The Evolution Of Presidential Polling
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The Evolution Of Presidential Polling
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Author : Robert M. Eisinger
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2003-01-20
The Evolution Of Presidential Polling written by Robert M. Eisinger and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003-01-20 with Biography & Autobiography categories.
The Evolution of Presidential Polling is a book about presidential power and autonomy. Since FDR, virtually all presidents have employed private polls in some capacity. This book attempts to explain how presidential polling evolved from a rarely conducted secretive enterprise, to a commonplace event that is now considered an integral part of the presidency. I contend that because presidents do not trust institutions such as Congress, the media and political parties--all of which also gauge public opinion--they opt to gain autonomy from these institutions by conducting private polls to be read and interpreted solely for themselves.
The Illusion Of Certainty
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Author : Robert Martin Eisinger
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1996
The Illusion Of Certainty written by Robert Martin Eisinger and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1996 with Election forecasting categories.
Lost In A Gallup
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Author : W. Joseph Campbell
language : en
Publisher: Univ of California Press
Release Date : 2024-02-20
Lost In A Gallup written by W. Joseph Campbell and has been published by Univ of California Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-02-20 with History categories.
"Lost in a Gallup tells the story of polling flops and failures in presidential elections since 1936. Polls do go bad, as outcomes in 2020, 2016, 2012, 2004, and 2000 all remind us. This updated edition includes a new chapter and conclusion that address the 2020 polling surprise and considers whether polls will get it right in 2024."--Page 4 of cover.
Polling Unpacked
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Author : Mark Pack
language : en
Publisher: Reaktion Books
Release Date : 2022-05-13
Polling Unpacked written by Mark Pack and has been published by Reaktion Books this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-05-13 with Political Science categories.
From a political-polling expert, an eye-opening—and hilarious—look at the origins of polls and how they have been used and abused ever since. Opinion polls dominate media coverage of politics, especially elections. But how do the polls work? How do we tell the good from the bad? And in light of recent polling disasters, can we trust them at all? Polling UnPacked gives us the full story, from the first rudimentary polls in the nineteenth century, through attempts by politicians to ban polling in the twentieth century, to the very latest techniques and controversies from the last few years. Equal parts enlightening and hilarious, the book requires no prior knowledge of polling or statistics to understand. But even hardened pollsters will find much to enjoy, from how polling has been used to help plan military invasions to why an exhausted interviewer was accidentally instrumental in inventing exit polls. Written by a former political pollster and the creator of Britain’s foremost polling-intention database, Polling UnPacked reveals which opinion polls to trust, which to ignore, and which, frankly, to laugh at. It will change the way we see political coverage forever.
The Wizard Of Washington
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Author : M. Holli
language : en
Publisher: Palgrave Macmillan
Release Date : 2002-03-28
The Wizard Of Washington written by M. Holli and has been published by Palgrave Macmillan this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2002-03-28 with History categories.
Historians have tended to point to John F. Kennedy's 1960 bid for the presidency as the first time a candidate relied extensively on public opinion polls to drive a campaign. Polling has come to define American politics, and is perhaps most clearly embodied in Bill Clinton, the post poll-driven president in history. Melvin G. Holli dismisses this notion, however, and reveals that presidential reliance on public opinion polls dates back to the New Deal Era, when Franklin Roosevelt employed a first-generation Finnish-American named Emil Hurja to conduct polls for this 1932 and 1936 presidential campaigns. Holli shows us how Hurja convinced the Democratic National Committee to allow him to apply the new science of polling FDR's presidential campaign of 1932. Roosevelt's triumph at the polls in that year and again in 1936, as well as the spectacular 1934 Democratic mid-term congressional victory was legendary. Holli restores Hurja to his rightful place in American history and politics, showing us that the Washington press corps were right on target when they dubbed Hurja the 'Wizard of Washington'.
Calling Elections
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Author : Thomas B. Littlewood
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1998
Calling Elections written by Thomas B. Littlewood and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998 with Political Science categories.
