Forecasting Presidential Elections
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Forecasting Presidential Elections
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Author : Steven J. Rosenstone
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1983
Forecasting Presidential Elections written by Steven J. Rosenstone and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1983 with Election forecasting categories.
Describes a method for analyzing the forces that influence election results and predicting the outcome of elections for the president of the United States
Forecasting Elections
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Author : Michael S. Lewis-Beck
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1992
Forecasting Elections written by Michael S. Lewis-Beck and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1992 with Political Science categories.
All political scientists aim to explain politics. In addition to this goal, Michael Lewis-Beck and Tom Rice aim to forecast political events, specifically election results. In "Forecasting Elections" the authors systematically develop easy-to-understand models based on national economic and political measures to forecast eleciton results for the U.S. presidency, House of Representatives, Senate, governorships, and state legislatures. For comparative purposes, the more complex French electoral system is studied. In the final chapter the authors instruct readers on how to use the models to make their own forecasts of future elections. -- From publisher's description.
Who Will Be In The White House
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Author : Randall J. Jones
language : en
Publisher: Longman Publishing Group
Release Date : 2002
Who Will Be In The White House written by Randall J. Jones and has been published by Longman Publishing Group this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2002 with Political Science categories.
Presenting models for making predictions about presidential elections, this brief supplementary text is accessible to students without a statistical background and features discussions of Election 2000 throughout. Well-grounded in elections theory, this new text introduces students to the major models used to forecast presidential elections and covers a variety of topics through that lens: approval ratings, exit polls, election cycles, nomination process and campaigns, performance of the economy, etc. Lucidly written, it offers an abundance of figures to illustrate concepts to students and include an easy-to-understand explanation of regression so that no prior knowledge of statistics is necessary to read the text. Professor Jones not only summarizes and utilizes the forecasting techniques employed by experts in the past, but brings in new techniques and tools, making a valuable contribution to the methodologies of presidential election forecasting.
Forecasting Presidential Elections
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Author : Steven J. Rosenstone
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1979
Forecasting Presidential Elections written by Steven J. Rosenstone and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1979 with categories.
Predicting Presidential Elections And Other Things Second Edition
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Author : Ray Fair
language : en
Publisher: Stanford University Press
Release Date : 2011-12-14
Predicting Presidential Elections And Other Things Second Edition written by Ray Fair and has been published by Stanford University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-12-14 with Business & Economics categories.
"It's the economy, stupid," as Democratic strategist James Carville would say. After many years of study, Ray C. Fair has found that the state of the economy has a dominant influence on national elections. Just in time for the 2012 presidential election, this new edition of his classic text, Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things, provides us with a look into the likely future of our nation's political landscape—but Fair doesn't stop there. Fair puts other national issues under the microscope as well—including congressional elections, Federal Reserve behavior, and inflation. In addition he covers topics well beyond today's headlines, as the book takes on questions of more direct, personal interest such as wine quality, predicting football games, and aging effects in baseball. Which of your friends is most likely to have an extramarital affair? How important is class attendance for academic performance in college? How fast can you expect to run a race or perform some physical task at age 55, given your time at age 30? Read Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things and find out! As Fair works his way through an incredibly broad range of questions and topics, he teaches and delights. The discussion that underlies each chapter topic moves from formulating theories about real world phenomena to lessons on how to analyze data, test theories, and make predictions. At the end of this book, readers will walk away with more than mere predictions. They will have learned a new approach to thinking about many age-old concerns in public and private life, and will have a myriad of fun facts to share.
The Keys To The White House
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Author : Allan J. Lichtman
language : en
Publisher: Lexington Books
Release Date : 2005
The Keys To The White House written by Allan J. Lichtman and has been published by Lexington Books this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with Political Science categories.
Prominent political analyst and historian Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or keys that have successfully predicted the outcome of presidential elections from 1860 to 2004. Read this book not only for a surprising look at the electoral process, but also for tips on calling the election in 2008.
Politics And Big Data
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Author : Andrea Ceron
language : en
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
Release Date : 2016-12-19
Politics And Big Data written by Andrea Ceron and has been published by Taylor & Francis this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-12-19 with Political Science categories.
The importance of social media as a way to monitor an electoral campaign is well established. Day-by-day, hour-by-hour evaluation of the evolution of online ideas and opinion allows observers and scholars to monitor trends and momentum in public opinion well before traditional polls. However, there are difficulties in recording and analyzing often brief, unverified comments while the unequal age, gender, social and racial representation among social media users can produce inaccurate forecasts of final polls. Reviewing the different techniques employed using social media to nowcast and forecast elections, this book assesses its achievements and limitations while presenting a new technique of "sentiment analysis" to improve upon them. The authors carry out a meta-analysis of the existing literature to show the conditions under which social media-based electoral forecasts prove most accurate while new case studies from France, the United States and Italy demonstrate how much more accurate "sentiment analysis" can prove.
Predicting Presidential Elections And Other Things
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Author : Ray C. Fair
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2002
Predicting Presidential Elections And Other Things written by Ray C. Fair and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2002 with Economic forecasting categories.
The 2012 Presidential Election
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Author : Amnon Cavari
language : en
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
Release Date : 2013-10-30
The 2012 Presidential Election written by Amnon Cavari and has been published by Rowman & Littlefield this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-10-30 with Political Science categories.
Though many analyses of the 2012 presidential election have emerged, none can match this collection's depth, diversity, or ability to critically and soundly argue where American politics will go from this point forward. This volume includes some of the most recognized scholars in the field and innovative younger scholars who provide a fresh perspective on the election. It is a diverse and award winning group, including established and respected names in presidency studies, political psychology, and election forecasting. The contributions address a wide range of subjects, from the accuracy of pre-election forecasts, the effect of the election on relations between Obama and congressional leaders, the effect of race and religion on the outcome, the consequences for the Republican Party, and prospects for leadership in a second term. Rather than a simplistic account of what happened during the campaign, the volume will contribute to our understanding of significant questions about the presidency, voting behavior, political parties, and elections.
Predicting The Next President
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Author : Allan J. Lichtman
language : en
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
Release Date : 2024-07-01
Predicting The Next President written by Allan J. Lichtman and has been published by Rowman & Littlefield this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-07-01 with Political Science categories.
In the days after Donald Trump’s unexpected victory on election night 2016, The New York Times, CNN, and other leading media outlets reached out to one of the few pundits who had correctly predicted the outcome, Allan J. Lichtman. While many election forecasters base their findings exclusively on public opinion polls, Lichtman looks at the underlying fundamentals that have driven every presidential election since 1860. Using his 13 historical factors or “keys” (four political, seven performance, and two personality), Lichtman had been predicting Trump’s win since September 2016. In the updated 2024 edition, he applies the keys to every presidential election since 1860 and shows readers the current state of the 2024 race. In doing so, he dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. An indispensable resource for political junkies!