Strength In Numbers How Polls Work And Why We Need Them
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Strength In Numbers How Polls Work And Why We Need Them
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Author : G. Elliott Morris
language : en
Publisher: W. W. Norton & Company
Release Date : 2022-07-12
Strength In Numbers How Polls Work And Why We Need Them written by G. Elliott Morris and has been published by W. W. Norton & Company this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-07-12 with Political Science categories.
An insightful exploration of political polling and a bold defense of its crucial role in a modern democracy. Public opinion polling is the ultimate democratic process; it gives every person an equal voice in letting elected leaders know what they need and want. But in the eyes of the public, polls today are tarnished. Recent election forecasts have routinely missed the mark and media coverage of polls has focused solely on their ability to predict winners and losers. Polls deserve better. In Strength in Numbers, data journalist G. Elliott Morris argues that the larger purpose of political polls is to improve democracy, not just predict elections. Whether used by interest groups, the press, or politicians, polling serves as a pipeline from the governed to the government, giving citizens influence they would otherwise lack. No one who believes in democracy can afford to give up on polls; they should commit, instead, to understanding them better. In a vibrant history of polling, Morris takes readers from the first semblance of data-gathering in the ancient world through to the development of modern-day scientific polling. He explains how the internet and “big data” have solved many challenges in polling—and created others. He covers the rise of polling aggregation and methods of election forecasting, reveals how data can be distorted and misrepresented, and demystifies the real uncertainty of polling. Candidly acknowledging where polls have gone wrong in the past, Morris charts a path for the industry’s future where it can truly work for the people. Persuasively argued and deeply researched, Strength in Numbers is an essential guide to understanding and embracing one of the most important and overlooked democratic institutions in the United States.
Whig Banner
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1844
Whig Banner written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1844 with Campaign literature, 1844 categories.
Report Of The Debates And Proceedings Of The Convention For The Revision Of The Constitution Of The State Of Kentucky 1849
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Author : Kentucky. Constitutional Convention
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1849
Report Of The Debates And Proceedings Of The Convention For The Revision Of The Constitution Of The State Of Kentucky 1849 written by Kentucky. Constitutional Convention and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1849 with Constitutional conventions categories.
Polling At A Crossroads
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Author : Michael A. Bailey
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2024-03-07
Polling At A Crossroads written by Michael A. Bailey and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-03-07 with Social Science categories.
Polling at a Crossroads presents an intuitive paradigm that allows us to understand and confront the challenges facing modern polling.
The Polls Weren T Wrong
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Author : Carl Allen
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2024-09-24
The Polls Weren T Wrong written by Carl Allen and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-09-24 with Mathematics categories.
Interpreting poll data as a prediction of election outcomes is a practice as old as the field, rooted in a fundamental misunderstanding of what poll data means. By first understanding how polls work at a fundamental level, this book gives readers the ability to discern flaws in the current methods. Then, through specific political examples from both the United States and the United Kingdom, it is shown how polls famously derided as "wrong" were, in fact, accurate. While polls are not always accurate, the reasons we can and can’t (rightly) call them "wrong" are explained in this book. This book will equip readers with the tools to navigate the mismatch of expectations. It is not intended to replace more technical applications of statistics but is accessible to anyone interested in learning more about how poll data should be understood, compared to how it’s currently misunderstood.
Lost In A Gallup
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Author : W. Joseph Campbell
language : en
Publisher: Univ of California Press
Release Date : 2024-02-20
Lost In A Gallup written by W. Joseph Campbell and has been published by Univ of California Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-02-20 with History categories.
