Stock Price Analysis Prediction And Forecasting Using Machine Learning And Deep Learning With Python
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Stock Price Analysis Prediction And Forecasting Using Machine Learning And Deep Learning With Python
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Author : Vivian Siahaan
language : en
Publisher: BALIGE PUBLISHING
Release Date : 2022-05-27
Stock Price Analysis Prediction And Forecasting Using Machine Learning And Deep Learning With Python written by Vivian Siahaan and has been published by BALIGE PUBLISHING this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-05-27 with Computers categories.
This dataset is a playground for fundamental and technical analysis. It is said that 30% of traffic on stocks is already generated by machines, can trading be fully automated? If not, there is still a lot to learn from historical data. The dataset consists of data spans from 2010 to the end 2016, for companies new on stock market date range is shorter. To perform forecasting based on regression adjusted closing price of gold, you will use: Linear Regression, Random Forest regression, Decision Tree regression, Support Vector Machine regression, Naïve Bayes regression, K-Nearest Neighbor regression, Adaboost regression, Gradient Boosting regression, Extreme Gradient Boosting regression, Light Gradient Boosting regression, Catboost regression, MLP regression, and LSTM (Long-Short Term Memory) regression. The machine learning models used predict gold daily returns as target variable are K-Nearest Neighbor classifier, Random Forest classifier, Naive Bayes classifier, Logistic Regression classifier, Decision Tree classifier, Support Vector Machine classifier, LGBM classifier, Gradient Boosting classifier, XGB classifier, MLP classifier, Gaussian Mixture Model classifier, and Extra Trees classifier. Finally, you will plot boundary decision, distribution of features, feature importance, predicted values versus true values, confusion matrix, learning curve, performance of the model, and scalability of the model.
Stock Market Prediction And Efficiency Analysis Using Recurrent Neural Network
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Author : Joish Bosco
language : en
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Release Date : 2018-09-18
Stock Market Prediction And Efficiency Analysis Using Recurrent Neural Network written by Joish Bosco and has been published by GRIN Verlag this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-09-18 with Computers categories.
Project Report from the year 2018 in the subject Computer Science - Technical Computer Science, , course: Computer Science, language: English, abstract: Modeling and Forecasting of the financial market have been an attractive topic to scholars and researchers from various academic fields. The financial market is an abstract concept where financial commodities such as stocks, bonds, and precious metals transactions happen between buyers and sellers. In the present scenario of the financial market world, especially in the stock market, forecasting the trend or the price of stocks using machine learning techniques and artificial neural networks are the most attractive issue to be investigated. As Giles explained, financial forecasting is an instance of signal processing problem which is difficult because of high noise, small sample size, non-stationary, and non-linearity. The noisy characteristics mean the incomplete information gap between past stock trading price and volume with a future price. The stock market is sensitive with the political and macroeconomic environment. However, these two kinds of information are too complex and unstable to gather. The above information that cannot be included in features are considered as noise. The sample size of financial data is determined by real-world transaction records. On one hand, a larger sample size refers a longer period of transaction records; on the other hand, large sample size increases the uncertainty of financial environment during the 2 sample period. In this project, we use stock data instead of daily data in order to reduce the probability of uncertain noise, and relatively increase the sample size within a certain period of time. By non-stationarity, one means that the distribution of stock data is various during time changing. Non-linearity implies that feature correlation of different individual stocks is various. Efficient Market Hypothesis was developed by Burton G. Malkiel in 1991.
Stock Prediction With Deep Learning
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Author : Ethan Shaotran
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2018-06-10
Stock Prediction With Deep Learning written by Ethan Shaotran and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-06-10 with categories.
