Predicting The Next President
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Predicting The Next President
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Author : Allan J. Lichtman
language : en
Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing PLC
Release Date : 2024-07-01
Predicting The Next President written by Allan J. Lichtman and has been published by Bloomsbury Publishing PLC this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-07-01 with Political Science categories.
In the days after Donald Trump’s unexpected victory on election night 2016, The New York Times, CNN, and other leading media outlets reached out to one of the few pundits who had correctly predicted the outcome, Allan J. Lichtman. While many election forecasters base their findings exclusively on public opinion polls, Lichtman looks at the underlying fundamentals that have driven every presidential election since 1860. Using his 13 historical factors or “keys” (four political, seven performance, and two personality), Lichtman had been predicting Trump’s win since September 2016. In the updated 2024 edition, he applies the keys to every presidential election since 1860 and shows readers the current state of the 2024 race. In doing so, he dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. An indispensable resource for political junkies!
Will He Go
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Author : Lawrence Douglas
language : en
Publisher: Hachette UK
Release Date : 2020-05-19
Will He Go written by Lawrence Douglas and has been published by Hachette UK this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-05-19 with Political Science categories.
In advance of the 2020 election, legal scholar Lawrence Douglas prepares readers for a less-than-peaceful transition of power. It doesn't require a strong imagination to get a sense of the mayhem Trump will unleash if he loses a closely contested election. It is no less disturbing to imagine Trump still insisting that he is the rightful leader of the nation. With millions of diehard supporters firmly believing that their revered president has been toppled by malignant forces of the Deep State, Trump could remain a force of constitutional chaos for years to come. WILL TRUMP GO? addresses such questions as: How might Trump engineer his refusal to acknowledge electoral defeat? What legal and extra-legal paths could he pursue in mobilizing a challenge to the electoral outcome? What legal, political, institutional, and popular mechanisms can be used to stop him? What would be the fallout of a failure to remove him from office? What would be the fallout of a successful effort to unseat him? Can our democracy snap back from Trump? Trump himself has essentially told the nation he will never accept electoral defeat. A book that prepares us for Trump's refusal to concede, then, is hardly speculative; it is a necessary precaution against a coming crisis.
Prejudice And The Old Politics
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Author : Allan J. Lichtman
language : en
Publisher: Lexington Books
Release Date : 2000-01-01
Prejudice And The Old Politics written by Allan J. Lichtman and has been published by Lexington Books this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2000-01-01 with History categories.
Combining statistical analysis with well-written narrative history, this re-evaluation of the 1928 presidential election gives a vivid portrait of the candidates and the campaign. Lichtman has based his study primarily on a statistical analysis of data from that election and the presidential elections from 1916 to 1940 for all the 2,058 counties outside the former Confederate South. Not relying exclusively on the results of his quantitative analysis, however, Lichtman has also made an exhaustive survey of previous scholarship and contemporary accounts of the 1928 election. He discusses and challenges previous interpretations, especially the ethnocultural and pluralist interpretations and the application of critical election theory to the election. In disputing this theory, which claims that 1928 was a realigning election in which the coalitions were formed that dominated future elections, Lichtman determines that 1928 was an aberration with little impact on later political patterns.
Trend Following
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Author : Michael W. Covel
language : en
Publisher: FT Press
Release Date : 2009
Trend Following written by Michael W. Covel and has been published by FT Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009 with Business & Economics categories.
Discover the investment strategy that works in any market. The one strategy that works in up and down markets, good times and bad.
Amusing Ourselves To Death
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Author : Neil Postman
language : en
Publisher: Penguin
Release Date : 2005-12-27
Amusing Ourselves To Death written by Neil Postman and has been published by Penguin this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-12-27 with Social Science categories.
What happens when media and politics become forms of entertainment? As our world begins to look more and more like Orwell's 1984, Neil's Postman's essential guide to the modern media is more relevant than ever. "It's unlikely that Trump has ever read Amusing Ourselves to Death, but his ascent would not have surprised Postman.” -CNN Originally published in 1985, Neil Postman’s groundbreaking polemic about the corrosive effects of television on our politics and public discourse has been hailed as a twenty-first-century book published in the twentieth century. Now, with television joined by more sophisticated electronic media—from the Internet to cell phones to DVDs—it has taken on even greater significance. Amusing Ourselves to Death is a prophetic look at what happens when politics, journalism, education, and even religion become subject to the demands of entertainment. It is also a blueprint for regaining control of our media, so that they can serve our highest goals. “A brilliant, powerful, and important book. This is an indictment that Postman has laid down and, so far as I can see, an irrefutable one.” –Jonathan Yardley, The Washington Post Book World
Evolution Of Translational Omics
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Author : Institute of Medicine
language : en
Publisher: National Academies Press
Release Date : 2012-09-13
Evolution Of Translational Omics written by Institute of Medicine and has been published by National Academies Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-09-13 with Science categories.
