Strength In Numbers How Polls Work And Why We Need Them
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Strength In Numbers How Polls Work And Why We Need Them
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Author : G. Elliott Morris
language : en
Publisher: W. W. Norton & Company
Release Date : 2022-07-12
Strength In Numbers How Polls Work And Why We Need Them written by G. Elliott Morris and has been published by W. W. Norton & Company this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-07-12 with Political Science categories.
An insightful exploration of political polling and a bold defense of its crucial role in a modern democracy. Public opinion polling is the ultimate democratic process; it gives every person an equal voice in letting elected leaders know what they need and want. But in the eyes of the public, polls today are tarnished. Recent election forecasts have routinely missed the mark and media coverage of polls has focused solely on their ability to predict winners and losers. Polls deserve better. In Strength in Numbers, data journalist G. Elliott Morris argues that the larger purpose of political polls is to improve democracy, not just predict elections. Whether used by interest groups, the press, or politicians, polling serves as a pipeline from the governed to the government, giving citizens influence they would otherwise lack. No one who believes in democracy can afford to give up on polls; they should commit, instead, to understanding them better. In a vibrant history of polling, Morris takes readers from the first semblance of data-gathering in the ancient world through to the development of modern-day scientific polling. He explains how the internet and “big data” have solved many challenges in polling—and created others. He covers the rise of polling aggregation and methods of election forecasting, reveals how data can be distorted and misrepresented, and demystifies the real uncertainty of polling. Candidly acknowledging where polls have gone wrong in the past, Morris charts a path for the industry’s future where it can truly work for the people. Persuasively argued and deeply researched, Strength in Numbers is an essential guide to understanding and embracing one of the most important and overlooked democratic institutions in the United States.
Strength In Numbers
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Author : G. Elliot Morris
language : en
Publisher: National Geographic Books
Release Date : 2022-07-12
Strength In Numbers written by G. Elliot Morris and has been published by National Geographic Books this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-07-12 with Political Science categories.
An insightful exploration of political polling and a bold defense of its crucial role in a modern democracy. Public opinion polling is the ultimate democratic process; it gives every person an equal voice in letting elected leaders know what they need and want. But in the eyes of the public, polls today are tarnished. Recent election forecasts have routinely missed the mark and media coverage of polls has focused solely on their ability to predict winners and losers. Polls deserve better. In Strength in Numbers, data journalist G. Elliott Morris argues that the larger purpose of political polls is to improve democracy, not just predict elections. Whether used by interest groups, the press, or politicians, polling serves as a pipeline from the governed to the government, giving citizens influence they would otherwise lack. No one who believes in democracy can afford to give up on polls; they should commit, instead, to understanding them better. In a vibrant history of polling, Morris takes readers from the first semblance of data-gathering in the ancient world through to the development of modern-day scientific polling. He explains how the internet and “big data” have solved many challenges in polling—and created others. He covers the rise of polling aggregation and methods of election forecasting, reveals how data can be distorted and misrepresented, and demystifies the real uncertainty of polling. Candidly acknowledging where polls have gone wrong in the past, Morris charts a path for the industry’s future where it can truly work for the people. Persuasively argued and deeply researched, Strength in Numbers is an essential guide to understanding and embracing one of the most important and overlooked democratic institutions in the United States.
Lost In A Gallup
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Author : W. Joseph Campbell
language : en
Publisher: Univ of California Press
Release Date : 2024-02-20
Lost In A Gallup written by W. Joseph Campbell and has been published by Univ of California Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-02-20 with Political Science categories.
This update of a lively, first-of-its-kind study of polling misfires and fiascoes in U.S. presidential campaigns takes up pollsters’ failure over the decades to offer accurate assessments of the most important of American elections. Lost in a Gallup tells the story of polling flops and failures in presidential elections since 1936. Polls do go bad, as outcomes in 2020, 2016, 2012, 2004, and 2000 all remind us. This updated edition includes a new chapter and conclusion that address the 2020 polling surprise and considers whether polls will get it right in 2024. As author W. Joseph Campbell discusses, polling misfires in presidential elections are not all alike. Pollsters have anticipated tight elections when landslides have occurred. They have pointed to the wrong winner in closer elections. Misleading state polls have thrown off expected national outcomes. Polling failure also can lead to media error. Journalists covering presidential races invariably take their lead from polls. When polls go bad, media narratives can be off-target as well. Lost in a Gallup encourages readers to treat election polls with healthy skepticism, recognizing that they could be wrong.
Polling At A Crossroads
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Author : Michael A. Bailey
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2024-03-31
Polling At A Crossroads written by Michael A. Bailey and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-03-31 with Social Science categories.
Polling at a Crossroads presents an intuitive paradigm that allows us to understand and confront the challenges facing modern polling.
Beyond The Horse Race
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Author : John Zogby
language : en
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
Release Date : 2024-09-15
Beyond The Horse Race written by John Zogby and has been published by Rowman & Littlefield this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-09-15 with Political Science categories.
Americans are preoccupied with political polls. In this book, John Zogby, one of America’s most prominent pollsters, offers readers a master class in understanding what polls can reveal about public opinion. He argues that those who focus only on the horse race numbers—who is leading and who is trailing—miss the many ways that polls can help us understand the fundamentals of the electorate at any given time. Illustrating his arguments from key political races of the last 40 years, Zogby shares true stories about how polls have been misused and when they have been used well or badly. Beyond the Horse Race will appeal to campaign professionals and armchair political junkies who want to understand the art and science of accurately gauging public opinion.
Is The Youth Vote Liberal
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Author : Zachary Cook
language : en
Publisher: Lexington Books
Release Date : 2024-02-14
Is The Youth Vote Liberal written by Zachary Cook and has been published by Lexington Books this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-02-14 with Political Science categories.
Drawing off ninety years of survey data, Zachary Cook argues that younger voters, as a function of the life cycle, tend to believe that government should do more to regulate the business sector to help provide high quality jobs for all.
The Power Of Polls
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Author : Jason Roy
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2021-10-07
The Power Of Polls written by Jason Roy and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-10-07 with Political Science categories.
Public opinion polls have become increasingly prominent during elections, but how they affect voting behaviour remains uncertain. In this work, we estimate the effects of poll exposure using an experimental design in which we randomly assign the availability of polls to participants in simulated election campaigns. We draw upon results from ten independent experiments conducted across six countries on four continents (Argentina, Australia, Canada, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, and the United States) to examine how polls affect the amount of information individuals seek and the votes that they cast. We further assess how poll effects differ according to individual-level factors, such as partisanship and political sophistication, and the content included in polls and how it is presented. Our work provides a comprehensive assessment of the power of polls and the implications for poll reporting in contemporary elections.
The Crisis
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1982-06
The Crisis written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1982-06 with categories.
The Crisis, founded by W.E.B. Du Bois as the official publication of the NAACP, is a journal of civil rights, history, politics, and culture and seeks to educate and challenge its readers about issues that continue to plague African Americans and other communities of color. For nearly 100 years, The Crisis has been the magazine of opinion and thought leaders, decision makers, peacemakers and justice seekers. It has chronicled, informed, educated, entertained and, in many instances, set the economic, political and social agenda for our nation and its multi-ethnic citizens.
Outdoor America
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2003
Outdoor America written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003 with Conservation of natural resources categories.
The Signalman S Journal
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1998
The Signalman S Journal written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998 with Railroads categories.