For centuries, human beings have tried to predict the future, whether it be NBA playoffs, weather, or elections. In this book, we tackle the common misconception that the stock market cannot be predicted, and build a stock prediction algorithm to beat the stock market, using Deep Learning, Data Analysis, and Natural Language Processing techniques.If you're new to Artificial Intelligence and Python, and are curious to learn more, this is a great book for you! Industry experts also have plenty to learn from the variety of methods and techniques used in data collection and manipulation.ABOUT THE AUTHOREthan Shaotran is an AI developer, researcher, and author of "Stock Prediction with Deep Learning". He is the founder of Energize.AI, where he built a financial stock prediction algorithm that outperformed the stock market in 2017. He is currently working on a thought experiment series to raise awareness on AI-related societal challenges within the AI community, regarding regulation and potential moral hazards, as well as autonomous vehicle driving software. Ethan has studied Economics and AI courses from Harvard, Stanford, and USF, is an affiliate with the Harvard Kennedy School's AI Initiative and is a member of the Association for Computing Machinery.
Time Series Forecasting In Python
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Author : Marco Peixeiro
language : en
Publisher: Simon and Schuster
Release Date : 2022-10-04
Time Series Forecasting In Python written by Marco Peixeiro and has been published by Simon and Schuster this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-10-04 with Computers categories.
Build predictive models from time-based patterns in your data. Master statistical models including new deep learning approaches for time series forecasting. Time Series Forecasting in Python teaches you to build powerful predictive models from time-based data. Every model you create is relevant, useful, and easy to implement with Python. You'll explore interesting real-world datasets like Google's daily stock price and economic data for the USA, quickly progressing from the basics to developing large-scale models that use deep learning tools like TensorFlow. Time Series Forecasting in Python teaches you to apply time series forecasting and get immediate, meaningful predictions. You'll learn both traditional statistical and new deep learning models for time series forecasting, all fully illustrated with Python source code. Test your skills with hands-on projects for forecasting air travel, volume of drug prescriptions, and the earnings of Johnson & Johnson. By the time you're done, you'll be ready to build accurate and insightful forecasting models with tools from the Python ecosystem. Purchase of the print book includes a free eBook in PDF, Kindle, and ePub formats from Manning Publications.
Time Series Analysis Forecasting Stock Price Using Machine Learning With Python Gui
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Author : Vivian Siahaan
language : en
Publisher: BALIGE PUBLISHING
Release Date : 2023-07-02
Time Series Analysis Forecasting Stock Price Using Machine Learning With Python Gui written by Vivian Siahaan and has been published by BALIGE PUBLISHING this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-07-02 with Computers categories.
Stock trading and financial instrument markets offer significant opportunities for wealth creation. The ability to predict stock price movements has long intrigued researchers and investors alike. While some theories, like the Efficient Market Hypothesis, suggest that consistently beating the market is nearly impossible, others contest this viewpoint. Stock price prediction involves forecasting the future value of a given stock. In this project, we focus on the S&P 500 Index, which consists of 500 stocks from various sectors of the US economy and serves as a key indicator of US equities. To tackle this task, we utilize the Yahoo stock price history dataset, which contains 1825 rows and 7 columns including Date, High, Low, Open, Close, Volume, and Adj Close. To enhance our predictions, we incorporate technical indicators such as daily returns, Moving Average Convergence-Divergence (MACD), Relative Strength Index (RSI), Simple Moving Average (SMA), lower and upper bands, and standard deviation. In this book, for the forecasting task, we employ various regression algorithms including Linear Regression, Random Forest Regression, Decision Tree Regression, Support Vector Regression, Naïve Bayes Regression, K-Nearest Neighbor Regression, Adaboost Regression, Gradient Boosting Regression, Extreme Gradient Boosting Regression, Light Gradient Boosting Regression, Catboost Regression, MLP Regression, Lasso Regression, and Ridge Regression. These models aim to predict the future Adj Close price of the stock based on historical data. In addition to stock price prediction, we also delve into predicting stock daily returns using machine learning models. We utilize K-Nearest Neighbor Classifier, Random Forest Classifier, Naive Bayes Classifier, Logistic Regression Classifier, Decision Tree Classifier, Support Vector Machine Classifier, LGBM Classifier, Gradient Boosting Classifier, XGB Classifier, MLP Classifier, and Extra Trees Classifier. These models are trained to predict the direction of daily stock returns (positive or negative) based on various features and technical indicators. To assess the performance of these machine learning models, we evaluate several important metrics. Accuracy measures the overall correctness of the predictions, while recall quantifies the ability to correctly identify positive