Technologies collectively called omics enable simultaneous measurement of an enormous number of biomolecules; for example, genomics investigates thousands of DNA sequences, and proteomics examines large numbers of proteins. Scientists are using these technologies to develop innovative tests to detect disease and to predict a patient's likelihood of responding to specific drugs. Following a recent case involving premature use of omics-based tests in cancer clinical trials at Duke University, the NCI requested that the IOM establish a committee to recommend ways to strengthen omics-based test development and evaluation. This report identifies best practices to enhance development, evaluation, and translation of omics-based tests while simultaneously reinforcing steps to ensure that these tests are appropriately assessed for scientific validity before they are used to guide patient treatment in clinical trials.
End Of Days
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Author : Sylvia Browne
language : en
Publisher: Penguin
Release Date : 2008-06-24
End Of Days written by Sylvia Browne and has been published by Penguin this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-06-24 with Body, Mind & Spirit categories.
Religious wars, global terrorism, pandemics, and genocide have all helped to usher in the Anxiety Age. Who better to lead the way out than popular psychic Sylvia Browne? In End of Days, Browne tackles the most daunting of subjects with her trademark clarity, wisdom, and serenity, answering such difficult questions as: What's coming in the next fifty years? What do the great prophecies of Nostradamus and the Book of Revelation mean? If the world is really going to end, what will unfold in our final hours? For anyone who's ever wondered where we're headed, and what—if anything—we can do to prevent a catastrophe of biblical proportions, End of Days is a riveting and insightful must-read.
Forecasting Elections
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Author : Michael S. Lewis-Beck
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1992
Forecasting Elections written by Michael S. Lewis-Beck and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1992 with Political Science categories.
All political scientists aim to explain politics. In addition to this goal, Michael Lewis-Beck and Tom Rice aim to forecast political events, specifically election results. In "Forecasting Elections" the authors systematically develop easy-to-understand models based on national economic and political measures to forecast eleciton results for the U.S. presidency, House of Representatives, Senate, governorships, and state legislatures. For comparative purposes, the more complex French electoral system is studied. In the final chapter the authors instruct readers on how to use the models to make their own forecasts of future elections. -- From publisher's description.
Predicting Presidential Elections And Other Things Second Edition
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Author : Ray Fair
language : en
Publisher: Stanford University Press
Release Date : 2011-12-14
Predicting Presidential Elections And Other Things Second Edition written by Ray Fair and has been published by Stanford University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-12-14 with Business & Economics categories.
"It's the economy, stupid," as Democratic strategist James Carville would say. After many years of study, Ray C. Fair has found that the state of the economy has a dominant influence on national elections. Just in time for the 2012 presidential election, this new edition of his classic text, Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things, provides us with a look into the likely future of our nation's political landscape—but Fair doesn't stop there. Fair puts other national issues under the microscope as well—including congressional elections, Federal Reserve behavior, and inflation. In addition he covers topics well beyond today's headlines, as the book takes on questions of more direct, personal interest such as wine quality, predicting football games, and aging effects in baseball. Which of your friends is most likely to have an extramarital affair? How important is class attendance for academic performance in college? How fast can you expect to run a race or perform some physical task at age 55, given your time at age 30? Read Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things and find out! As Fair works his way through an incredibly broad range of questions and topics, he teaches and delights. The discussion that underlies each chapter topic moves from formulating theories about real world phenomena to lessons on how to analyze data, test theories, and make predictions. At the end of this book, readers will walk away with more than mere predictions. They will have learned a new approach to thinking about many age-old concerns in public and private life, and will have a myriad of fun facts to share.
Predicting The Winner
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Author : Ira Chinoy
language : en
Publisher: U of Nebraska Press
Release Date :
Predicting The Winner written by Ira Chinoy and has been published by U of Nebraska Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on with categories.