Series
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Stochastic Models For Time Series
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Author : Paul Doukhan
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2018-05-25
Stochastic Models For Time Series written by Paul Doukhan and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-05-25 with Mathematics categories.
This book presents essential tools for modelling non-linear time series. The first part of the book describes the main standard tools of probability and statistics that directly apply to the time series context to obtain a wide range of modelling possibilities. Functional estimation and bootstrap are discussed, and stationarity is reviewed. The second part describes a number of tools from Gaussian chaos and proposes a tour of linear time series models. It goes on to address nonlinearity from polynomial or chaotic models for which explicit expansions are available, then turns to Markov and non-Markov linear models and discusses Bernoulli shifts time series models. Finally, the volume focuses on the limit theory, starting with the ergodic theorem, which is seen as the first step for statistics of time series. It defines the distributional range to obtain generic tools for limit theory under long or short-range dependences (LRD/SRD) and explains examples of LRD behaviours. More general techniques (central limit theorems) are described under SRD; mixing and weak dependence are also reviewed. In closing, it describes moment techniques together with their relations to cumulant sums as well as an application to kernel type estimation.The appendix reviews basic probability theory facts and discusses useful laws stemming from the Gaussian laws as well as the basic principles of probability, and is completed by R-scripts used for the figures. Richly illustrated with examples and simulations, the book is recommended for advanced master courses for mathematicians just entering the field of time series, and statisticians who want more mathematical insights into the background of non-linear time series.
Bilinear Stochastic Models And Related Problems Of Nonlinear Time Series Analysis
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Author : György Terdik
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06
Bilinear Stochastic Models And Related Problems Of Nonlinear Time Series Analysis written by György Terdik and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Mathematics categories.
"Ninety percent of inspiration is perspiration. " [31] The Wiener approach to nonlinear stochastic systems [146] permits the representation of single-valued systems with memory for which a small per turbation of the input produces a small perturbation of the output. The Wiener functional series representation contains many transfer functions to describe entirely the input-output connections. Although, theoretically, these representations are elegant, in practice it is not feasible to estimate all the finite-order transfer functions (or the kernels) from a finite sam ple. One of the most important classes of stochastic systems, especially from a statistical point of view, is the case when all the transfer functions are determined by finitely many parameters. Therefore, one has to seek a finite-parameter nonlinear model which can adequately represent non linearity in a series. Among the special classes of nonlinear models that have been studied are the bilinear processes, which have found applica tions both in econometrics and control theory; see, for example, Granger and Andersen [43] and Ruberti, et al. [4]. These bilinear processes are de fined to be linear in both input and output only, when either the input or output are fixed. The bilinear model was introduced by Granger and Andersen [43] and Subba Rao [118], [119]. Terdik [126] gave the solution of xii a lower triangular bilinear model in terms of multiple Wiener-It(') integrals and gave a sufficient condition for the second order stationarity. An impor tant.
Stochastic Models Statistics And Their Applications
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Author : Ansgar Steland
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2019-10-15
Stochastic Models Statistics And Their Applications written by Ansgar Steland and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-10-15 with Mathematics categories.
This volume presents selected and peer-reviewed contributions from the 14th Workshop on Stochastic Models, Statistics and Their Applications, held in Dresden, Germany, on March 6-8, 2019. Addressing the needs of theoretical and applied researchers alike, the contributions provide an overview of the latest advances and trends in the areas of mathematical statistics and applied probability, and their applications to high-dimensional statistics, econometrics and time series analysis, statistics for stochastic processes, statistical machine learning, big data and data science, random matrix theory, quality control, change-point analysis and detection, finance, copulas, survival analysis and reliability, sequential experiments, empirical processes, and microsimulations. As the book demonstrates, stochastic models and related statistical procedures and algorithms are essential to more comprehensively understanding and solving present-day problems arising in e.g. the natural sciences, machine learning, data science, engineering, image analysis, genetics, econometrics and finance.
Recent Advances In Stochastic Modeling And Data Analysis
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Author : Christos H Skiadas
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2007-11-16
Recent Advances In Stochastic Modeling And Data Analysis written by Christos H Skiadas and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-11-16 with Mathematics categories.
This volume presents the most recent applied and methodological issues in stochastic modeling and data analysis. The contributions cover various fields such as stochastic processes and applications, data analysis methods and techniques, Bayesian methods, biostatistics, econometrics, sampling, linear and nonlinear models, networks and queues, survival analysis, and time series. The volume presents new results with potential for solving real-life problems and provides novel methods for solving these problems by analyzing the relevant data. The use of recent advances in different fields is emphasized, especially new optimization and statistical methods, data warehouse, data mining and knowledge systems, neural computing, and bioinformatics.
Forecasting Principles And Practice
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Author : Rob J Hyndman
language : en
Publisher: OTexts
Release Date : 2018-05-08
Forecasting Principles And Practice written by Rob J Hyndman and has been published by OTexts this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-05-08 with Business & Economics categories.
Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.
Time Series Analysis
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Author : Henrik Madsen
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2007-11-28
Time Series Analysis written by Henrik Madsen and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-11-28 with Mathematics categories.