cases (upward daily returns). Precision evaluates the precision of positive predictions, and the F1 score provides a balanced measure of precision and recall. Additionally, we consider macro average, which calculates the average metric value across all classes, and weighted average, which provides a balanced representation considering class imbalances. To enhance the user experience and facilitate data exploration, we develop a graphical user interface (GUI). The GUI is built using PyQt and offers an interactive platform for users to visualize and interact with the data. It provides features such as plotting boundary decisions, visualizing feature distributions and importance, comparing predicted values with true values, displaying confusion matrices, learning curves, model performance, and scalability analysis. The GUI allows users to customize the analysis by selecting different models, time periods, or variables of interest, making it accessible and user-friendly for individuals without extensive programming knowledge. The combination of exploring the dataset, forecasting stock prices, predicting daily returns, and developing a GUI creates a comprehensive framework for analyzing and understanding stock market trends. By leveraging machine learning algorithms and evaluating performance metrics, we gain valuable insights into the accuracy and effectiveness of our predictions. The GUI further enhances the accessibility and usability of the analysis, enabling users to make data-driven decisions and explore the stock market with ease.
Ultimate Enterprise Data Analysis And Forecasting Using Python
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Author : Shanthababu Pandian
language : en
Publisher: Orange Education Pvt Ltd
Release Date : 2023-12-28
Ultimate Enterprise Data Analysis And Forecasting Using Python written by Shanthababu Pandian and has been published by Orange Education Pvt Ltd this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-12-28 with Computers categories.
Practical Approaches to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting using Python for Informed Decision-Making KEY FEATURES ● Comprehensive Resource for Python-Based Time Series Analysis and Forecasting. ● Delve into real-world applications with industry-specific case studies. ● Extract valuable insights by solving time series challenges across various sectors. ● Understand the significance of Azure Time Series Insights and AWS Forecast components. ● Practical insights into leveraging cloud platforms for efficient time series forecasting. DESCRIPTION Embark on a transformative journey through the intricacies of time series analysis and forecasting with this comprehensive handbook. Beginning with the essential packages for data science and machine learning projects you will delve into Python's prowess for efficient time series data analysis, exploring the core components and real-world applications across various industries through compelling use-case studies. From understanding classical models like AR, MA, ARMA, and ARIMA to exploring advanced techniques such as exponential smoothing and ETS methods, this guide ensures a deep understanding of the subject. It will help you navigate the complexities of vector autoregression (VAR, VMA, VARMA) and elevate your skills with a deep dive into deep learning techniques for time series analysis. By the end of this book, you will be able to harness the capabilities of Azure Time Series Insights and explore the cutting-edge AWS Forecast components, unlocking the cloud's power for advanced and scalable time series forecasting. WHAT WILL YOU LEARN ● Explore Time Series Data Analysis and Forecasting, covering components and significance. ● Gain a practical understanding through hands-on examples and real-world case studies. ● Master Time Series Models (AR, MA, ARMA, ARIMA, VAR, VMA, VARMA) with executable samples. ● Delve into Deep Learning for Time Series Analysis, demystified with classical examples. ● Actively engage with Azure Time Series Insights and AWS Forecast components for a contemporary perspective. WHO IS THIS BOOK FOR? This book caters to beginners, intermediates, and practitioners in data-related fields such as Data Analysts, Data Scientists, and Machine Learning Engineers, as well as those venturing into Time Series Analysis and Forecasting. It assumes readers have a foundational understanding of programming languages (C, C++, Python), data structures, statistics, and visualization concepts. With a focus on specific projects, it also functions as a quick reference for advanced users. TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. Introduction to Python and its key packages for DS and ML Projects 2. Python for Time Series Data Analysis 3. Time Series Analysis and its Components 4. Time Series Analysis and Forecasting Opportunities in Various Industries 5. Exploring various aspects of Time Series Analysis and Forecasting 6. Exploring Time Series Models - AR, MA, ARMA, and ARIMA 7. Understanding Exponential Smoothing and ETS Methods in TSA 8. Exploring Vector Autoregression and its Subsets (VAR, VMA, and VARMA) 9. Deep Learning for Time Series Analysis and Forecasting 10. Azure Time Series Insights 11. AWSForecast Index
Deep Learning For Time Series Forecasting
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Author : Jason Brownlee
language : en
Publisher: Machine Learning Mastery
Release Date : 2018-08-30
Deep Learning For Time Series Forecasting written by Jason Brownlee and has been published by Machine Learning Mastery this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-08-30 with Computers categories.