Calling Elections: The History of Horse-Race Journalism is the story of the origins and evolution of the "horse-race" tradition of political journalism in the United States. Thomas B. Littlewood examines how the treatment of elections as sporting events has come to overshadow the reporting of the campaign as a forum for the discussion of ideas.
The Timeline Of Presidential Elections
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Author : Robert S. Erikson
language : en
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Release Date : 2012-08-24
The Timeline Of Presidential Elections written by Robert S. Erikson and has been published by University of Chicago Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-08-24 with Political Science categories.
In presidential elections, do voters cast their ballots for the candidates whose platform and positions best match their own? Or is the race for president of the United States come down largely to who runs the most effective campaign? It’s a question those who study elections have been considering for years with no clear resolution. In The Timeline of Presidential Elections, Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien reveal for the first time how both factors come into play. Erikson and Wlezien have amassed data from close to two thousand national polls covering every presidential election from 1952 to 2008, allowing them to see how outcomes take shape over the course of an election year. Polls from the beginning of the year, they show, have virtually no predictive power. By mid-April, when the candidates have been identified and matched in pollsters’ trial heats, preferences have come into focus—and predicted the winner in eleven of the fifteen elections. But a similar process of forming favorites takes place in the last six months, during which voters’ intentions change only gradually, with particular events—including presidential debates—rarely resulting in dramatic change. Ultimately, Erikson and Wlezien show that it is through campaigns that voters are made aware of—or not made aware of—fundamental factors like candidates’ policy positions that determine which ticket will get their votes. In other words, fundamentals matter, but only because of campaigns. Timely and compelling, this book will force us to rethink our assumptions about presidential elections.
A Century Of Votes For Women
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Author : Christina Wolbrecht
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2020-01-30
A Century Of Votes For Women written by Christina Wolbrecht and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-01-30 with History categories.
Examines how and why American women voted since the Nineteenth Amendment was ratified in 1920.
Predicting The Next President
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Author : Allan J. Lichtman
language : en
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
Release Date : 2024-07-01
Predicting The Next President written by Allan J. Lichtman and has been published by Rowman & Littlefield this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-07-01 with Political Science categories.
In the days after Donald Trump’s unexpected victory on election night 2016, The New York Times, CNN, and other leading media outlets reached out to one of the few pundits who had correctly predicted the outcome, Allan J. Lichtman. While many election forecasters base their findings exclusively on public opinion polls, Lichtman looks at the underlying fundamentals that have driven every presidential election since 1860. Using his 13 historical factors or “keys” (four political, seven performance, and two personality), Lichtman had been predicting Trump’s win since September 2016. In the updated 2024 edition, he applies the keys to every presidential election since 1860 and shows readers the current state of the 2024 race. In doing so, he dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. An indispensable resource for political junkies!
American Government 3e
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Author : Glen Krutz
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2023-05-12
American Government 3e written by Glen Krutz and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-05-12 with categories.
Black & white print. American Government 3e aligns with the topics and objectives of many government courses. Faculty involved in the project have endeavored to make government workings, issues, debates, and impacts meaningful and memorable to students while maintaining the conceptual coverage and rigor inherent in the subject. With this objective in mind, the content of this textbook has been developed and arranged to provide a logical progression from the fundamental principles of institutional design at the founding, to avenues of political participation, to thorough coverage of the political structures that constitute American government. The book builds upon what students have already learned and emphasizes connections between topics as well as between theory and applications. The goal of each section is to enable students not just to recognize concepts, but to work with them in ways that will be useful in later courses, future careers, and as engaged citizens. In order to help students understand the ways that government, society, and individuals interconnect, the revision includes more examples and details regarding the lived experiences of diverse groups and communities within the United States. The authors and reviewers sought to strike a balance between confronting the negative and harmful elements of American government, history, and current events, while demonstrating progress in overcoming them. In doing so, the approach seeks to provide instructors with ample opportunities to open discussions, extend and update concepts, and drive deeper engagement.