With a focus on analyzing and modeling linear dynamic systems using statistical methods, Time Series Analysis formulates various linear models, discusses their theoretical characteristics, and explores the connections among stochastic dynamic models. Emphasizing the time domain description, the author presents theorems to highlight the most
Optimization Of Stochastic Models
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Author : Georg Ch. Pflug
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06
Optimization Of Stochastic Models written by Georg Ch. Pflug and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Business & Economics categories.
Stochastic models are everywhere. In manufacturing, queuing models are used for modeling production processes, realistic inventory models are stochastic in nature. Stochastic models are considered in transportation and communication. Marketing models use stochastic descriptions of the demands and buyer's behaviors. In finance, market prices and exchange rates are assumed to be certain stochastic processes, and insurance claims appear at random times with random amounts. To each decision problem, a cost function is associated. Costs may be direct or indirect, like loss of time, quality deterioration, loss in production or dissatisfaction of customers. In decision making under uncertainty, the goal is to minimize the expected costs. However, in practically all realistic models, the calculation of the expected costs is impossible due to the model complexity. Simulation is the only practicable way of getting insight into such models. Thus, the problem of optimal decisions can be seen as getting simulation and optimization effectively combined. The field is quite new and yet the number of publications is enormous. This book does not even try to touch all work done in this area. Instead, many concepts are presented and treated with mathematical rigor and necessary conditions for the correctness of various approaches are stated. Optimization of Stochastic Models: The Interface Between Simulation and Optimization is suitable as a text for a graduate level course on Stochastic Models or as a secondary text for a graduate level course in Operations Research.
Stochastic Models Of Tumor Latency And Their Biostatistical Applications
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Author : Andrej Yu Yakovlev
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 1996
Stochastic Models Of Tumor Latency And Their Biostatistical Applications written by Andrej Yu Yakovlev and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1996 with Medical categories.
This research monograph discusses newly developed mathematical models and methods that provide biologically meaningful inferences from data on cancer latency produced by follow-up and discrete surveillance studies. Methods for designing optimal strategies of cancer surveillance are systematically presented for the first time in this book. It offers new approaches to the stochastic description of tumor latency, employs biologically-based models for making statistical inference from data on tumor recurrence and also discusses methods of statistical analysis of data resulting from discrete surveillance strategies. It also offers insight into the role of prognostic factors based on the interpretation of their effects in terms of parameters endowed with biological meaning, as well as methods for designing optimal schedules of cancer screening and surveillance. Last but not least, it discusses survival models allowing for cure rates and the choice of optimal treatment based on covariate information, and presents numerous examples of real data analysis.
Time Series Analysis Modeling And Applications
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Author : Witold Pedrycz
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-11-29
Time Series Analysis Modeling And Applications written by Witold Pedrycz and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-11-29 with Computers categories.
Temporal and spatiotemporal data form an inherent fabric of the society as we are faced with streams of data coming from numerous sensors, data feeds, recordings associated with numerous areas of application embracing physical and human-generated phenomena (environmental data, financial markets, Internet activities, etc.). A quest for a thorough analysis, interpretation, modeling and prediction of time series comes with an ongoing challenge for developing models that are both accurate and user-friendly (interpretable). The volume is aimed to exploit the conceptual and algorithmic framework of Computational Intelligence (CI) to form a cohesive and comprehensive environment for building models of time series. The contributions covered in the volume are fully reflective of the wealth of the CI technologies by bringing together ideas, algorithms, and numeric studies, which convincingly demonstrate their relevance, maturity and visible usefulness. It reflects upon the truly remarkable diversity of methodological and algorithmic approaches and case studies. This volume is aimed at a broad audience of researchers and practitioners engaged in various branches of operations research, management, social sciences, engineering, and economics. Owing to the nature of the material being covered and a way it has been arranged, it establishes a comprehensive and timely picture of the ongoing pursuits in the area and fosters further developments.
Stochastic Models Analysis And Applications
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Author : B. R. Bhat
language : en
Publisher: New Age International
Release Date : 2004
Stochastic Models Analysis And Applications written by B. R. Bhat and has been published by New Age International this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004 with Mathematical statistics categories.
The Book Presents A Systematic Exposition Of The Basic Theory And Applications Of Stochastic Models.Emphasising The Modelling Rather Than Mathematical Aspects Of Stochastic Processes, The Book Bridges The Gap Between The Theory And Applications Of These Processes.The Basic Building Blocks Of Model Construction Are Explained In A Step By Step Manner, Starting From The Simplest Model Of Random Walk And Proceeding Gradually To More Complicated Models. Several Examples Are Given Throughout The Text To Illustrate Important Analytical Properties As Well As To Provide Applications.The Book Also Includes A Detailed Chapter On Inference For Stochastic Processes. This Chapter Highlights Some Of The Recent Developments In The Subject And Explains Them Through Illustrative Examples.An Important Feature Of The Book Is The Complements And Problems Section At The End Of Each Chapter Which Presents (I) Additional Properties Of The Model, (Ii) Extensions Of The Model, And (Iii) Applications Of The Model To Different Areas.With All These Features, This Is An Invaluable Text For Post-Graduate Students Of Statistics, Mathematics And Operation Research.