Sustainability Of Public Debt
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Quantifying The Sustainability Of Public Debt
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Author : Cansın Kemal Can
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge Scholars Publishing
Release Date : 2021-06-09
Quantifying The Sustainability Of Public Debt written by Cansın Kemal Can and has been published by Cambridge Scholars Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-06-09 with Business & Economics categories.
Despite its beneficial aspects, public debt can be hazardous for macroeconomic performance should it reach unrepayable levels as a consequence of snowballing explosive trends. Failure to monitor the existing trend in public debt in order to detect such divergences from the stable path, and the lack of an adaptive public financial management can potentially culminate in a public debt crisis whose disruptive economic impacts can permeate all sectors of the economy very swiftly. However, public debt sustainability is a vague concept with no straightforward operational definitions. In addition, its multi-faceted nature is an impediment for the implementation of real-world appraisal of the fiscal posture from a stability viewpoint. As such, quantifying the public debt sustainability is essential for overhauling the fiscal policies so as to avoid a potential debt crisis stemming from malfunctioning fiscal policies. This book provides the reader with a practical and straightforward framework that outlines a tool for undertaking public debt sustainability analysis. In order to guide further empirical investigations, the discussion in this book is underpinned by a real-world application of the model which highlights the practical aspects of the tool with reference to time-varying empirical evidence from a developing country.
The Demand For Base Money And The Sustainability Of Public Debt
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Author : Valeriano F. García
language : en
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Release Date : 1997
The Demand For Base Money And The Sustainability Of Public Debt written by Valeriano F. García and has been published by World Bank Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1997 with Debt categories.
Public Debt Sustainability In Developing Asia
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Author : Benno Ferrarini
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2012-11-12
Public Debt Sustainability In Developing Asia written by Benno Ferrarini and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-11-12 with Business & Economics categories.
Addressing the Global Financial Crisis required fiscal intervention on a substantial scale by governments around the world. The consequent build up of public debt, in particular its sustainability, have moved centre stage in the policy debate. If the Asia Pacific region is to continue to serve as an engine for global growth its public debt must be sustainable. The book addresses this issue for Asia Pacific as a whole as well as for three of the most dynamic economies in the region: China, India and Vietnam. The book begins with a discussion of the reasons why there is increased attention on debt related issues and outline the contents of the volume. The book also includes fiscal indicators for Developing Member Countries (DMCs) as categorized by the Asian Development Bank (ADB). Debt sustainability for these countries is assessed through extant approaches and with the most updated data sources. It also surveys the extant literature on debt sustainability, outlining the main issues related to debt sustainability and discusses the key implications for the application of debt sustainability analysis in developing Asia. The book highlights the importance of doing individual country studies in view of wide variations in definitions of public expenditure, revenues, contingent liabilities, government structures (e.g. federal), and the like as well as in the impact of debt on interest rates. It provides in-depth debt sustainability analyses of China, India and Vietnam. The book is a comprehensive analytical and empirical update of the sustainability public debt in developing Asia. It breakes new ground in that various characteristics of the sustainability that have not yet been explored in the literature which, nevertheless, are crucial to understanding it. As a consequence, the policy analysis is based on firmer footings than in the extant literature and should prove useful to graduate students, researchers as well as policymakers.
Public Debt Sustainability
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Author : Barry W. Poulson
language : en
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
Release Date : 2022-01-04
Public Debt Sustainability written by Barry W. Poulson and has been published by Rowman & Littlefield this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-01-04 with Business & Economics categories.
As countries recover from the coronavirus pandemic, they are confronted with an even more challenging debt crisis. Xavier Debrun argues in the foreword that in deciding where we go from here that there is no longer a consensus regarding the optimum design and enforcement of fiscal rules. Rather we must address a series of questions and challenges to the conventional wisdom. This book provides an opportunity for scholars to explore these questions from an international perspective, with reference to European countries, and emerging nations as well as the United States.
Sustainability Of Public Debt
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Author : Reinhard Neck
language : en
Publisher: MIT Press
Release Date : 2008
Sustainability Of Public Debt written by Reinhard Neck and has been published by MIT Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008 with Business & Economics categories.
Theoretical and empirical perspectives on how fiscal policies in Europe and the United States can avoid government bankruptcy.
Public Debt Sustainability Under Uncertainty
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Author : Rossen Rozenov
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2017-03-13
Public Debt Sustainability Under Uncertainty written by Rossen Rozenov and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-03-13 with Business & Economics categories.
