Predicting Presidential Elections And Other Things Second Edition
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Predicting Presidential Elections And Other Things Second Edition
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Author : Ray Fair
language : en
Publisher: Stanford University Press
Release Date : 2011-12-14
Predicting Presidential Elections And Other Things Second Edition written by Ray Fair and has been published by Stanford University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-12-14 with Business & Economics categories.
"It's the economy, stupid," as Democratic strategist James Carville would say. After many years of study, Ray C. Fair has found that the state of the economy has a dominant influence on national elections. Just in time for the 2012 presidential election, this new edition of his classic text, Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things, provides us with a look into the likely future of our nation's political landscape—but Fair doesn't stop there. Fair puts other national issues under the microscope as well—including congressional elections, Federal Reserve behavior, and inflation. In addition he covers topics well beyond today's headlines, as the book takes on questions of more direct, personal interest such as wine quality, predicting football games, and aging effects in baseball. Which of your friends is most likely to have an extramarital affair? How important is class attendance for academic performance in college? How fast can you expect to run a race or perform some physical task at age 55, given your time at age 30? Read Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things and find out! As Fair works his way through an incredibly broad range of questions and topics, he teaches and delights. The discussion that underlies each chapter topic moves from formulating theories about real world phenomena to lessons on how to analyze data, test theories, and make predictions. At the end of this book, readers will walk away with more than mere predictions. They will have learned a new approach to thinking about many age-old concerns in public and private life, and will have a myriad of fun facts to share.
Predicting Presidential Elections And Other Things
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Author : Ray C. Fair
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2002
Predicting Presidential Elections And Other Things written by Ray C. Fair and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2002 with Economic forecasting categories.
Predicting The Next President
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Author : Allan J. Lichtman
language : en
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
Release Date : 2024-07-01
Predicting The Next President written by Allan J. Lichtman and has been published by Rowman & Littlefield this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-07-01 with Political Science categories.
In the days after Donald Trump’s unexpected victory on election night 2016, The New York Times, CNN, and other leading media outlets reached out to one of the few pundits who had correctly predicted the outcome, Allan J. Lichtman. While many election forecasters base their findings exclusively on public opinion polls, Lichtman looks at the underlying fundamentals that have driven every presidential election since 1860. Using his 13 historical factors or “keys” (four political, seven performance, and two personality), Lichtman had been predicting Trump’s win since September 2016. In the updated 2024 edition, he applies the keys to every presidential election since 1860 and shows readers the current state of the 2024 race. In doing so, he dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. An indispensable resource for political junkies!
The Keys To The White House
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Author : Allan J. Lichtman
language : en
Publisher: Lexington Books
Release Date : 2005
The Keys To The White House written by Allan J. Lichtman and has been published by Lexington Books this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with Political Science categories.
Prominent political analyst and historian Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or keys that have successfully predicted the outcome of presidential elections from 1860 to 2004. Read this book not only for a surprising look at the electoral process, but also for tips on calling the election in 2008.
Who Will Be In The White House
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Author : Randall J. Jones
language : en
Publisher: Longman Publishing Group
Release Date : 2002
Who Will Be In The White House written by Randall J. Jones and has been published by Longman Publishing Group this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2002 with Political Science categories.
Presenting models for making predictions about presidential elections, this brief supplementary text is accessible to students without a statistical background and features discussions of Election 2000 throughout. Well-grounded in elections theory, this new text introduces students to the major models used to forecast presidential elections and covers a variety of topics through that lens: approval ratings, exit polls, election cycles, nomination process and campaigns, performance of the economy, etc. Lucidly written, it offers an abundance of figures to illustrate concepts to students and include an easy-to-understand explanation of regression so that no prior knowledge of statistics is necessary to read the text. Professor Jones not only summarizes and utilizes the forecasting techniques employed by experts in the past, but brings in new techniques and tools, making a valuable contribution to the methodologies of presidential election forecasting.
Forecasting Presidential Elections
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Author : Steven J. Rosenstone
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1983
Forecasting Presidential Elections written by Steven J. Rosenstone and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1983 with Election forecasting categories.
Describes a method for analyzing the forces that influence election results and predicting the outcome of elections for the president of the United States
Forecasting Presidential Elections
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Author : Steven J. Rosenstone
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1979
Forecasting Presidential Elections written by Steven J. Rosenstone and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1979 with categories.
The American Campaign Second Edition
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Author : James E. Campbell
language : en
Publisher: Texas A&M University Press
Release Date : 2008
The American Campaign Second Edition written by James E. Campbell and has been published by Texas A&M University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008 with Political Science categories.
Reporting data and predicting trends through the 2008 campaign, this classroom-tested volume offers again James E. Campbell's "theory of the predictable campaign," incorporating the fundamental conditions that systematically affect the presidential vote: political competition, presidential incumbency, and election-year economic conditions. Campbell's cogent thinking and clear style present students with a readable survey of presidential elections and political scientists' ways of studying them. The American Campaign also shows how and why journalists have mistakenly assigned a pattern of unpredictability and critical significance to the vagaries of individual campaigns. This excellent election-year text provides:a summary and assessment of each of the serious predictive models of presidential election outcomes;a historical summary of many of America's important presidential elections;a significant new contribution to the understanding of presidential campaigns and how they matter.
Who Will Be The Next President
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Author : Alexander S. Belenky
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2016-11-15
Who Will Be The Next President written by Alexander S. Belenky and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-11-15 with Law categories.
This book is open access under a CC BY 4.0 license. This book addresses the peculiarities of the current presidential election system not yet addressed in other publications. It argues that any rules for electing a President that may have a chance to replace the current ones should provide an equal representation of states as equal members of the Union, and of the nation as a whole. This book analyzes the National Popular Vote plan and shows that this plan may violate the Supreme Court decisions on the equality of votes cast in statewide popular elections held to choose state electors. That is, the National Popular Vote plan may violate the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment. The book proposes a new election system in which the will of the states and the will of the nation as a whole are determined by direct popular elections for President and Vice President in the 50 states and in D.C. This system a) would elect President a candidate who is the choice of both the nation as a whole and of the states as equal members of the Union, b) would let the current system elect a President only if the nation as a whole and the states as equal members of the Union fail to agree on a common candidate, and c) would encourage the candidates to campaign nationwide. The second edition has been updated to include a proposal on how to make established non-major party presidential candidates and independent candidates welcome participants in national televised presidential debates with the major-party candidates.
Intelligent Computing Systems
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Author : Carlos Brito-Loeza
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2020-03-11
Intelligent Computing Systems written by Carlos Brito-Loeza and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-03-11 with Computers categories.
This book constitutes the proceedings of the Third International Symposium on Intelligent Computing Systems, ISICS 2020, held in Sharjah, United Arab Emirates, in March 2020. The 13 full papers presented in this volume were carefully reviewed and selected from 46 submissions. They deal with the field of intelligent computing systems focusing on artificial intelligence, computer vision and image processing.