This update of a lively, first-of-its-kind study of polling misfires and fiascoes in U.S. presidential campaigns takes up pollsters’ failure over the decades to offer accurate assessments of the most important of American elections. "W. Joseph Campbell's work always opens my eyes, challenging assumptions the world has turned into facts. Whenever I get a chance to read Campbell's work, I seize it."—Jake Tapper, CNN anchor Lost in a Gallup tells the story of polling flops and failures in presidential elections since 1936. Polls do go bad, as outcomes in 2020, 2016, 2012, 2004, and 2000 all remind us. This updated edition includes a new chapter and conclusion that address the 2020 polling surprise and considers whether polls will get it right in 2024. As author W. Joseph Campbell discusses, polling misfires in presidential elections are not all alike. Pollsters have anticipated tight elections when landslides have occurred. They have pointed to the wrong winner in closer elections. Misleading state polls have thrown off expected national outcomes. Polling failure also can lead to media error. Journalists covering presidential races invariably take their lead from polls. When polls go bad, media narratives can be off-target as well. Lost in a Gallup encourages readers to treat election polls with healthy skepticism, recognizing that they could be wrong.
Beyond The Horse Race
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Author : John Zogby
language : en
Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing PLC
Release Date : 2024-08-27
Beyond The Horse Race written by John Zogby and has been published by Bloomsbury Publishing PLC this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-08-27 with Political Science categories.
Called a "timely read for the politically inclined" (Booklist), this book from one of America’s most prominent pollsters offers readers a master class in understanding what polls can reveal about public opinion. Americans are preoccupied with political polls. In this book, John Zogby, one of America’s most prominent pollsters, offers readers a master class in understanding what polls can reveal about public opinion. He argues that those who focus only on the horse race numbers—who is leading and who is trailing—miss the many ways that polls can help us understand the fundamentals of the electorate at any given time. Illustrating his arguments from key political races of the last 40 years, Zogby shares true stories about how polls have been misused and when they have been used well or badly. Beyond the Horse Race will appeal to campaign professionals and armchair political junkies who want to understand the art and science of accurately gauging public opinion.
Positive Evolutionary Psychology
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Author : Glenn Geher
language : en
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Release Date : 2019-08-12
Positive Evolutionary Psychology written by Glenn Geher and has been published by Oxford University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-08-12 with Psychology categories.
Positive psychologists focus on ways that we can advance the lives of individuals and communities by studying the factors that increase positive outcomes such as life satisfaction and happiness. Evolutionary psychologists use the principles of evolution, based on Darwin's understanding of life, to help shed light on any and all kinds of psychological phenomena. This book brings together both fields to explore positive evolutionary psychology: the use of evolutionary psychology principles to help people and communities experience more positive and fulfilling lives. Across eleven chapters, this book describes the basic ideas of both evolutionary and positive psychology, elaborates on the integration of these two fields as a way to help advance the human condition, discusses several domains of human functioning from the perspective of positive evolutionary psychology, and finally, looks with an eye toward the future of work in this emerging and dynamic field. Over the past few decades, evolutionary psychologists have begun to crack the code on such phenomena as happiness, gratitude, resilience, community, and love. This book describes these facets of the human experience in terms of their evolutionary origins and proposes how we might guide people to optimally experience such positive phenomena in their everyday lives.
Is The Youth Vote Liberal
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Author : Zachary Cook
language : en
Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing PLC
Release Date : 2024-02-14
Is The Youth Vote Liberal written by Zachary Cook and has been published by Bloomsbury Publishing PLC this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-02-14 with Political Science categories.
Drawing off ninety years of survey data, Zachary Cook argues that younger voters, as a function of the life cycle, tend to believe that government should do more to regulate the business sector to help provide high quality jobs for all.
The Crisis
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1982-06
The Crisis written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1982-06 with categories.
The Crisis, founded by W.E.B. Du Bois as the official publication of the NAACP, is a journal of civil rights, history, politics, and culture and seeks to educate and challenge its readers about issues that continue to plague African Americans and other communities of color. For nearly 100 years, The Crisis has been the magazine of opinion and thought leaders, decision makers, peacemakers and justice seekers. It has chronicled, informed, educated, entertained and, in many instances, set the economic, political and social agenda for our nation and its multi-ethnic citizens.