Deep learning methods offer a lot of promise for time series forecasting, such as the automatic learning of temporal dependence and the automatic handling of temporal structures like trends and seasonality. With clear explanations, standard Python libraries, and step-by-step tutorial lessons you’ll discover how to develop deep learning models for your own time series forecasting projects.
Deep Learning Tools For Predicting Stock Market Movements
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Author : Renuka Sharma
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2024-04-10
Deep Learning Tools For Predicting Stock Market Movements written by Renuka Sharma and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-04-10 with Computers categories.
DEEP LEARNING TOOLS for PREDICTING STOCK MARKET MOVEMENTS The book provides a comprehensive overview of current research and developments in the field of deep learning models for stock market forecasting in the developed and developing worlds. The book delves into the realm of deep learning and embraces the challenges, opportunities, and transformation of stock market analysis. Deep learning helps foresee market trends with increased accuracy. With advancements in deep learning, new opportunities in styles, tools, and techniques evolve and embrace data-driven insights with theories and practical applications. Learn about designing, training, and applying predictive models with rigorous attention to detail. This book offers critical thinking skills and the cultivation of discerning approaches to market analysis. The book: details the development of an ensemble model for stock market prediction, combining long short-term memory and autoregressive integrated moving average; explains the rapid expansion of quantum computing technologies in financial systems; provides an overview of deep learning techniques for forecasting stock market trends and examines their effectiveness across different time frames and market conditions; explores applications and implications of various models for causality, volatility, and co-integration in stock markets, offering insights to investors and policymakers. Audience The book has a wide audience of researchers in financial technology, financial software engineering, artificial intelligence, professional market investors, investment institutions, and asset management companies.
Cryptocurrency Price Analysis Prediction And Forecasting Using Machine Learning With Python
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Author : Vivian Siahaan
language : en
Publisher: BALIGE PUBLISHING
Release Date : 2023-07-21
Cryptocurrency Price Analysis Prediction And Forecasting Using Machine Learning With Python written by Vivian Siahaan and has been published by BALIGE PUBLISHING this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-07-21 with Computers categories.