The paper offers an approach to assessing the sustainability of public debt taking into account the effect of fiscal policy on output, as well as uncertainty in the model parameters and system dynamics. Uncertainty is specified in general terms, and the analysis is based on the notion of invariant sets. Examples are provided to illustrate how the method can be applied in practice.
Sustainability And Optimality Of Public Debt
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Author : Michael Carlberg
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06
Sustainability And Optimality Of Public Debt written by Michael Carlberg and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Business & Economics categories.
Public debt seems to be one of the great issues of the nineties. The United States have turned from the largest creditor of the world to the largest debtor, due to dramatic budget deficits. The European Union tries to build dams against the flood, see the treaty of Maastricht. And in Germany, public debt tends to explo de, doubling within a few years. The reason for this is the immense cost of Ger man unification. I had many helpful talks with my colleague Michael Schmid (now at Bam berg). In addition, Michael Brauninger and Philipp Lichtenauer carefully discus sed with me all parts of the manuscript. Last but not least, Doris Ehrich typed the manuscript as excellently as ever. I would like to thank all of them. Contents INTRODUCTION 3 5 BRIEF SURVEY OF THE LITERATURE PART I. CLOSED ECONOMY 9 CHAPTER I. SOLOW MODEL 11 1. Fixed Deficit Ratio 11 1. 1. Simple Model 11 1. 2. Short-Run Equilibrium 12 1. 3. Long-Run Equilibrium 14 1. 4. Optimal Deficit Ratio 18 1. 5. Optimal Saving Ratio 20 1. 6. Stability 21 1. 7. Shocks 23 1. 8. Budget Surplus 29 1. 9. Numerical Example 32 1. 10. Summary 37 2. Fixed Tax Rate 38 2. 1. Simple Model 38 2. 2. Short-Run Equilibrium 39 2. 3. Long-Run Equilibrium 40 2. 4. Stability 45 2. 5. Shocks 48 2. 6. Optimal Tax Rate 56 2. 7. Optimal Saving Ratio 57 2. 8. Numerical Example 58 2. 9.
Probabilistic Sustainability Of Public Debt
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Author : Issouf Samaké
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2006-12-01
Probabilistic Sustainability Of Public Debt written by Issouf Samaké and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-12-01 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper examines the sustainability of fiscal policy under uncertainty in three emerging market countries, Brazil, Mexico, and Turkey. For each country, we estimate a vector autoregression (VAR) that includes fiscal and macroeconomic variables. Retrospectively, a historical decomposition shows by how much debt accumulation reflects unsustainable policy, adverse shocks, or both. Prospectively, Monte Carlo techniques reveal the primary surplus that is required to keep the debt/GDP ratio from rising in all but the worst 50 percent, 25 percent, and 10 percent of circumstances. Such a value-at-risk approach presents a clearer menu of policy options than currently used frameworks.
Staff Guidance Note For Public Debt Sustainability Analysis In Market Access Countries
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Author : International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2013-05-06
Staff Guidance Note For Public Debt Sustainability Analysis In Market Access Countries written by International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept. and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-05-06 with Business & Economics categories.
The framework for fiscal policy and public debt sustainability analysis (DSA) in market-access countries (MACs) was reviewed by the Executive Board in August 2011.1 The review responded to shortcomings in identifying fiscal vulnerabilities and assessing risks to debt sustainability against the backdrop of increased concerns over fiscal policy and public debt sustainability in many advanced economies.
Public Debt And Economic Growth
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Author : Alfred Greiner
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2009-07-24
Public Debt And Economic Growth written by Alfred Greiner and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-07-24 with Business & Economics categories.
Starting point of this book is the observation that an increase in public debt must be accompanied by a rise in the primary surplus of the government to guarantee sustainability of public debt. The book first elaborates on that principle from a theoretical point of view and then tests whether empirical evidence for that rule can be found. Additional tests are implemented to gain further evidence on sustainability of public debt. In order to allow for time varying coefficients penalized spline estimations are performed. The theoretical chapters present endogenous growth models and assume that the primary surplus rises as public debt increases so that sustainability of public debt is given. Implications of public deficits and debt are studied assuming full employment and for unemployment. The conclusion summarizes the findings and compares the results of the different models. Finally, policy implications are given showing how governments should deal with high public debt to GDP ratios.