In this project, we will be conducting a comprehensive analysis, prediction, and forecasting of cryptocurrency prices using machine learning with Python. The dataset we will be working with contains historical cryptocurrency price data, and our main objective is to build models that can accurately predict future price movements and daily returns. The first step of the project involves exploring the dataset to gain insights into the structure and contents of the data. We will examine the columns, data types, and any missing values present. After that, we will preprocess the data, handling any missing values and converting data types as needed. This will ensure that our data is clean and ready for analysis. Next, we will proceed with visualizing the dataset to understand the trends and patterns in cryptocurrency prices over time. We will create line plots, box plot, violin plot, and other visualizations to study price movements, trading volumes, and volatility across different cryptocurrencies. These visualizations will help us identify any apparent trends or seasonality in the data. To gain a deeper understanding of the time-series nature of the data, we will conduct time-series analysis year-wise and month-wise. This analysis will involve decomposing the time-series into its individual components like trend, seasonality, and noise. Additionally, we will look for patterns in price movements during specific months to identify any recurring seasonal effects. To enhance our predictions, we will also incorporate technical indicators into our analysis. Technical indicators, such as moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), provide valuable information about price momentum and market trends. These indicators can be used as additional features in our machine learning models. With a strong foundation of data exploration, visualization, and time-series analysis, we will now move on to building machine learning models for forecasting the closing price of cryptocurrencies. We will utilize algorithms like Linear Regression, Support Vector Regression, Random Forest Regression, Decision Tree Regression, K-Nearest Neighbors Regression, Adaboost Regression, Gradient Boosting Regression, Extreme Gradient Boosting Regression, Light Gradient Boosting Regression, Catboost Regression, Multi-Layer Perceptron Regression, Lasso Regression, and Ridge Regression to make forecasting. By training our models on historical data, they will learn to recognize patterns and make predictions for future price movements. As part of our machine learning efforts, we will also develop models for predicting daily returns of cryptocurrencies. Daily returns are essential indicators for investors and traders, as they reflect the percentage change in price from one day to the next. By using historical price data and technical indicators as input features, we can build models that forecast daily returns accurately. Throughout the project, we will perform extensive hyperparameter tuning using techniques like Grid Search and Random Search. This will help us identify the best combinations of hyperparameters for each model, optimizing their performance. To validate the accuracy and robustness of our models, we will use various evaluation metrics such as Mean Squared Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and R-squared. These metrics will provide insights into the model's ability to predict cryptocurrency prices accurately. In conclusion, this project on cryptocurrency price analysis, prediction, and forecasting is a comprehensive exploration of using machine learning with Python to analyze and predict cryptocurrency price movements. By leveraging data visualization, time-series analysis, technical indicators, and machine learning algorithms, we aim to build accurate and reliable models for predicting future price movements and daily returns. The project's outcomes will be valuable for investors, traders, and analysts looking to make informed decisions in the highly volatile and dynamic world of cryptocurrencies. Through rigorous evaluation and validation, we strive to create robust models that can contribute to a better understanding of cryptocurrency market dynamics and support data-driven decision-making.
Stock Price Analysis Through Statistical And Data Science Tools An Overview
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Author : Vinaitheerthan Renganathan
language : en
Publisher: Vinaitheerthan Renganathan
Release Date : 2021-04-30
Stock Price Analysis Through Statistical And Data Science Tools An Overview written by Vinaitheerthan Renganathan and has been published by Vinaitheerthan Renganathan this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-04-30 with Business & Economics categories.
Stock price analysis involves different methods such as fundamental analysis and technical analysis which is based on data related to price movement of the stock in the past. Price of the stock is affected by various factors such as company’s performance, current status of economy and political factor. These factors play an important role in supply and demand of the stock which makes the price to be volatile in the short term. Investors and stock traders aim to book profit through buying and selling the stocks. There are different statistical and data science tools are being used to predict the stock price. Data Science and Statistical tools assume only the stock price’s historical data in predicting the future stock price. Statistical tools include measures such as Graph and Charts which depicts the general trend and time series tools such as Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Averages (ARIMA) and regression analysis. Data Science tools include models like Decision Tree, Support Vector Machine (SVM), Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Long Term and Short Term Memory (LSTM) Models. Current methods include carrying out sentiment analysis of tweets, comments and other social media discussion to extract the hidden sentiment expressed by the users which indicate the positive or negative sentiment towards the stock price and the company. The book provides an overview of the analyzing and predicting stock price movements using statistical and data science tools using R open source software with hypothetical stock data sets. It provides a short introduction to R software to enable the user to understand analysis part in the later part. The book will not go into details of suggesting when to purchase a stock or what at price. The tools presented in the book can be used as a guiding tool in decision making while buying or selling the stock. Vinaitheerthan Renganathan www.vinaitheerthan.com/book.php